Retrospective Cohort Study
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©The Author(s) 2020. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Apr 15, 2020; 12(4): 405-423
Published online Apr 15, 2020. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v12.i4.405
Table 1 Patient characteristics before propensity score matching
LPTL1 RPTL1 Cetuximab (n = 164) Bevacizumab (n = 679) P valueCetuximab (n = 84) Bevacizumab (n = 385) P valueAge at index date2 , years 0.727 0.801 Median 61.0 61.0 66.5 67.0 Sex, n (%) 0.749 0.296 Female 59 (36.0) 256 (37.7) 36 (42.9) 192 (49.9) Male 105 (64.0) 423 (62.3) 48 (57.1) 193 (50.1) Race, n (%) 0.042 0.506 Black or African American 17 (10.4) 61 (9.0) 7 (8.3) 43 (11.2) White 114 (69.5) 435 (64.1) 57 (67.9) 264 (68.6) Other race 27 (16.5) 109 (16.1) 9 (10.7) 46 (11.9) Missing 6 (3.7) 74 (10.9) 11 (13.1) 32 (8.3) Region, n (%) 0.001 0.008 Northeast 38 (23.2) 144 (21.2) 20 (23.8) 73 (19.0) Midwest 14 (8.5) 133 (19.6) 12 (14.3) 99 (25.7) South 54 (32.9) 246 (36.2) 24 (28.6) 140 (36.4) West 40 (24.4) 105 (15.5) 15 (17.9) 47 (12.2) Unknown 18 (11.0) 51 (7.5) 13 (15.5) 26 (6.8) Practice type, n (%) 0.079 0.052 Academic 2 (1.2) 31 (4.6) 0 17 (4.4) Community 162 (98.8) 648 (95.4) 84 (100) 368 (95.6) Site of disease, n (%) 1.000 NA Colon 111 (67.7) 460 (67.7) 84 (100) 385 (100) Rectum 53 (32.3) 219 (32.3) 0 0 Side of colon, n (%) 0.973 0.745 Left side 86 (52.4) 364 (53.6) 0 0 Rectosigmoid 18 (11.0) 79 (11.6) 0 0 Rectum 52 (31.7) 206 (30.3) 0 0 Splenic flexure 8 (4.9) 30 (4.4) 0 0 Right side 0 0 70 (83.3) 329 (85.5) Transverse colon 0 0 14 (16.7) 56 (14.5) Group stage at initial diagnosis, n (%) 0.199 0.001 Stage I 2 (1.2) 26 (3.8) 1 (1.2) 5 (1.3) Stage II 13 (7.9) 73 (10.8) 5 (6.0) 40 (10.4) Stage III 44 (26.8) 145 (21.4) 37 (44.0) 87 (22.6) Stage IV 101 (61.6) 411 (60.5) 41 (48.8) 253 (65.7) Unknown 4 (2.4) 24 (3.5) 0 0 ECOG PS at index date2, 3 , n (%) 0.176 0.026 0 39 (23.8) 192 (28.3) 27 (32.1) 80 (20.8) 1 22 (13.4) 117 (17.2) 9 (10.7) 83 (21.6) 2+ 5 (3.0) 29 (4.3) 3 (3.6) 26 (6.8) Missing 98 (59.8) 341 (50.2) 45 (53.6) 196 (50.9) Modified CCI at index date2, 4 , n (%) 0.526 0.339 0 136 (82.9) 557 (82.0) 64 (76.2) 293 (76.1) 1 20 (12.2) 86 (12.7) 17 (20.2) 59 (15.3) 2 7 (4.3) 21 (3.1) 3 (3.6) 24 (6.2) 3+ 1 (0.6) 15 (2.2) 0 9 (2.3) NRAS tested, n (%)51 (31.1) 281 (41.4) 0.020 28 (33.3) 160 (41.6) 0.204 NRAS status among those tested5 , n (%)0.112 0.373 Mutation negative 49 (96.1) 256 (91.1) 28 (100) 144 (90.0) Mutation positive 0 19 (6.8) 0 14 (8.8) Results pending 0 1 (0.4) 0 1 (0.6) Unknown 1 (2.0) 1 (0.4) 0 0 Unsuccessful/indeterminate 1 (2.0) 4 (1.4) 0 1 (0.6) BRAF tested, n (%)46 (28.0) 313 (46.1) < 0.001 35 (41.7) 176 (45.7) 0.579 BRAF status among those tested5 , n (%)0.075 0.072 Mutation negative 45 (97.8) 288 (92.0) 24 (68.6) 103 (58.5) Mutation