Copyright
©The Author(s) 2021.
World J Gastrointest Surg. Jan 27, 2021; 13(1): 50-75
Published online Jan 27, 2021. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v13.i1.50
Published online Jan 27, 2021. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v13.i1.50
Table 1 Complete follow-up program
Time from surgery | Tests | ||||
Full blood count, liver function tests, CEA | Abdominal US | Chest X-Ray | Abdominal CT scan | Colonoscopy | |
3 mo | √ | ||||
6 mo | √ | √ | √ | ||
9 mo | √ | ||||
12 mo | √ | √ | √ | √ | |
18 mo | √ | ||||
2 yr | √ | √ | √ | √ | |
3 yr | √ | √ | √ | √ | |
4 yr | √ | √ | √ | ||
5 yr | √ | √ | √ | √ |
Table 2 Potential prognostic factor for disease-free survival and overall survival
Disease free survival (DFS) | P value | Overall survival (OS) | P value | |||||
3 yr (%) | 5 yr (%) | 10 y (%) | 3 yr (%) | 5 yr (%) | 10 yr (%) | |||
CEA | 0.095 | 0.045 | ||||||
< 5 ng/mL | 84.4 | 80.8 | 73.1 | 88.3 | 79.8 | 69.6 | ||
≥ 5 ng/mL | 72.2 | 61.1 | 50.0 | 81.0 | 66.7 | 42.9 | ||
AJCC stage | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | ||||||
1 | 86.9 | 82.9 | 70.6 | 91.1 | 83.5 | 70.4 | ||
2 | 87.7 | 76.2 | 57.9 | 92.9 | 82.1 | 54.3 | ||
3 | 59.3 | 57.9 | 50.6 | 72.0 | 61.0 | 48.5 | ||
4 | 20.0 | - | - | 63.6 | 45.5 | 18.2 | ||
Pathologic M stage1 | < 0.0001 | 0.002 | ||||||
0 | 77.0 | 71.2 | 58.4 | 85.1 | 74.4 | 57.0 | ||
1 | 20.0 | - | - | 63.6 | 45.5 | 18.2 | ||
Retrieved LN | 0.819 | 0.688 | ||||||
< 12 | 81.5 | 75.4 | 58.1 | 87.5 | 76.4 | 54.7 | ||
≥ 12 | 73.3 | 69.3 | 58.8 | 83.2 | 73.8 | 56.4 | ||
LN ratio | 0.068 | 0.043 | ||||||
< 15 | 66.8 | 64.0 | 55.6 | 78.0 | 70.7 | 56.0 | ||
≥ 15 | 41.5 | 41.5 | 36.2 | 61.7 | 44.7 | 33.8 | ||
Timing of recurrence | 0.028 | |||||||
Early (< 3 yr2) | 54.9 | 33.3 | 11.8 | |||||
Late (≥ 3 yr2) | 100 | 77.8 | 22.2 |
Table 3 Recurrence characteristics and related treatment
Total, n = 234 | % | |
Recurrence | ||
No | 174 | 67.7 |
Yes | 60 | 23.3 |
Timing of recurrence1 | ||
< 3 yr | 51 | 19.8 |
≥ 3 yr | 9 | 3.5 |
Liver recurrence | ||
No | 207 | 80.5 |
Yes | 25 | 9.7 |
Missing | 2 | 9.7 |
Lung recurrence | ||
No | 216 | 84.0 |
Yes | 16 | 6.2 |
Missing | 2 | 9.7 |
Local recurrence | ||
No | 215 | 83.7 |
Yes | 17 | 6.6 |
Missing | 2 | 9.7 |
Peritoneal seeding | ||
No | 225 | 87.5 |
Yes | 7 | 2.7 |
Missing | 2 | 9.7 |
Treatment of the first recurrence | ||
Surgery | 25 | 41.7 |
Chemotherapy | 20 | 33.3 |
Best supportive care | 8 | 13.3 |
Palliation | 2 | 3.3 |
Missing | 5 | 8.3 |
Table 4 Demographic and patient-related preoperative potential prognostic factors for recurrence and evaluation of early vs late recurrence (univariate analysis)
Recurrence, n = 234 | Timing of recurrence, n = 60 | ||||||||
All | No | Yes | HR | P value | Early recurrence (< 3 yr) | Late recurrence (≥ 3 yr) | OR | P value | |
n (%) | n = 174 (67.7%) | n = 60 (23.3%) | n = 51 (85.0%) | n = 9 (15.0%) | |||||
Age, yr; mean ± SD | 68 ± 12 | 68 ± 11 | 69 ± 12 | 1.00 (0.98-1.02) | 0.868 | 67 ± 12 | 77 ± 8 | 1.10 (1.00-1.21) | 0.050 |
Gender, n (%) | 0.179 | 0.421 | |||||||
Male | 128 (54.7) | 99 (77.3) | 29 (22.6) | Reference | 25 (86.2) | 4 (13.8) | Reference | ||
Female | 106 (45.3) | 75 (70.7) | 31 (29.2) | 1.42 (0.85-2.37) | 26 (83.9) | 5 (16.1) | 1.85 (0.41-8.21) | ||
Preop Hb, g/dL, mean ± SD | 12.3 ± 2.1 | 12.6 ± 2.1 | 11.6 ± 2.3 | 0.84 (0.71-1.01) | 0.058 | 11.9 ± 2.2 | 9.67 ± 2.3 | 0.60 (0.31-1.17) | 0.136 |
Preop glycemia, g/dL, mean ± SD | 0.99 ± 0.26 | 0.96 ± 0.24 | 1.08 ± 0.31 | 3.44 (1.05-11.24) | 0.040 | 1.10 ± 0.34 | 0.99 ± 0.19 | 0.25 (0.00-16.06) | 0.518 |
Preop total proteins, g/dL, mean ± SD | 6.8 ± 0.7 | 6.8 ± 0.6 | 6.8 ± 1 | 1.07 (0.54-2.11) | 0.839 | 6.7 ± 1.0 | 7.3 ± 0.2 | 2.43 (0.47-12.54) | 0.288 |
Preop CEA, n (%) | 0.029 | 0.440 | |||||||
