Retrospective Cohort Study Open Access
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2025. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Transplant. Sep 18, 2025; 15(3): 101997
Published online Sep 18, 2025. doi: 10.5500/wjt.v15.i3.101997
Disparities in liver transplantation for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma
David W Victor, Sudha Kodali, Tamneet Basra, Sherrie and Alan Conover Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Department of Medicine, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
Mazen Noureddin, Department of Medicine, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
Mazen Noureddin, Houston Research Institute, Houston, TX 77079, United States
Elizabeth W Brombosz, Department of Surgery, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
Analisa Lopez, JC Walter Jr Transplant Center, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
Edward A Graviss, Department of Pathology and Genomic Medicine, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, Texas 77030, United States
Duc T Nguyen, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, 77030, United States
Ashish Saharia, Ashton A Connor, Yee Lee Cheah, Caroline J Simon, Mark J Hobeika, Constance M Mobley, JC Walter Jr Transplant Center, Department of Surgery, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
Maen Abdelrahim, Neal Cancer Center, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
R Mark Ghobrial, J C Walter Jr Transplant Center, Sherrie and Alan Conover Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Department of Surgery, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX 77030, United States
ORCID number: David W Victor (0000-0003-1414-3128); Sudha Kodali (0000-0003-0352-6019); Elizabeth W Brombosz (0000-0002-1734-5959); Edward A Graviss (0000-0003-1024-5813); Duc T Nguyen (0000-0002-5059-4404); Ashish Saharia (0000-0001-5366-8432); Ashton A Connor (0000-0002-7596-3771); Maen Abdelrahim (0000-0002-6631-5035); Yee Lee Cheah (0000-0002-6695-4339); Caroline J Simon (0009-0003-0546-439X); Mark J Hobeika (0000-0002-7444-7097); Constance M Mobley (0000-0003-3925-4975).
Author contributions: Victor DW and Brombosz EW were responsible for preparation of the manuscript; Victor DW, Brombosz EW, and Ghobrial RM were responsible for conception or design of the work; Victor DW, Graviss EA, and Nguyen DT were responsible for acquisition and analysis of data; Victor DW, Kodali S, Noureddin M, Brombosz EW, Lopez A, Basra T, Graviss EA, Nguyen DT, Saharia A, Connor AA, Abdelrahim M, Cheah YL, Simon CJ, Hobeika MJ, Mobley CM, and Ghobrial RM were responsible for interpretation of data and review of the manuscript; all of the authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript to be published.
Institutional review board statement: This work was conducted under Houston Methodist Institutional Review Board protocol Pro00000587.
Informed consent statement: A publicly available dataset with deidentified data was used for this work; work was conducted under a waiver of consent from the Houston Methodist Institutional Review Board.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors have no conflicts to declare in relation to this work.
STROBE statement: The authors have read the STROBE Statement—checklist of items, and the manuscript was prepared and revised according to the STROBE Statement—checklist of items.
Data sharing statement: The data are publicly available from the US Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients.
Open Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: David W Victor, MD, Director, Sherrie and Alan Conover Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Department of Medicine, Houston Methodist Hospital, 6550 Fannin Street, Houston, TX 77030, United States. dwvictor@houstonmethodist.org
Received: October 4, 2024
Revised: February 12, 2025
Accepted: February 21, 2025
Published online: September 18, 2025
Processing time: 195 Days and 15.2 Hours

Abstract
BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is increasingly common, as is hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the background of MASH. Liver transplantation (LT) provides superior long-term survival for patients with unresectable MASH-HCC, but not all patients have equal access to transplant. MASH-HCC disproportionately affects Hispanic patients, but minorities are less likely to undergo LT for HCC. Additionally, females also undergo LT at lower rates than males.

AIM

To investigate whether race/ethnicity and sex affect LT waitlist outcomes.

METHODS

Records of adults with MASH-HCC in the United States Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database listed for LT between 1/2015 and 12/2021 were analyzed.