positive 0 23 (7.3) 10 (28.6) 73 (41.5) Results pending 0 1 (0.3) 0 0 Unknown 1 (2.2) 1 (0.3) 0 0 Unsuccessful/indeterminate 0 0 1 (2.9) 0 First-line chemotherapy backbone, n (%) < 0.001 < 0.001 FOLFIRI 105 (64.0) 165 (24.3) 64 (76.2) 96 (24.9) FOLFOX 59 (36.0) 514 (75.7) 20 (23.8) 289 (75.1) History of adjuvant chemotherapy6 , n (%) 0.171 < 0.001 No/not documented 114 (69.5) 510 (75.1) 44 (52.4) 299 (77.7) Yes 50 (30.5) 169 (24.9) 40 (47.6) 86 (22.3) First-line therapy duration7 , days 0.076 0.969 Median 197.0 183.0 156.0 162.0 Length of follow-up8 , days 0.019 0.345 Median 501.5 442.0 323.5 350.0
Table 2 Patient characteristics after propensity score matching
Total (n = 792) Cetuximab (n = 228) Bevacizumab (n = 564) P valueAge at index date1 , years 0.923 Median 64.0 64.0 63.0 Sex, n (%) 0.914 Female 334 (42.2) 92 (40.4) 242 (42.9) Male 458 (57.8) 136 (59.6) 322 (57.1) Race, n (%) 0.905 Black or African American 71 (9.0) 22 (9.6) 49 (8.7) White 549 (69.3) 158 (69.3) 391 (69.3) Other race 111 (14.0) 32 (14.0) 79 (14.0) Missing 61 (7.7) 16 (7.0) 45 (8.0) Region, n (%) 0.620 Northeast 185 (23.4) 54 (23.7) 131 (23.2) Midwest 113 (14.3) 26 (11.4) 87 (15.4) South 253 (31.9) 75 (32.9) 178 (31.6) West 158 (19.9) 48 (21.1) 110 (19.5) Unknown 83 (10.5) 25 (11.0) 58 (10.3) Practice type, n (%) <0.001 Academic 35 (4.4) 0 35 (6.2) Community 757 (95.6) 228 (100) 529 (93.8) Site of disease, n (%) 1.000 Colon 630 (79.5) 180 (78.9) 450 (79.8) Rectum 162 (20.5) 48 (21.1) 114 (20.2) Group stage at initial diagnosis, n (%) 0.763 Stage I 9 (1.1) 3 (1.3) 6 (1.1) Stage II 68 (8.6) 18 (7.9) 50 (8.9) Stage III 245 (30.9) 79 (34.6) 166 (29.4) Stage IV 458 (57.8) 124 (54.4) 334 (59.2) Unknown 12 (1.5) 4 (1.8) 8 (1.4) ECOG PS at index date1, 2 , n (%) 0.379 0 197 (24.9) 61 (26.8) 136 (24.1) 1 130 (16.4) 30 (13.2) 100 (17.7) 2+ 35 (4.4) 6 (2.6) 29 (5.1) Missing 430 (54.3) 131 (57.5) 299 (53.0) Modified CCI at index date1, 3 , n (%) 0.861 0 650 (82.1) 185 (81.1) 465 (82.4) 1 104 (13.1) 32 (14.0) 72 (12.8) 2 34 (4.3) 10 (4.4) 24 (4.3) 3+ 4 (0.5) 1 (0.4) 3 (0.5) NRAS tested, n (%)274 (34.6) 70 (30.7) 204 (36.2) 0.410 NRAS status among those tested4 , n (%)0.908 Mutation negative 268 (97.8) 68 (97.1) 200 (98.0) Mutation positive 0 0 0 Results pending 1 (0.4) 0 1 (0.5) Unknown 1 (0.4) 1 (1.4) 0 Unsuccessful/indeterminate 4 (1.5) 1 (1.4) 3 (1.5) BRAF tested, n (%)290 (36.6) 76 (33.3) 214 (37.9) 0.955 BRAF status among those tested4 , n (%)0.881 Mutation negative 248 (85.5) 64 (84.2) 184 (86.0) Mutation positive 39 (13.4) 10 (13.2) 29 (13.6) Results pending 1 (0.3) 0 1 (0.5) Unknown 1 (0.3) 1 (1.3) 0 Unsuccessful/indeterminate 1 (0.3) 1 (1.3) 0 First-line chemotherapy backbone, n (%) 0.485 FOLFIRI 387 (48.9) 149 (65.4) 238 (42.2) FOLFOX 405 (51.1) 79 (34.6) 326 (57.8) History of adjuvant chemotherapy5 , n (%) 0.789 No/not