< 5 ng/mL | 85 (82.5) | 71 (83.5) | 14 (16.5) | 0.36 (0.15-0.90) | 12 (85.7) | 2 (14.3) | Reference | ||
≥ 5 ng/mL | 18 (17.5) | 11 (61.1) | 7 (38.9) | Reference | 5 (71.4) | 2 (28.6) | 2.40 (0.26-22.10) | ||
Missing | 131 | 131 | 39 | ||||||
BMI, mean ± SD | 26 ± 4 | 25 ± 4 | 27 ± 5 | 1.06 (0.99-1.14) | 0.085 | 27 ± 5 | 27 ± 5 | 0.98 (0.81-1.19) | 0.866 |
ASA, n (%) | |||||||||
1 | 31 (14.5) | 26 (83.9) | 5 (16.1) | Reference | 5 (100) | 0 (0) | Reference | ||
2 | 80 (37.4) | 61 (76.2) | 19 (23.8) | 1.50 (0.56-4.02) | 0.421 | 16 (84.2) | 3 (15.8) | - | 0.951 |
3 | 94 (43.9) | 72 (76.6) | 22 (23.4) | 1.51 (0.57-3.40) | 0.404 | 16 (72.7) | 6 (27.3) | - | 0.948 |
4 | 9 (4.2) | 5 (55.6) | 4 (44.4) | 3.85 (1.03-14.41) | 0.045 | 4 (100) | 0 (0) | - | 1.000 |
Missing | 20 | 20 | 10 | ||||||
Presentation with occlusion, n (%) | 0.021 | 0.366 | |||||||
No | 42 (59.2) | 33 (78.6) | 9 (21.4) | Reference | 7 (77.8) | 2 (22.2) | Reference | ||
Yes | 29 (40.8) | 15 (51.7) | 14 (48.3) | 2.60 (1.15-5.87) | 13 (92.9) | 1 (7.1) | 0.31 (0.02-3.97) | ||
Missing | 163 | 163 | 37 | ||||||
Tumor site, n (%) | |||||||||
Right colon | 70 (29.9) | 53 (75.7) | 17 (24.3) | Reference | 13 (76.5) | 4 (23.5) | Reference | ||
Left colon | 103 (44) | 76 (73.8) | 27 (26.2) | 0.93 (0.50-1.70) | 0.807 | 24 (88.9) | 3 (11.1) | 0.41 (0.08-2.10) | 0.282 |
Rectum | 61 (26.1) | 45 (73.8) | 16 (26.2) | 0.94 (0.47-1.85) | 0.851 | 14 (87.5) | 2 (12.5) | 0.46 (0.07-2.98) | 0.418 |
Table 5 Treatment-related potential prognostic factors for recurrence and evaluation of early versus late recurrence (univariate analysis)
Recurrence, n = 234 | Timing of recurrence, n = 60 | ||||||||
All | No | Yes | HR | P value | Early recurrence (< 3 yr) | Late recurrence (≥ 3 yr) | OR | P value | |
n, % | n = 174 (67.7%) | n = 60 (23.3%) | n = 51 (85.0%) | n = 9 (15.0%) | |||||
Neoadjuvant therapy, n (%) | 0.921 | 0.949 | |||||||
No | 97 (93.3) | 68 (70) | 29 (30) | Reference | 25 (86.2) | 4 (13.8) | Reference | ||
Yes | 7 (6.7) | 5 (71) | 2 (29) | 1.07 (0.26-4.51) | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 1.13 (0.02-53.57) | ||
Missing | 130 | 130 | 29 | ||||||
Surgery, n (%) | |||||||||
Right emicolectomy | 55 (23.5) | 42 (76.4) | 13 (23.6) | Reference | 10 (76.9) | 3 (23.1) | Reference | ||
Extended right emicolectomy | 15 (6.4) | 12 (80) | 3 (20) | 1.16 (0.37-3.59) | 0.801 | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 4.20 (0.37-47.64) | 0.247 |
Intermediate colectomy | 10 (4.3) | 6 (60) | 4 (40) | 2.16 (0.70-6.71) | 0.182 | 3 (75) | 1 (25) | 1.80 (0.14-23.6) | 0.655 |
AR/Hartmann | 106 (45.3) | 80 (75.5) | 26 (24.5) | 1.09 (0.55-2.17) | 0.798 | 24 (92.3) | 2 (7.7) | 0.43 (0.06-3.02) | 0.395 |
LAR/Miles | 38 (16.2) | 28 (73.7) | 10 (26.3) | 1.16 (0.50-2.68) | 0.731 | 8 (80) | 2 (20) | 1.23 (0.16-9.69) | 0.841 |
Total/Sub-total Colectomy | 6 (2.6) | 3 (50) | 3 (50) | 2.69 (0.76-9.53) | 0.126 | 3 (100) | 0 (0.0) | 0.60 (0.01-24.50) | 0.787 |
Segmental resection | 4 (1.7) | 3 (75) | 1 (25) | 1.12 (0.14-8.68) | 0.916 | 1 (100) | 0 (0.0) | 1.7 (0.02-162.35) | 0.819 |
Associated procedure, n (%) | |||||||||
No | 52 (50.5) | 39 (75) | 13 (25) | Reference | 11 (84.6) | 2 (15.4) | Reference | ||
Minor | 40 (38.8) | 27 (67.5) | 13 (32.5) | 1.30 (0.60-2.80) | 0.505 | 11 (84.6) | 2 (15.4) | 1.00 (0.13-7.44) | 1.00 |
Major | 11 (10.7) | 4 (36.4) | 7 (63.6) | 3.56 (1.41-8.96) | 0.007 | 7 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.31 (0.01-8.95) | 0.492 |
Missing | 131 | 131 | 27 | ||||||
Operative technique, n (%) | < 0.001 | 0.061 | |||||||
Open | 99 (42.7) | 61 (61.6) | 38 (38.4) | Reference | 35 (92.1) | 3 (7.9) | Reference | ||
Laparoscopy | 133 (57.3) | 111 (83.5) | 22 (16.5) | 0.37 (0.22-0.62) | 16 (72.7) | 6 (27.3) | 4.00 (0.94-17.01) | ||
Missing | 2 | 2 | - | ||||||
