Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2024. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastrointest Surg. Feb 27, 2024; 16(2): 491-502
Published online Feb 27, 2024. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v16.i2.491
Development of a new Cox model for predicting long-term survival in hepatitis cirrhosis patients underwent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts
Yi-Fan Lv, Bing Zhu, Ming-Ming Meng, Yi-Fan Wu, Cheng-Bin Dong, Yu Zhang, Bo-Wen Liu, Shao-Li You, Sa Lv, Yong-Ping Yang, Fu-Quan Liu
Yi-Fan Lv, Ming-Ming Meng, Yi-Fan Wu, Cheng-Bin Dong, Yu Zhang, Bo-Wen Liu, Fu-Quan Liu, Liver Disease Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment Center, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100038, China
Bing Zhu, Shao-Li You, Sa Lv, Yong-Ping Yang, Liver Vascular Disease Diagnosis and Treatment Center, The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
Co-first authors: Yi-Fan Lv and Bing Zhu.
Author contributions: Lv YF and Zhu B analyzed the data and wrote the paper; Meng MM, Wu YF, Dong CB, Zhang Y, Liu BW, You SL and Lv S performed the research; Liu FQ and Yang YP designed the research; Liu FQ and Yang YP reviewed and edited the manuscript; Lv YF and Zhu B contributed equally to this work as co-first authors; All the authors read and approved the manuscript.
Supported by the Talent Training Plan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period of Beijing Shijitan Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University, No. 2023LJRCLFQ.
Institutional review board statement: The study was reviewed and approved by the Beijing Shijitan Hospital Institutional Review Board and was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.
Informed consent statement: All study participants, or their legal guardian, provided informed written consent prior to study enrollment.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
Data sharing statement: No additional data are available.
Open-Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Fu-Quan Liu, BCPS, Chief Doctor, Professor, Liver Disease Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment Center, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 10 Tieyi Road, Yangfangdian, Haidian District, Beijing 100038, China. lfuquan@aliyun.com
Received: November 21, 2023
Peer-review started: November 21, 2023
First decision: December 12, 2023
Revised: December 23, 2023
Accepted: January 12, 2024
Article in press: January 12, 2024
Published online: February 27, 2024
Core Tip

Core Tip: The core finding of this article is that a newly developed Cox regression model (NDC) outperforms the existing scoring models, such as the Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-sodium and the Freiburg index of post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) survival, in predicting long-term survival after TIPS placement in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis. In the NDC model, considered factors such as indication for TIPS, shunt reasonability, indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min, post-portal venous pressure gradient, percentage decrease in portal venous pressure, and total bilirubin are considered. It provided a more accurate prediction of 6-year survival, allowing for the identification of high-risk patients who may need closer follow-up after the procedure.