Melli F, Bartolini I, Risaliti M, Tucci R, Ringressi MN, Muiesan P, Taddei A, Amedei A. Evaluation of prognostic factors and clinicopathological patterns of recurrence after curative surgery for colorectal cancer. World J Gastrointest Surg 2021; 13(1): 50-75 [PMID: 33552394 DOI: 10.4240/wjgs.v13.i1.50]
Corresponding Author of This Article
Amedeo Amedei, BSc, Reader (Associate Professor), Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Florence, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi, Largo Brambilla, 03, Firenze 50134, Italy. aamedei@unifi.it
Research Domain of This Article
Gastroenterology & Hepatology
Article-Type of This Article
Retrospective Study
Open-Access Policy of This Article
This article is an open-access article which was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Table 4 Demographic and patient-related preoperative potential prognostic factors for recurrence and evaluation of early vs late recurrence (univariate analysis)
Recurrence, n = 234
Timing of recurrence, n = 60
All
No
Yes
HR (95%CI)
P value
Early recurrence (< 3 yr)
Late recurrence (≥ 3 yr)
OR (95%CI)
P value
n (%)
n = 174 (67.7%)
n = 60 (23.3%)
n = 51 (85.0%)
n = 9 (15.0%)
Age, yr; mean ± SD
68 ± 12
68 ± 11
69 ± 12
1.00 (0.98-1.02)
0.868
67 ± 12
77 ± 8
1.10 (1.00-1.21)
0.050
Gender, n (%)
0.179
0.421
Male
128 (54.7)
99 (77.3)
29 (22.6)
Reference
25 (86.2)
4 (13.8)
Reference
Female
106 (45.3)
75 (70.7)
31 (29.2)
1.42 (0.85-2.37)
26 (83.9)
5 (16.1)
1.85 (0.41-8.21)
Preop Hb, g/dL, mean ± SD
12.3 ± 2.1
12.6 ± 2.1
11.6 ± 2.3
0.84 (0.71-1.01)
0.058
11.9 ± 2.2
9.67 ± 2.3
0.60 (0.31-1.17)
0.136
Preop glycemia, g/dL, mean ± SD
0.99 ± 0.26
0.96 ± 0.24
1.08 ± 0.31
3.44 (1.05-11.24)
0.040
1.10 ± 0.34
0.99 ± 0.19
0.25 (0.00-16.06)
0.518
Preop total proteins, g/dL, mean ± SD
6.8 ± 0.7
6.8 ± 0.6
6.8 ± 1
1.07 (0.54-2.11)
0.839
6.7 ± 1.0
7.3 ± 0.2
2.43 (0.47-12.54)
0.288
Preop CEA, n (%)
0.029
0.440
< 5 ng/mL
85 (82.5)
71 (83.5)
14 (16.5)
0.36 (0.15-0.90)
12 (85.7)
2 (14.3)
Reference
≥ 5 ng/mL
18 (17.5)
11 (61.1)
7 (38.9)
Reference
5 (71.4)
2 (28.6)
2.40 (0.26-22.10)
Missing
131
131
39
BMI, mean ± SD
26 ± 4
25 ± 4
27 ± 5
1.06 (0.99-1.14)
0.085
27 ± 5
27 ± 5
0.98 (0.81-1.19)
0.866
ASA, n (%)
1
31 (14.5)
26 (83.9)
5 (16.1)
Reference
5 (100)
0 (0)
Reference
2
80 (37.4)
61 (76.2)
19 (23.8)
1.50 (0.56-4.02)
0.421
16 (84.2)
3 (15.8)
-
0.951
3
94 (43.9)
72 (76.6)
22 (23.4)
1.51 (0.57-3.40)
0.404
16 (72.7)
6 (27.3)
-
0.948
4
9 (4.2)
5 (55.6)
4 (44.4)
3.85 (1.03-14.41)
0.045
4 (100)
0 (0)
-
1.000
Missing
20
20
10
Presentation with occlusion, n (%)
0.021
0.366
No
42 (59.2)
33 (78.6)
9 (21.4)
Reference
7 (77.8)
2 (22.2)
Reference
Yes
29 (40.8)
15 (51.7)
14 (48.3)
2.60 (1.15-5.87)
13 (92.9)
1 (7.1)
0.31 (0.02-3.97)
Missing
163
163
37
Tumor site, n (%)
Right colon
70 (29.9)
53 (75.7)
17 (24.3)
Reference
13 (76.5)
4 (23.5)
Reference
Left colon
103 (44)
76 (73.8)
27 (26.2)
0.93 (0.50-1.70)
0.807
24 (88.9)
3 (11.1)
0.41 (0.08-2.10)
0.282
Rectum
61 (26.1)
45 (73.8)
16 (26.2)
0.94 (0.47-1.85)
0.851
14 (87.5)
2 (12.5)
0.46 (0.07-2.98)
0.418
Table 5 Treatment-related potential prognostic factors for recurrence and evaluation of early versus late recurrence (univariate analysis)
