Published online Jun 26, 2021. doi: 10.12998/wjcc.v9.i18.4559
Peer-review started: November 7, 2020
First decision: December 13, 2020
Revised: December 26, 2020
Accepted: February 4, 2021
Article in press: February 4, 2021
Published online: June 26, 2021
Processing time: 215 Days and 11.6 Hours
Careful selection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients prior to chemoembolization treatment is a daily reality, and is even more necessary with new available therapeutic options in HCC.
To propose two new models to better stratify patients and maximize clinical benefit: “6 and 12” and “pre/post-TACE-predict” (TACE, transarterial chemoembolization).
We evaluated and compared their performance in predicting overall survival with other systems {Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) and NIACE [Number of tumor(s), Infiltrative HCC, alpha-fetoprotein, Child-Pugh (CP), and performance status]} in two HCC French cohorts of different stages enrolled between 2010 and 2018.
The cohorts included 324 patients classified as BCLC stages A/B (cohort 1) and 137 patients classified as BCLC stages B/C (cohort 2). The majority of the patients had cirrhosis with preserved liver function. “Pre-TACE-predict” and “6 and 12” models identified three distinct categories of patients exhibiting different prognosis in cohort 1. However, their prognostic value was no better than the BCLC system or NIACE score. Liver function based on CP and ALBI grades significantly impacted patient survival. Conversely, the “post-TACE-predict” model had a higher predictive value than other models. The stratification ability as well as predictive performance of these new models in an intermediate/advanced stage population was less efficient (cohort 2).
The newly proposed “Pre-TACE-predict” and “6 and 12” models offer an interesting stratification into three categories in a recommended TACE population, as they identify poor candidates, those with partial control and durable response. The models' contribution was reduced in a population with advanced stage HCCs.
Core Tip: Management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has significantly changed over the past few years. The introduction of new systemic therapies, including immune checkpoint inhibitors has improved survival, especially in patients with advanced stage HCC. Careful selection of patients prior to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is crucial. “Up-to-seven criteria” have been proposed for subclassification of intermediate stages. More recently, two models (“6 and 12”; “pre-TACE-predict”) have been developed to improve patient stratification and refine prognosis, overcoming the limitations of points-based scores. In this retrospective multi-center French study, we evaluated and compared these two new models to validate their prognostic value and applicability in clinical current practice.