Retrospective Cohort Study Open Access
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2023. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Transplant. Dec 18, 2023; 13(6): 331-343
Published online Dec 18, 2023. doi: 10.5500/wjt.v13.i6.331
Predictors of graft function and survival in second kidney transplantation: A single center experience
Mahmoud Khalil, Rabea Ahmed Gadelkareem, Medhat Ahmed Abdallah, Mohamed Abdel-Basir Sayed, Fathy Gaber Elanany, Nasreldin Mohammed, Department of Urology, Assiut Urology and Nephrology Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut 71515, Assiut, Egypt
Paolo Fornara, Department of Urology and Kidney Transplantation, Martin Luther University, Halle (Saale) 71515, Germany
ORCID number: Mahmoud Khalil (0000-0002-2564-5476); Rabea Ahmed Gadelkareem (0000-0003-4403-2859); Mohamed Abdel-Basir Sayed (0000-0003-1555-1182); Fathy Gaber Elanany (0009-0000-3059-1591); Paolo Fornara (0000-0002-7184-5030); Nasreldin Mohammed (0000-0002-0232-9497).
Author contributions: Khalil M and Gadelkareem RA designed the research, collected the data, performed statistical analysis and wrote the paper; Abdallah MA, Mohammed N and Sayed MA contributed to data collection, literature review, writing and revision; and Elanany FG and Fornara P contributed to literature review, writing, revision and supervision of the work; All authors approved the paper.
Institutional review board statement: The authors confirm that all the experimental protocols of this study were approved by the Ethical Committee (Institutional Review Board; IRB) of the Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Egypt and Martin-Luther University, Germany (IRB approval number: 17200548/2015).
Informed consent statement: This article is a retrospective study. Hence, the patients were not required to give informed consent to the study, because the manipulated data were anonymous and were obtained after each patient, with his potential kidney donor(s), agreed to the plan of management.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors have no financial relationships to disclose.
Data sharing statement: The data supporting this study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
STROBE statement: The authors have read the STROBE Statement checklist of items, and the manuscript was prepared and revised according to the STROBE Statement-checklist of items.
Open-Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Rabea Ahmed Gadelkareem, MD, Assistant Professor, Department of Urology, Assiut Urology and Nephrology Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Elgamaa Street, Assiut 71515, Assiut, Egypt. dr.rabeagad@yahoo.com
Received: August 16, 2023
Peer-review started: August 16, 2023
First decision: September 14, 2023
Revised: October 19, 2023
Accepted: November 3, 2023
Article in press: November 3, 2023
Published online: December 18, 2023
Processing time: 123 Days and 17.4 Hours

Abstract
BACKGROUND

The increasing kidney retransplantation rate has created a parallel field of research, including the risk factors and outcomes of this advanced form of renal replacement therapy. The presentation of experiences from different kidney transplantation centers may help enrich the literature on kidney retransplantation, as a specific topic in the field of kidney transplantation.

AIM

To identify the risk factors affecting primary graft function and graft survival rates after second kidney transplantation (SKT).

METHODS

The records of SKT cases performed between January 1977 and December 2014 at a European tertiary-level kidney transplantation center were retrospectively reviewed and analyzed. Beside the descriptive characteristics, the survivals of patients and both the first and second grafts were described using Kaplan-Meier curves. In addition, Kaplan-Meier analyses were also used to estimate the survival probabilities at 1, 3, 5, and 10 post-operative years, as well as at the longest follow-up duration available. Moreover, bivariate associations between various predictors and the categorical outcomes were assessed, using the suitable biostatistical tests, according to the predictor type.