Duration of surgery, min – mean ± SD | 232 ± 67 | 230 ± 61 | 239 ± 83 | 1.00 (0.99-1.01) | 0.496 | 238 ± 78 | 242 ± 112 | 1.00 (0.99-1.01) | 0.808 |
Postop blood transfusion, n (%) | 0.123 | 0.119 | |||||||
No | 174 (75.7) | 134 (77) | 40 (23) | Reference | 36 (90) | 4 (10) | Reference | ||
Yes | 56 (24.3) | 37 (66.1) | 19 (33.9) | 1.54 (0.89-2.66) | 14 (73.7) | 5 (26.3) | 3.08 (0.75-12.64) | ||
Missing | 4 | 4 | 1 | ||||||
Reoperation, n (%) | 0.262 | 0.559 | |||||||
No | 82 (91.1) | 60 (73.2) | 22 (26.8) | Reference | 17 (77.3) | 5 (22.7) | Reference | ||
Yes | 8 (8.9) | 5 (62.5) | 3 (37.5) | 1.99 (0.60-6.61) | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 2.13 (0.17-26.68) | ||
Missing | 144 | 144 | 35 | ||||||
Hospital stay, d, mean ± SD | 9.2 ± 6 | 8.7 ± 3.7 | 10.9 ± 9.1 | 1.05 (1.02-1.07) | 0.001 | 10.9 ± 9.8 | 10.6 ± 4.0 | 1.01 (0.95-1.08) | 0.737 |
Adjuvant therapy, n (%) | 0.064 | 0.057 | |||||||
No | 127 (56.4) | 103 (81.1) | 24 (18.9) | Reference | 18 (75) | 6 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 98 (43.5) | 67 (68.4) | 31 (31.6) | 1.65 (0.97-2.81) | 28 (90.3) | 3 (9.7) | 0.22 (0.04-1.04) | ||
Missing | 9 | 9 | 5 | ||||||
Start of adj CHT, n (%) | 0.268 | 0.401 | |||||||
< 6 wk | 26 (48.1) | 13 (50) | 13 (50) | Reference | 12 (92.3) | 1 (7.7) | Reference | ||
≥ 6 wk | 28 (51.9) | 19 (67.9) | 9 (32.1) | 1.63 (0.69-3.95) | 8 (88.9) | 1 (11.1) | 4.4 (0.14-141.01) | ||
Missing | 180 | 180 | 38 |
Table 6 Pathological-related potential prognostic factors for recurrence and evaluation of early versus late recurrence (univariate analysis)
Recurrence, n = 234 | Timing of recurrence, n = 60 | ||||||||
All | No | Yes | HR | P value | Early recurrence (< 3 yr) | Late recurrence (≥ 3 yr) | OR | P value | |
n (%) | n = 174 (67.7%) | n = 60 (23.3%) | n = 51 (85.0%) | n = 9 (15.0%) | |||||
Major tumor diameter, mm, mean ± SD | 43 ± 23 | 41.6 ± 23 | 46.8 ± 24.5 | 1.01 (0.99-1.02) | 0.130 | 47.6 ± 23.5 | 42.8 ± 29.8 | 0.99 (0.96-1.02) | 0.694 |
Pathological T stage1, n (%) | |||||||||
1 | 46 (19.7) | 44 (95.7) | 2 (4.3) | Reference | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | Reference | ||
2 | 40 (17.2) | 32 (80) | 8 (20) | 3.44 (0.91-12.99) | 0.068 | 6 (75) | 2 (25) | 0.64 (0.04-10.57) | 0.756 |
3 | 141 (60.5) | 94 (66.7) | 47 (33.3) | 6.14 (1.91-19.77) | 0.002 | 40 (85.1) | 7 (14.9) | 0.27 (0.02-3.20) | 0.298 |
4 | 6 (2.6) | 4 (66.7) | 2 (33.3) | 6.19 (1.03-37.96) | 0.046 | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.33 (0.00-24.94) | 0.624 |
Missing | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Pathological N stage1, n (%) | |||||||||
0 | 155 (66.5) | 129 (83.2) | 26 (16.8) | Reference | 18 (69.2) | 8 (30.8) | Reference | ||
1 | 51 (21.9) | 36 (70.6) | 15 (29.4) | 1.95 (1.03-3.69) | 0.039 | 15 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.07 (0.00-1.44) | 0.085 |
2 | 27 (11.6) | 9 (33.3) | 18 (66.7) | 6.35 (3.50-11.64) | < 0.001 | 17 (94.4) | 1 (5.6) | 0.19 (0.03-1.25) | 0.084 |
Missing | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Pathological M stage1, n (%) | < 0.001 | 0.408 | |||||||
0 | 223 (95.6) | 171 (76.7) | 52 (23.3) | Reference | 43 (82.7) | 9 (17.3) | Reference | ||
1 | 10 (4.3) | 2 (20) | 8 (80) | 5.31 (2.50-11.30) | 8 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.27 (0.01-6.02) | ||
Missing | 1 | 1 | - | ||||||
AJCC stage, n (%) | |||||||||
1 | 77 (32.9) | 68 (88.3) | 9 (11.7) | Reference | 7 (77.8) | 2 (22.2) | Reference | ||
2 | 75 (32) | 59 (78.7) | 16 (21.3) | 1.65 (0.74-3.67) | 0.220 | 10 (62.5) | 6 (37.5) | 1.12 (0.20-6.17) | 0.894 |
3 | 72 (30.8) | 45 (62.5) | 27 (37.5) | 3.59 (1.73-7.42) | < 0.001 | 26 (96.3) | 1 (3.7) | 0.12 (0.01-1.03) | 0.053 |
4 | 10 (4.3) | 2 (20) | 8 (80) | 11.1 (4.35-28.52) | < 0.001 | 8 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.13 (0.00-3.43) | 0.220 |
