Prediction model establishment and validation for enteral nutrition aspiration during hospitalization in patients with acute pancreatitis

Table 1 Factors affecting enteral nutrition aspiration in patients with acute pancreatitis

		Validation (n = 40)	Modeling (n = 160)	t/χ2	P value
Age (years)		46.22 ± 5.24	46.18 ± 5.27	0.043	0.966
Gender	Male	24	88	0.325	0.850
	Female	16	72
BMI (kg/m2)		21.17 ± 2.36	21.21 ± 2.13	0.104	0.917
Position	Active	20	84	0.080	0.961
	Passive	20	76
Consciousness status	Alert	33	130	0.149	0.985
	Disturbance	6	24
	Coma	1	6
Nutritional risk	Low	33	127	0.195	0.907
	High	7	33
AP ACHE-II score		15.19 ± 3.16	15.37 ± 2.45	0.391	0.696
Length of nasogastric tube placement (cm)		47.22 ± 2.05	47.56 ± 2.18	0.892	0.373
Smoking history	Yes	20	81	0.005	0.998
	No	20	79
Hypertension	Yes	18	73	0.005	0.998
	No	22	87
Diabetes	Yes	8	28	0.136	0.935
	No	32	132

BMI: Body mass index; AP: acute pancreatitis; ACHE-II: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation.

Table 2 Univariate analysis of factors affecting enteral nutrition aspiration in patients with acute pancreatitis during hospitalization

		Aspiration group (n = 25)	Non-aspiration group (n = 135)	t/χ2	P value
Age (years)		46.16 ± 5.13	46.27 ± 5.50	0.093	0.926
Gender	Male	13	75	0.108	0.948
	Female	12	60
BMI (kg/m2)		21.16 ± 2.23	21.22 ± 1.61	0.160	0.873
Position	Active	19	65	6.562	0.038
	Passive	6	70
Consciousness status	Alert	8	122	56.281	< 0.001
	Disturbance	16	8
	Coma	1	5
Nutritional risk	Low	5	122	63.810	< 0.001
	High	20	13
AP ACHE-II score		17.46 ± 2.25	13.54 ± 2.16	8.282	< 0.001
Length of nasogastric tube placement (cm)		52.16 ± 2.21	45.16 ± 2.23	14.436	< 0.001
Smoking history	Yes	12	69	0.082	0.960
	No	13	66
Hypertension	Yes	10	63	0.378	0.828
	No	15	72
Diabetes	Yes	6	22	0.867	0.648
	No	19	113

BMI: Body mass index; AP: acute pancreatitis; ACHE-II: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation.

Table 3 Multivariate logistic regression analysis of factors affecting enteral nutrition aspiration in patients with acute pancreatitis during hospitalization

Risk factors	β	SE	Ward	OR	95%CI	P value
Position	1.152	0.445	6.703	3.165	1.323-7.571	< 0.001
Consciousness status	0.903	0.322	7.871	2.468	1.313-4.639	< 0.001
Nutritional risk	1.243	0.484	6.593	3.465	1.342-8.947	< 0.001
APACHE-II score	1.072	0.362	8.768	2.921	1.437-5.938	< 0.001
Length of nasogastric tube placement (cm)	1.179	0.418	7.955	3.251	1.433-7.276	< 0.001

ACHE-II: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation.