Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2021. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastrointest Surg. Oct 27, 2021; 13(10): 1258-1266
Published online Oct 27, 2021. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v13.i10.1258
Development and validation of a prediction model for deep vein thrombosis in older non-mild acute pancreatitis patients
Du-Jiang Yang, Mao Li, Chao Yue, Wei-Ming Hu, Hui-Min Lu
Du-Jiang Yang, Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China
Mao Li, Chao Yue, Wei-Ming Hu, Hui-Min Lu, Department of Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China
Author contributions: Yang DJ, Li M, and Lu HM contributed to conception and design; Yang DJ, Li M, Yue C, and Hu WM contributed to collection and analysis data; Yang DJ wrote the manuscript; Lu HM revised the manuscript.
Supported by The Sichuan Provincial Department of Science and Technology Supporting Project, No. 2018SZ0381; and 1.3.5 project for disciplines of excellence, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. ZYJC18027.
Institutional review board statement: This study was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee of the West China Hospital.
Informed consent statement: For retrospective study, informed consent was waived according to our institutional guideline.
Conflict-of-interest statement: There are no conflicts of interest to disclose.
Data sharing statement: No additional data are available.
Open-Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Hui-Min Lu, PhD, Professor, Department of Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China. hm.lu@scu.edu.cn
Received: May 20, 2021
Peer-review started: May 20, 2021
First decision: June 22, 2021
Revised: July 1, 2021
Accepted: September 19, 2021
Article in press: September 19, 2021
Published online: October 27, 2021
Core Tip

Core Tip: Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) may cause pulmonary embolus, leading to late death. Few studies have focused on DVT in moderate and severe acute pancreatitis. We identified eight predictors and developed and established a prediction nomogram model for DVT in older patients with moderate and severe acute pancreatitis. This model achieved good concordance indexes and may help guide doctors in the administration of DVT prophylaxis.