Published online Sep 15, 2022. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v14.i9.1699
Peer-review started: April 19, 2022
First decision: May 11, 2022
Revised: May 18, 2022
Accepted: July 26, 2022
Article in press: July 26, 2022
Published online: September 15, 2022
Processing time: 143 Days and 2.3 Hours
In colorectal cancer, tumor deposits (TDs) are considered to be a prognostic factor in the current staging system, and are only considered in the absence of lymph node metastases (LNMs). However, this definition and the subsequent prognostic value based on it is controversial, with various hypotheses. TDs may play an independent role when it comes to survival and addition of TDs to LNM count may predict the prognosis of patients more accurately.
To assess the prognostic impact of TDs and evaluate the effect of their addition to the LNM count.
The patients are derived from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. A prognostic analysis regarding impact of TDs on overall survival (OS) was performed using Cox regression model, and other covariates associating with OS were adjusted. The effect of addition of TDs to LNM count on N restaging was also evaluated. The subgroup analysis was performed to explore the different profile of risk factors between patients with and without TDs.
Overall, 103755 patients were enrolled with 14131 (13.6%) TD-positive and 89624 (86.4%) TD-negative tumors. TD-positive patients had worse prognosis compared with TD-negative patients, with 3-year OS rates of 47.3% (95%CI, 46.5%-48.1%) and 77.5% (95%CI, 77.2%-77.8%, P < 0.0001), respectively. On multivariable analysis, TDs were associated poorer OS (hazard ratio, 1.35; 95%CI, 1.31-1.38; P < 0.0001). Among TD-positive patients, the number of TDs had a linear negative effect on disease-free survival and OS. After reclassifying patients by adding TDs to the LNM count, 885 of 19 965 (4.4%) N1 patients were restaged as pN2, with worse outcomes than patients restaged as pN1 (3-year OS rate: 78.5%, 95%CI, 77.9%-79.1% vs 63.2%, 95%CI, 60.1%-66.5%, respectively; P < 0.0001).
TDs are an independent prognostic factor for OS in colorectal cancer. The addition of TDs to LNM count improved the prognostic accuracy of tumor, node and metastasis staging.
Core Tip: We evaluated the predictive value of tumor deposits (TDs) for overall survival (OS) in patients with colorectal cancer based on a collection of 103755 patients derived from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, including TD-negative and TD-positive subpopulations with Cox proportional hazard model. The sensitivity analyses were performed to detect outcome robustness. TD was an independent prognostic factor for OS. We also performed exploratory analysis to evaluate the effect of TD addition to the lymph node metastases count in tumor, node and metastasis-stage III subpopulations. The outcomes of subgroup analysis investigating the different risk factor profiles indicated that TDs may affect survival through more than one approach.