Retrospective Study Open Access
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2024. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Aug 15, 2024; 16(8): 3481-3495
Published online Aug 15, 2024. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v16.i8.3481
Camrelizumab, apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with microwave ablation for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma
Meng-Xuan Zuo, Yu-Zhe Cao, Jia-Yu Pan, Lu-Ping Xie, Xin-Jing Yang, Department of Minimally Invasive Interventional Therapy, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong Province, China
Chao An, Department of Interventional Ultrasound, Chinese General PLA Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
Wang Li, Pei-Hong Wu, Department of Medical Imaging and Interventional Radiology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong Province, China
ORCID number: Meng-Xuan Zuo (0000-0003-3589-7316); Chao An (0000-0002-1096-4183); Wang Li (0000-0002-4293-8182); Pei-Hong Wu (0000-0001-8008-1872).
Author contributions: Zuo MX and An C participated equally in the acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of the data, created the figures and tables, and drafted the manuscript; Cao YZ completed the statistical analysis; Zuo MX and Cao YZ reviewed all patient data; Pan JY, Xie LP, Yang XJ, and Li W performed critical revisions of the manuscript; Zuo MX and Wu PH agreed to be accountable for ensuring that questions related to the accuracy and integrity of any part of the manuscript were appropriately investigated and resolved; Zuo MX, An C, and Wu PH made substantial contributions to the conception and design of the study and provided final approval of the manuscript version to be submitted for publication.
Institutional review board statement: This retrospective study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China (B2023-411-01).
Informed consent statement: Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the analysis.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All the authors report no relevant conflicts of interest for this article.
Data sharing statement: The data that support the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author, upon reasonable request.
Open-Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Pei-Hong Wu, Doctor, Doctor, Department of Medical Imaging and Interventional Radiology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, No. 651 Dongfeng Road East, Yuexiu District, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong Province, China. wuph@sysucc.org.cn
Received: February 3, 2024
Revised: May 1, 2024
Accepted: June 12, 2024
Published online: August 15, 2024
Processing time: 187 Days and 3.7 Hours

Abstract
BACKGROUND

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy and camrelizumab plus apatinib (TRIPLET protocol) is promising for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (Ad-HCC). However, the usefulness of microwave ablation (MWA) after TRIPLET is still controversial.

AIM

To compare the efficacy and safety of TRIPLET alone (T-A) vs TRIPLET-MWA (T-M) for Ad-HCC.

METHODS

From January 2018 to March 2022, 217 Ad-HCC patients were retrospectively enrolled. Among them, 122 were included in the T-A group, and 95 were included in the T-M group. A propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to balance bias. Overall survival (OS) was compared using the Kaplan-Meier curve with the log-rank test. The overall objective response rate (ORR) and major complications were also assessed.

RESULTS

After PSM, 82 patients were included both the T-A group and the T-M group. The ORR (85.4%) in the T-M group was significantly higher than that (65.9%) in the T-A group (P < 0.001). The cumulative 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates were 98.7%, 93.4%, and 82.0% in the T-M group and 85.1%, 63.1%, and 55.0% in the T-A group (hazard ratio = 0.22; 95% confidence interval: 0.10-0.49; P < 0.001). The incidence of major complications was 4.9% (6/122) in the T-A group and 5.3% (5/95) in the T-M group, which were not significantly different (P = 1.000).

CONCLUSION

T-M can provide better survival outcomes and comparable safety for Ad-HCC than T-A.

Key Words: Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Molecular targeting agent; Programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitors; Microwave ablation

Core Tip: Microwave ablation (MWA) and hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) are important locoregional therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HAIC with anti-angiogenesis agents and programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitiors [camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (TRIPLET)] followed by MWA contribute to better outcome than TRIPLET alone. Combination of locoregional therapy improve prognosis of advanced HCC.



INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for the majority of primary liver cancers and is the fifth most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-associated mortality according to 2020 cancer statistics from the World Health Organization[1,2]. Unfortunately, > 70% of HCC patients are already in the advanced stage when they are diagnosed initially, with a dismal overall survival (OS)[3,4]. Although the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines recommend systematic chemotherapy, radiotherapy and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) as first-line treatments in advanced HCC (Ad-HCC) patients with good hepatic function reserve, poor objective response rates (ORRs) and high postoperative recurrence rates remain major challenges[5,6].

