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Arjmandmazidi S, Heidari HR, Ghasemnejad T, Mori Z, Molavi L, Meraji A, Kaghazchi S, Mehdizadeh Aghdam E, Montazersaheb S. An In-depth overview of artificial intelligence (AI) tool utilization across diverse phases of organ transplantation. J Transl Med 2025; 23:678. [PMID: 40533820 PMCID: PMC12175419 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-025-06488-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/13/2025] [Indexed: 06/22/2025] Open
Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers a revolutionary approach to improve decision-making in medicine through the use of advanced computational tools. Its ability to analyze large and complex datasets enables a thorough evaluation of multiple factors, leading to a deeper understanding of medical procedures. Numerous studies have demonstrated that AI has made significant advancements in areas such as organ allocation, donor-recipient matching, and immunosuppression protocols in organ transplantation. The transplantation process consists of three key stages: pre-transplant evaluation, the surgical procedure, and post-transplant management. AI can enhance all three stages by analyzing and integrating data from histopathological reports, lab results, radiological features, and patient demographics to aid in matching donors and recipients. Additionally, AI supports robotic-assisted surgery and optimizes post-transplant regimens while evaluating complications. Various researches have utilized machine learning (ML) to predict medication bioavailability immediately after transplantation and assess the risk of post-transplant complications based on factors like genetic phenotypes, age, gender, and body mass index. This review aims to gather information on AI applications across various stages of organ transplantation and elaborate the strategies and tools relevant to these processes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shiva Arjmandmazidi
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
- Department of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tabriz University of Medical, Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Hamid Reza Heidari
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
- Department of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tabriz University of Medical, Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Tohid Ghasemnejad
- UNSW BioMedical Machine Learning Lab (BML), School of Biomedical Engineering, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia
| | - Zeinab Mori
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
- Department of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tabriz University of Medical, Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Leila Molavi
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
- Department of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tabriz University of Medical, Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Amir Meraji
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
- Department of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tabriz University of Medical, Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Shadi Kaghazchi
- Women's Reproductive Health Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Elnaz Mehdizadeh Aghdam
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
- Department of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tabriz University of Medical, Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
| | - Soheila Montazersaheb
- Molecular Medicine Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
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Christodoulidis G, Tsagkidou K, Bartzi D, Prisacariu IA, Agko ES, Koumarelas KE, Zacharoulis D. Sarcopenia and frailty: An in-depth analysis of the pathophysiology and effect on liver transplant candidates. World J Hepatol 2025; 17:106182. [DOI: 10.4254/wjh.v17.i5.106182] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2025] [Revised: 04/09/2025] [Accepted: 05/07/2025] [Indexed: 05/27/2025] Open
Abstract
Cirrhosis represents the end stage of chronic liver disease, significantly reducing life expectancy as it progresses from a compensated to a decompensated state, leading to serious complications. Recent improvements in medical treatment have created a shift in cirrhosis management. Various causes, including hepatitis viruses, alcohol consumption, and fatty liver disease, contribute to cirrhosis and are closely linked to liver cancer. The disease develops through hepatocyte necrosis and regeneration, resulting in fibrosis and sinusoidal capillarization, leading to portal hypertension and complications such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, and organ dysfunction. Cirrhosis also holds an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. Diagnosing cirrhosis involves assessing fibrosis scores through blood tests and measuring liver stiffness through elastography. Liver transplantation is the definitive treatment for end-stage liver disease and acute liver failure.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Kyriaki Tsagkidou
- Department of Gastroenterology, University Hospital of Larisa, Larisa 41100, Thessalia, Greece
| | - Dimitra Bartzi
- Department of Oncology, The 251 Airforce General Hospital, Athens 11525, Greece
| | - Ioana A Prisacariu
- Department of Rehabilitation, Luzerner Kantonsspital Wolhusen, Lucerne 6110, Luzern, Switzerland
| | - Eirini S Agko
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Asklepios Paulinen Clinic Wiesbaden, Wiesbaden 65197, Germany
| | - Konstantinos E Koumarelas
- Department of General and Orthopaedic Surgery, Luzerner Kantonsspital Wolhusen, Lucerne 6110, Luzern, Switzerland
| | - Dimitrios Zacharoulis
- Department of General Surgery, University of Thessaly, Larisa 41110, Thessalia, Greece
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Gholamzadeh M, Safdari R, Asadi Gharabaghi M, Abtahi H. Analysis of the most influential factors affecting outcomes of lung transplant recipients: a multivariate prediction model based on UNOS Data. BMJ Open 2025; 15:e089796. [PMID: 40379311 PMCID: PMC12086922 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-089796] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2024] [Accepted: 04/11/2025] [Indexed: 05/19/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES In lung transplantation (LTx), a priority is assigned to each candidate on the waiting list. Our primary objective was to identify the key factors that influence the allocation of priorities in LTx using machine learning (ML) techniques to enhance the process of prioritising patients. DESIGN Developing a prediction model. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Our data were retrieved from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) open-source database of transplant patients between 2005 and 2023. INTERVENTIONS After the preprocessing process, a feature engineering technique was employed to select the most relevant features. Then, six ML models with optimised hyperparameters including multiple linear regression, random forest regressor (RF), support vector machine regressor, XGBoost regressor, a multilayer perceptron model and a deep learning model were developed based on the UNOS dataset. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES The performance of each model was evaluated using R-squared (R2) and other error rate metrics. Next, the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) technique was used to identify the most important features in the prediction. RESULTS The raw dataset contains 196 270 records with 545 features in all organs. After preprocessing, 32 966 records with 15 features remain. Among various models, the RF model achieved a high R2 score. Additionally, the RF model exhibited the lowest error values, indicating its superior precision compared with other regression models. The SHAP technique in conjunction with the RF model revealed the 11 most important features for priority allocation. Subsequently, we developed a web-based decision support tool using Python and the Streamlit framework based on the best-fine-tuned model. CONCLUSION The deployment of the ML model has the potential to act as an automated tool to aid physicians in assessing the priority of lung transplants and identifying significant factors that play a role in patient survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marsa Gholamzadeh
- Health Information Management and Medical Informatics Department, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (the Islamic Republic of)
| | - Reza Safdari
- Health Information Management and Medical Informatics Department, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (the Islamic Republic of)
| | - Mehrnaz Asadi Gharabaghi
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (the Islamic Republic of)
| | - Hamidreza Abtahi
- Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine Department, Thoracic Research Center, Imam Khomeini Hospital Complex, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (the Islamic Republic of)
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Su Z, Dong H, Fang X, Zhang W, Duan H. Frontier progress and translational challenges of pluripotent differentiation of stem cells. Front Genet 2025; 16:1583391. [PMID: 40357368 PMCID: PMC12066753 DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2025.1583391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2025] [Accepted: 04/16/2025] [Indexed: 05/15/2025] Open
Abstract
Stem cell research has significantly transformed regenerative medicine, with pluripotent stem cells (PSCs) serving as the cornerstone for disease modeling, drug screening, and therapeutic applications. Embryonic stem cells (ESCs) exhibit unparalleled self-renewal and tri-lineage differentiation, while induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) bypass ethical constraints through somatic cell reprogramming. Clinical trials highlight the potential of mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) in osteoarthritis and graft-versus-host disease, which leverage their immunomodulatory and paracrine effects. Despite advancements, challenges persist: iPSCs face epigenetic instability and tumorigenic risks, and adult stem cells struggle with inefficient differentiation. This paper systematically reviews stem cell source classification, differentiation regulatory mechanisms, cutting-edge technologies such as CRISPR/Cas9, and explores field-specific controversies (e.g., epigenetic stability of iPSCs) and future directions (e.g., integration of organoids and biomaterials). By analyzing current progress and challenges, it provides a multidimensional perspective for stem cell research.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Hong Duan
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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Salybekov AA, Yerkos A, Sedlmayr M, Wolfien M. Ethics and Algorithms to Navigate AI's Emerging Role in Organ Transplantation. J Clin Med 2025; 14:2775. [PMID: 40283605 PMCID: PMC12027807 DOI: 10.3390/jcm14082775] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2025] [Revised: 04/14/2025] [Accepted: 04/15/2025] [Indexed: 04/29/2025] Open
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Solid organ transplantation remains a critical life-saving treatment for end-stage organ failure, yet it faces persistent challenges, such as organ scarcity, graft rejection, and postoperative complications. Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to address these challenges by revolutionizing transplantation practices. Methods: This review article explores the diverse applications of AI in solid organ transplantation, focusing on its impact on diagnostics, treatment, and the evolving market landscape. We discuss how machine learning, deep learning, and generative AI are harnessing vast datasets to predict transplant outcomes, personalized immunosuppressive regimens, and optimize patient selection. Additionally, we examine the ethical implications of AI in transplantation and highlight promising AI-driven innovations nearing FDA evaluation. Results: AI improves organ allocation processes, refines predictions for transplant outcomes, and enables tailored immunosuppressive regimens. These advancements contribute to better patient selection and enhance overall transplant success rates. Conclusions: By bridging the gap in organ availability and improving long-term transplant success, AI holds promise to significantly advance the field of solid organ transplantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amankeldi A. Salybekov
- Regenerative Medicine Division, Cell and Gene Therapy Department, Qazaq Institute of Innovative Medicine, Astana 020000, Kazakhstan
| | - Ainur Yerkos
- Department of Computer Science, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050040, Kazakhstan;
| | - Martin Sedlmayr
- Institute for Medical Informatics and Biometry, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, TUD Dresden University of Technology, 01069 Dresden, Germany;
| | - Markus Wolfien
- Institute for Medical Informatics and Biometry, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, TUD Dresden University of Technology, 01069 Dresden, Germany;
- Center for Scalable Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence (ScaDS.AI), 01069 Dresden, Germany