RESULTS

Out of 1861 cases of kidney transplantation, only 48 cases with SKT were eligible for studying, including 33 men and 15 women with a mean age of 42.1 ± 13 years. The primary non-function (PNF) graft occurred in five patients (10.4%). In bivariate analyses, a high body mass index (P = 0.009) and first graft loss due to acute rejection (P = 0.025) were the only significant predictors of PNF graft. The second graft survival was reduced by delayed graft function in the first (P = 0.008) and second (P < 0.001) grafts. However, the effect of acute rejection within the first year after the first transplant did not reach the threshold of significance (P = 0.053). The mean follow-up period was 59.8 ± 48.6 mo. Censored graft/patient survival rates at 1, 3, 5 and 10 years were 90.5%/97.9%, 79.9%/95.6%, 73.7%/91.9%, and 51.6%/83.0%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Non-immediate recovery modes of the first and second graft functions were significantly associated with unfavorable second graft survival rates. Patient and graft survival rates of SKT were similar to those of the first kidney transplantation.

Key Words: Graft failure, Graft function, Kidney, Kidney retransplantation, Primary non-function graft, Second kidney transplantation

Core Tip: Second kidney transplantation (SKT) is a viable option for patients with failed first kidney transplantation (FKT). Although the first primary nonfunction graft is a common contributor to SKT, it is also a potential outcome among a major proportion of those populations. Also, it is a significant risk factor for graft survival among those patients with functioning SKTs. Hence, the non-immediate recovery of the first graft function and delayed graft function in the second graft are significantly associated with unfavorable second graft survival rates. Inspite of this wide spectrum of risk factors, patient and graft survival rates in SKT seemed to be similar to those of FKT. SKT should be recommended for patients with failed FKT.



INTRODUCTION

Kidney transplantation is the optimal treatment of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), because it provides better outcomes in survival rates, quality of life, and economic saving[1,2]. However, the expected survival of renal allografts is relatively lower than the patients’ survival. This discrepancy between the patient and graft survival rates resulted in a progressively increasing number of patients who may need kidney retransplantation (KRT)[3-5]. Rates of KRT represent more than 15% of patients on the waiting lists[2,3,5], where the second kidney transplantation (SKT) is the most frequent form[5,6]. The numbers of KRT being still relatively far less than that of the first kidney transplantation (FKT) has resulted in persistent debates about the risk factors that may affect KRT and its controversial survival benefits. The magnitude of the reported outcomes of KRT has been shown to be either inferior or acceptable relative to those of FKT[5,7,8]. Beside the potential exposure to the same risk factors of FKT, recipients of KRT are prone to additional factors that may evolve from the repeated process such as sensitization and technical difficulties[5,6,9].

The unresolved debates about the risk factors and survival rates represented our rationale to present the current single center experience of SKT and explore the predictors for the graft function and survival of SKT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study design

The electronic and manual records of the cases of KRT which were performed between January 1977 and December 2014 at Urology Department, Martin-Luther University, Halle (Saale), Germany were reviewed for the characteristics of the FKT and SKT processes. The effects of these variables on the primary graft function and the survival of both graft and patient were evaluated in SKT.

The target population was the adult patients who received SKT. Exclusion criteria were blood grouping or human leucocytic antigen (HLA) incompatible transplants; immunosuppression protocols other than basiliximab or anti-thymoglobulin for induction, and steroid, tacrolimus or cyclosporine, and mycophenolate mofetil for maintenance; missing data; and SKT within the year just before data collection.

Ethical approval

The authors confirm that all the experimental protocols of this study were approved by the Ethical Committee (Institutional Review Board; IRB) of the Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Egypt and Martin-Luther University, Germany (IRB approval number: 17200548/2015).

Statistical analysis

The statistical methods were implemented using IBM® SPSS® Statistics 23 and GraphPad Prism® 6. Two-tailed P values < 0.05 were considered significant.

After excluding primary non-function grafts, the survivals of both the first and second grafts were described using Kaplan-Meier curves. The same method was also used to describe patient survival after the second transplantation for the whole study sample. Moreover, regarding the graft and the patient survivals after SKT, Kaplan-Meier analyses were also used to estimate the survival probabilities at 1, 3, 5, and 10 post-operative years, as well as at the longest follow-up duration available.