Recently, several new therapeutic methods have gradually entered the physicians’ field of vision. For example, hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) can effectively reduce the intrahepatic tumor burden via direct delivery of chemotherapeutic agents into the tumor-feeding arteries. HAIC using the FOLFOX regimen (oxaliplatin plus fluorouracil and leucovorin) has been suggested to improve ORR and OS[7,8]. Lyu et al[9] reported the efficacy and safety of HAIC, which achieved a greater survival benefit than sorafenib. Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab was applied in Ad-HCC, with ORR 27.3% by RECIST 1.1 and 33.2% by mRECIST, and it has been recommended as a first-line treatment in Ad-HCC in the 2022 updated Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) guidelines[10]. Chemotherapeutic agents have been shown to exert synergistic anticancer effects with TKIs[11]. Moreover, chemotherapeutic agents can also improve the effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors by promoting the release of tumor-associated antigens and enhancing the function of antigen-presenting cells[12]. Therefore, our team designed a combination protocol by HAIC and camrelizumab plus apatinib (TRIPLET protocol) for treatment in patients with Ad-HCC, and the preliminary results of this TRIPLET treatment have been reported in ASCO 2020.

Previously, some scholars have reported that TKIs could decrease blood flow and increase the extent of thermal ablation (TA)-induced coagulation necrosis in HCC[13]. In addition, combination therapy with TA and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitors has been shown to reduce postablation recurrence and improve the survival of patients with Ad-HCC[14,15]. However, few studies have focused on the subsequent therapy of TRIPLET protocol. Microwave ablation (MWA), as an effective local therapy, was comprehensively applied in HCC, and maybe a potential way to eliminating the residual lesion after TRIPLET protocol in Ad-HCC. To verify our hypothesis and find a new treatment strategy for Ad-HCC, we compared the safety and efficacy between TRIPLET alone (T-A) and TRIPLET plus MWA (T-M) in this retrospective study.

MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study population

The TRIPLET as an II stage clinical trail has been registered (NCT4191889). This retrospective study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China (B2023-411-01) and conformed to the principles of the 1975 Helsinki Declaration. Due to the retrospective nature of this study, the requirement for written informed consent was waived. The study has been registered at Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (https://www.chictr.org.cn/, ChiCTR2300075828).

Between January 2018 and March 2022, a total of 386 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent initial TRIPLET combination therapy were reviewed using our in-house medical database. All HCC patients were diagnosed based on the European Association for the Study of Liver and the American Association for the Study of Liver Disease guidelines. Suspicious cases were confirmed by imaging-guided needle biopsy. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) Aged 18-75 years; (2) Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status < 2; (3) Child-Pugh class A or B liver function; and (4) Advanced HCC confirmed to meet BCLC C stage. The exclusion criteria were: (1) Previous treatment before TRIPLET therapy; (2) The presence of other malignancies confirmed by positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) or dynamic contrast-enhanced CT/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); (3) TRIPLET therapy combined with sequential liver resection surgery; and (4) Lost to follow-up > 6 months. Finally, a total of 217 patients (25 females and 192 males; mean age, 53.2 ± 11.1 years) with Ad-HCC were enrolled in this study (Figure 1).

Figure 1
Figure 1 The illustrated flowchart of selecting patient for comparing between camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy alone and camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with microwave ablation treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. HCC: Hepatocellular carcinoma; MWA: Microwave ablation; TRIPLET: Camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy; SR: Liver resection surgery; HAIC: Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy; PSM: Propensity score matching.
TRIPLET protocol

Patients received the TRIPLET combination therapy until unacceptable toxic effects occurred or there was loss of clinical benefit. Patients could continue treatment beyond disease progression if the investigator observed evidence of clinical benefit and if symptoms and signs indicating unequivocal disease progression were absent. Dose interruption and sequential reduction were permitted for medication-related adverse events (AEs). Patients who transiently or permanently discontinued either of the 3 treatments because of an AE were allowed to continue taking the other two or a single agent therapy as long as the investigator determined that there was clinical benefit. HAIC of the FOLFOX7 regimen and the combined protocols of TKI and PD-1 inhibitor therapy are shown in Supplementary material. The criteria for TRIPLET combination therapy discontinuation are described in Supplementary material and Figure 1.