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Gadour E, Miutescu B, Hassan Z, Aljahdli ES, Raees K. Advancements in the diagnosis of biliopancreatic diseases: A comparative review and study on future insights. World J Gastrointest Endosc 2025; 17:103391. [PMID: 40291132 PMCID: PMC12019128 DOI: 10.4253/wjge.v17.i4.103391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2024] [Revised: 02/19/2025] [Accepted: 03/08/2025] [Indexed: 04/14/2025] Open
Abstract
Owing to the complex and often asymptomatic presentations, the diagnosis of biliopancreatic diseases, including pancreatic and biliary malignancies, remains challenging. Recent technological advancements have remarkably improved the diagnostic accuracy and patient outcomes in these diseases. This review explores key advancements in diagnostic modalities, including biomarkers, imaging techniques, and artificial intelligence (AI)-based technologies. Biomarkers, such as cancer antigen 19-9, KRAS mutations, and inflammatory markers, provide crucial insights into disease progression and treatment responses. Advanced imaging modalities include enhanced computed tomography (CT), positron emission tomography-CT, magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography, and endoscopic ultrasound. AI integration in imaging and pathology has enhanced diagnostic precision through deep learning algorithms that analyze medical images, automate routine diagnostic tasks, and provide predictive analytics for personalized treatment strategies. The applications of these technologies are diverse, ranging from early cancer detection to therapeutic guidance and real-time imaging. Biomarker-based liquid biopsies and AI-assisted imaging tools are essential for non-invasive diagnostics and individualized patient management. Furthermore, AI-driven models are transforming disease stratification, thus enhancing risk assessment and decision-making. Future studies should explore standardizing biomarker validation, improving AI-driven diagnostics, and expanding the accessibility of advanced imaging technologies in resource-limited settings. The continued development of non-invasive diagnostic techniques and precision medicine approaches is crucial for optimizing the detection and management of biliopancreatic diseases. Collaborative efforts between clinicians, researchers, and industry stakeholders will be pivotal in applying these advancements in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eyad Gadour
- Multiorgan Transplant Centre of Excellence, Liver Transplantation Unit, King Fahad Specialist Hospital, Dammam 32253, Saudi Arabia
- Internal Medicine, Zamzam University College, School of Medicine, Khartoum 11113, Sudan
| | - Bogdan Miutescu
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Victor Babes University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Timisoara 300041, Romania
- Advanced Regional Research Center in Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Victor Babes University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Timisoara 30041, Romania
| | - Zeinab Hassan
- Department of Internal Medicine, Stockport Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester SK2 7JE, United Kingdom
| | - Emad S Aljahdli
- Gastroenterology Division, King Abdulaziz University, Faculty of Medicine, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia
- Gastrointestinal Oncology Unit, King Abdulaziz University Hospital, Jeddah 22252, Saudi Arabia
| | - Khurram Raees
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Royal Blackburn Hospital, Blackburn BB2 3HH, United Kingdom
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Zhixing L, Linsen Y, Peng J, Siyi D, Haoyuan Y, Kun L, Siqi L, Yongwei H, Mingshen Z, Wei L, Hua L, Shuhong Y, Guihua C, Xiao X, Shusen Z, Yang Y. Explainable machine learning for the assessment of donor grafts in liver transplantation. Hepatol Res 2025. [PMID: 40317606 DOI: 10.1111/hepr.14187] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2024] [Revised: 02/16/2025] [Accepted: 03/07/2025] [Indexed: 05/07/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM The shortage of liver grafts compared to recipients necessitates precise organ assessment. This study aimed to develop a Machine learning (ML) model to predict postoperative delayed graft function (DGF) and visualize the decision-making process for clinical application. METHOD Data from 5242 donor-recipient pairs who underwent liver transplantation (LT) at the top 10 liver transplant centers in China (January 2017 to December 2022) were collected. The dataset was divided into training and validation sets. Sixty-three variables, including demographics, donor characteristics, diagnosis, preoperative lab results, and surgical information were analyzed. The primary outcome was posttransplantation DGF and the second outcome was posttransplantation 1-month and 3-month survival. Recursive feature elimination selected critical variables, and models were built using ML algorithms and logistic regression. Model performance was evaluated by AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. The best model was validated with an independent dataset of 394 LT cases (January to June 2023). The SHapley Additive exPlanations package interpreted the top model's decisions. RESULTS Among 5242 cases, 328 (6.26%) developed DGF, with 15 cases (3.81%) in the external validation set. Thirty critical features were selected. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithm achieved the highest AUC (0.877) and accuracy (0.936) in the internal set, and a comparable AUC (0.776) and accuracy (0.957) in the external set. SHAP analysis identified short perfusion time, high donor serum sodium, excessive bleeding during transplantation, high donor γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, and blood glucose levels as top predictors of post-LT DGF. The proposed model AUC's 1-month survival prediction was 0.841 and the 3-month survival prediction was 0.834. CONCLUSIONS The developed model for predicting postoperative DGF demonstrated excellent predictive performance, aiding clinicians in evaluating donor grafts and making informed decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liang Zhixing
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ye Linsen
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jiang Peng
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Dong Siyi
- National Center for Healthcare Quality Management of Liver Transplant, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yu Haoyuan
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li Kun
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li Siqi
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Hu Yongwei
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Zhang Mingshen
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Liu Wei
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li Hua
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yi Shuhong
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Chen Guihua
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Liver Disease Research, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xu Xiao
- National Center for Healthcare Quality Management of Liver Transplant, Hangzhou, China
- Institute of Translational Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- School of Clinical Medicine, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, China
- NHC Key Laboratory of Combined Multi-organ Transplantation, Hangzhou, China
| | - Zheng Shusen
- National Center for Healthcare Quality Management of Liver Transplant, Hangzhou, China
- Institute of Translational Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Shulan (Hangzhou) Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yang Yang
- Department of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Donnelly C, Patel SS, Jaffe IS, Akizhanov D, Chiang TPY, Long JJ, Liyanage L, Griesemer A, Segev DL, Massie AB. Association of Functional, Academic, Motor, and Cognitive Deficits in Graft Failure in Pediatric Liver Transplantation. Clin Transplant 2025; 39:e70132. [PMID: 40152814 DOI: 10.1111/ctr.70132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2024] [Revised: 02/03/2025] [Accepted: 03/02/2025] [Indexed: 03/29/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Predicting graft failure risk in pediatric liver transplantation (LT) recipients could identify areas for improving management. Persistent cognitive, motor, academic, and functional deficits are common in recipients and their impact on graft survival following LT helps inform risk prediction. METHODS Using SRTR data 2008-2023, we evaluated the cognitive, motor, academic, and functional deficits of LT recipients at time of transplant to 14 years post-LT. We compared all cause graft failure (ACGF) among patients with versus without pre-LT and 1-year post-LT deficits using Cox regression, adjusting for recipient characteristics. We calculated an individual risk score for ACGF. RESULTS In 8062 pediatric LT recipients median age 3 (IQR: 1, 10), 28.0%, 29.5%, 35.0%, and 79.8% of recipients had pre-LT deficits in cognition, motor, academic activity, and functional status respectively. This decreased to 23.0%, 18.1%, 14.2%, and 38.7% 1-year post-LT. Increased hazard of ACGF was noted in recipients with pre-LT decreased functional status (aHR = 1.13 (per 10% decrease), 95% CI: 1.10-1.15, p < 0.001), definite motor delay (aHR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.21-2.10, p < 0.001), and inability to participate in academics (aHR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.08-1.89, p = 0.01), but not delays in cognition (aHR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.69-1.21, p = 0.19). Our risk score predicting ACGF demonstrated improved predictive performance compared to clinical parameters alone (C-statistic = 0.70 (0.67, 0.72) vs. 0.66 (0.64, 0.69), p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Pediatric LT recipients with pre- or post-LT motor, academic, and functional deficits are at higher risk for ACGF. Care should be taken to assess deficits to identify patients who may benefit from functional intervention to potentially reduce ACGF risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Conor Donnelly
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Suhani S Patel
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Ian S Jaffe
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Daniyar Akizhanov
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Teresa Po-Yu Chiang
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Jane J Long
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Luckmini Liyanage
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Adam Griesemer
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Dorry L Segev
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
- Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Allan B Massie
- Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
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9
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Rawashdeh B, Al-abdallat H, Arpali E, Thomas B, Dunn TB, Cooper M. Machine learning in solid organ transplantation: Charting the evolving landscape. World J Transplant 2025; 15:99642. [PMID: 40104197 PMCID: PMC11612896 DOI: 10.5500/wjt.v15.i1.99642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2024] [Revised: 10/17/2024] [Accepted: 11/06/2024] [Indexed: 11/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Machine learning (ML), a major branch of artificial intelligence, has not only demonstrated the potential to significantly improve numerous sectors of healthcare but has also made significant contributions to the field of solid organ transplantation. ML provides revolutionary opportunities in areas such as donor-recipient matching, post-transplant monitoring, and patient care by automatically analyzing large amounts of data, identifying patterns, and forecasting outcomes. AIM To conduct a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of publications on the use of ML in transplantation to understand current research trends and their implications. METHODS On July 18, a thorough search strategy was used with the Web of Science database. ML and transplantation-related keywords were utilized. With the aid of the VOS viewer application, the identified articles were subjected to bibliometric variable analysis in order to determine publication counts, citation counts, contributing countries, and institutions, among other factors. RESULTS Of the 529 articles that were first identified, 427 were deemed relevant for bibliometric analysis. A surge in publications was observed over the last four years, especially after 2018, signifying growing interest in this area. With 209 publications, the United States emerged as the top contributor. Notably, the "Journal of Heart and Lung Transplantation" and the "American Journal of Transplantation" emerged as the leading journals, publishing the highest number of relevant articles. Frequent keyword searches revealed that patient survival, mortality, outcomes, allocation, and risk assessment were significant themes of focus. CONCLUSION The growing body of pertinent publications highlights ML's growing presence in the field of solid organ transplantation. This bibliometric analysis highlights the growing importance of ML in transplant research and highlights its exciting potential to change medical practices and enhance patient outcomes. Encouraging collaboration between significant contributors can potentially fast-track advancements in this interdisciplinary domain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Badi Rawashdeh
