Published online Feb 24, 2024. doi: 10.5306/wjco.v15.i2.271
Peer-review started: October 23, 2023
First decision: November 29, 2023
Revised: December 11, 2023
Accepted: January 10, 2024
Article in press: January 10, 2024
Published online: February 24, 2024
Processing time: 119 Days and 10.9 Hours
X-ray gastric cancer (GC) screening has been shown to decrease mortality. Population-based X-ray GC screening has been performed in Hiroshima Prefe
To evaluate time trends and efficacy of population-based X-ray GC screening and identify challenges and suggested solutions for the future.
This was a population-based retrospective study. The data were derived from aggregated data of the Hiroshima Regional Health Medical Promotion Organization, including the number and rate of participants and those requiring esophagogastroduodenoscopies (EGDs), the number and rate of participants diagnosed as having GC, and the positive predictive value of the abnormal findings detected by X-ray and confirmed by EGDs. The number and rate of esophageal cancers were also collected. Further, the cost of detecting one GC was evaluated.
The number of participants has decreased during the last four decades, from 39925 in 1983 to 12923 in 2021. The rate of those requiring EGDs decreased significantly in recent years (P < 0.001). The number of participants diagnosed as having GC has also declined, from 76 to 10 cases. However, the rate of cases diagnosed as GC among the participants remained around 0.1%. The positive predictive value increased significantly in recent years except during 1983-1991. The number and rate of accidentally detected esophageal cancers have risen recently, from 0% in 2008 to 0.02% in 2021, one-fifth of the diagnosis rate of GC. One GC diagnosis costs approximately 4200000 Japanese Yen (30000 United States Dollars) for the X-ray screenings and EGDs.
X-ray GC screening in Hiroshima has been efficient, but one challenge is the cost. Esophageal cancers may also need to be considered because they have gradually increased in recent years.
Core Tip: This was a population-based retrospective study to evaluate the time trends and efficacy of population-based X-ray gastric cancer screening in Hiroshima over the last four decades. The number of participants and those requiring esophagogastroduodenoscopies has decreased significantly. The number of participants diagnosed as having gastric cancer has also declined. However, the rate of cases diagnosed as gastric cancer among the participants remained around 0.1%. The positive predictive value also increased significantly. The number and rate of accidentally detected esophageal cancers have risen recently. One gastric cancer diagnosis costs approximately 4200000 Japanese Yen (30000 United States Dollars) for the X-ray screenings and esophagogastroduodenoscopies.