Follow-up protocol

The patients were censored at the last follow-up (May 31, 2023). Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging (CT and MRI) were assessed every 3 months in the first postprocedural year and every 6 months thereafter. If suspicious metastasis was detected, chest, whole-body bone scan, or PET-CT was then performed accordingly. Dynamic contrast-enhanced CT or MRI was performed every 4-6 weeks after initial TRIPLET therapy and evaluated independently by two radiologists with 10 years of experience who were blinded to the procedures. Based on contrast-enhanced imaging findings, the response was categorized into complete response (CR), partial response (PR), stable disease (SD), and progressive disease (PD) as per the mRECIST[16]. CR is disappearance of any intratumoural arterial enhancement in all target lesions; PR is at least a 30% decrease in the sum of diameters of the lesions with arterial enhancement, compared with the baseline sum of the diameters of the target lesions; PD is an increase of at least 20% in the sum of the diameters of the lesions with arterial enhancement, compared with the baseline sum of the diameters of the target lesions; SD is any cases that do not qualify for either PR or PD. The medical records of the two patients with Ad-HCC who received TRIPLET therapy alone and T-M therapy are shown in Figures 2 and 3.

Figure 2
Figure 2 An example of follow-up medical record of camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy treatment in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with tumor thrombus of right inferior portal vein. A 48-year-old male patient with hepatocellular carcinoma (arrow) were examined [the maximum diameter, 13.1 cm; location in S4/8; alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), > 121000 ng/mL] by contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging scanning on July 2021. A-C: Preoperative scan [T1WI portal phase]; D-F: After two-cycle camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (TRIPLET), the tumor (arrow) has shrunk (the maximum diameter, 7.7 cm; AFP, 10616.0 ng/mL) (T1WI portal phase); G-I: After four-cycle TRIPLET, the tumor (arrow) has shrunk significantly (the maximum diameter, 7.0 cm; AFP, 6183.00 ng/mL) (T1WI portal phase).
Figure 3
Figure 3 An example of follow-up medical record of camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with microwave ablation treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. A 54-year-old male patient with hepatocellular carcinoma (arrow) were examined [the maximum diameter, 8.7 cm; alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), 1765 ng/mL] by contrast enhanced computed tomography scanning on September 2020. A and B: The tumor was diffusely distributed (arrow) and the right main branch of portal vein showed filling defect (arterial phase and portal phase); C-E: After four-cycle camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy, the tumor (arrow) has shrunk significantly, but the tumor periphery remained active (arrow) and showed enhanced activity [T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), T1WI arterial phase and portal phase]; F and G: The residual lesions were ablated by two microwave antennas at the same time. The ablation power was 60 W and the ablation time was 10 minutes; H and I: Six months after microwave ablation, magnetic resonance imaging (T1WI arterial phase and portal phase) showed that the tumor activity had completely disappeared (arrow) and the tumor markers had returned to normal.
MWA therapy selection

In this study, patients were treated with MWA by a multidisciplinary expert group when the following three conditions were met: (1) CR of primary tumors occurred after TRIPLET combination therapy, but PD was found simultaneously in other intrahepatic regions; (2) PR occurred after TRIPLET combination therapy. Therefore, MWA was performed with the intention of curing visible tumors on enhanced imaging; and (3) When the tumor was controlled by TRIPLET combination therapy, the purpose of MWA was to further reduce the tumor burden. The reason for MWA execution was explained to the patient and their families, and consent was obtained. The CT-guided MWA protocol is shown in Supplementary material.

Endpoints and definitions

Clinical data selection is shown in Supplementary material. Complete ablation was defined as the absence of any enhancing lesion (indicating residual tumor) at the ablation site on contrast material–enhanced CT or MRI performed 1 month after MWA, which was decided by the consensus of two diagnostic radiologists with 10 years of experience in abdominal imaging. The primary endpoints were ORR, including hepatic ORR of the first cycle of TRIPLET therapy, the optimal hepatic ORR after multiple cycles of TRIPLET therapy and the overall ORR. ORR was defined as the percentage of patients with CR and PR lasting for over 4 weeks from the first radiological confirmation. The secondary endpoints were survival outcomes, including OS, progression-free survival (PFS), intrahepatic PFS (IPFS) and extrahepatic PFS (EPFS). OS was calculated from the date of initial TRIPLET therapy to the date of death from any cause or final follow-up. PFS was calculated from the date of initial TRIPLET therapy to the date of PD or final follow-up. The third endpoint was safety, which was assessed using physical examination findings, laboratory tests, complications and AEs according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 5.0[17].