Bivariate associations between various predictors and the categorical outcomes were assessed according to the predictor type. For quantitative predictors, the independent-samples t test was used when all outcome groups were normally distributed. Otherwise, the independent-samples Mann-Whitney U test and the Kruskal-Wallis test were used for binary and multinomial outcomes, respectively. For categorical predictors, Fisher’s exact test was used.

As regards the second graft survival, associations with categorical predictors were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curves for the strata of each predictor; the similarity between these curves for each predictor was tested by the log-rank test. On the other hand, associations with quantitative predictors were evaluated by Cox regression, where testing of the proportional hazards assumption was done by correlating ranked survival times with Schoenfeld residuals.

RESULTS

Between January 1977 and December 2014, a total of 1861 kidney transplants were done, of whom 176 cases had SKT. Only 48 cases were eligible for the current study. Characteristics of patients, donors, FKT, and SKT are summarized in Table 1. Twenty-three cases (47.9%) had primary non-function (PNF) first graft, while only five cases (10.4%) had PNF second graft. Patients with PNF grafts were excluded from the graft survival analyses. The median survival time for the first graft was 36 mo, while it was undefined for the graft and the patient after SKT (Figure 1). Survival probabilities of the graft and the patient after the SKT are shown in Table 2. The follow-up period ranged from 12 to 174 mo.

Figure 1
Figure 1 Kaplan-Meier curve for overall survival rates. A: First graft survival with 95% confidence bands. Twenty-three cases were excluded from the analysis due to primary non-function grafts. All 25 cases had the event; B: Second graft survival with 95% confidence bands. Five cases were excluded from the analysis due to primary non-function grafts. Thirteen cases had the event, while 30 cases were censored; C: Patient survival after the second kidney transplantation with 95% confidence bands. Only five patients died, while 43 patients were censored.
Table 1 Characteristics of recipients, donors, first kidney transplantation, and second kidney transplantation, n (%).
VariableValue1
Recipient age at SKT (yr)47.5 (41.3-56; 24-70)
Recipient sexMale33 (68.8)
Female15 (31.3)
Recipient BMI (kg/m2) at SKT24.7 (22.13-26.95; 19-33.5)
Causes of ESRDGlomerulonephritis16 (33.3)
DM1 (2.1)
Hypertension 4 (8.3)
PCKD4 (8.3)
Others23 (47.9)
Overall duration of dialysis (mo.)95 (76-121.8; 29-244)
Start of first graft functionPNF23 (47.9)
DGF8 (16.7)
Immediate17 (35.4)
GFR one year after FKT (mL/min/1.73 m2)0 (0-29.3; 0-78.8)
Attacks of acute rejection in first year after FKT20 (0-1; 0-6)
First graft loss due to rejection3 (6.3)
First graft nephrectomy37 (77.1)
SKT donor typeLiving3 (6.3)
Deceased45 (93.8)
SKT donor age (yr) 50 (36.3-60.8; 16-74)
Recipient age minus donor age (yr) at SKT0 (-10-7; -39-34)
SKT donor BMI (kg/m2)25 (23-27; 19-37.9)
Recipient BMI minus donor BMI (kg/m2) at SKT-0.45 (-3.8-3.15; -16.7-9.6)
SKT PRA level0-30%35 (72.9)
31-80%10 (20.8)
> 80%3 (6.3)
SKT HLA mismatches 2 (1.3-3.8; 0-6)
SKT laterality relative to FKTIpsilateral1 (2.1)
Contralateral47 (97.9)
Number of renal arteries at SKTSingle43 (89.6)
Double5 (10.4)
SKT operative time (min)140 (113-170; 82-236)
SKT ischemia time (min)708 (531-897; 74-1319)
SKT operative revision24 (50)
SKT vascular complications8 (16.7)
Start of second graft functionPNF5 (10.4)
DGF10 (20.8)
Immediate33 (68.8)
Attacks of acute rejection in first year after SKT0 (0-1; 0-3)
GFR one year after SKT (mL/min/1.73 m2)36 (22.8-52.8; 0-82.4)
Table 2 Survival probabilities of the graft and the patient after the second kidney transplantation by Kaplan-Meier analyses.
Follow-up time (months)Second graft survival
Patient survival after second kidney transplantation
Survival probability (%)Upper 95% confidence limitLower 95% confidence limitSurvival probability (%)Upper 95% confidence limitLower 95% confidence limit
1290.53+5.81-13.8497.87+1.83-12.04
3679.88+9.55-16.2295.60+3.29-12.10
6073.71+11.31-17.3491.92+5.51-15.82
12051.57+21.01-26.1283.04+9.90-20.65
174 (study max.)51.57+21.01-26.1283.04+9.90-20.65