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
| | | | - Emre Arpali
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
| | - Beje Thomas
- Department of Nephrology, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53226, United States
| | - Ty B Dunn
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
| | - Matthew Cooper
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
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10
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Gadour E. Lesson learnt from 60 years of liver transplantation: Advancements, challenges, and future directions. World J Transplant 2025; 15:93253. [PMID: 40104199 PMCID: PMC11612893 DOI: 10.5500/wjt.v15.i1.93253] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2024] [Revised: 09/06/2024] [Accepted: 09/14/2024] [Indexed: 11/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Over the past six decades, liver transplantation (LT) has evolved from an experimental procedure into a standardized and life-saving intervention, reshaping the landscape of organ transplantation. Driven by pioneering breakthroughs, technological advancements, and a deepened understanding of immunology, LT has seen remarkable progress. Some of the most notable breakthroughs in the field include advances in immunosuppression, a revised model for end-stage liver disease, and artificial intelligence (AI)-integrated imaging modalities serving diagnostic and therapeutic roles in LT, paired with ever-evolving technological advances. Additionally, the refinement of transplantation procedures, resulting in the introduction of alternative transplantation methods, such as living donor LT, split LT, and the use of marginal grafts, has addressed the challenge of organ shortage. Moreover, precision medicine, guiding personalized immunosuppressive strategies, has significantly improved patient and graft survival rates while addressing emergent issues, such as short-term complications and early allograft dysfunction, leading to a more refined strategy and enhanced post-operative recovery. Looking ahead, ongoing research explores regenerative medicine, diagnostic tools, and AI to optimize organ allocation and post-transplantation car. In summary, the past six decades have marked a transformative journey in LT with a commitment to advancing science, medicine, and patient-centered care, offering hope and extending life to individuals worldwide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eyad Gadour
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, King Abdulaziz National Guard Hospital, Ahsa 36428, Saudi Arabia
- Internal Medicine, Zamzam University College, Khartoum 11113, Sudan
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11
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Bangash AH, Toledo J, Essibayi MA, Haranhalli N, De la Garza Ramos R, Altschul DJ, Tjoumakaris S, Yassari R, Starke RM, Rahmani R. State-of-the-art for automated machine learning predicts outcomes in poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage using routinely measured laboratory & radiological parameters: coagulation parameters and liver function as key prognosticators. Neurosurg Rev 2025; 48:300. [PMID: 40090999 PMCID: PMC11911264 DOI: 10.1007/s10143-025-03450-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2024] [Revised: 12/29/2024] [Accepted: 03/05/2025] [Indexed: 03/19/2025]
Abstract
The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate automated machine learning (aML) models for predicting short-term (1-month) and medium-term (3-month) functional outcomes [Modified Rankin Scale (mRS)] in patients suffering from poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), using readily available and routinely measured laboratory and radiological parameters at admission. Data from a pilot non-randomized trial of 60 poor-grade aSAH patients (Hunt-Hess grades IV or V) were analyzed. Patients were evenly divided between targeted temperature management (TTM) and standard treatment groups. The current state-of-the-art for aML was adopted to employ nine ML algorithms with hyperparameter tuning to develop algorithmic models predicting 1 month and 3-months mRS scores. Model performance was evaluated using macro-weighted average Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve (mWA-AUROC) analysis and additional metrics. Logistic regression algorithmic models achieved perfect prediction (mWA-AUROC = 1, accuracy = 100%, sensitivity and specificity = 100% [95% CI: 83.16 - 100%]) for both 1-month and 3-month mRS outcomes. For 1-month outcomes, neutrophil count, platelet count, and gamma-glutamyl transferase levels were identified as key predictors. For 3-month outcomes, patient gender, activated partial thromboplastin time, and serum aspartate aminotransferase levels were most impactful. Decision tree algorithms (mWA-AUROC = 0.9-0.925) identified specific cut-points for various parameters, providing actionable information for clinical decision-making. Positive prognostic factors included alkaline phosphatase levels higher than mid-value of their normal range, absence of hydrocephalus, use of targeted temperature management (TTM), and specific cut-offs for coagulation and liver function parameters. The use of TTM was reinforced as a key prognosticator of mRS outcomes at both time points. We have made our developed models and the associated architecture available at GitHub. This study demonstrated the potential of aML in predicting functional outcomes for poor-grade aSAH patients. The identification of novel predictors, including liver function and coagulation parameters, opens new avenues for research and intervention. While the perfect predictive performance warrants cautious interpretation and further validation, these models represent a step towards personalized medicine in aSAH management, potentially improving prognostication and treatment strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ali Haider Bangash
- Hhaider5 Research Group, Rawalpindi, PB, Pakistan
- Spine Tumor Mechanics and Outcomes Research (TUMOR) Lab, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Jayro Toledo
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Muhammed Amir Essibayi
- Montefiore-Einstein Cerebrovascular Research Lab, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Neil Haranhalli
- Department of Neurosurgery, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Rafael De la Garza Ramos
- Spine Tumor Mechanics and Outcomes Research (TUMOR) Lab, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
- Department of Neurosurgery, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - David J Altschul
- Montefiore-Einstein Cerebrovascular Research Lab, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
- Department of Neurosurgery, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
| | | | - Reza Yassari
- Spine Tumor Mechanics and Outcomes Research (TUMOR) Lab, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
- Department of Neurosurgery, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Robert M Starke
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Redi Rahmani
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
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12
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Avramidou E, Todorov D, Katsanos G, Antoniadis N, Kofinas A, Vasileiadou S, Karakasi KE, Tsoulfas G. AI Innovations in Liver Transplantation: From Big Data to Better Outcomes. LIVERS 2025; 5:14. [DOI: 10.3390/livers5010014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/02/2025] Open
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative field in computational research with diverse applications in medicine, particularly in the field of liver transplantation (LT) given its ability to analyze and build upon complex and multidimensional data. This literature review investigates the application of AI in LT, focusing on its role in pre-implantation biopsy evaluation, development of recipient prognosis algorithms, imaging analysis, and decision-making support systems, with the findings revealing that AI can be applied across a variety of fields within LT, including diagnosis, organ allocation, and surgery planning. As a result, algorithms are being developed to assess steatosis in pre-implantation biopsies and predict liver graft function, with AI applications displaying great accuracy across various studies included in this review. Despite its relatively recent introduction to transplantation, AI demonstrates potential in delivering cost and time-efficient outcomes. However, these tools cannot replace the role of healthcare professionals, with their widespread adoption demanding thorough clinical testing and oversight.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eleni Avramidou
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Dominik Todorov
- Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Georgios Katsanos
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Nikolaos Antoniadis
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Athanasios Kofinas
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Stella Vasileiadou
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Konstantina-Eleni Karakasi
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Georgios Tsoulfas
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
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13
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Gong M, Jiang Y, Sun Y, Liao R, Liu Y, Yan Z, He A, Zhou M, Yang J, Wu Y, Wu Z, Huang Z, Wu H, Jiang L. Knowledge domain and frontier trends of artificial intelligence applied in solid organ transplantation: A visualization analysis. Int J Med Inform 2025; 195:105782. [PMID: 39761617 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105782] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2024] [Revised: 12/30/2024] [Accepted: 12/30/2024] [Indexed: 02/12/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Solid organ transplantation (SOT) is vital for end-stage organ failure but faces challenges like organ shortage and rejection. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers potential to improve outcomes through better matching, success prediction, and automation. However, the evolution of AI in SOT research remains underexplored. This study uses bibliometric analysis to identify trends, hotspots, and key contributors in the field. METHODS 821 articles from the Web of Science Core Collection were exported for analysis. Microsoft Excel 2021 was used for descriptive statistics. VOSviewer, CiteSpace, Scimago Graphica, and Biblioshiny were used for bibliometric analysis. The ggalluvial package in R was utilized to create Sankey diagrams, and top articles were selected based on citation count. RESULTS This analysis reveals the rapid expansion of AI in SOT. Key areas include robotic surgery, organ allocation, outcome prediction, immunosuppression management, and precision medicine. Robotic surgery has improved transplant outcomes. AI algorithms optimize organ matching and enhance fairness. Machine learning models predict outcomes and guide treatment, while AI-based systems advance personalized immunosuppression. AI in precision medicine, including diagnostics and imaging, is crucial for transplant success. CONCLUSION This study highlights AI's transformative potential in SOT, with significant contributions from countries like the USA, Canada, and the UK. Key institutions such as the University of Toronto and the University of Pittsburgh have played vital roles. However, practical challenges like ethical issues, bias, and data integration remain. Fostering international and interdisciplinary collaborations is crucial for overcoming these challenges and accelerating AI's integration into clinical practice, ultimately improving patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miao Gong
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yingsong Jiang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yingshuo Sun
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Jinan Central Hospital of Shandong Province, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Rui Liao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yanyao Liu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Zikang Yan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Aiting He
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Tumor Center, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing, China
| | - Mingming Zhou
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Tumor Center, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing, China
| | - Jie Yang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Tumor Center, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing, China
| | - Yongzhong Wu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Zhongjun Wu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - ZuoTian Huang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China; Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Tumor Center, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing, China.