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM Corp., NY, United States) and the RMS package of R software version 3.5.1 (http://www.r-project.org/). The quantitative variables are presented as the mean ± SD or median with interquartile range (IQR) and were compared by the Kruskal-Wallis test. The ‎qualitative variables presented as frequencies were compared using the χ2 test. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied using a nearest-neighbor algorithm (1:1) to adjust the potential unbalanced variables in both groups. The propensity scores obtained from PSM were further used for case-weight estimation [inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW)]. Weights for the T-A group were the inverse of the propensity score, and those for the T-M group were the inverse of one minus the propensity score. The cumulative survival was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariable analyses of independent prognostic factors were evaluated by means of the forward stepwise Cox regression model. A two-tailed P < 0.05 was interpreted to carry ‎statistical significance.‎

RESULTS
Patients enrolled

In this study, 122 in the T-A group and 95 in the T-M group were reviewed. The baseline characteristics stratified by therapeutic modality before and after PSM are shown in Table 1. Except for ascites and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade (P = 0.011 and 0.041), the distributions of other variables between the T-A group and T-M group are comparable. After PSM 1:1, all variables showed no ‎significant difference (all, P > 0.05) (Supplementary Figures 1 and 2). Of the 217 eligible patients, 32 (14.7%) patients with tumors who received blood supply from extrahepatic arteries simultaneously were found. Among them, 157 (72.4%) underwent unilateral hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy, whereas 34 (15.7%) underwent proper hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy. The MWA parameters after TRIPLET for Ad-HCC are outlined in Table 2. The median interval time between TRIPLET and MWA was 40 days (range, 32-83 days). The complete ablation rates of intrahepatic tumors and overall all tumors were 60% (57/95) and 35.8% (34/95), respectively. The median sessions of Ad-HCC patients who underwent MWA in the liver, lung and adrenal gland were 2, 1, and 1, respectively. Among all patients with complete ablation, only one experienced recurrence after 2.5 months.