PNF graft occurred in five patients (10.4%). In bivariate analyses, a high body mass index (BMI) of the recipient was the only significant quantitative predictor of PNF graft (P = 0.009) (Tables 3 and 4). Also, first graft loss due to acute rejection was the only significant categorical predictor of PNF graft (P = 0.025) (Table 5).

Table 3 Quantitative predictors (normally distributed over both outcome groups) of primary non-function second graft by the independent-samples t test.
Primary non-function (n = 5)
Primary function (n = 43)
P value1

Mean
SE
Mean
SE
Recipient age (yr)47.85.447.91.80.98
Donor age (yr)49.67.548.02.20.82
Recipient BMI (kg/m2)28.040.8324.200.470.009
Total ischemia time (min)65598711480.70
Operative time (min)1502014260.66
Table 4 Quantitative predictors (non-normally distributed over one or both outcome groups) of primary non-function second graft by the independent-samples Mann-Whitney U test.
Primary non-function (n = 5)
Primary function (n = 43)
P value

Median
Mean rank
Median
Mean rank
Duration of first graft function (mo)017.6425.30.26
Total duration of dialysis before second transplantation (including before first transplantation) (mo)9319.39625.10.39
Table 5 Categorical predictors of primary non-function second graft by Fisher’s exact test.
Variables

Primary non-function (n = 5)
Primary function (n = 43)1
Odds ratio2
P value
DM as a cause of ESRDNo54201
Yes01
First graft functionNo3200.84
Delayed17
Instant116
Acute rejection in first year after first transplantationNo3240.941
Yes217
First graft loss by acute rejectionNo342280.025
Yes21
First graft nephrectomyNo011Not assessed30.58
Yes532
Living donorNo54001
Yes03
PRA grouping0% to 30%3320.33
31% to 80%19
Over 80%12
Number of HLA mismatches0160.51
1 to 3227
4 to 6210
Over one arteryNo53801
Yes05
Vascular complicationsNo3374.10.19
Yes26

The second graft survival was best in cases with a PNF first graft, while it was worst in cases with a delayed graft function (DGF) of the first graft (P = 0.008). Also, the second graft survival was better in cases with an immediate second graft function than in those with a delayed second graft function (P < 0.001) (Figure 2). Finally, the occurrence of acute rejection within the first year after the FKT decreased the survival of the second graft, but didn’t reach the threshold of significance (P = 0.053) (Tables 6 and 7; Figures 3-5).

Figure 2
Figure 2 Kaplan-Meier curves for the second graft survival stratified by the mode of graft function. A: In the first kidney transplantation; B: In the second kidney transplantation.
Figure 3
Figure 3 Kaplan-Meier curves for the second graft survival stratified by four non-significant predictors related to the first kidney transplantation. A: End-stage renal disease caused by diabetes mellitus; B: Acute rejection within one year after first transplantation; C: First graft loss by acute rejection; D: First graft nephrectomy.
Figure 4
Figure 4 Kaplan-Meier curves for the second graft survival stratified by three non-significant predictors related to the donor of second kidney transplantation. A: Living versus deceased donor; B: Number of human leukocytic antigens mismatches; C: Panel reactive antibodies. HLA: human leukocytic antigens; PRA: Panel reactive antibodies.
Figure 5
Figure 5 Kaplan-Meier curves for the second graft survival stratified by second non-significant predictors related to the second kidney transplantation recipient. A: Number of renal arteries; B: Vascular complications.
Table 6 Categorical predictors of second graft survival by the log-rank test for Kaplan-Meier curves.
Variables