documented 519 (65.5) 140 (61.4) 379 (67.2) Yes 273 (34.5) 88 (38.6) 185 (32.8) First-line therapy duration6 , days 0.424 Median 179.0 162.0 190.0 Length of follow-up7 , days 0.533 Median 434.0 428.5 434.5 Side of colon, n (%) 0.868 Left side 283 (35.7) 78 (34.2) 205 (36.3) Rectosigmoid 62 (7.8) 17 (7.5) 45 (8.0) Rectum 154 (19.4) 47 (20.6) 107 (19.0) Splenic flexure 19 (2.4) 5 (2.2) 14 (2.5) Right side 231 (29.2) 68 (29.8) 163 (28.9) Transverse colon 43 (5.4) 13 (5.7) 30 (5.3)
Table 3 Cox regression estimation in the propensity score–matched sample (n = 792)
Log (HR) HR SE [Log (HR)] Robust SE [Log (HR)] Z P valueCetuximab 0 1.00 0.18 0.19 0 0.996 LPTL -0.58 0.56 0.13 0.15 -3.89 < 0.001 Cetuximab × LPTL -0.14 0.87 0.24 0.25 -0.57 0.566
Table 4 Overall survival sensitivity analyses
Matched/weighted HR (95%CI) of cetuximab vs bevacizumab, for LPTL HR (95%CI) of cetuximab vs bevacizumab, for RPTL mOS (mo) for cetuximab vs bevacizumab Main analysis with propensity score matching 27.9 vs 25.4 0.87 (0.63-1.19) 1.00 (0.68-1.46) Planned sensitivity analyses 1:1 matching without a caliper (propensity score matching) 27.9 vs 21.7 0.76 (0.55-1.06) 0.91 (0.59-1.41) 2:1 matching without a caliper (propensity score matching) 27.9 vs 22.3 0.82 (0.61-1.11) 0.87 (0.58-1.29) IPTW 27.9 vs 25.6 0.87 (0.63-1.19) 0.98 (0.65-1.49) LPTL only (propensity score matching) 29.4 vs 30.5 0.88 (0.61-1.28) NA RPTL only (propensity score matching) 17.9 vs 20.4 NA 1.09 (0.74-1.63) Change definition of tumor location (IPTW) RPTL: C/A/HF; LPTL: transverse to rectum 27.9 vs 25.6 0.89 (0.66-1.20) 0.96 (0.61-1.53) RPTL: C/A/HF to transverse; LPTL: splenic flexure to rectosigmoid 27.9 vs 26.6 0.98 (0.66-1.44) 0.98 (0.64-1.50) RPTL: C/A/HF to transverse; LPTL: splenic flexure to descending/sigmoid 27.4 vs 25.8 0.93 (0.61-1.43) 0.98 (0.65-1.48) RPTL: C/A/HF; LPTL: transverse to rectosigmoid 27.9 vs 26.6 1.02 (0.71-1.46) 0.95 (0.60-1.52) RPTL: C/A/HF; LPTL: transverse to descending/sigmoid 27.4 vs 25.8 0.98 (0.67-1.45) 0.95 (0.60-1.50) RPTL: C/A/HF; LPTL: splenic flexure to rectum 28.3 vs 25.8 0.88 (0.64-1.21) 0.96 (0.60-1.51) RPTL: C/A/HF; LPTL: splenic flexure to rectosigmoid 28.3 vs 26.6 1.00 (0.68-1.47) 0.93 (0.59-1.48) RPTL: C/A/HF; LPTL: splenic flexure to descending/sigmoid 28.3 vs 26.0 0.95 (0.62-1.46) 0.94 (0.60-1.47) NRAS mutation–negative patients only (IPTW)28.9 vs 26.0 0.77 (0.40-1.50) 1.03 (0.54-1.97) Restricted to patients with chemotherapy backbone of FOLFIRI (IPTW) 24.6 vs 23.1 0.96 (0.64-1.44) 1.05 (0.62-1.77) Restricted to patients with chemotherapy backbone of FOLFOX (IPTW) Not reached vs 25.91 0.63 (0.37-1.08) 0.52 (0.23-1.17) Change definition of index date (propensity score matching)2 27.8 vs 24.8 0.86 (0.61-1.20) 0.96 (0.64-1.44) Restrict to stage IV patients (IPTW) 29.7 vs 29.4 0.98 (0.61-1.57) 0.99 (0.51-1.90)