Retrieved LN, n (%) | 0.535 | 0.741 | |||||||
< 12 | 65 (29.3) | 53 (81.5) | 12 (18.5) | Reference | 10 (83.3) | 2 (16.7) | Reference | ||
≥ 12 | 157 (70.7) | 112 (71.3) | 45 (28.7) | 0.84 (0.47-1.47) | 38 (84.4) | 7 (15.6) | 0.78 (0.18-3.40) | ||
Missing | 12 | 12 | 3 | ||||||
LN ratio, mean ± SD | 20 ± 16 | 16 ± 13 | 25 ± 19 | 25.8 (8.22-80.93) | < 0.001 | 25 ± 19 | 22 | 0.00 (0.00-2.20) | 0.073 |
Colloid component, n (%) | 0.168 | 0.607 | |||||||
No | 63 (60) | 49 (77.8) | 14 (22.2) | Reference | 12 (85.7) | 2 (14.3) | Reference | ||
Yes | 42 (40) | 27 (64.3) | 15 (35.7) | 1.68 (0.80-3.53) | 13 (86.7) | 2 (13.3) | 0.55 (0.06-5.22) | ||
Missing | 129 | 129 | 31 |
Table 7 Multivariate analysis of potential prognostic factors for recurrence
Table 8 Demographic and patient-related preoperative potential prognostic factors for liver and lung recurrence
Recurrence, n = 58 | ||||||||
Liver | Lung | |||||||
No, n = 33 (55.0%) | Yes, n = 25 (41.7%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | No, n = 42 (70.0%) | Yes, n = 16 (26.7%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Age, yr, mean ± SD | 67.4 ± 12.3 | 68.0 ± 12.3 | 1.00 (0.97-1.03) | 0.945 | 67.3 ± 12.7 | 68.7 ± 11.0 | 1.00 (0.96-1.04) | 0.837 |
Gender, n (%) | 0.702 | 0.185 | ||||||
Male | 16 (55.2) | 13 (44.8) | Reference | 19 (65.5) | 10 (34.5) | Reference | ||
Female | 17 (58.6) | 12 (41.4) | 0.86 (0.39-1.88) | 23 (79.3) | 6 (20.7) | 0.50 (0.18-1.39) | ||
Preop Hb, g/dL, mean ± SD | 11.28 | 11.93 | 1.16 (0.88-1.53) | 0.296 | 11.4 ± 2.3 | 12.0 ± 2.5 | 1.14 (0.81-1.61) | 0.446 |
Preop glycemia, g/dL, mean ± SD | 1.08 ± 0.36 | 1.08 ± 0.31 | 1.72 (0.14-10.00) | 0.884 | 1.06 ± 0.33 | 1.14 ± 0.35 | 1.47 (0.12-18.20) | 0.764 |
Preop total proteins, g/dL, mean ± SD | 6.7 ± 0.7 | 7.1 ± 0.8 | 1.33 (0.56-3.17) | 0.514 | 6.9 ± 0.9 | 6.9 ± 0.5 | 0.87 (0.19-3.93) | 0.861 |
Preop CEA, n (%) | 0.868 | 0.891 | ||||||
< 5 ng/mL | 6 (46.2) | 7 (53.8) | Reference | 10 (76.9) | 3 (23.1) | Reference | ||
≥ 5 ng/mL | 4 (57.1) | 3 (42.9) | 0.89 (0.23-3.46) | 5 (71.4) | 2 (28.6) | 1.14 (0.18-7.14) | ||
Missing | 23 | 15 | 27 | 11 | ||||
BMI, mean ± SD | 26.3 ± 4.9 | 27.8 ± 4.7 | 1.04 (0.94-1.15) | 0.465 | 27.6 ± 4.8 | 25.7 ± 4.6 | 0.96 (0.83-1.13) | 0.646 |
ASA, n (%) | ||||||||
1 | 3 (60) | 2 (40) | Reference | 4 (80) | 1 (20) | Reference | ||
2 | 8 (42.1) | 11 (57.9) | 0.64 (0.15-2.75) | 0.544 | 14 (73.7) | 5 (26.3) | 0.46 (0.06-3.38) | 0.447 |
3 | 13 (61.9) | 8 (38.1) | 0.34 (0.07-1.55) | 0.163 | 15 (71.4) | 6 (28.6) | 0.31 (0.04-2.35) | 0.258 |
4 | 3 (100) | 0 (0.0) | 0.30 (0.01-7.69) | 0.471 | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 2.09 (0.16-27.56) | 0.573 |
Missing | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
Presentation with occlusion, n (%) | 0.465 | 0.470 | ||||||
No | 5 (62.5) | 3 (37.5) | Reference | 6 (75) | 2 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 6 (46.2) | 7 (53.8) | 1.58 (0.46-5.44) | 9 (69.2) | 4 (30.8) | 1.89 (0.34-10.61) | ||
Missing | 23 | 15 | 27 | 11 | ||||
Tumour site, n (%) | ||||||||
Right colon | 11 (68.7) | 5 (31.3) | Reference | 13 (81.3) | 3 (18.7) | Reference | ||
Left colon | 11 (42.3) | 15 (57.7) | 2.48 (0.89-6.88) | 0.081 | 20 (76.9) | 6 (23.1) | 1.73 (0.42-7.04) | 0.445 |
Rectum | 11 (68.7) | 5 (31.3) | 0.98 (0.28-3.41) | 0.972 | 9 (56.3) | 7 (43.7) | 2.34 (0.59-9.32) | 0.226 |
Table 9 Treatment-related potential prognostic factors for liver and lung recurrence
Recurrence, n = 58 | ||||||||
Liver | Lung | |||||||
No, n = 33 (55.0%) | Yes, n = 25 (41.7%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | No, n = 42 (70.0%) | Yes, n = 16 (26.7%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Neoadjuvant therapy, n (%) | 0.952 | 0.010 | ||||||