Table 1 Baseline characteristics of the patients with Ad-hepatocellular carcinoma who received camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy therapy.
VariablesUnmatched
PSM (1:1)
TRIPLET alone group (n = 122)
TRIPLET-MWA group (n = 95)
P value
TRIPLET alone group (n = 82)
TRIPLET-MWA group (n = 82)
P value
Age, year0.9301.000
    ≤ 65112 (91.80)86 (90.53)76 (92.68)77 (93.90)
    > 6510 (8.20)9 (9.47)6 (7.32)5 (6.10)1.000
Gender0.505
    Female12 (9.84)13 (13.68)8 (9.76)9 (10.98)1.000
    Male110 (90.16)82 (86.32)74 (90.24)73 (89.02)
ECOG0.9001.000
    0122 (100.00)94 (98.95)82 (100.00)81 (98.78)
    10 (0.00)1 (1.05)0 (0.00)1 (1.22)
Comorbidity1.0000.677
    Absence110 (90.16)86 (90.53)75 (91.46)74 (90.24)
    Presence12 (9.84)9 (9.47)7 (8.54)8 (9.76)
HBV0.4071.000
    Absence6 (4.92)2 (2.11)4 (4.88)2 (2.44)
    Presence116 (94.26)93 (95.79)78 (95.12)80 (97.56)
Ascites0.011a1.000
    Absence93 (76.23)87 (91.58)75 (91.46)75 (91.46)
    Presence29 (22.95)8 (8.42)7 (8.54)7 (8.54)
ALBI grade0.041a0.867
    167 (54.92)66 (69.47)55 (67.07)57 (69.51)
    2-355 (45.08)29 (30.53)27 (32.93)25 (30.49)
HCC number0.2770.219
    1-354 (44.26)50 (52.63)50 (70.42)42 (59.15)
    > 368 (55.74)45 (47.37)21 (29.58)29 (40.85)
HCC diameter, cm0.6670.155
    < 57 (5.74)6 (6.32)7 (8.54)4 (4.88)
    5-1051 (41.80)34 (35.79)41 (50.00)32 (39.02)
    > 1064 (52.46)55 (57.89)34 (41.46)46 (56.10)
AFP, ng/mL0.6050.428
    ≤ 40046 (37.70)40 (42.11)31 (37.80)37 (45.12)
    > 40076 (62.30)55 (57.89)51 (62.20)45 (54.88)
Vascular invasion0.0770.346
    Absence18 (14.75)24 (25.26)15 (18.29)21 (25.61)
    Presence104 (85.25)71 (74.74)67 (81.71)61 (74.39)
Metastasis0.7500.158
    Absence68 (55.74)50 (52.63)50 (60.98)40 (48.78)
    Presence54 (44.26)45 (47.37)32 (39.02)42 (51.22)
AST ‎(U/L)‎, median, IQR67 (31, 105)77 (32, 112)0.85485 (28, 128)77 (35, 127)0.872
ALT ‎(U/L)‎‎, median, IQR54 (22, 89)59 (22, 89)0.74658 (22, 89)59 (25, 109)0.929
TBIL (μmol/L), mean ± SD17.823.20.42218.619.00.710
ALB (g/L), mean ± SD37.0 ± 5.137.6 ± 4.20.56437.2 ± 5337.0 ± 4.20.567
INR, mean ± SD1.1 ± 0.121.12 ± 0.100.9011.10 ± 0.141.11 ± 0.100.892
PT (s), mean ± SD12.4 ± 0.312.3 ± 0.60.94012.4 ± 0.812.4 ± 0.61.000
PLT (× 109)‎, median, IQR208(59, 245)256 (67, 312)0.358230 (55, 270)256 (78, 304)0.660
Table 2 Microwave ablation parameters after camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.
Parameters
MWA (n = 95)
Ablation of residual tumor activity63 (66.3)
Ablation of recurrent tumor32 (33.7)
Maximum tumor diameter (cm)
    ≤ 558 (61.1)
    > 537 (38.2)
No. of tumor
    Single74 (77.9)
    Multiple21 (22.1)
Extrahepatic metastasis before MWA65 (68.4)
Ablation of tumor type number
    173 (76.8)
    219 (20)
    > 23 (3.2)
Ablation of liver tumor92 (96.8)
Ablation of lung tumor13 (13.7)
Ablation of adrenal gland tumor3 (3.2)
Ablation of breast tumor1 (1.1)
Hepatic tumors
    Ablative duration (minute)26
    Ablative power (W)55.8 ± 6
    Ablative sessions2
    Ablative points4
Lung tumors
    Ablative duration (minute)14
    Ablative power (W)50.2 ± 3.4
    Ablative sessions1
    Ablative points2
Adrenal gland tumors
    Ablative duration (minute)20
    Ablative power (W)45.6 ± 4.2
    Ablative sessions1
    Ablative points1
Breast tumors
    Ablative duration (minute)16
    Ablative power (W)50
    Ablative sessions1
    Ablative points2
The response to HAIC
    CR8 (8.4)
    PR78 (82.1)
    SD9 (9.5)
Complete ablation of hepatic tumors57 (60)
Complete ablation of all tumors34 (35.8)
Recurrence after MWA57 (60)
Combination of radiotherapy8 (8.4)
Antitumor activity comparison

Antitumor activity comparisons between the T-A group and T-M group are shown in Table 3. The median HAIC sessions were four (IQR, 2-6) in the two groups. For hepatic tumors, the first ORRs in the T-A group were comparable with those in the T-M group (P = 0.062). However, the optimal ORR in the T-A group was significantly higher than that in the T-M group (P < 0.001). Moreover, for overall tumors, the overall ORR in the T-A group was also significantly higher than that in the T-M group (P = 0.001). After PSM 1:1, these results remained consistent with the previous results.