| | - Hao Wu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
| | - Liqing Jiang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
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14
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Gabrielli F, Bernasconi E, Toscano A, Avossa A, Cavicchioli A, Andreone P, Gitto S. Side Effects of Immunosuppressant Drugs After Liver Transplant. Pharmaceuticals (Basel) 2025; 18:342. [PMID: 40143120 PMCID: PMC11946649 DOI: 10.3390/ph18030342] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2025] [Revised: 02/18/2025] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/28/2025] Open
Abstract
Liver transplantation (LT) is the standard of care for both end-stage liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Side effects of the main used immunosuppressive drugs have a noteworthy impact on the long-term outcome of LT recipients. Consequently, to achieve a balance between optimal immunosuppression and minimal side effects is a cornerstone of the post-LT period. Today, there are no validated markers for overimmunosuppression and underimmunosuppression, only a few drugs have therapeutic drug monitoring, and immunosuppression regimens vary from center to center and from country to country. Currently, there are many drugs with different efficacy and safety profiles. Using different agents permits a decrease in the dosage and minimizes the toxicities. A small subset of recipients achieves immunotolerance with the chance to stop immunosuppressive therapy. This article focuses on the side effects of immunosuppressive drugs, which significantly impact long-term outcomes for LT recipients. The primary aim is to highlight the balance between achieving effective immunosuppression and minimizing adverse effects, emphasizing the role of personalized therapeutic strategies. Moreover, this review evaluates the mechanisms of action and specific complications associated with immunosuppressive agents. Finally, special attention is given to strategies for reducing immunosuppressive burdens, improving patient quality of life, and identifying immunotolerant individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Filippo Gabrielli
- Internal and Metabolic Medicine, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences for Children & Adults, AOU of Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41126 Modena, Italy
| | - Elisa Bernasconi
- Postgraduate School of Internal Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41126 Modena, Italy
| | - Arianna Toscano
- Division of Internal Medicine, University Hospital of Policlinico G. Martino, 98124 Messina, Italy
| | - Alessandra Avossa
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, Italy
| | - Alessia Cavicchioli
- Internal and Metabolic Medicine, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences for Children & Adults, AOU of Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41126 Modena, Italy
| | - Pietro Andreone
- Internal and Metabolic Medicine, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences for Children & Adults, AOU of Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41126 Modena, Italy
- Postgraduate School of Allergology and Clinical Immunology, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41126 Modena, Italy
| | - Stefano Gitto
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, Italy
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15
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Pruinelli L, Balakrishnan K, Ma S, Li Z, Wall A, Lai JC, Schold JD, Pruett T, Simon G. Transforming liver transplant allocation with artificial intelligence and machine learning: a systematic review. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2025; 25:98. [PMID: 39994720 PMCID: PMC11852809 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-025-02890-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2024] [Accepted: 01/22/2025] [Indexed: 02/26/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The principles of urgency, utility, and benefit are fundamental concepts guiding the ethical and practical decision-making process for organ allocation; however, LT allocation still follows an urgency model. AIM To identify and analyze data elements used in Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods, data sources, and their focus on urgency, utility, or benefit in LT. METHODS A comprehensive search across Ovid Medline and Scopus was conducted for studies published from 2002 to June 2023. Inclusion criteria targeted quantitative studies using ML/AI for candidates, donors, or recipients. Two reviewers assessed eligibility and extracted data, following PRISMA guidelines. RESULTS A total of 20 papers were included, synthesizing results into five major categories. Eight studies were led by a Spanish team, focusing on donor-recipient matching and proposing machine learning models to predict post- LT survival. Other international studies addressed organ supply-demand issues and developed predictive models to optimize LT outcomes. The studies highlight the potential of ML/AI to enhance LT allocation and outcomes. Despite advancements, limitations included the lack of robust transplant-related benefit models and improvements in urgency models compared to MELD. DISCUSSION This review highlighted the potential of AI and ML to enhance liver transplant allocation and outcomes. Significant advancements were noted, but limitations such as the need for better urgency models and the absence of a transplant-related benefit model remain. Most studies emphasized utility, focusing on survival outcomes. Future research should address the interpretability and generalizability of these models to improve organ allocation and post-LT survival predictions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lisiane Pruinelli
- Department of Family, Community and Health Systems Science, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, US.
- Department of Surgery, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, US.
| | - Kiruthika Balakrishnan
- Department of Family, Community and Health Systems Science, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, US
| | - Sisi Ma
- Institute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Zhigang Li
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Anji Wall
- Baylor University Medical Center in Dallas, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Jennifer C Lai
- Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Jesse D Schold
- Departments of Surgery and Epidemiology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA
| | - Timothy Pruett
- Department of Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, US
| | - Gyorgy Simon
- Institute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
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16
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Ewing JN, Gala Z, Voytik M, Broach RB, Udupa JK, Torigian DA, Tong Y, Fischer JP. A cross-sectional survey investigating surgeon perceptions of pre-operative risk prediction models incorporating radiomic features. Hernia 2025; 29:97. [PMID: 39966191 DOI: 10.1007/s10029-025-03292-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2024] [Accepted: 02/09/2025] [Indexed: 02/20/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE Incisional hernias are a significant source of morbidity in the United States that impact quality of life and can cause life-threatening complications. Complex patient factors, collected as structured and unstructured data, contribute to the risk of developing an incisional hernia following abdominal surgery. It is unknown how risk prediction models derived from imaging data, or radiomic features, can enhance pre-operative surgical planning. This study investigates surgeons' perspectives regarding risk prediction models derived from radiomic features and assesses the model's impact on surgeon behavior. METHODS An online cross-sectional survey assessing perceptions of a pre-operative risk prediction model was administered to surgeons across the US from April 23, 2024- May 30, 2024. Surgeons' beliefs of the risk model's impact on surgeon behavior and its applicability in the clinical setting were assessed. RESULTS A total of 166 completed surveys were analyzed. Mean age was 52.3 (SD 10.1), 71.1% were male, 78.9% were White, and 90.4% were not Hispanic or Latino. The majority of the respondents were general surgeons (58%), colorectal surgeons (14%), thoracic surgeons (12%), and urologists (7%). The mean level of accuracy predicted from radiomic features needed to prompt a change in management was 74.5% (SD 15.1%). The mean at which FPR and FNR were unacceptable was 25.9% (SD 16.9%) and 26.1% (SD 21.7%), respectively. Most believed a risk prediction model tool would improve their peri-operative management. CONCLUSION A majority of surgeons were positively supportive of incorporating a hernia risk-prediction clinical decision tool incorporating radiomic features in their clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jane N Ewing
- Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Health System, PCAM South Pavilion 14th Floor 3400 Civic Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA
| | - Zachary Gala
- Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Health System, PCAM South Pavilion 14th Floor 3400 Civic Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA
| | - Malia Voytik
- Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Health System, PCAM South Pavilion 14th Floor 3400 Civic Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
| | - Robyn B Broach
- Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Health System, PCAM South Pavilion 14th Floor 3400 Civic Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA
| | - Jayaram K Udupa
- Medical Image Processing Group, Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Drew A Torigian
- Medical Image Processing Group, Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Yubing Tong
- Medical Image Processing Group, Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - John P Fischer
- Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Health System, PCAM South Pavilion 14th Floor 3400 Civic Center Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA
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17
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Safi K, Pawlicka AJ, Pradhan B, Sobieraj J, Zhylko A, Struga M, Grąt M, Chrzanowska A. Perspectives and Tools in Liver Graft Assessment: A Transformative Era in Liver Transplantation. Biomedicines 2025; 13:494. [PMID: 40002907 PMCID: PMC11852418 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines13020494] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2024] [Revised: 02/07/2025] [Accepted: 02/10/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025] Open
Abstract
Liver transplantation is a critical and evolving field in modern medicine, offering life-saving treatment for patients with end-stage liver disease and other hepatic conditions. Despite its transformative potential, transplantation faces persistent challenges, including a global organ shortage, increasing liver disease prevalence, and significant waitlist mortality rates. Current donor evaluation practices often discard potentially viable livers, underscoring the need for refined graft assessment tools. This review explores advancements in graft evaluation and utilization aimed at expanding the donor pool and optimizing outcomes. Emerging technologies, such as imaging techniques, dynamic functional tests, and biomarkers, are increasingly critical for donor assessment, especially for marginal grafts. Machine learning and artificial intelligence, exemplified by tools like LiverColor, promise to revolutionize donor-recipient matching and liver viability predictions, while bioengineered liver grafts offer a future solution to the organ shortage. Advances in perfusion techniques are improving graft preservation and function, particularly for donation after circulatory death (DCD) grafts. While challenges remain-such as graft rejection, ischemia-reperfusion injury, and recurrence of liver disease-technological and procedural advancements are driving significant improvements in graft allocation, preservation, and post-transplant outcomes. This review highlights the transformative potential of integrating modern technologies and multidisciplinary approaches to expand the donor pool and improve equity and survival rates in liver transplantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kawthar Safi
- Department of Biochemistry, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland; (K.S.)