RESULTS

Most of the 3810 patients waitlisted for LT for MASH-HCC were non-Hispanic (NH) white (71.2%) or Hispanic (23.4%), with only 49 (1.1%) NH Black candidates. Hispanics underwent LT at lower rates than NH whites (71.6% vs 78.4%, P < 0.001), but race/ethnicity did not affect waitlist mortality (P = 0.06). Patients with Hispanic [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.85, 95%CI: 0.77-0.95, P = 0.002] or Asian (HR = 0.79, 95%CI: 0.63-0.98, P = 0.04) race/ethnicity were less likely to undergo LT. Women were also less likely to receive LT (male: HR = 1.16, 95%CI: 1.04-1.29, P = 0.01). Patients in regions 1 and 9 were less likely to be transplanted as well (P = 0.07).

CONCLUSION

Hispanic patients are less likely to undergo LT for MASH-HCC, concerning given their susceptibility to MASH and HCC. There were very few NH Black candidates. Disparities were also unequal across regions, which is particularly concerning in states where at-risk populations have rising cancer incidence. Additional research is needed to identify strategies for mitigating these differences in access to LT for MASH-HCC.

Key Words: Steatotic liver disease; Liver neoplasms; Ethnic and racial minorities; Healthcare disparities; Minority health

Core Tip: Ethnicity, sex, and geographic region affect access to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma in the background of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, highlighting the need for strategies to address these discrepancies.



INTRODUCTION

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and steatohepatitis [metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), formerly nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)], are increasing in prevalence worldwide, affecting an estimated 30% of the global population[1]. MASH is also the second most common etiology of non-malignant liver disease of new patients on the United States liver transplantation (LT) waitlist[2]. Having MASH is a risk factor for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)[3], and the increasing prevalence of MASH is expected to lead to a concurrent increase in HCC[4,5]. The rise in patients waitlisted for MASH-HCC is much larger than for HCC with other etiologies[2].

Unfortunately, these increases in MASH-HCC prevalence have affected some communities more than others. MASH-HCC rates are much higher in Hispanic patients than other ethnicities[4], surpassing the prevalence of hepatitis C virus-associated HCC in 2019[2,4,6]. Hispanics are also disproportionally predisposed to developing MASH[6-9] and HCC[10,11] in general, thought to be due to a combination of genetic[12,13] and environmental factors[14]. In the United States, Black patients with HCC often have reduced survival relative to patients of other races[15]. Many members of racial minorities in the United States also have reduced access to treatment for HCC, including potentially curative treatments such as resection and LT[16-20]. Minorities are also more likely to present with advanced HCC[21], which can place them outside criteria for United States Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) exception points for LT.

Although studies have shown that minorities are less likely to receive LT for HCC[17,22,23], the effect of etiology on access to transplant has not been fully addressed. As described above, race/ethnicity can affect the likelihood of developing MASH-HCC, but it is unclear whether minorities are waitlisted and transplanted at lower-than-expected rates. The goal of this study was to determine whether race/ethnicity affects the likelihood of receiving LT for MASH-HCC in the US, and if so, to better understand potential barriers in access to transplantation for this indication. We analyze national-level predictors to determine whether patient race, ethnicity, or sex affect liver allocation, an important component of overall access to LT. Given that LT provides patients with unresectable HCC the best chance of long-term survival[24,25], it is important to identify any differences in access to LT for the growing indication of MASH-HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adults with MASH-HCC waitlisted for LT in the direct-acting antiviral era between 1/2015 and 12/2021 were identified in the United States OPTN Standard Transplant Analysis and Research file. This data set was chosen for this project because it includes transplant-specific outcomes, including waitlist outcomes, a major focus of the study. The transplants and therefore diagnoses were made prior to the 2023 MASH nomenclature change[26]. Patients with HCC were identified by having a primary or secondary diagnosis of HCC. Patients with MASH were identified by: (1) NASH as a primary or secondary diagnosis; and (2) A diagnosis of cryptogenic/idiopathic cirrhosis and body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2[27]. Multi-organ transplantation or retransplantation listings were excluded from the analysis. United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) region was included as a proxy for geographic regional differences in racial and ethnic diversity as an additional method for studying the association between race/ethnicity and LT.

Statistical analysis

Demographic and clinical characteristics were reported as frequencies and proportions for categorical variables and median and interquartile range (IQR) for continuous variables. Differences between racial/ethnic groups were compared using χ² or Fisher’s exact tests for categorical variables and Kruskal Wallis test for continuous variables, as appropriate. Differences between sub-groups (race/ethnicity, UNOS region) were compared using the χ² test with Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons where appropriate.