Recurrence, n = 234
Timing of recurrence, n = 60
All
No
Yes
HR (95%CI)
P value
Early recurrence (< 3 yr)
Late recurrence (≥ 3 yr)
OR (95%CI)
P value
n, %
n = 174 (67.7%)
n = 60 (23.3%)
n = 51 (85.0%)
n = 9 (15.0%)
Neoadjuvant therapy, n (%)
0.921
0.949
No
97 (93.3)
68 (70)
29 (30)
Reference
25 (86.2)
4 (13.8)
Reference
Yes
7 (6.7)
5 (71)
2 (29)
1.07 (0.26-4.51)
2 (100)
0 (0)
1.13 (0.02-53.57)
Missing
130
130
29
Surgery, n (%)
Right emicolectomy
55 (23.5)
42 (76.4)
13 (23.6)
Reference
10 (76.9)
3 (23.1)
Reference
Extended right emicolectomy
15 (6.4)
12 (80)
3 (20)
1.16 (0.37-3.59)
0.801
2 (66.7)
1 (33.3)
4.20 (0.37-47.64)
0.247
Intermediate colectomy
10 (4.3)
6 (60)
4 (40)
2.16 (0.70-6.71)
0.182
3 (75)
1 (25)
1.80 (0.14-23.6)
0.655
AR/Hartmann
106 (45.3)
80 (75.5)
26 (24.5)
1.09 (0.55-2.17)
0.798
24 (92.3)
2 (7.7)
0.43 (0.06-3.02)
0.395
LAR/Miles
38 (16.2)
28 (73.7)
10 (26.3)
1.16 (0.50-2.68)
0.731
8 (80)
2 (20)
1.23 (0.16-9.69)
0.841
Total/Sub-total Colectomy
6 (2.6)
3 (50)
3 (50)
2.69 (0.76-9.53)
0.126
3 (100)
0 (0.0)
0.60 (0.01-24.50)
0.787
Segmental resection
4 (1.7)
3 (75)
1 (25)
1.12 (0.14-8.68)
0.916
1 (100)
0 (0.0)
1.7 (0.02-162.35)
0.819
Associated procedure, n (%)
No
52 (50.5)
39 (75)
13 (25)
Reference
11 (84.6)
2 (15.4)
Reference
Minor
40 (38.8)
27 (67.5)
13 (32.5)
1.30 (0.60-2.80)
0.505
11 (84.6)
2 (15.4)
1.00 (0.13-7.44)
1.00
Major
11 (10.7)
4 (36.4)
7 (63.6)
3.56 (1.41-8.96)
0.007
7 (100)
0 (0)
0.31 (0.01-8.95)
0.492
Missing
131
131
27
Operative technique, n (%)
< 0.001
0.061
Open
99 (42.7)
61 (61.6)
38 (38.4)
Reference
35 (92.1)
3 (7.9)
Reference
Laparoscopy
133 (57.3)
111 (83.5)
22 (16.5)
0.37 (0.22-0.62)
16 (72.7)
6 (27.3)
4.00 (0.94-17.01)
Missing
2
2
-
Duration of surgery, min – mean ± SD
232 ± 67
230 ± 61
239 ± 83
1.00 (0.99-1.01)
0.496
238 ± 78
242 ± 112
1.00 (0.99-1.01)
0.808
Postop blood transfusion, n (%)
0.123
0.119
No
174 (75.7)
134 (77)
40 (23)
Reference
36 (90)
4 (10)
Reference
Yes
56 (24.3)
37 (66.1)
19 (33.9)
1.54 (0.89-2.66)
14 (73.7)
5 (26.3)
3.08 (0.75-12.64)
Missing
4
4
1
Reoperation, n (%)
0.262
0.559
No
82 (91.1)
60 (73.2)
22 (26.8)
Reference
17 (77.3)
5 (22.7)
Reference
Yes
8 (8.9)
5 (62.5)
3 (37.5)
1.99 (0.60-6.61)
2 (66.7)
1 (33.3)
2.13 (0.17-26.68)
Missing
144
144
35
Hospital stay, d, mean ± SD
9.2 ± 6
8.7 ± 3.7
10.9 ± 9.1
1.05 (1.02-1.07)
0.001
10.9 ± 9.8
10.6 ± 4.0
1.01 (0.95-1.08)
0.737
Adjuvant therapy, n (%)
0.064
0.057
No
127 (56.4)
103 (81.1)
24 (18.9)
Reference
18 (75)
6 (25)
Reference
Yes
98 (43.5)
67 (68.4)
31 (31.6)
1.65 (0.97-2.81)
28 (90.3)
3 (9.7)
0.22 (0.04-1.04)
Missing
9
9
5
Start of adj CHT, n (%)
0.268
0.401
< 6 wk
26 (48.1)
13 (50)
13 (50)
Reference
12 (92.3)
1 (7.7)
Reference
≥ 6 wk
28 (51.9)
19 (67.9)
9 (32.1)
1.63 (0.69-3.95)
8 (88.9)
1 (11.1)
4.4 (0.14-141.01)
Missing
180
180
38
Table 6 Pathological-related potential prognostic factors for recurrence and evaluation of early versus late recurrence (univariate analysis)
Citation: Melli F, Bartolini I, Risaliti M, Tucci R, Ringressi MN, Muiesan P, Taddei A, Amedei A. Evaluation of prognostic factors and clinicopathological patterns of recurrence after curative surgery for colorectal cancer. World J Gastrointest Surg 2021; 13(1): 50-75