| | | | - Bhaskar Pradhan
- Department of Biochemistry, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland; (K.S.)
| | - Jan Sobieraj
- 1st Chair and Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Andriy Zhylko
- Department of General, Transplant and Liver Surgery, Medical University of Warsaw, Banacha 1A, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Marta Struga
- Department of Biochemistry, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland; (K.S.)
| | - Michał Grąt
- Department of General, Transplant and Liver Surgery, Medical University of Warsaw, Banacha 1A, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Alicja Chrzanowska
- Department of Biochemistry, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-097 Warsaw, Poland; (K.S.)
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18
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Shourabizadeh H, Aleman DM, Rousseau LM, Zheng K, Bhat M. Classification-augmented survival estimation (CASE): A novel method for individualized long-term survival prediction with application to liver transplantation. PLoS One 2025; 20:e0315928. [PMID: 39823426 PMCID: PMC11741629 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0315928] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2024] [Accepted: 12/03/2024] [Indexed: 01/19/2025] Open
Abstract
Survival analysis is critical in many fields, particularly in healthcare where it can guide medical decisions. Conventional survival analysis methods like Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models to generate survival curves indicating probability of survival v. time have limitations, especially for long-term prediction, due to assumptions that all instances follow a general population-level survival curve. Machine learning classification models, even those designed for survival predictions like random survival forest (RSF), also struggle to provide accurate long-term predictions due to class imbalance. We improve upon traditional survival machine learning approaches through a novel framework called classification-augmented survival estimation (CASE), which treats survival as a classification task that ultimately yields survival curves, beginning with dataset augmentation to improve class imbalance for use with any classification model. Unlike other approaches, CASE additionally provides an exact survival time prediction. We demonstrate CASE on a liver transplant case study to predict >20 years survival post-transplant, finding that CASE dataset augmentation improved AUCs from 0.69 to 0.88 and F1 scores from 0.32 to 0.73. Compared to Kaplan-Meier, Cox, and RSF survival models, the CASE framework demonstrated better performance across various existing survival metrics, as well as our novel metric, mean of individual areas under the survival curve (mAUSC). Further, we develop novel temporal feature importance methods to understand how different features may vary in survival importance over time, potentially providing actionable insights in real-world survival problems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hamed Shourabizadeh
- Department of Mechanical & Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Dionne M. Aleman
- Department of Mechanical & Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Louis-Martin Rousseau
- Department Mathematics & Industrial Engineering, Polytechnique Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada
| | - Katina Zheng
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Mamatha Bhat
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
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19
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Pollmanns MR, Kister B, Abu Jhaisha S, Adams JK, Kabak E, Brozat JF, Schneider CV, Hohlstein P, Bruns T, Küpfer L, Trautwein C, Koch A, Wirtz TH. The Aachen ACLF ICU score predicts ICU mortality in critically ill patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. Sci Rep 2024; 14:30497. [PMID: 39681633 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-82178-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 12/03/2024] [Indexed: 12/18/2024] Open
Abstract
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) defines a heterogeneous syndrome involving acute decompensation in patients with pre-existing liver disease accompanied by (multi-)organ failure. This study aimed to develop a simple, reliable machine learning (ML) model to predict mortality in ACLF patients receiving intensive care unit (ICU) treatment. Data from 206 patients admitted to the ICU at RWTH Aachen University Hospital between 2015 and 2021 were retrospectively analyzed with ICU mortality as the primary outcome. An ICU mortality prediction model was developed by logistic regression and validated by 5-fold cross validation. Performance metrics were assessed to evaluate the model's accuracy and compare to existing mortality scores. ICU mortality was 60%. The chronic-liver-failure-consortium ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLFs) was the best predictor of ICU mortality. ML generated seven models using five to thirteen features. The best-performing model included CLIF-C ACLFs, number of organ failures, Horovitz quotient (FiO2/PaO2), FiO2 and lactate. The newly developed Aachen ACLF ICU (ACICU) score demonstrated exceptional predictive accuracy for ICU mortality (AUROC 0.96), underscoring its potential for mortality and futility assessment in critically ill ACLF patients complementing existing prognostic tools. The ACICU score www.acicu-score.com is an easy-to-use tool for predicting ICU mortality in patients with ACLF offering high predictive performance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maike R Pollmanns
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Bastian Kister
- Institute for Systems Medicine with Focus on Organ Interaction, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany
| | - Samira Abu Jhaisha
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Jule K Adams
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Elena Kabak
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Jonathan F Brozat
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Campus Virchow-Klinikum (CVK) and Campus Charité Mitte (CCM), Berlin, Germany
| | - Carolin V Schneider
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Philipp Hohlstein
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Tony Bruns
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Lars Küpfer
- Institute for Systems Medicine with Focus on Organ Interaction, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany
| | - Christian Trautwein
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the TU Dortmund (IfADo), Dortmund, Germany
| | - Alexander Koch
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany
| | - Theresa H Wirtz
- Medical Department III, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany.
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20
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Zhang Q, Peng Y, Lei S, Xiong T, Zhang L, Peng H, Luo X, Wang R. A nutrition-based radiomics–clinical model to predict the prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. DISPLAYS 2024; 84:102750. [DOI: 10.1016/j.displa.2024.102750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2025]
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21
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Calleja R, Aguilera E, Durán M, Pérez de Villar JM, Padial A, Luque-Molina A, Ayllón MD, López-Cillero P, Ciria R, Briceño J. Predicting waitlist dropout in hepatocellular carcinoma: a narrative review. Transl Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 9:72. [PMID: 39503025 PMCID: PMC11535785 DOI: 10.21037/tgh-24-24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2024] [Accepted: 06/21/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and Objective Liver transplantation is the gold standard treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Current allocation systems face a complex issue due to the imbalance between available organs and recipients. The prioritization of HCC patients remains controversial, leading to potential disparities in access to transplantation. Factors such as tumor size, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels, Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, and response to locoregional therapy (LRT) contribute to determining waitlist dropout risk in HCC patients. Several statistical and machine learning (ML) models have been proposed to predict waitlist dropout, incorporating variables related to tumor and patient factors, underlying liver disease, and waitlist time. This narrative review aims to summarize the evidence regarding different prediction models of HCC waitlist dropout. Methods All published articles up to December 25, 2023, were considered. Articles not based on prediction models using conventional statistical methods or ML models were excluded. Key Content and Findings Factors such as tumor size, AFP levels, MELD score, and LRT response have been shown to impact disease progression in these patients, influencing waitlist dropout. Most articles in the literature are based on statistical models. Both ML and statistical models may offer promising results, but their application is currently limited. Several attempts have been made to find the best model to stratify the risk of waitlist dropout in HCC patients. However, to date, none of the explored models have been implemented. The allocation of HCC recipients is still based on supplementary scoring systems or geographical criteria. Conclusions Improving methodology and databases in future research is essential to obtain accurate and reliable models for clinicians. This is the only way to achieve real applicability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rafael Calleja
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
- Maimonides Biomedical Research Institute of Cordoba (IMIBIC), Reina Sofia University Hospital, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Eva Aguilera
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Manuel Durán
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
- Maimonides Biomedical Research Institute of Cordoba (IMIBIC), Reina Sofia University Hospital, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
| | | | - Ana Padial
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Antonio Luque-Molina
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
| | - María Dolores Ayllón
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
- Maimonides Biomedical Research Institute of Cordoba (IMIBIC), Reina Sofia University Hospital, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Pedro López-Cillero
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Rubén Ciria
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Javier Briceño
- Hepatobiliary and Liver Transplantation Surgery Department, Reina Sofía University Hospital, Córdoba, Spain
- Maimonides Biomedical Research Institute of Cordoba (IMIBIC), Reina Sofia University Hospital, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
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22
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Tangri N, Ferguson TW, Bamforth RJ, Leon SJ, Arnott C, Mahaffey KW, Kotwal S, Heerspink HJL, Perkovic V, Fletcher RA, Neuen BL. Machine learning for prediction of chronic kidney disease progression: Validation of the Klinrisk model in the CANVAS Program and CREDENCE trial. Diabetes Obes Metab 2024; 26:3371-3380. [PMID: 38807510 DOI: 10.1111/dom.15678] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2024] [Revised: 04/26/2024] [Accepted: 05/04/2024] [Indexed: 05/30/2024]
Abstract
AIM To validate the Klinrisk machine learning model for prediction of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in patients with type 2 diabetes in the pooled CANVAS/CREDENCE trials. MATERIALS AND METHODS We externally validated the Klinrisk model for prediction of CKD progression, defined as 40% or higher decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or kidney failure. Model performance was assessed for prediction up to 3 years with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Brier scores and calibration plots of observed and predicted risks. We compared performance of the model with standard of care using eGFR (G1-G4) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (A1-A3) Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) heatmap categories. RESULTS The Klinrisk model achieved an AUC of 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-0.83) at 1 year, and 0.88 (95% CI 0.86-0.89) at 3 years. The Brier scores were 0.020 (0.018-0.022) and 0.056 (0.052-0.059) at 1 and 3 years, respectively. Compared with the KDIGO heatmap, the Klinrisk model had improved performance at every interval (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS The Klinrisk machine learning model, using routinely collected laboratory data, was highly accurate in its prediction of CKD progression in the CANVAS/CREDENCE trials. Integration of the model in electronic medical records or laboratory information systems can facilitate risk-based care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Navdeep Tangri
- Chronic Disease Innovation Centre, Seven Oaks General Hospital, Winnipeg, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
