Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2021. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Aug 15, 2021; 13(8): 943-958
Published online Aug 15, 2021. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v13.i8.943
Development of a prognostic prediction model based on microRNA-1269a in esophageal cancer
Yong Yu, Kai-Ming Ren
Yong Yu, Department of Ophtalmology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110004, Liaoning Province, China
Kai-Ming Ren, Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110004, China
Author contributions: All authors contributed to this manuscript; Yu Y and Ren KM designed and coordinated the study, performed the experiments, acquired and analyzed data, and interpreted the data and wrote the manuscript; all authors approved the final version of the article.
Supported by The National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 81570866; and the Outstanding Doctor Foundation of China Medical University, No. M0554.
Institutional review board statement: The study was reviewed and approved by the Ethics Committee in The Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University.
Informed consent statement: Patients were not required to give informed consent to the study because the analysis used anonymous clinical data that were obtained after each patient agreed to treatment by written consent.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Data sharing statement: No additional data are available.
Open-Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Kai-Ming Ren, MD, PhD, Professor, Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 36 Sanhao Street, Heping District, Shenyang 110004, Liaoning Province, China. renkmcmu@163.com
Received: April 8, 2021
Peer-review started: April 8, 2021
First decision: May 24, 2021
Revised: May 27, 2021
Accepted: July 9, 2021
Article in press: July 9, 2021
Published online: August 15, 2021
Processing time: 128 Days and 2.5 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer (ESCA) is a heterogeneous cancer with variable outcomes that are challenging to predict. MicroRNA (miR)-1269a is a newly discovered non-coding RNA that shows promising prognostic prediction in other cancers, but its clinical value in ESCA remains unclear.

AIM

To explore the relationship between miR-1269a and its clinical value and to develop a nomogram to succinctly display this relationship.

METHODS

We analyzed the expression of miR-1269a in 125 ESCA tissue samples with complete clinical data and 52 normal tissue samples. We determined the prognostic value of miR-1269a for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) and evaluated the association between miR-1269a and clinical variables including tumor location, histologic grade, metastatic stage, and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage using multivariate Cox analysis. Additionally, we developed a nomogram for OS and CSS based on miR-1269a expression using age and AJCC stage and assessed its prognostic performance. Using Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Gene and Genomes analyses, we predicted the target genes of miR-1269a and analyzed their potential function in caner development.

RESULTS

The expression of miR-1269a was significantly higher in ESCA patients than healthy controls. Patients with high expression of miR-1269a showed poor prognosis in OS and CSS, suffered increased rates of low differentiation and metastasis, and exhibited tumor stage T3 + T4, positive lymph stage, and AJCC stage III + IV. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of miR-1269a was 0.716 for OS and 0.764 for CSS. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that AJCC stage and miR-1269a were independent factors for OS and CSS. Combing with age, we constructed a nomogram for prognostic prediction. Additionally, our nomogram showed excellent predictive performance for OS and CSS after 3 years and 5 years and was easy to use. Ultimately, the functional analysis suggested that miR-1269a was mostly involved in the PI3K-AKT signaling pathway.

CONCLUSION

miR-1269a can be used as a potential indicator for the prognosis of ESCA patients. We developed an easy-to-use nomogram with excellent ESCA prognostic prediction for clinical use.

Keywords: MicroRNA-1269a; Esophageal cancer; Prognosis; Overall survival; Cancer-specific survival

Core Tip: MicroRNA-1269a expression levels, along with cancer stage and age, were shown to have significant predictive capacity for overall survival and cancer-specific survival in esophageal cancer. Using these results, we developed an easy-to-use nomogram for clinical use.