Published online Oct 26, 2019. doi: 10.12998/wjcc.v7.i20.3247
Peer-review started: June 12, 2019
First decision: July 21, 2019
Revised: August 16, 2019
Accepted: September 9, 2019
Article in press: September 9, 2019
Published online: October 26, 2019
Processing time: 136 Days and 14.7 Hours
Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common malignancy globally. The majority of patients with GC are diagnosed at a relatively advanced stage, some even with metastatic disease. For patients with GC, the most life-threatening type of metastasis is peritoneal metastasis (PM), which often accompanies malignant ascites. GC patients with PM and malignant ascites tend to have a worse prognosis.
Recent evidence indicates that malignant ascites may be associated with the high malignancy and poor prognosis of GC with PM, but no robust consensus has been reached until now.
We conducted this meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic significance of ascites in GC patients with PM.
Two independent authors conducted database searches. The searches were performed in the EMBASE, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases, and the terms used to search included stomach neoplasms, GC, ascites, peritoneal effusion, survival, and survival analysis. RevMan 5 software was used for this meta-analysis. The hazard ratio (HR) with a 95%CI served as the appropriate summary statistic. Three pairs of comparisons measuring survival were made: (1) Patients with ascites vs those without ascites; (2) Patients with massive ascites vs those with mild to moderate ascites; and (3) Patients with massive ascites vs those with no to moderate ascites.
Fourteen articles including fifteen studies were considered in the final analysis. Among them, nine studies assessed the difference in prognosis between patients with and without malignant ascites. A pooled HR of 1.63 (95% CI: 1.47-1.82, P < 0.00001) indicated that GC patients with malignant ascites had a relatively poor prognosis compared to patients without ascites. We also found that the prognosis of GC patients with malignant ascites was related to the volume of ascites in the six other studies.
GC patients with malignant ascites tend to have a worse prognosis, and the volume of ascites has an impact on GC outcomes.
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first systematic meta-analysis to demonstrate the prognostic significance of malignant ascites in GC patients with PM. Because most of the studies included in this meta-analysis are retrospective studies, some confounding factors exist. Higher quality prospective studies with more patients will be necessary to validate malignant ascites as a predictive marker of poor outcome.