| | - Thomas W Ferguson
- Chronic Disease Innovation Centre, Seven Oaks General Hospital, Winnipeg, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
| | - Ryan J Bamforth
- Chronic Disease Innovation Centre, Seven Oaks General Hospital, Winnipeg, Canada
| | - Silvia J Leon
- Chronic Disease Innovation Centre, Seven Oaks General Hospital, Winnipeg, Canada
| | - Clare Arnott
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
- Department of Cardiology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, Australia
| | | | - Sradha Kotwal
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
- Department of Nephrology, Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney, Australia
| | - Hiddo J L Heerspink
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Vlado Perkovic
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Robert A Fletcher
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Brendon L Neuen
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
- Department of Renal Medicine, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Australia
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23
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Stefanopoulos S, Qiu Q, Ren G, Ahmed A, Osman M, Brunicardi FC, Nazzal M. A Machine Learning Model for Prediction of Amputation in Diabetics. J Diabetes Sci Technol 2024; 18:874-881. [PMID: 36476059 PMCID: PMC11307232 DOI: 10.1177/19322968221142899] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) and the resulting lower extremity amputation are associated with a poor survival prognosis. The objective of this study is to generate a model for predicting the probability of major amputation in hospitalized patients with DFU. METHODS The National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database from 2008 to 2014 was used to select patients with DFU, who were then further divided by major amputation status. International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) and Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) comorbidity codes were used to compare patient characteristics. For the descriptive statistics, the Student t test, the χ2 test, and the Spearman correlation were utilized. The five most predictive variables were identified. A decision tree model (CTREE) based on conditional inference framework algorithm and a random forest model were used to develop the algorithm. RESULTS A total of 326 853 inpatients with DFU were identified, and 5.9% underwent major amputation. The top five contributory variables (all with P < .001) were gangrene (odds ratio [OR] = 11.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 11.5-12.2), peripheral vascular disease (OR = 2.9, 95% CI = 2.8-3.0), weight loss (OR = 2.6, 95% CI = 2.5-2.8), systemic infection (OR = 2.5, 95% CI = 2.4-2.53), and osteomyelitis (OR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.6-1.73). The model performance of the training data was 77.7% (76.1% sensitivity and 79.3% specificity) and of the testing data was 77.8% (76.2% sensitivity and 79.4% specificity). The model was further validated with boosting and random forest models which demonstrated similar performance and area under the curve (AUC) (0.84, 95% CI = 0.83-0.85). CONCLUSION Utilizing machine learning methods, we have developed a clinical algorithm that predicts the risk of major lower extremity amputation for inpatients with diabetes with 77.8% accuracy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stavros Stefanopoulos
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
| | - Qiong Qiu
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
| | - Gang Ren
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
| | - Ayman Ahmed
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
| | - Mohamed Osman
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
| | - F. Charles Brunicardi
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
| | - Munier Nazzal
- Department of Surgery, The University of Toledo College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Toledo, OH, USA
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24
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Gulla A, Jakiunaite I, Juchneviciute I, Dzemyda G. A narrative review: predicting liver transplant graft survival using artificial intelligence modeling. FRONTIERS IN TRANSPLANTATION 2024; 3:1378378. [PMID: 38993758 PMCID: PMC11235265 DOI: 10.3389/frtra.2024.1378378] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2024] [Accepted: 04/22/2024] [Indexed: 07/13/2024]
Abstract
Liver transplantation is the only treatment for patients with liver failure. As demand for liver transplantation grows, it remains a challenge to predict the short- and long-term survival of the liver graft. Recently, artificial intelligence models have been used to evaluate the short- and long-term survival of the liver transplant. To make the models more accurate, suitable liver transplantation characteristics must be used as input to train them. In this narrative review, we reviewed studies concerning liver transplantations published in the PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases between 2017 and 2022. We picked out 17 studies using our selection criteria and analyzed them, evaluating which medical characteristics were used as input for creation of artificial intelligence models. In eight studies, models estimating only short-term liver graft survival were created, while in five of the studies, models for the prediction of only long-term liver graft survival were built. In four of the studies, artificial intelligence algorithms evaluating both the short- and long-term liver graft survival were created. Medical characteristics that were used as input in reviewed studies and had the biggest impact on the accuracy of the model were the recipient's age, recipient's body mass index, creatinine levels in the recipient's serum, recipient's international normalized ratio, diabetes mellitus, and recipient's model of end-stage liver disease score. To conclude, in order to define important liver transplantation characteristics that could be used as an input for artificial intelligence algorithms when predicting liver graft survival, more models need to be created and analyzed, in order to fully support the results of this review.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aiste Gulla
- Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | | | - Ivona Juchneviciute
- Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, Institute of Data Science and Digital Technologies, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - Gintautas Dzemyda
- Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, Institute of Data Science and Digital Technologies, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
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25
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Yanagawa R, Iwadoh K, Akabane M, Imaoka Y, Bozhilov KK, Melcher ML, Sasaki K. LightGBM outperforms other machine learning techniques in predicting graft failure after liver transplantation: Creation of a predictive model through large-scale analysis. Clin Transplant 2024; 38:e15316. [PMID: 38607291 DOI: 10.1111/ctr.15316] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2023] [Revised: 03/18/2024] [Accepted: 03/24/2024] [Indexed: 04/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The incidence of graft failure following liver transplantation (LTx) is consistent. While traditional risk scores for LTx have limited accuracy, the potential of machine learning (ML) in this area remains uncertain, despite its promise in other transplant domains. This study aims to determine ML's predictive limitations in LTx by replicating methods used in previous heart transplant research. METHODS This study utilized the UNOS STAR database, selecting 64,384 adult patients who underwent LTx between 2010 and 2020. Gradient boosting models (XGBoost and LightGBM) were used to predict 14, 30, and 90-day graft failure compared to conventional logistic regression model. Models were evaluated using both shuffled and rolling cross-validation (CV) methodologies. Model performance was assessed using the AUC across validation iterations. RESULTS In a study comparing predictive models for 14-day, 30-day and 90-day graft survival, LightGBM consistently outperformed other models, achieving the highest AUC of.740,.722, and.700 in shuffled CV methods. However, in rolling CV the accuracy of the model declined across every ML algorithm. The analysis revealed influential factors for graft survival prediction across all models, including total bilirubin, medical condition, recipient age, and donor AST, among others. Several features like donor age and recipient diabetes history were important in two out of three models. CONCLUSIONS LightGBM enhances short-term graft survival predictions post-LTx. However, due to changing medical practices and selection criteria, continuous model evaluation is essential. Future studies should focus on temporal variations, clinical implications, and ensure model transparency for broader medical utility.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Kazuhiro Iwadoh
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Mita Hospital, International University of Health and Welfare, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Miho Akabane
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Yuki Imaoka
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
- Department of Gastroenterological and Transplant Surgery, Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Kliment Krassimirov Bozhilov
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Marc L Melcher
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Kazunari Sasaki
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
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26
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Chongo G, Soldera J. Use of machine learning models for the prognostication of liver transplantation: A systematic review. World J Transplant 2024; 14:88891. [PMID: 38576762 PMCID: PMC10989468 DOI: 10.5500/wjt.v14.i1.88891] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2023] [Revised: 11/08/2023] [Accepted: 12/11/2023] [Indexed: 03/15/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving intervention for patients with end-stage liver disease. However, the equitable allocation of scarce donor organs remains a formidable challenge. Prognostic tools are pivotal in identifying the most suitable transplant candidates. Traditionally, scoring systems like the model for end-stage liver disease have been instrumental in this process. Nevertheless, the landscape of prognostication is undergoing a transformation with the integration of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence models. AIM To assess the utility of ML models in prognostication for LT, comparing their per formance and reliability to established traditional scoring systems. METHODS Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines, we conducted a thorough and standardized literature search using the PubMed/MEDLINE database. Our search imposed no restrictions on publication year, age, or gender. Exclusion criteria encompassed non-English stu dies, review articles, case reports, conference papers, studies with missing data, or those exhibiting evident methodological flaws. RESULTS Our search yielded a total of 64 articles, with 23 meeting the inclusion criteria. Among the selected studies, 60.8% originated from the United States and China combined. Only one pediatric study met the criteria. Notably, 91% of the studies were published within the past five years. ML models consistently demonstrated satisfactory to excellent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values (ranging from 0.6 to 1) across all studies, surpassing the performance of traditional scoring systems. Random forest exhibited superior predictive capa bilities for 90-d mortality following LT, sepsis, and acute kidney injury (AKI). In contrast, gradient boosting excelled in predicting the risk of graft-versus-host disease, pneumonia, and AKI. CONCLUSION This study underscores the potential of ML models in guiding decisions related to allograft allocation and LT, marking a significant evolution in the field of prognostication.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gidion Chongo
- Department of Gastroenterology, University of South Wales, Cardiff CF37 1DL, United Kingdom
| | - Jonathan Soldera
- Department of Gastroenterology, University of South Wales, Cardiff CF37 1DL, United Kingdom
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27
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Al Moussawy M, Lakkis ZS, Ansari ZA, Cherukuri AR, Abou-Daya KI. The transformative potential of artificial intelligence in solid organ transplantation. FRONTIERS IN TRANSPLANTATION 2024; 3:1361491. [PMID: 38993779 PMCID: PMC11235281 DOI: 10.3389/frtra.2024.1361491] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/26/2023] [Accepted: 03/01/2024] [Indexed: 07/13/2024]
Abstract