Cox regression modeling was performed to determine characteristics associated with receiving LT. Covariates used in the multivariable models were selected based on the clinical importance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method with the cross-validation selection option[28,29]. The model discrimination was determined by the C-statistic. All the analyses were performed using Stata version 17.0 (StataCorp LLC, College Station, TX, United States). A P value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS
Study population

Of the 3810 LT candidates with MASH-HCC, the majority (2713, 71.2%) were non-Hispanic (NH) white (Figure 1). Only 41 (1.1%) were Black, 891 (23.4%) were Hispanic, and 115 (3.0%) were Asian. NH Black patients spent the shortest time on the liver transplant waitlist, at a median of 190 days (IQR: 59-317), whereas Asians were on the waitlist the longest (median: 311 days; IQR: 195-496) (Table 1). There were no differences in the proportion of patients receiving HCC exception points among the racial/ethnic groups (P = 0.1) (Table 1). Listings pre-median (on or before 5/31/2019) and post-median MELD at Transplant (MMAT) (on or after 6/1/2019) were similar between races/ethnicities (P = 0.24) (Table 1).

Figure 1
Figure 1 Flowchart of the study population. HCC: Hepatocellular carcinoma; MASH: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis; NH: Non-Hispanic; STAR: Standard Transplant Analysis and Research.
Table 1 Demographics and clinical characteristics of patients waitlisted for liver transplantation for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma, n (%).

Non-Hispanic White (n = 2713)
Non-Hispanic Black (n = 41)
Hispanic (n = 891)
Asian (n = 115)
Other (n = 50)
Overall P value
Age, median (IQR) (years)64.0 (59.0, 68.0)62.0 (56.0, 68.0)63.0 (59.0, 67.0)65.0 (60.0, 68.0)63.0 (58.0, 67.0)0.002
Male sex1945 (71.7)20 (48.8)465 (52.2)65 (56.5)30 (60.0)< 0.001
Body mass index, median (IQR) (kg/m2)32.6 (29.0, 36.6)32.6 (28.7, 37.7)31.6 (28.1, 35.2)27.5 (25.0, 30.5)34.8 (29.4, 37.7)< 0.001
Days on wait list, median (IQR)217 (100, 355)190 (59, 317)265 (140, 424)311 (195, 496)206.5 (102, 360)< 0.001
History of diabetes at listing1845 (68.1)20 (48.8)603 (68.1)81 (70.4)32 (64.0)0.11
Encephalopathy at listing1339 (49.4)15 (36.6)422 (47.4)37 (32.2)26 (52.0)0.003
Ascites at listing1666 (61.4)24 (58.5)511 (57.4)53 (46.1)26 (52.0)0.004
Laboratory model for end-stage liver disease at listing, median (IQR)12.0 (9.0, 17.0)13.0 (8.0, 18.0)12.0 (9.0, 17.0)10.0 (8.0, 15.0)13.0 (9.0, 20.0)0.01
Albumin at listing, median (IQR)3.3 (2.9, 3.7)3.1 (2.5, 3.8)3.2 (2.8, 3.6)3.3 (2.9, 3.8)3.2 (2.6, 3.6)< 0.001
Creatinine at listing, median (IQR) (mg/dL)0.9 (0.8, 1.2)1.0 (0.8, 1.2)0.8 (0.7, 1.1)0.8 (0.7, 1.1)1.0 (0.8, 1.4)< 0.001
Bilirubin at listing, median (IQR) (mg/dL)1.6 (1.0, 2.7)1.8 (0.7, 4.3)1.6 (1.0, 2.8)1.5 (0.8, 2.1)1.6 (1.1, 3.6)0.17
Received hepatocellular carcinoma exception points2034 (75.0)28 (68.3)703 (78.9)91 (79.1)37 (74.0)0.10
Functional status at listing< 0.001
    Unknown68 (2.5)0 (0.0)6 (0.7)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)
    103 (0.1)0 (0.0)3 (0.3)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)
    2036 (1.3)1 (2.4)20 (2.2)3 (2.6)1 (2.0)
    3057 (2.1)2 (4.9)30 (3.4)0 (0.0)3 (6.0)
    40195 (7.2)0 (0.0)34 (3.8)4 (3.5)4 (8.0)
    50299 (11.0)10 (24.4)85 (9.5)8 (7.0)6 (12.0)
    60398 (14.7)7 (17.1)149 (16.7)17 (14.8)7 (14.0)
    70626 (23.1)7 (17.1)231 (25.9)26 (22.6)6 (12.0)
    80615 (22.7)8 (19.5)198 (22.2)26 (22.6)11 (22.0)
    90338 (12.5)5 (12.2)106 (11.9)23 (20.0)8 (16.0)
    10078 (2.9)1 (2.4)29 (3.3)8 (7.0)4 (8.0)
Working for income at registration774 (28.8)12 (29.3)195 (22.1)38 (33.0)20 (40.0)< 0.001
Listing era0.24
    Pre-MMAT era (1/1/2015-5/31/2019)1653 (60.9)27 (65.9)517 (58.0)75 (65.2)26 (52.0)
    Post-MMAT era (6/1/2019-12/31/2021)1060 (39.1)14 (34.1)374 (42.0)40 (34.8)24 (48.0)
Candidate final status0.01
    Died132 (4.9)2 (4.9)66 (7.4)6 (5.2)4 (8.0)
    Transplanted2127 (78.4)31 (75.6)638 (71.6)93 (80.9)37 (74.0)
    Other454 (16.7)8 (19.5)187 (21.0)16 (13.9)9 (18.0)
Removal from the LT waitlist

