Published online Feb 27, 2024. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v16.i2.438
Peer-review started: October 15, 2023
First decision: December 6, 2023
Revised: December 18, 2023
Accepted: January 15, 2024
Article in press: January 15, 2024
Published online: February 27, 2024
Processing time: 133 Days and 10.9 Hours
The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a complex inflammatory biomarker that is associated with prognosis in patients with colorectal tumors. However, it is unclear whether NLR can be used as a predictor of postoperative symptomatic anastomotic leakage (AL) in elderly colon cancer patients.
The discovery of biomarkers able to predict AL early after colorectal surgery would bring consistent advantages in the management and outcomes of this complication. NLR is a low-cost, easy-to-perform, and widely available index. Here, we aimed to investigate the NLR as an early available predictive marker for AL.
To assess the role of preoperative NLR in predicting the development of symptomatic AL after surgery in elderly patients with colon cancer by using propensity score matched (PSM) analysis.
We used a retrospective analysis to examine data from elderly colon cancer patients admitted between January 2018 and December 2022 at three large medical centers. The best predictive cutoff value for NLR was determined using the receiver operating characteristic curve. All covariates were matched using a 1:1 PSM method, and finally, all variables were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to determine the correlation between NLR and the occurrence of postoperative AL and other associated risk factors.
Among 577 patients, 36 (6.2%) experienced symptomatic AL. The optimal NLR cutoff for predicting AL was 2.66. After propensity score matching, the incidence of AL was significantly higher in the NLR ≥ 2.66 subgroup compared to the NLR < 2.66 subgroup (11.5% vs 2.5%; P = 0.012). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed significant differences in blood transfusion intraoperatively and within 2 d postoperatively, preoperative albumin concentration, preoperative prognostic nutritional index, and preoperative NLR regarding AL occurrence (P < 0.05); multivariate logistic regression analysis identified NLR ≥ 2.66 [odds ratio (OR) = 5.51; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.50-20.26; P = 0.010] and blood transfusion intraoperatively and within 2 d postoperatively (OR = 2.52; 95%CI: 0.88-7.25; P = 0.049) as risk factors for symptomatic AL occurrence.
High preoperative NLR (≥ 2.66) and intraoperative, as well as postoperative (within 2 d), blood transfusions are associated with increased postoperative symptomatic AL in elderly colon cancer patients. Preoperative NLR serves as a predictor for postoperative symptomatic AL after elective surgery for elderly colon cancer patients.
In the future, we plan to further confirm the clinical applicability of NLR using a prospective randomized controlled trial approach.