Solid organ transplantation confronts numerous challenges ranging from donor organ shortage to post-transplant complications. Here, we provide an overview of the latest attempts to address some of these challenges using artificial intelligence (AI). We delve into the application of machine learning in pretransplant evaluation, predicting transplant rejection, and post-operative patient outcomes. By providing a comprehensive overview of AI's current impact, this review aims to inform clinicians, researchers, and policy-makers about the transformative power of AI in enhancing solid organ transplantation and facilitating personalized medicine in transplant care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mouhamad Al Moussawy
- Department of Surgery, Thomas E. Starzl Transplantation Institute, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Zoe S Lakkis
- Health Sciences Research Training Program, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Zuhayr A Ansari
- Health Sciences Research Training Program, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Aravind R Cherukuri
- Department of Surgery, Thomas E. Starzl Transplantation Institute, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Khodor I Abou-Daya
- Department of Surgery, Thomas E. Starzl Transplantation Institute, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
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28
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Juneja D. Artificial intelligence: Applications in critical care gastroenterology. Artif Intell Gastrointest Endosc 2024; 5:89138. [DOI: 10.37126/aige.v5.i1.89138] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2023] [Revised: 12/07/2023] [Accepted: 12/26/2023] [Indexed: 02/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Gastrointestinal (GI) complications frequently necessitate intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Additionally, critically ill patients also develop GI complications requiring further diagnostic and therapeutic interventions. However, these patients form a vulnerable group, who are at risk for developing side effects and complications. Every effort must be made to reduce invasiveness and ensure safety of interventions in ICU patients. Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly evolving technology with several potential applications in healthcare settings. ICUs produce a large amount of data, which may be employed for creation of AI algorithms, and provide a lucrative opportunity for application of AI. However, the current role of AI in these patients remains limited due to lack of large-scale trials comparing the efficacy of AI with the accepted standards of care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deven Juneja
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Max Super Speciality Hospital, New Delhi 110017, India
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29
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Lu F, Meng Y, Song X, Li X, Liu Z, Gu C, Zheng X, Jing Y, Cai W, Pinyopornpanish K, Mancuso A, Romeiro FG, Méndez-Sánchez N, Qi X. Artificial Intelligence in Liver Diseases: Recent Advances. Adv Ther 2024; 41:967-990. [PMID: 38286960 DOI: 10.1007/s12325-024-02781-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2024]
Abstract
Liver diseases cause a significant burden on public health worldwide. In spite of great advances during recent years, there are still many challenges in the diagnosis and treatment of liver diseases. During recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has been widely used for the diagnosis, risk stratification, and prognostic prediction of various diseases based on clinical datasets and medical images. Accumulative studies have shown its performance for diagnosing patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and liver fibrosis and assessing their severity, and for predicting treatment response and recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma, outcomes of liver transplantation recipients, and risk of drug-induced liver injury. Herein, we aim to comprehensively summarize the current evidence regarding diagnostic, prognostic, and/or therapeutic role of AI in these common liver diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feifei Lu
- College of Medicine and Biological Information Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang, China
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
| | - Yao Meng
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
- Postgraduate College, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China
| | - Xiaoting Song
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
- Postgraduate College, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China
| | - Xiaotong Li
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
- Postgraduate College, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Zhuang Liu
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
- Postgraduate College, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Chunru Gu
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
- Postgraduate College, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Xiaojie Zheng
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China
- Postgraduate College, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Yi Jing
- Neusoft Research of Intelligent Healthcare Technology, Co. Ltd., Shenyang, China
| | - Wei Cai
- Neusoft Research of Intelligent Healthcare Technology, Co. Ltd., Shenyang, China
| | - Kanokwan Pinyopornpanish
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Andrea Mancuso
- Medicina Interna 1, Azienda di Rilievo Nazionale Ad Alta Specializzazione Civico-Di Cristina-Benfratelli, Palermo, Italy.
| | | | - Nahum Méndez-Sánchez
- Liver Research Unit, Medica Sur Clinic and Foundation, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.
| | - Xingshun Qi
- College of Medicine and Biological Information Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang, China.
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, No. 83 Wenhua Road, Shenyang, 110840, Liaoning Province, China.
- Postgraduate College, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China.
- Postgraduate College, China Medical University, Shenyang, China.
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30
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Watson CJ, Gaurav R, Butler AJ. Current Techniques and Indications for Machine Perfusion and Regional Perfusion in Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation. J Clin Exp Hepatol 2024; 14:101309. [PMID: 38274508 PMCID: PMC10806097 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2023.101309] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2023] [Accepted: 11/27/2023] [Indexed: 01/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Since the advent of University of Wisconsin preservation solution in the 1980s, clinicians have learned to work within its confines. While affording improved outcomes, considerable limitations still exist and contribute to the large number of livers that go unused each year, often for fear they may never work. The last 10 years have seen the widespread availability of new perfusion modalities which provide an opportunity for assessing organ viability and prolonged organ storage. This review will discuss the role of in situ normothermic regional perfusion for livers donated after circulatory death. It will also describe the different modalities of ex situ perfusion, both normothermic and hypothermic, and discuss how they are thought to work and the opportunities afforded by them.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christopher J.E. Watson
- University of Cambridge Department of Surgery, Box 210, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, CB2 2QQ, UK
- The Roy Calne Transplant Unit, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, CB2 2QQ, UK
| | - Rohit Gaurav
- The Roy Calne Transplant Unit, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, CB2 2QQ, UK
| | - Andrew J. Butler
- University of Cambridge Department of Surgery, Box 210, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, CB2 2QQ, UK
- The Roy Calne Transplant Unit, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, CB2 2QQ, UK
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31
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Al-Bahou R, Bruner J, Moore H, Zarrinpar A. Quantitative methods for optimizing patient outcomes in liver transplantation. Liver Transpl 2024; 30:311-320. [PMID: 38153309 PMCID: PMC10932841 DOI: 10.1097/lvt.0000000000000325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2023] [Accepted: 12/11/2023] [Indexed: 12/29/2023]
Abstract
Liver transplantation (LT) is a lifesaving yet complex intervention with considerable challenges impacting graft and patient outcomes. Despite best practices, 5-year graft survival is only 70%. Sophisticated quantitative techniques offer potential solutions by assimilating multifaceted data into insights exceeding human cognition. Optimizing donor-recipient matching and graft allocation presents additional intricacies, involving the integration of clinical and laboratory data to select the ideal donor and recipient pair. Allocation must balance physiological variables with geographical and logistical constraints and timing. Quantitative methods can integrate these complex factors to optimize graft utilization. Such methods can also aid in personalizing treatment regimens, drawing on both pretransplant and posttransplant data, possibly using continuous immunological monitoring to enable early detection of graft injury or infected states. Advanced analytics is thus poised to transform management in LT, maximizing graft and patient survival. In this review, we describe quantitative methods applied to organ transplantation, with a focus on LT. These include quantitative methods for (1) utilizing and allocating donor organs equitably and optimally, (2) improving surgical planning through preoperative imaging, (3) monitoring graft and immune status, (4) determining immunosuppressant doses, and (5) establishing and maintaining the health of graft and patient after LT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raja Al-Bahou
- Department of Surgery, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Julia Bruner
- Department of Surgery, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Helen Moore
- Department of Medicine, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Ali Zarrinpar
- Department of Surgery, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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Michelson AP, Oh I, Gupta A, Puri V, Kreisel D, Gelman AE, Nava R, Witt CA, Byers DE, Halverson L, Vazquez-Guillamet R, Payne PRO, Hachem RR. Developing machine learning models to predict primary graft dysfunction after lung transplantation. Am J Transplant 2024; 24:458-467. [PMID: 37468109 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajt.2023.07.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2022] [Revised: 06/21/2023] [Accepted: 07/04/2023] [Indexed: 07/21/2023]
Abstract
Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the first 30 days after lung transplantation. Risk factors for the development of PGD include donor and recipient characteristics, but how multiple variables interact to impact the development of PGD and how clinicians should consider these in making decisions about donor acceptance remain unclear. This was a single-center retrospective cohort study to develop and evaluate machine learning pipelines to predict the development of PGD grade 3 within the first 72 hours of transplantation using donor and recipient variables that are known at the time of donor offer acceptance. Among 576 bilateral lung recipients, 173 (30%) developed PGD grade 3. The cohort underwent a 75% to 25% train-test split, and lasso regression was used to identify 11 variables for model development. A K-nearest neighbor's model showing the best calibration and performance with relatively small confidence intervals was selected as the final predictive model with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.65. Machine learning models can predict the risk for development of PGD grade 3 based on data available at the time of donor offer acceptance. This may improve donor-recipient matching and donor utilization in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew P Michelson
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA; Institute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Inez Oh
- Institute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Aditi Gupta
- Institute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA; Division of Biostatistics, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Varun Puri
- Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Daniel Kreisel
- Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Andrew E Gelman
- Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Ruben Nava
- Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Chad A Witt
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Derek E Byers
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Laura Halverson
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Rodrigo Vazquez-Guillamet
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Philip R O Payne
- Institute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Ramsey R Hachem
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri, USA.