No | 13 (46.4) | 15 (53.6) | Reference | 21 (75) | 7 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.91 (0.04-18.42) | 0 (0) | 2 (100) | 13.21 (1.86-93.92) | ||
Missing | 18 | 10 | 21 | 7 | ||||
Surgery, n (%) | ||||||||
Right emicolectomy | 10 (83.3) | 2 (16.7) | Reference | 10 (83.3) | 2 (16.7) | Reference | ||
Extended right emicolectomy | 1 (33.3) | 2 (66.7) | 2.02 (0.31-13.21) | 0.461 | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 0.81 (0.09-7.66) | 0.857 |
Intermediate colectomy | 0 (0) | 4 (100) | 7.05 (1.34-36.94) | 0.021 | 4 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.75 (0.03-21.49) | 0.864 |
AR/Hartmann’s procedure | 11 (44) | 14 (56) | 2.44 (0.59-10.18) | 0.220 | 19 (76) | 6 (24) | 1.07 (0.21-5.39) | 0.936 |
Low anterior resection/Miles | 9 (90) | 1 (10) | 0.54 (0.06-4.67) | 0.579 | 3 (30) | 7 (70) | 2.20 (0.45-10.78) | 0.332 |
Total/Sub-total colectomy | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 2.37 (0.27-20.60) | 0.433 | 3 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.84 (0.03-24.19) | 0.920 |
Segmental resection | 0 (0) | 1 (100) | 110 (5.3-2304.7) | 0.002 | 1 (100) | 0 (0) | - | - |
Associated procedure, n (%) | ||||||||
No | 4 (33.3) | 8 (66.7) | Reference | 10 (83.3) | 2 (16.7) | Reference | ||
Minor | 9 (69.2) | 4 (30.8) | 0.37 (0.11-1.23) | 0.106 | 10 (76.9) | 3 (23.1) | 0.92 (0.16-5.43) | 0.928 |
Major | 2 (28.6) | 5 (71.4) | 1.65 (0.53-5.47) | 0.377 | 4 (57.1) | 3 (42.9) | 3.37 (0.55-20.65) | 0.188 |
Missing | 18 | 8 | 18 | 8 | ||||
Operative technique, n (%) | 0.253 | 0.658 | ||||||
Open | 19 (51.4) | 18 (48.6) | Reference | 27 (73) | 10 (27) | Reference | ||
Laparoscopy | 14 (66.7) | 7 (33.3) | 0.60 (0.25-1.44) | 15 (71.4) | 6 (28.6) | 0.79 (0.28-2.24) | ||
Duration of surgery, min, mean ± SD | 250 ± 90 | 227 ± 75 | 1.00 (0.99-1.00) | 0.579 | 231 ± 83 | 264 ± 86 | 1.00 (1.00-1.01) | 0.221 |
Hospital stay, d, mean ± SD | 10.0 ± 3.9 | 9.5 ± 2.1 | 0.97 (0.84-1.11) | 0.637 | 9.8 ± 2.8 | 9.9 ± 4.3 | 1.00 (0.86-1.17) | 0.980 |
Postoperative blood transfusion, n (%) | 0.067 | 0.992 | ||||||
No | 20 (50) | 20 (50) | Reference | 30 (75) | 10 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 13 (76.5) | 4 (23.5) | 0.37 (0.12-1.07) | 11 (64.7) | 6 (35.3) | 0.99 (0.36-2.75) | ||
Missing | - | 1 | 1 | - | ||||
Reoperation due to complications, n (%) | 0.723 | 0.705 | ||||||
No | 12 (57.1) | 9 (42.9) | Reference | 18 (85.7) | 3 (14.3) | Reference | ||
Yes | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.58 (0.03-12.07) | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | 1.53 (0.17-13.57) | ||
Missing | 19 | 16 | 23 | 12 | ||||
Adjuvant therapy, n (%) | 0.055 | 0.703 | ||||||
No | 16 (72.7) | 6 (27.2) | Reference | 15 (68.2) | 7 (31.8) | Reference | ||
Yes | 14 (45.2) | 17 (54.8) | 2.52 (0.98-6.48) | 23 (74.2) | 8 (25.8) | 1.23 (0.42-3.62) | ||
Missing | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ||||
Start of adj CHT, n (%) | 0.913 | 0.344 | ||||||
< 6 wk from surgery | 6 (46.2) | 7 (53.8) | Reference | 8 (61.5) | 5 (38.6) | Reference | ||
≥ 6 wk from surgery | 4 (44.4) | 5 (55.6) | 1.07 (0.33-3.43) | 8 (88.9) | 1 (11.1) | 0.35 (0.04-1.04) | ||
Missing | 23 | 13 | 26 | 10 |
Table 10 Pathological-related potential prognostic factors for liver and lung recurrence
Recurrence, n = 58 | ||||||||
Liver | Lung | |||||||
No, n = 33 (55.0%) | Yes, n = 25 (41.7%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | No, n = 42 (70.0%) | Yes, n = 16 (26.7%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Major tumor diameter, mm, mean ± SD | 55.71 | 42.74 | 0.99 (0.98-1.01) | 0.368 | 29.09 | 30.01 | 0.99 (0.97-1.01) | 0.326 |
Pathological T stage1, n (%) | ||||||||
1 | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | Reference | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | Reference | ||