Events (n = 13)
Censored (n = 30)1
Log-rank statistic
P value
DM as a cause of ESRDNo12301.2180.270
Yes10
First graft functionNo2189.6840.008
Delayed43
Instant79
Acute rejection in first year after first transplantationNo5193.7570.053
Yes89
First graft loss by acute rejectionNo13290.3690.543
Yes01
First graft nephrectomyNo380.0970.756
Yes1022
Living donorNo12280.0020.965
Yes12
PRA grouping0% to 30%11210.6930.707
31% to 80%27
Over 80%02
Number of HLA mismatches0240.1060.948
1 to 3819
4 to 637
Over one arteryNo10281.5840.208
Yes32
Vascular complicationsNo13241.7230.189
Yes06
Delayed second graft functionNo72612.2380.0005
Yes64
Table 7 Quantitative predictors of second graft survival by Cox regression.
Variables
HR
95%CI for HR
P value
P value for PH testing1
Lower bound
Upper bound
Recipient age (yr)0.9760.9301.0230.3060.074
Recipient BMI (kg/m2)0.9800.8101.1850.8330.787
Duration of first graft function (mo)1.0070.9941.0200.3070.059
Total duration of dialysis before second transplantation (including before first transplantation) (mo)1.0060.9951.0170.2950.061
Donor age (yr)1.0160.9791.0550.3960.852
Recipient age minus donor age (yr)0.9720.9371.0090.1400.306
Recipient BMI minus donor BMI (kg/m2)0.9840.8931.0850.7510.410
Total ischemia time (min)1.0010.9991.0030.2840.579
Operative time (min)0.9950.9791.0100.4970.363

No significant associations were found between panel reactive antibodies (PRA) categories at SKT on one hand and first graft nephrectomy (P = 0.784), the duration before first graft nephrectomy (P = 0.497), or acute rejection of the second graft in the first year after SKT (P = 0.223) on the other hand. Also, no significant association was found between the number of second graft arteries and the vascular complications of SKT (P = 0.382).

DISCUSSION

Graft loss is always a potential outcome after variable periods of FKT[3,8-10]. This outcome created an imperative need for KRT[11]. Nowadays, there is a progressive rise in the numbers of patients receiving this line of treatment. KRT entails more risk factors for unfavorable outcomes than FKT[6,12]. Also, there are substantial controversies about the differences between FKT and SKT regarding patient and graft survival rates[7]. The current study targeted the potential risk factors affecting the second graft function in a large-volume kidney transplantation center.

In our study, the mean patient age at SKT was similar to that reported in other studies[5,13]. Also, our results resembled other studies regarding the gender distribution at SKT[5,13,14]. Causes of ESRD before kidney transplantation are not the same among the different world regions. Diabetic and hypertensive nephropathies represent the main causes in the United States. However, in the current series, glomerulonephritis was the leading cause, as in other countries[5,13].

It has been reported that occurrence of certain clinical outcomes after FKT is significantly associated with more likelihood of the same outcomes after KRT which increases the chances of graft loss[13]. In general, graft loss can be classified into three major categories: PNF grafts, patient death with a functioning graft, and loss of a previously functioning graft due to different medical and surgical causes[15,16].