Table 3 Theraputic effectiveness comparison between camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy group and camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy-microwave ablation group.
Variables
TRIPLET group (n = 122)
TRIPLET-MWA group (n = 95)
P value
TRIPLET group (n = 82)
TRIPLET-MWA group (n = 82)
P value
Hepatic response
Tumor response to the first TRIPLET0.0620.120
    Non-OR90 (73.77)54 (60.67)58 (70.73)45 (57.69)
    OR32 (26.23)35 (39.33)24 (29.27)33 (42.31)
The optimal tumor response< 0.0010.007
    Non-OR38 (31.15)9 (9.47)21 (25.61)7 (8.54)
    OR84 (68.85)86 (90.53)61 (74.39)75 (91.46)0.006
Overall response0.001
    Non-OR46 (37.70)15 (15.79)28 (34.15)12 (14.63)
    OR76 (62.30)80 (84.21)54 (65.85)70 (85.37)
HAIC sessions14 (2, 6)4 (2, 6)1.0004 (2, 6)4 (2, 6)1.000
Interval between TRIPLET and MWA, day140 (32, 53)36 (32, 48)
Uni- and multivariate analyses

The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for OS and PFS are summarized in Supplementary Tables 1 and 2. The univariate analysis showed that comorbidity, ascites, ALBI grade, number of tumors, metastasis and treatment allocation were associated with OS, whereas ascites, number of tumors, metastasis and treatment allocation were associated with PFS. Multivariate analysis showed that comorbidity [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.060; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.369-3.098; P = 0.001], number of tumors (HR = 2.78; 95%CI: 1.51-5.14; P = 0.001) and treatment allocation (HR = 0.16; 95%CI: 0.08-0.33; P < 0.001) were significant prognostic factors for OS and that number of tumors (HR = 1.60; 95%CI: 1.13-2.27; P = 0.008), metastasis (HR = 1.86; 95%CI: 1.32-2.62; P < 0.001) and treatment allocation (HR = 0.52; 95%CI: 0.37-0.74; P < 0.001) were significant prognostic factors for PFS. To further explore the risk factors affecting the OS and PFS of patients who underwent T-M, the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses are shown in Supplementary Tables 3 and 4. Incomplete ablation was found to be an independent risk factor for PFS.

Survival outcomes comparison

The median follow-up duration for the T-A group and T-M group was 22.4 months (IQR, 12.7-51.3 months) and 24.8 months (IQR, 13.4-48.8 months), respectively. The sample size of this study is small, and the statistical power of the multivariate analysis might have been inadequate. Therefore, we used different analytical methods to evaluate OS and PFS (Supplementary Table 5). In the crude Kaplan-Meier analyses, significant differences were observed regarding OS (median, 24.6 months in T-A vs NA months T-M; P < 0.001; Figure 4A), PFS (median, 8.5 months in T-A vs 16.8 months T-M; P = 0.001; Figure 4B), IPFS (median, 24.7 months in T-A vs NA months T-M; P = 0.003; Figure 4C) and EPFS (median, NA months in T-A vs 29.0 months T-M; P = 0.058; Figure 4D) between the two groups before PSM. Similarly, the PSM-adjusted Kaplan-Meier analyses also showed that significant differences were observed regarding OS (median, NA months in T-A vs NA months T-M; P < 0.001; Figure 4E), PFS (median, 9.5 months in T-A vs 20.0 months T-M; P = 0.005; Figure 4F), IPFS (median, 31.7 months in T-A vs NA months T-M; P = 0.021; Figure 4G) and EPFS (median, NA months in T-A vs NA months T-M; P = 0.128; Figure 4H). The cumulative 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates were 98.7%, 93.4%, and 82.0% in the T-M group and 85.1%, 63.1%, and 55.0% in the T-A group (HR = 0.22; 95%CI: 0.10-0.49; P < 0.001).

Figure 4
Figure 4 Comparing the survival of camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy alone and camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with microwave ablation treatment for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. A-D: Kaplan-Meier curves for the overall survival (OS) (A), progression-free survival (PFS) (B), intrahepatic PFS (IPFS) (C) and extrahepatic PFS (EPFS) (D) of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma before propensity score matching (PSM); E-H: Kaplan-Meier curves for the OS (E), PFS (F), IPFS (G) and RPFS (H) of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma after PSM. T-M: Camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with MWA; T-A: Camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy alone; OS: Overall survival; PFS: Progression-free survival; IPFS: Intrahepatic progression-free survival; EPFS: Extrahepatic progression-free survival; HR: Hazard ratio; CI: Confidence interval.
Subgroup analysis

The subgroup analyses of OS, and PFS based on clinical variables using forest plots are shown in Figure 5. Neither the subgroup nor sensitivity analyses changed our essential finding that TRIPLET combined with MWA provided a survival benefit outperforming TRIPLET in most clinical variables. These results suggested that the T-M appeared to particularly benefit patients at an older age (≤ 65 years), male, absence of comorbidity, absence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), absence of ascites, tumor diameter (> 5 cm), and vascular invasion based on OS. Furthermore, the T-M benefited patients at an older age (≤ 65 years), male sex, tumor diameter (> 10 cm), number of tumors (> 3), vascular invasion, AFP (≤ 400 ng/mL) and metastasis based on PFS. These results provide interventional treatment strategy for patients with different clinical factors.

