Risk factors and risk prediction model for mucocutaneous separation in enterostomy patients: A single center experience

Figure 1 Receiver operating characteristic analysis curves. Mucocutaneous separation (MCS) model is the primary model incorporating all 7 independent predictive factors [suture dislodgment, albumin level, body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin level, intestinal rapture, incision infection and neoadjuvant therapy]. MCS Basic is the stripped-down model using only suture dislodgment, albumin level and BMI. MCS Extended incorporates all the potential predictive factors. MCS: Mucocutaneous separation; AUC: Area under the curve.

Figure 2 Mucocutaneous separation model nomogram. Visualization of the mucocutaneous separation (MCS) model via a nomogram. The risk of MCS is determined based on the total points based on the seven independent predictive variables. MCS: Mucocutaneous separation.

Figure 3 Decision curve analysis. The clinical utility of the three models is generally comparable, however, at higher risk profiles, the mucocutaneous separation model is generally better. MCS: Mucocutaneous separation.