Most candidates went on to undergo LT, although the proportions of patients receiving LT among races/ethnicities were significantly different (P = 0.01) (Figure 2). In pairwise comparisons, Hispanics underwent LT at significantly lower rates than NH whites (P < 0.001) (Supplementary Table 1). Other groups received LT at similar proportions (all P > 0.05) (Supplementary Table 1). Waitlist mortality rates were not significantly different among races/ethnicities (P = 0.06) (Figure 2, Supplementary Figure 1).

Figure 2
Figure 2 Reason for liver transplantation waitlist removal by race/ethnicity of patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hispanics received LT at significantly higher rates in the post-MMAT era than in the pre-MMAT era (P = 0.02) (Figure 3). MMAT era did not impact the proportion of patients undergoing LT for other races/ethnicities (all P > 0.05). Although not statistically significant, the proportion of NH Black patients receiving LT decreased from 81.5% pre-MMAT to 64.3% post-MMAT (P = 0.22) (Figure 3).

Figure 3
Figure 3 Proportion of transplanted patients by pre-median/post-median model for end-stage liver disease era at transplant era and race/ethnicity. MMAT: Median model for end-stage liver disease era at transplant.
Factors predicting the likelihood of undergoing LT for MASH-HCC

In multivariable Cox regression analysis, Hispanic [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.85, 95%CI: 0.77-0.95, P = 0.002] and Asian (HR = 0.79, 95%CI: 0.63-0.98, P = 0.04) patients were significantly less likely to receive LT than NH white patients (Table 2). Male sex was also significantly associated with receiving LT (HR = 1.16, 95%CI: 1.04-1.29, P = 0.01). Interestingly, receiving MELD exception points for HCC was associated with a lower chance of undergoing LT (HR = 0.39, 95%CI: 0.34-0.44, P < 0.001). Being listed in the post-MMAT era was also significantly associated with receiving LT (HR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.16-1.36, P < 0.001).

