Published online Dec 15, 2022. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v14.i12.2380
Peer-review started: September 15, 2022
First decision: October 19, 2022
Revised: October 21, 2022
Accepted: November 21, 2022
Article in press: November 21, 2022
Published online: December 15, 2022
Processing time: 87 Days and 15.1 Hours
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy.
To predict early recurrence (ER) and overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC after radical resection using deep learning-based radiomics (DLR).
A total of 414 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent surgical resection with available preoperative grayscale and contrast-enhanced ultrasound images were enrolled. The clinical, DLR, and clinical + DLR models were then designed to predict ER and OS.
The DLR model for predicting ER showed satisfactory clinical benefits [area under the curve (AUC)] = 0.819 and 0.568 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively), similar to the clinical model (AUC = 0.580 and 0.520 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively; P > 0.05). The C-index of the clinical + DLR model in the prediction of OS in the training and testing cohorts was 0.800 and 0.759, respectively. The clinical + DLR model and the DLR model outperformed the clinical model in the training and testing cohorts (P < 0.001 for all). We divided patients into four categories by dichotomizing predicted ER and OS. For patients in class 1 (high ER rate and low risk of OS), retreatment (microwave ablation) after recurrence was associated with improved survival (hazard ratio = 7.895, P = 0.005).
Compared to the clinical model, the clinical + DLR model significantly improves the accuracy of predicting OS in HCC patients after radical resection.
Core Tip: Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that age [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.01], carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (HR = 0.60), tumor size (HR = 1.11), echogenicity (HR = 0.82), and deep learning-based radiomics (DLR, HR = 4.33) were independent predictors of survival outcome (P < 0.05 for all). The concordance index of the clinical + DLR model in the training and testing cohorts was 0.800 and 0.759, respectively. We divided patients into four categories by dichotomizing predicted early recurrence and survival outcome. We found that for patients with class 1 (high early recurrence rate and low risk of survival outcome), retreatment after recurrence was associated with improved survival.