2 | 6 (75) | 2 (25) | 0.68 (0.06-7.50) | 0.752 | 6 (75) | 2 (25) | 0.77 (0.07-8.58) | 0.835 |
3 | 25 (55.6) | 20 (44.4) | 1.66 (0.22-12.44) | 0.623 | 33 (73.3) | 12 (26.7) | 1.52 (0.19-12.45) | 0.695 |
4 | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | 2.18 (0.13-35.75) | 0.585 | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | 4.28 (0.24-76.14) | 0.981 |
Missing | - | - | 1 | - | ||||
Pathological N stage1, n (%) | ||||||||
0 | 17 (65.4) | 9 (34.6) | Reference | 18 (69.2) | 8 (30.8) | Reference | ||
1 | 9 (64.3) | 5 (35.7) | 1.75 (0.55-5.53) | 0.341 | 10 (71.4) | 4 (28.6) | 2.31 (0.60-8.88) | 0.222 |
2 | 7 (41.2) | 10 (58.8) | 3.48 (1.31-9.27) | 0.013 | 13 (76.5) | 4 (23.5) | 2.17 (0.57-8.51) | 0.264 |
Missing | - | 1 | 1 | - | ||||
Pathological M stage1, n (%) | 0.321 | 0.092 | ||||||
0 | 29 (58) | 21 (42) | Reference | 37 (74) | 13 (26) | Reference | ||
1 | 4 (50) | 4 (50) | 1.74 (0.58-5.22) | 5 (62.5) | 3 (37.5) | 3.13 (0.83-11.79) | ||
AJCC stage, n (%) | ||||||||
1 | 7 (77.8) | 2 (22.2) | Reference | 6 (66.7) | 3 (33.3) | Reference | ||
2 | 10 (62.5) | 6 (37.5) | 2.12 (0.43-10.51) | 0.359 | 11 (68.7) | 5 (31.3) | 1.45 (0.33-6.33) | 0.623 |
3 | 12 (48) | 13 (52) | 5.09 (1.10-23.52) | 0.037 | 20 (80) | 5 (20) | 2.11 (0.42-10.47) | 0.361 |
4 | 4 (50) | 4 (50) | 5.57 (0.96-32.24) | 0.055 | 5 (62.5) | 3 (37.5) | 3.06 (0.85-30.09) | 0.075 |
Retrieved LN, n (%) | 0.803 | 0.961 | ||||||
< 12 | 6 (54.5) | 5 (45.5) | Reference | 8 (72.7) | 3 (27.3) | Reference | ||
≥ 12 | 26 (59.1) | 18 (40.9) | 0.90 (0.38-2.12) | 31 (70.5) | 13 (29.5) | 0.97 (0.34-2.82) | ||
Missing | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | ||||
LN ratio, mean ± SD | 22 ± 18 | 28 ± 20 | 4.21 (0.79-22.42) | 0.092 | 27 ± 21 | 18 ± 8 | 1.07 (0.96-18.11) | 0.963 |
Colloid component, n (%) | 0.367 | 0.200 | ||||||
No | 6 (46.2) | 7 (53.8) | Reference | 8 (61.5) | 5 (38.5) | Reference | ||
Yes | 11 (73.3) | 4 (26.7) | 0.56 (0.16-1.98) | 14 (93.3) | 1 (6.7) | 0.24 (0.03-2.12) | ||
Missing | 16 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
Table 11 Demographic and patient-related preoperative potential prognostic factors for local and peritoneal recurrence
Recurrence, n = 58 | ||||||||
Peritoneal | Local | |||||||
No, n = 51 (87.9%) | Yes, n = 7 (12.1%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | No, n = 41 (70.7%) | Yes, n = 17 (29.3%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Age, yr, mean ± SD | 67.6 ± 11.9 | 66.3 ± 14.9 | 0.98 (0.92-1.04) | 0.489 | 68.6 ± 11.3 | 67.5 ± 14.2 | 0.98 (0.95-1.02) | 0.345 |
Gender, n (%) | 0.434 | 0.862 | ||||||
Male | 27 (93.1) | 2 (6.9) | Reference | 21 (72.4) | 8 (27.6) | Reference | ||
Female | 24 (82.8) | 5 (17.2) | 1.97 (0.36-10.77) | 20 (69) | 9 (31) | 0.91 (0.32-2.61) | ||
Preop Hb, g/dL, mean ± SD | 11.7 ± 2.3 | 11.1 ± 2.7 | 0.91 (0.55-1.50) | 0.712 | 11.9 ± 2.2 | 9.9 ± 1.9 | 0.71 (0.38-1.31) | 0.273 |
Preop glycemia, g/dL, mean ± SD | 1.08 ± 0.32 | 1.08 ± 0.41 | 2.42 (0.05-123.6) | 0.659 | 1.12 ± 0.33 | 0.82 ± 0.16 | - | 0.210 |
Preop total proteins, g/dL, mean ± SD | 7.0 ± 0.7 | 6.5 ± 1.1 | 0.17 (0.02-1.23) | 0.079 | 6.9 ± 0.9 | 7.0 ± 0.4 | 0.60 (0.02-14.06) | 0.750 |
Preop CEA, n (%) | 0.727 | 0.860 | ||||||
< 5 ng/mL | 11 (84.6) | 2 (15.4) | Reference | 12 (92.3) | 1 (7.7) | Reference | ||
≥ 5 ng/mL | 6 (85.7) | 1 (14.3) | 0.52 (0.01-21.28) | 5 (71.4) | 2 (28.6) | 1.32 (0.06-29.55) | ||
Missing | 34 | 4 | 24 | 14 | ||||
BMI, mean ± SD | 26.7 ± 4.5 | 30.7 ± 7.2 | 1.15 (0.91-1.44) | 0.238 | 27.4 ± 5.1 | 26.0 ± 3.6 | 0.95 (0.81-1.11) | 0.510 |
ASA, n (%) | ||||||||
1 | 4 (80) | 1 (20) | Reference | 4 (80) | 1 (20) | Reference | ||
2 | 17 (89.5) | 2 (10.5) | 0.25 (0.02-2.83) | 0.264 | 15 (78.9) | 4 (21.1) | 0.42 (0.06-3.18) | 0.401 |