Table 2 Candidate characteristics at listing associated with the likelihood of undergoing liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma in the background of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, per Cox regression analysis.
Univariable
Multivariable
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
Age (years)1.00 (0.99, 1.00)0.121.00 (1.00, 1.01)0.18
Male sex1.17 (1.08, 1.26)< 0.0011.16 (1.04, 1.29)0.01
Race/ethnicity
    White(Reference)(Reference)
    Black1.07 (0.75, 1.52)0.710.78 (0.54, 1.11)0.17
    Hispanic0.75 (0.69, 0.82)< 0.0010.85 (0.77, 0.95)0.003
    Asian0.67 (0.54, 0.83)< 0.0010.79 (0.63, 0.98)0.04
    Other0.93 (0.67, 1.28)0.650.98 (0.70, 1.36)0.89
Height (cm)1.01 (1.006, 1.01)< 0.0011.00 (1.00, 1.00)0.99
Body mass index (kg/m2)1.00 (0.99, 1.00)0.15----
History of diabetes0.86 (0.80, 0.93)< 0.0010.97 (0.89, 1.05)0.41
Encephalopathy1.31 (1.22, 1.41)< 0.0010.91 (0.83, 0.99)0.03
Ascites1.36 (1.26, 1.46)< 0.0011.02 (0.93, 1.12)0.69
Laboratory model for end-stage liver disease score1.08 (1.08, 1.09)< 0.0011.12 (1.11, 1.14)< 0.001
Albumin (g/dL)0.82 (0.77, 0.87)< 0.0011.03 (0.96, 1.10)0.45
Serum creatinine (mg/dL)1.13 (1.07, 1.18)< 0.0010.87 (0.81, 0.95)0.001
Serum bilirubin (mg/dL)1.14 (1.13, 1.15)< 0.0011.03 (1.01, 1.04)0.001
Receiving hepatocellular carcinoma exception points0.40 (0.37, 0.43)< 0.0010.39 (0.34, 0.44)< 0.001
Functional status
    Unknown1.40 (1.00, 1.95)0.0490.84 (0.59, 1.18)0.31
    1018.76 (7.59, 46.38)< 0.0011.67 (0.40, 7.07)0.48
    206.12 (4.35, 8.60)< 0.0011.66 (1.13, 2.43)0.01
    304.28 (3.17, 5.78)< 0.0011.31 (0.95, 1.82)0.10
    401.80 (1.40, 2.31)< 0.0011.07 (0.82, 1.39)0.64
    501.58 (1.25, 1.99)< 0.0011.09 (0.85, 1.40)0.48
    601.33 (1.06, 1.67)0.011.01 (0.79, 1.28)0.96
    701.33 (1.06, 1.65)0.011.08 (0.86, 1.35)0.53
    801.08 (0.87, 1.35)0.490.96 (0.76, 1.20)0.70
    901.05 (0.83, 1.32)0.710.91 (0.72, 1.15)0.45
    100(Reference)(Reference)
On mechanical ventilation16.54 (7.39, 37.04)< 0.0011.25 (0.34, 4.61)0.74
International normalized ratio1.31 (1.28, 1.35)< 0.0010.96 (0.89, 1.04)0.32
Working for income0.97 (0.90, 1.05)0.51----
United Network for Organ Sharing region
    1(Reference)(Reference)
    21.75 (1.42, 2.16)< 0.0011.74 (1.42, 2.15)< 0.001
    32.62 (2.15, 3.20)< 0.0012.57 (2.10, 3.15)< 0.001
    41.53 (1.25, 1.89)< 0.0011.55 (1.25, 1.92)< 0.001
    51.32 (1.08, 1.60)0.011.37 (1.11, 1.68)0.003
    61.82 (1.35, 2.46)< 0.0011.95 (1.44, 2.65)< 0.001
    71.73 (1.39, 2.14)< 0.0011.72 (1.39, 2.14)< 0.001
    82.01 (1.58, 2.54)< 0.0011.74 (1.37, 2.22)< 0.001
    91.25 (0.99, 1.59)0.061.25 (0.98, 1.59)0.07
    102.54 (2.05, 3.15)< 0.0012.44 (1.96, 3.04)< 0.001
    112.41 (1.96, 2.97)< 0.0012.20 (1.78, 2.72)< 0.001
Listing era
    Pre-MMAT era (1/1/2015-5/31/2019)(Reference)(Reference)
    Post-MMAT era (6/1/2019-12/31/2021)1.32 (1.22, 1.42)< 0.0011.26 (1.16, 1.36)< 0.001
C-statistic = 0.70

The effects of severity of illness on likelihood to receive LT were mixed. Encephalopathy (HR = 0.91, 95%CI: 0.83-0.99, P = 0.03) and high serum creatinine levels (HR = 0.87, 95%CI: 0.81-0.95, P = 0.001) made patients less likely to receive LT (Table 2). However, patients with high bilirubin levels (HR = 1.03, 95%CI: 1.01-1.04, P = 0.001) and MELD scores (HR = 1.12, 95%CI: 1.11-1.14, P < 0.001) were more likely to undergo LT. Functional status (Karnofsky score) largely did not affect likelihood of proceeding to LT—only a score of 20 was significantly associated with LT (HR = 1.66, 95%CI: 1.13-2.43, P = 0.01).