PNF graft is defined as the permanent absence of functions of the transplanted kidney starting immediately after transplantation. It accounts for 0.6%-8% of all renal graft loss and it is significantly associated with poor patient survival[15,17]. In our series, a slightly higher rate was observed in SKT (10.4%), while the rate was much higher in FKT (47.9%). The major cause of PNF grafts has been reported to be venous or arterial thrombosis occurring within 1-2 d after transplantation[15]. In our series, although the odds of PNF in cases with vascular complications was 4.1 times higher than in cases without these complications, the result was statistically insignificant probably due to the small sample. However, high recipients’ BMI and first graft loss due to acute rejection were significantly associated with the occurrence of PNF after SKT. This might be attributable to the same mechanisms that decrease the second graft survival[15]. To our knowledge, it seems that these factors have not yet been studied relative to PNF graft after SKT.

The third category of kidney transplantation loss outcomes is the loss of the graft which functioned for a certain period before being permanently non-functioning. The risk factors of this outcome are multiple and have different tributaries. Regarding the elements of kidney transplantation process (recipient, donor, and process) and the previously proposed categorizations in the literature[5,14,18], the potential predictors or risk factors that affect the outcome of SKT could be classified into five classes: recipient-related, donor-related, FKT process-related, SKT process-related, and common factors.

The recipient-related risk factors include patient’s age, sex, BMI, race, the cause of ESRD, and the associated comorbidities like diabetes mellitus and hypertension[5,13,19,20]. The second class risk factors are the donor-related factors either in FKT and SKT processes such as donor type (living or deceased), age, sex, and relatedness[5,13,14,21]. In the current series, the studied group of these factors showed no significant effects on SKT graft survival. We examined the effect of two further potential recipient-related variables; the differences between recipients’ and donors’ age and BMIs. Although they have been studied previously for their effect on FKT graft survival[22,23], they haven’t been tested upon KRT survival so far. However, no significant association with the second graft survival could be found. It may be better demonstrated in larger studies.

The third class includes the factors from FKT process such as duration of FKT graft function and estimated glomerular filtration rate at one year after FKT[13,21,24-26]. The fourth class of risk factors includes factors that affect only SKT process such as sensitization due to previous transplantation represented by PRA level, first graft nephrectomy, and serum creatinine at one year after SKT[5,21,25].

The fifth class consists of the common variables between FKT and SKT processes and they represent the major proportion of risk factors. They involve all the phases of the process; factors in the preoperative phase such as number of HLA mismatches[4,5,18], and duration of dialysis[13,27]; factors in the operative and perioperative phases such as ischemia time, DGF[20,28], mode of recovery of graft function[13,27], and surgical complications[14]; factors in the postoperative phase such as acute rejection[13,27]; and factors involving the whole phases such as immunosuppressive regimens[5,12,29], and volume of transplantation center[18]. The reported incidence of DGF among KRTs ranged from 26.7%-39%[5,7,20]. In our study, the non-immediate mode of recovery of first graft function and DGF of second graft were the only significant predictors for low second graft survival. It has been reported that occurrence of acute rejection during their first year post FKT is significantly associated with occurrence of acute rejection during KRT[13,21]. The current results showed that the incidence of acute rejection in FKT approached the threshold of significance in affection of the graft survival of SKT. This insignificant association could be attributed to the small sample size. The significant association of the mode of recovery of FKTs and the nearly significant association of the incidence of acute rejection among FKTs with the SKT graft survival, without the same effect on the SKT, could be attributed to the more stringent immunosuppression protocols and precise donor selection. This may improve the SKT graft function recovery and decrease the incidence of acute rejections. Thus, it may improve the short-term results to some extent but, it doesn’t exterminate the inherent high risk of those patients[9,30].

With controversy, rates of graft and patient survivals of KRTs have been reported as inferior[3,14] or insignificantly different from those of FKT[4,5,21]. In the current study, the long-term graft survival rates were similar to FKT. This outcome is similar to the other studies[4,21].

This study was conducted in a large-volume kidney transplantation center and extracted from a relatively large reviewed number of kidney transplantations. Also, new potential predictors including the differences in age and BMI between the recipients and donors were studied for their effect on graft survival.