3 | 18 (85.7) | 3 (14.3) | 0.19 (0.02-2.14) | 0.178 | 14 (66.7) | 7 (33.3) | 0.35 (0.05-2.61) | 0.307 |
4 | 3 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.47 (0.01-23.31) | 0.707 | 1 (33.3) | 2 (66.7) | 2.32 (0.24-21.92) | 0.464 |
Missing | 9 | 1 | 7 | 3 | ||||
Presentation with occlusion, n (%) | 0.674 | 0.962 | ||||||
No | 7 (87.5) | 1 (12.5) | Reference | 6 (75) | 2 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 11 (84.6) | 2 (15.4) | 1.67 (0.15-18.56) | 12 (92.3) | 1 (7.7) | 0.93 (0.06-15.21) | ||
Missing | 33 | 4 | 23 | 14 | ||||
Tumour site, n (%) | ||||||||
Right colon | 14 (87.5) | 2 (12.5) | Reference | 9 (56.3) | 7 (43.7) | Reference | ||
Left colon | 24 (92.3) | 2 (7.7) | 0.80 (0.11-5.70) | 0.825 | 19 (73.1) | 7 (26.9) | 0.79 (0.27-2.30) | 0.671 |
Rectum | 13 (81.2) | 3 (18.8) | 1.36 (0.23-8.17) | 0.735 | 13 (81.3) | 3 (18.7) | 0.44 (0.11-1.69) | 0.232 |
Table 12 Treatment-related potential prognostic factors for local and peritoneal recurrence
Recurrence, n = 58 | ||||||||
Peritoneal | Local | |||||||
No, n = 51 (87.9%) | Yes, n = 7 (12.1%) | HR (95%CI) | P value | No, n = 41 (70.7) | Yes, n = 17 (29.3) | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Neoadjuvant therapy, n (%) | 0.569 | 0.475 | ||||||
No | 23 (82.1) | 5 (17.9) | Reference | 23 (81.1) | 5 (17.9) | Reference | ||
Yes | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 2.71 (0.09-84.27) | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 3.88 (0.09-160.22) | ||
Missing | 26 | 2 | 16 | 12 | ||||
Surgery, n (%) | ||||||||
Right emicolectomy | 10 (83.3) | 2 (16.7) | Reference | 6 (50) | 6 (50) | Reference | ||
Extended right emicolectomy | 3 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.23 (0.01-11.90) | 0.468 | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 0.20 (0.02-1.68) | 0.140 |
Intermediate colectomy | 4 (100) | 0 (0) | 1.20 (0.03-47.50) | 0.923 | 4 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.35 (0.01-8.18) | 0.511 |
AR/Hartmann’s procedure | 23 (92) | 2 (8) | 0.36 (0.04-3.04) | 0.350 | 17 (68) | 8 (32) | 0.41 (0.13-1.29) | 0.127 |
Low Anterior resection/Miles | 8 (80) | 2 (20) | 0.68 (0.07-6.27) | 0.731 | 9 (90) | 1 (10) | 0.15 (0.02-1.07) | 0.059 |
Total/Sub-total colectomy | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 2.99 (0.25-35.10) | 0.383 | 2 (66.7) | 1 (33.3) | 0.98 (0.14-6.95) | 0.981 |
Segmental resection | 1 (100) | 0 (0) | - | - | 1 (100) | 0 (0) | - | - |
Associated procedure, n (%) | ||||||||
No | 11 (91.7) | 1 (8.3) | Reference | 11 (91.7) | 1 (8.3) | Reference | ||
Minor | 11 (84.6) | 2 (15.4) | 1.16 (0.10-14.11) | 0.905 | 7 (53.8) | 6 (46.2) | 2.41 (0.33-17.37) | 0.384 |
Major | 7 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.61 (0.01-31.26) | 0.808 | 5 (71.4) | 2 (28.6) | 3.26 (0.36-29.71) | 0.295 |
Missing | 22 | 4 | 18 | 8 | ||||
Operative technique, n (%) | 0.128 | 0.368 | ||||||
Open | 35 (94.6) | 2 (5.4) | Reference | 25 (67.6) | 12 (32.4) | Reference | ||
Laparoscopy | 16 (76.2) | 5 (23.8) | 3.64 (0.69-19.14) | 16 (76.2) | 5 (23.8) | 0.61 (0.21-1.77) | ||
Duration of surgery, min, mean ± SD | 239 ± 85 | 249 ± 87 | 1.00 (0.99-1.01) | 0.869 | 244 ± 81 | 232 ± 93 | 1.00 (0.99-1.01) | 0.934 |
Hospital stay, d, mean ± SD | 9.8 ± 3.2 | 10.0 ± 4.1 | 0.98 (0.76-1.27) | 0.907 | 9.4 ± 3.3 | 10.7 ± 3.1 | 1.09 (0.96-1.23) | 0.181 |
Postoperative blood transfusion, n (%) | 0.272 | 0.518 | ||||||
No | 37 (92.5) | 3 (7.5) | Reference | 30 (75) | 10 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 13 (76.5) | 4 (23.5) | 2.32 (0.52-10.38) | 10 (58.8) | 7 (41.2) | 1.39 (0.51-3.74) | ||
Missing | 1 | - | 1 | - | ||||
Reoperation due to complications, n (%) | 0.344 | 0.182 | ||||||
No | 17 (81) | 4 (19) | Reference | 18 (75) | 6 (25) | Reference | ||