Effect of UNOS region on waitlist outcomes

The proportion of waitlisted patients receiving LT was significantly different among the 11 UNOS regions (P < 0.001) (Figure 4). Region 9 had the lowest percentage of patients undergoing transplantation (69.4%). Region 10 had the highest percentage (84.9%). In NH whites and Hispanics, the proportion of patients receiving LT varied significantly across UNOS regions (P = 0.001 and P = 0.02, respectively) (Figure 5A). Waitlist mortality rates were significantly different across UNOS regions for Hispanics (P = 0.002), but not other races/ethnicities (all P > 0.05) (Figure 5B).

Figure 4
Figure 4 Proportion of waitlisted patients of all races and ethnicities undergoing transplantation, by United Network for Organ Sharing region.
Figure 5
Figure 5 Outcomes stratified by United Network for Organ Sharing region. A: Proportion of patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing liver transplantation, by region and race/ethnicity; B: Proportion of patients dying on the liver transplant waitlist for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma, by region and race/ethnicity.

In multivariable analysis, patients in Region 1 and Region 9 were similarly likely to receive LT (HR = 1.25, 95%CI: 0.98-1.59, P = 0.07). Patients in all other regions were more likely to undergo LT than in region 1 (all P < 0.05) (Table 2). Candidates in region 3 were the most likely to receive LT for MASH-HCC (HR = 2.57, 95%CI: 2.10-3.15, P < 0.001), followed by region 10 (HR = 2.44, 95%CI: 1.96-3.04, P < 0.001) and region 11 (HR = 2.20, 95%CI: 1.16-1.36, P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

This study highlighted several disparities in access to LT for MASH-HCC, a concerning result given the expected rise in both MASH and MASH-HCC in coming years. Studies utilizing the United States national Surveillance, Epidemiology and End-Results (SEER) registry show that Hispanic patients have very high HCC rates, and that incidence is increasing in this group[11,17,30]. Cohort studies have reported between 42% and 56% of patients with MASH-HCC are of Hispanic ethnicity[31-33]. Similarly, VoPham et al[34] showed using United States Veteran’s Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse data that Hispanics were 32% more likely to be diagnosed with HCC. Hispanics are less likely to receive LT for this indication than other races/ethnicities[17]. Our results echo differences other authors have found in access to LT for HCC of all etiologies[17] and MASLD/MASH without HCC[18]. Although other studies have highlighted how Hispanic patients are less likely to undergo LT for MASH or HCC separately[18,31], it is important to understand the specific factors affecting access for patients with MASH-HCC. Many risk factors for MASH also have an additive effect on the risk of developing HCC. It is therefore important to investigate whether high-risk populations, such as Hispanic patients, experience difficulties accessing transplant for this specific indication to identify whether interventions are needed. Improved HCC screening in high-risk Hispanic patients with MASLD or MASH and targeted outreach programs to improve transplant referrals[35] may also help mitigate access disparities.

Encouragingly, a significantly greater proportion of Hispanic patients received LT in the post-MMAT era, suggesting that efforts to improve their access to transplant are working and should be continued. Other work has shown that other allocation policy changes such as Share 35 have also increased minority access to LT. Specifically, in the post-Share 35 period, Hispanic patients were 15% more likely and Asian patients were 11% more likely to undergo LT relative to NH White patients[36]. However, it is important to note that a greater percentage of Hispanic patients with MASH-HCC underwent LT after MMAT, approximately 3 times as many NH White patients received LT for MASH-HCC each month during the post-MMAT era. Cox proportional hazards analysis also identified Asian race as an independent predictor of time to receive LT, likely due to their significantly longer time spent on the waitlist.

While is it well-described that NH Black patients are less likely to have cirrhosis from MASH[37], the proportion of Black patients waitlisted for MASH-HCC LT (1.1%) was lower than reported in other studies. For example, a recent analysis of patients with MASLD-HCC in the SEER–Medicare database found 3.2% of patients with MASLD-HCC were NH Black[38], more than double the present study. This may be due, in part, to a lower genetic propensity to develop MASLD and MASH[39], or it could be an artifact of the data set utilized. However, low overall incidence of MASH-HCC does not explain why the approximately 3-fold difference between NH Black patients with MASH-HCC in the SEER and OPTN databases. The proportion of NH Black patients undergoing LT for MASH-HCC was also lower in the post-MMAT era (64.3%) than the pre-MMAT era (81.5%), although the difference was not significant. The lack of statistical significance may have been due to the small number of NH Black patients eligible for inclusion in the study (n = 41). Additional research is needed to determine whether NH Black patients are diagnosed at lower rates than other races/ethnicities, or whether they are truly less prone to developing MASH-HCC[38].