Figure 5
Figure 5 Forest plot showing the factors associated with overall survival and progression-free survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma who received camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy alone and camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with microwave ablation. A: Overall survival in all patients; B: Progression-free survival in all patients. T-M: Camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy combined with MWA; T-A: Camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy alone; HCC: Hepatocellular carcinoma; HBV: Hepatitis B virus; AFP: α-fetoprotein; ALBI: Ascites and albumin-bilirubin.
Safety

The TRIPLET-related AEs and complications between the two groups are shown in Supplementary Table 6 and Table 4. Liver dysfunction was the most common minor complication, including the presence of mild ascites and increased transaminase levels. Six major complications transpired in the T-A group, including one patient with peritoneal effusion, one with biliary fistula, three with liver abscess, and one with massive ascites. However, there were 5 major complications that occurred in the T-M group, including two patients with peritoneal effusion, one with liver abscess, and one with hepatic biloma. There was no significant difference in the major complications between the two groups (P = 1.000).

Table 4 Complications comparison related to camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy or camrelizumab plus apatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy-microwave ablation.
Complications
TRIPLET alone group (n = 122)
TRIPLET-MWA group (n = 95)
P value
Major complications6 (4.9)5 (5.3)1.000
Peritoneal effusion1 (0.8)-
Liver abscess3 (2.5)1 (1.1)
Biliary fistula1 (0.8)-
Biloma-2 (2.0)
Hydropneumothorax requiring drainage--
Massive ascites1 (0.8)1 (1.1)
Seeding-1 (1.1)
Minor complications36 (29.5)22 (23.2)0.755
Liver dysfunction18 (14.8)12 (12.6)
Fever18 (14.8)10 (10.5)
Abdominal nonspecific pain3 (2.4)1 (1.1)
Bile duct dilatation1 (0.8)2 (2.0)
Hemorrhage5 (4.0)3 (3.2)
Mild pleural effusion10 (8.1)-
Mild ascites6 (4.8)3 (3.2)
Jaundice4 (3.2)3 (3.2)
Other7 (5.7)4 (4.0)
Summary

T-M can provide better survival outcomes and comparable safety for Ad-HCC than T-A. T-M showed the great potential in the treatment of Ad-HCC aged population with relatively high tumor burden.

DISCUSSION

To reduce selective bias, we strictly selected the enrolled population and used different analytical methods, such as PSM and IPTW. A series of satisfactory results were found and were consistent between the different analytical methods. TRIPLET yielded a better overall ORR (65.9%) than HAIC, TKIs or PD-1 inhibitors in previous reports[18-21]. This means that the synergistic effect of the three combined treatments is beneficial for improving the ORR. On this basis, the application of MWA after TRIPLET can further improve ORR (90.5%) over T-A. Moreover, T-M resulted in a longer OS than T-A in patients with Ad-HCC, which may be attributed to a longer RFS in patients who received MWA after multicycle TRIPLET (median PFS, T-M 20.0 months vs T-A 9.5 months). In particular, MWA also plays an important role in the control of extrahepatic metastatic lesions. In this study, except for MWA of hepatic tumors, lung metastasis, adrenal metastasis, and breast metastasis were also performed one by one, and better control for extrahepatic metastasis was achieved than T-A. In regard to safety, the spectrum, incidence, and severity of AEs observed in TRIPLET combination treatment were consistent with the known safety profile of each agent and the underlying disease. The combination of MWA with TRIPLET did not induce additional complications.