Yes | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | 3.00 (0.31-29.24) | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | 4.35 (0.50-37.59) | ||
Missing | 33 | 2 | 22 | 10 | ||||
Adjuvant therapy, n (%) | 0.481 | 0.852 | ||||||
No | 20 (90.9) | 2 (9.1) | Reference | 14 (63.6) | 8 (36.4) | Reference | ||
Yes | 28 (90.3) | 3 (9.7) | 2.26 (0.23-21.77) | 23 (74.2) | 8 (25.8) | 1.11 (0.38-3.21) | ||
Missing | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ||||
Start of adj chemotherapy, n (%) | 0.648 | 0.953 | ||||||
< 6 wk from surgery | 12 (92.3) | 1 (7.7) | Reference | 9 (69.2) | 4 (30.8) | Reference | ||
≥ 6 wk from surgery | 8 (88.8) | 1 (11.1) | 1.91 (0.12-30.85) | 7 (77.8) | 2 (22.2) | 0.95 (0.18-5.13) | ||
Missing | 31 | 5 | 25 | 1 |
Table 13 Pathological-related potential prognostic factors for local and peritoneal recurrence
Recurrence, n = 58 | ||||||||
Peritoneal | Local | |||||||
No, n = 51 (87.9) | Yes, n = 7 (12.1) | HR (95%CI) | P value | No, n = 41 (70.7) | Yes, n = 17 (29.3) | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Major tumor diameter, mm, mean ± SD | 46.2 ± 22.4 | 64.0 ± 35.1 | 1.02 (0.99-1.05) | 0.062 | 44.2 ± 19 | 55.8 ± 31.9 | 1.01 (0.99-1.03) | 0.107 |
Pathological T stage1, n (%) | ||||||||
1 | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | Reference | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | Reference | ||
2 | 7 (87.5) | 1 (12.5) | 1.41 (0.03-62.92) | 0.858 | 4 (50) | 4 (50) | 4.91 (0.19-124) | 0.335 |
3 | 39 (86.7) | 6 (13.3) | 3.8 (0.05-270.74) | 0.538 | 33 (73.3) | 12 (23.7) | 6.29 (0.22-177) | 0.281 |
4 | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 7.03 (0.04-1358) | 0.468 | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | 21.47 (0.51-897) | 0.107 |
Missing | 1 | - | 1 | - | ||||
Pathological N stage1, n (%) | 0.196 | |||||||
0 | 25 (96.2) | 1 (3.8) | Reference | 17 (65.4) | 9 (34.6) | Reference | ||
1 | 11 (78.6) | 3 (21.4) | 14.5 (0.52-405.2) | 0.115 | 8 (57.1) | 6 (42.9) | 2.41 (0.76-7.65) | 0.135 |
2 | 14 (82.4) | 3 (17.6) | 15.4 (0.55-428) | 0.107 | 15 (88.2) | 2 (11.8) | 0.88 (0.19-4.11) | 0.874 |
Missing | 1 | - | 1 | - | ||||
Pathological M stage1, n (%) | 0.546 | 0.032 | ||||||
0 | 44 (88) | 6 (12) | Reference | 37 (74) | 13 (26) | Reference | ||
1 | 7 (87.5) | 1 (12.5) | 1.84 (0.25-13.22) | 4 (50) | 4 (50) | 3.57 (1.12-11.40) | ||
AJCC Stage, n (%) | ||||||||
1 | 8 (88.9) | 1 (11.1) | Reference | 5 (55.6) | 4 (44.4) | Reference | ||
2 | 16 (100) | 0 (0) | 0.78 (0.01-73.61) | 0.916 | 12 (75) | 4 (25) | 1.45 (0.28-7.51) | 0.659 |
3 | 20 (80) | 5 (20) | 6.16 (0.21-178) | 0.290 | 20 (80) | 5 (20) | 1.62 (0.31-8.37) | 0.567 |
4 | 7 (87.5) | 1 (12.5) | 5.16 (0.12-215) | 0.389 | 4 (50) | 4 (50) | 4.64 (0.84-25.69) | 0.079 |
Retrieved LN, n (%) | 1.000 | 0.477 | ||||||
< 12 | 10 (90.9) | 1 (11.1) | Reference | 8 (72.7) | 3 (27.3) | Reference | ||
≥ 12 | 38 (86.4) | 6 (13.6) | 31 (70.5) | 13 (29.5) | 1.56 (0.46-5.32) | |||
Missing | 3 | - | ||||||
LN Ratio, mean ± SD) | 24 ± 17 | 27 ± 29 | 12.13 (0.84-174) | 0.066 | 29 ± 20 | 15 ± 16 | 0.64 (0.04-11.17) | 0.757 |
Colloid component, n (%) | 0.106 | 0.396 | ||||||
No | 13 (100) | 0 (0) | Reference | 9 (69.2) | 4 (30.8) | Reference | ||
Yes | 10 (66.7) | 5 (33.3) | 13.77 (0.57-330) | 9 (60) | 6 (40) | 1.77 (0.47-6.62) | ||
Missing | 28 | 2 | 23 | 7 |
- Citation: Melli F, Bartolini I, Risaliti M, Tucci R, Ringressi MN, Muiesan P, Taddei A, Amedei A. Evaluation of prognostic factors and clinicopathological patterns of recurrence after curative surgery for colorectal cancer. World J Gastrointest Surg 2021; 13(1): 50-75
- URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/1948-9366/full/v13/i1/50.htm
- DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.4240/wjgs.v13.i1.50