Interestingly, receiving MELD exception points for HCC was associated with a lower chance of undergoing LT. One possible explanation is the high rates of incidental HCC seen in the explanted livers of MASH patients. Additionally, LT recipients in need of a transplant without exception points are likely to have a higher MELD overall, increasing their chances of being allocated an organ. However, further study is needed to determine if patients transplanted for MASH-HCC are more likely to be transplanted due to their biologic MELD. This may again speak to the limited access in these underserved racial communities.

Women also appear to have reduced access to transplant for MASH-HCC. Given that MASH is the most common indication for LT in women[27] and MASH is a risk factor for developing HCC, this result is concerning. Other studies have shown that women have reduced access to LT overall[40], suggesting this problem is not unique to women with MASH-HCC but other indications for LT as well. Some of the difficulties in access to LT for women may have been a result of the MELD-Na score, likely due to differences in body size and the accuracy of serum creatinine as a measure of kidney function[41]. Differences in liver disease severity and etiology, the prevalence of frailty, and psychosocial factors may also contribute to sex-based disparities[42]. Future studies should investigate the ability of the upcoming MELD 3.0 system to address these sex-based disparities[43].

Patients waitlisted for MASH-HCC in regions 5 and 9 appear to be at a disadvantage relative to patients in other UNOS regions. Given the growing incidence of obesity-related cancers such as MASH-HCC in New York (region 9)[44], among other states, this result is concerning. In particular, low proportions of NH Black and Hispanic patients received LT in region 9, and Hispanic patients experienced significantly higher mortality. Prior studies show that region 9 transplants the highest proportion of MASH patients with HCC (Supplementary Figure 2)[45]. High demand may have affected access to LT in this region, which in turn means that more resources and work are needed in these underserved areas for minorities. Waitlist mortality rates were also high for Hispanic patients in region 5, states with large Hispanic populations and growing obesity-related cancer incidence[44]. Conversely, region 3 patients were most likely to receive LT, where other studies have shown that patients of all etiologies have shorter wait times[46] and higher survival rates after listing[47]. Changes in allocation policy have affected regions and donor service areas unequally, and these differences have particularly affected waitlisted patients with HCC[48]. Our results suggest that Hispanic and NH Black patients may be disproportionately affected by regional variations in access to transplantation. Further investigation into the interactions of race/ethnicity with regional access disparities is warranted, as well as disparities within regions. Future research might also include neighborhood-level factors influencing access to LT for MASH-HCC.

This study was limited by its retrospective nature and the accuracy of data reported to UNOS/OPTN. Additionally, we are unable to draw any conclusions about disparities in access to transplant listing utilizing the OPTN database. Getting referred and evaluated for LT is a major hurdle for many patients, particularly patients of low socioeconomic status[49,50]. Black patients, Hispanic patients, and women are also less likely to be referred and evaluated for LT[17,51,52]. Reduced referral rates restrict the ability of racial/ethnic minorities and women to proceed to LT. Potential barriers to referral and evaluation in racial/ethnic minorities and potential steps for mitigating those barriers warrant further attention. Investigators should also consider using mixed methods studies to investigate race/ethnicity- and sex-based barriers in access to LT in greater depth.

CONCLUSION

In summary, patient race/ethnicity does affect ability to undergo LT for the growing indication of MASH-HCC. Females were also less likely to undergo LT, emphasizing the importance of mitigating sex-based barriers to transplant. Our study further highlights the need for improved access to LT for minorities and females as the incidence of MASH-HCC continues to rise.

Footnotes

Provenance and peer review: Invited article; Externally peer reviewed.

Peer-review model: Single blind

Specialty type: Transplantation

Country of origin: United States

Peer-review report’s classification

Scientific Quality: Grade A, Grade B, Grade D

Novelty: Grade A, Grade B, Grade C

Creativity or Innovation: Grade B, Grade B, Grade C

Scientific Significance: Grade B, Grade B, Grade C

P-Reviewer: Faugno E; Gbadebo O; Itoh K S-Editor: Luo ML L-Editor: A P-Editor: Yu HG

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