For these patients who underwent T-M, we have provided a detailed summary of the treatment parameters for MWA. The sessions, points, time, and power of MWA for intrahepatic lesions are higher than those for extrahepatic lesions, which may be closely related to the larger tumor burden of intrahepatic lesions. Among them, because of residual tumor activity after TRIPLET treatment, 87.4% of patients with HCC were treated with subsequent MWA to achieve complete eradication. However, 12.6% of patients experienced recurrent tumors after achieving OR, and they received MWA after TRIPLET, which suppressed tumor progression. Notably, incomplete ablation was an independent risk factor for PFS in the T-M group, which was consistent with previous studies[22]. Many experts have reported that inflammation induced by incomplete ablation accelerates tumor progression and hinders PD-1 immunotherapy. Several mechanisms underlying this process, such as an incomplete ablation-induced hypoxic microenvironment, activation of tumor-derived endothelial cells, epithelial-mesenchymal transition and autophagy, have been revealed[21,23,24].

In the subgroup analysis, T-M provided better disease control and long-term survival for Ad-HCC patients with a high tumor burden (e.g., maximum tumor diameter > 10 cm). The reason may be as follows: After multicycle TRIPLET, the vast majority of HCC shows necrosis and shrinkage, and TKIs in the TRIPLET protocol might block HCC cell proliferation and induce tumor cell apoptosis in HCC cells. MWA is prone to complete ablation for residual components. The results from previous studies indicate that a low intrahepatic tumor burden can improve the survival benefit in patients with Ad-HCC[25,26], which further proves the rationale for the concurrent application of TRIPLET with MWA to effectively control intrahepatic tumors[2]. Fukuda et al[13] found that sorafenib administered before TA could increase the ablation-induced coagulation necrosis range due to decreasing blood flow in the tumor and nontumor areas in patients with HCC, which contributed to improving the probability of complete ablation. However, some studies have proven that incomplete tumor ablation enhances local tumor angiogenesis and promotes the rapid progression of residual HCC. Therefore, complete ablation after TRIPLET can also be indicate its effectiveness for preventing tumor recurrence.

In the multivariate Cox regression analyses for OS, ALBI grade, tumor number and treatment allocation were risk factors. Tumor burden and liver function have always been the focus of HCC prognosis by clinicians[27,28]. More than three tumors were regarded as difficult to receive complete ablation with one session, and patients with poor liver function were not allowed to receive more sessions of MWA. In addition, tumor number, metastasis and treatment allocation were risk factors for PFS, and these results were consistent with previous reports. Therefore, MWA after TRIPLET should be advocated as an effective treatment for Ad-HCC. For those with vascular invasion and metastasis, T-M can also play an important role in preventing recurrence and prolonging survival time. This is mainly because the tumor after ablation releases many immune antigens, which not only improves the suppression of PD-1 inhibitors on tumors in the whole body but also effectively changes the tumor microenvironment in the liver[22,29,30].

This study also has several limitations. First, this is a small sample size, retrospective study with a relatively short follow-up period. Although the baseline demographics were matched well between the two groups, prospective randomized controlled trials are still needed. Second, this study enrolled most patients with large HCC and HBV infection as a predominant etiology of HCC in China. It remains to be elucidated whether the results could be widely applied in Western countries, where the majority of patients have a low tumor burden or alcoholic liver cirrhosis as the predominant etiology. Third, although subgroup analyses have been performed, the combination and time interval of multiple treatments over time and the fact that some conversion therapies were not adapted to systemic therapy as tumor progression was required in the international guidelines have contributed to a possible bias. Finally, because some unknown risk factors were not collected and analyzed, residual confounding is difficult to avoid.

CONCLUSION

T-M provides a better overall ORR and survival benefit than T-A with a comparable safety profile as a new therapeutic option for patients with Ad-HCC. Interventional radiologists should evaluate the age, sex, HBV, tumor diameter, and presence of vascular invasion before TRIPLET to balance the risk-benefit between T-M and T-A.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

We thank Dr. Yan Fu for assistance with the clinical management of the patients and preparation of figures.

Footnotes

Provenance and peer review: Unsolicited article; Externally peer reviewed.

Peer-review model: Single blind

Specialty type: Oncology

Country of origin: China

Peer-review report’s classification

Scientific Quality: Grade B, Grade B, Grade C

Novelty: Grade B, Grade B, Grade C

Creativity or Innovation: Grade B, Grade B, Grade C

Scientific Significance: Grade B, Grade B, Grade C

P-Reviewer: Chisthi MM, India; Pham TTT, Viet Nam S-Editor: Wang JJ L-Editor: A P-Editor: Zhang L

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