Limitations of the current study were the relatively small sample size that didn’t allow for adequate powerful statistical tests such as the multivariate analysis and lack of reporting of some complications as post-transplant neoplastic diseases and infections. Specifically, there were some missing data, such as the levels of the donor specific antibodies against the HLA alleles of the first graft and the pathological evaluation of the donors. In addition, the retrospective studying has its mere limitations of difficult implementation of comparison and randomization.

CONCLUSION

SKT is a viable option for patients with failed FKT. Demographics and clinical characteristics of the patients accessing SKT are not significantly different from those of FKT. There are multiple potential factors that may originate from the different components and phases of SKT and could affect the survival outcomes. Although the first PNF graft is a common contributor to SKT, it is also a potential outcome among a major proportion of those populations. Also, it is a significant risk factor for graft survival among those patients with functioning SKTs. So, the non-immediate recovery of the first graft function and DGF in the second graft are significantly associated with unfavorable second graft survival rates. Inspite of this wide spectrum of risk factors, patient and graft survival rates in SKT seemed to be similar to those of FKT.

ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS
Research background

The increasing kidney retransplantation rate has created a parallel field of research, including the risk factors and outcomes of this advanced form of renal replacement therapy. The presentation of experiences from different kidney transplantation (KT) centers may help enrich the literature on kidney retransplantation, as a specific topic in the field of KT.

Research motivation

Despite the potential high risks of repeated KT, increase of the rate of second KT (SKT) seems to be a modifiable variable and may provide better outcomes than return to dialysis in patients with failed first KT.

Research objectives

To identify the risk factors affecting primary graft function and graft survival rates after SKT.

Research methods

The records of SKT cases performed between January 1977 and December 2014 at a European tertiary-level kidney transplantation center were retrospectively reviewed and analyzed. Beside the descriptive characteristics, the survivals of patients and both the first and second grafts were described using Kaplan-Meier curves. In addition, Kaplan-Meier analyses were also used to estimate the survival probabilities at 1, 3, 5, and 10 post-operative years, as well as at the longest follow-up duration available. Moreover, bivariate associations between various predictors and the categorical outcomes were assessed, using the suitable biostatistical tests, according to the predictor type. However, associations with quantitative predictors were evaluated by Cox regression.

Research results

Out of 1861 cases of kidney transplantation, only 48 cases with SKT were eligible for studying, including 33 men and 15 women with a mean age of 42.1 ± 13 years. The primary non-function (PNF) graft occurred in five patients (10.4%). In bivariate analyses, a high body mass index (P = 0.009) and first graft loss due to acute rejection (P = 0.025) were the only significant predictors of PNF graft. The second graft survival was reduced by delayed graft function in the first (P = 0.008) and second (P < 0.001) grafts. However, the effect of acute rejection within the first year after the first transplant did not reach the threshold of significance (P = 0.053). The mean follow-up period was 59.8 ± 48.6 mo. Censored graft/patient survival rates at 1, 3, 5 and 10 years were 90.5%/97.9%, 79.9%/95.6%, 73.7%/91.9%, and 51.6%/83.0%, respectively.

Research conclusions

Non-immediate recovery modes of the first and second graft functions were significantly associated with unfavorable second graft survival rates. Patient and graft survival rates of SKT were similar to those of the first KT.

Research perspectives

Repeated kidney transplantation may provide better outcomes in patients with failed previous grafts. However, this approach may be associated with higher risks than the first time due to the surgical difficulties and immunological sensitization. Controlling of these risk factors can enhance the outcomes.

Footnotes

Provenance and peer review: Invited article; Externally peer reviewed.

Peer-review model: Single blind

Corresponding Author's Membership in Professional Societies: Egyptian Urological Association.

Specialty type: Transplantation

Country/Territory of origin: Egypt

Peer-review report’s scientific quality classification

Grade A (Excellent): 0

Grade B (Very good): B

Grade C (Good): 0

Grade D (Fair): 0

Grade E (Poor): 0

P-Reviewer: Gong N, China S-Editor: Liu JH L-Editor: A P-Editor: Zhang YL

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