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Luo X, Tahabi FM, Rollins DM, Sawchuk AP. Predicting future occlusion or stenosis of lower extremity bypass grafts using artificial intelligence to simultaneously analyze all flow velocities collected in current and previous ultrasound examinations. JVS Vasc Sci 2024; 5:100192. [PMID: 38455094 PMCID: PMC10918260 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvssci.2024.100192] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2023] [Accepted: 11/26/2023] [Indexed: 03/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective Routine surveillance with duplex ultrasound (DUS) examination is recommended after femoral-popliteal and femoral-tibial-pedal vein bypass grafts with various intervals postoperatively. The presently used methodology to analyze bypass graft DUS examination does not use all the available data and has been shown to have a significant rate for missing impending bypass graft failure. The objective of this research is to investigate recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to predict future bypass graft occlusion or stenosis. Methods This study includes DUS examinations of 663 patients who had bypass graft operations done between January 2009 and June 2022. Only examinations without missing values were included. We developed two RNNs (a bidirectional long short-term memory unit and a bidirectional gated recurrent unit) to predict bypass graft occlusion and stenosis based on peak systolic velocities collected in the 2 to 5 previous DUS examinations. We excluded the examinations with missing values and split our data into training and test sets. Then, we applied 10-fold cross-validation on training to optimize the hyperparameters and compared models using the test data. Results The bidirectional long short-term memory unit model can gain an overall sensitivity of 0.939, specificity of 0.963, and area under the curve of 0.950 on the prediction of bypass graft occlusion, and an overall sensitivity of 0.915, specificity of 0.909, and area under the curve of 0.912 predicting the development of a future critical stenosis. The results on different bypass types show that the system performs differently on different types. The results on subcohorts based on gender, smoking status, and comorbidities show that the performance on current smokers is lower than the never smoker. Conclusions We found that RNNs can gain good sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for the detection of impending bypass graft occlusion or the future development of a critical bypass graft stenosis using all the available peak systolic velocity data in the present and previous bypass graft DUS examinations. Integrating clinical data, including demographics, social determinants, medication, and other risk factors, together with the DUS examination may result in further improvements. Clinical Relevance Detecting bypass graft failure before it occurs is important clinically to prevent amputations, salvage limbs, and save lives. Current methods evaluating screening duplex ultrasound examinations have a significant failure rate for detecting a bypass graft at risk for failure. Artificial intelligence using recurrent neural networks has the potential to improve the detection of at-risk bypass graft before they fail. Additionally, artificial intelligence is in the news and is being applied to many fields. Vascular surgeons need to know its potential to improve vascular outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao Luo
- School of Engineering and Technology, Indiana University Purdue University at Indianapolis, Indianapolis, IN
| | - Fattah Muhammad Tahabi
- School of Engineering and Technology, Indiana University Purdue University at Indianapolis, Indianapolis, IN
| | | | - Alan P. Sawchuk
- Department of Surgery, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN
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Ding S, Tan Q, Chang CY, Zou N, Zhang K, Hoot NR, Jiang X, Hu X. Multi-Task Learning for Post-transplant Cause of Death Analysis: A Case Study on Liver Transplant. AMIA ... ANNUAL SYMPOSIUM PROCEEDINGS. AMIA SYMPOSIUM 2024; 2023:913-922. [PMID: 38222347 PMCID: PMC10785876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/16/2024]
Abstract
Organ transplant is the essential treatment method for some end-stage diseases, such as liver failure. Analyzing the post-transplant cause of death (CoD) after organ transplant provides a powerful tool for clinical decision making, including personalized treatment and organ allocation. However, traditional methods like Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and conventional machine learning (ML) methods are limited in CoD analysis due to two major data and model-related challenges. To address this, we propose a novel framework called CoD-MTL leveraging multi-task learning to model the semantic relationships between various CoD prediction tasks jointly. Specifically, we develop a novel tree distillation strategy for multi-task learning, which combines the strength of both the tree model and multi-task learning. Experimental results are presented to show the precise and reliable CoD predictions of our framework. A case study is conducted to demonstrate the clinical importance of our method in the liver transplant.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sirui Ding
- Texas A&M University, College station, TX, USA
| | - Qiaoyu Tan
- Texas A&M University, College station, TX, USA
| | | | - Na Zou
- Texas A&M University, College station, TX, USA
| | - Kai Zhang
- University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Nathan R Hoot
- McGovern Medical School, University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Xiaoqian Jiang
- University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Xia Hu
- Rice University, Houston, TX, USA
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Li C, Jiang X, Zhang K. A transformer-based deep learning approach for fairly predicting post-liver transplant risk factors. J Biomed Inform 2024; 149:104545. [PMID: 37992791 PMCID: PMC11619923 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbi.2023.104545] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2023] [Revised: 10/11/2023] [Accepted: 11/13/2023] [Indexed: 11/24/2023]
Abstract
Liver transplantation is a life-saving procedure for patients with end-stage liver disease. There are two main challenges in liver transplant: finding the best matching patient for a donor and ensuring transplant equity among different subpopulations. The current MELD scoring system evaluates a patient's mortality risk if not receiving an organ within 90 days. However, the donor-patient matching should also consider post-transplant risk factors, such as cardiovascular disease, chronic rejection, etc., which are all common complications after transplant. Accurate prediction of these risk scores remains a significant challenge. In this study, we used predictive models to solve the above challenges. Specifically, we proposed a deep learning model to predict multiple risk factors after a liver transplant. By formulating it as a multi-task learning problem, the proposed deep neural network was trained to simultaneously predict the five post-transplant risks and achieve equal good performance by exploiting task-balancing techniques. We also proposed a novel fairness-achieving algorithm to ensure prediction fairness across different subpopulations. We used electronic health records of 160,360 liver transplant patients, including demographic information, clinical variables, and laboratory values, collected from the liver transplant records of the United States from 1987 to 2018. The model's performance was evaluated using various performance metrics such as AUROC and AUPRC. Our experiment results highlighted the success of our multi-task model in achieving task balance while maintaining accuracy. The model significantly reduced the task discrepancy by 39 %. Further application of the fairness-achieving algorithm substantially reduced fairness disparity among all sensitive attributes (gender, age group, and race/ethnicity) in each risk factor. It underlined the potency of integrating fairness considerations into the task-balancing framework, ensuring robust and fair predictions across multiple tasks and diverse demographic groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Can Li
- Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Xiaoqian Jiang
- Department of Health Data Science and Artificial Intelligence, McWilliams School of Biomedical Informatics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Kai Zhang
- Department of Health Data Science and Artificial Intelligence, McWilliams School of Biomedical Informatics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
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Ge J, Digitale JC, Fenton C, McCulloch CE, Lai JC, Pletcher MJ, Gennatas ED. Predicting post-liver transplant outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure using Expert-Augmented Machine Learning. Am J Transplant 2023; 23:1908-1921. [PMID: 37652176 PMCID: PMC11018271 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajt.2023.08.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2023] [Revised: 08/04/2023] [Accepted: 08/25/2023] [Indexed: 09/01/2023]
Abstract
Liver transplantation (LT) is a treatment for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), but high post-LT mortality has been reported. Existing post-LT models in ACLF have been limited. We developed an Expert-Augmented Machine Learning (EAML) model to predict post-LT outcomes. We identified ACLF patients who underwent LT in the University of California Health Data Warehouse. We applied the RuleFit machine learning (ML) algorithm to extract rules from decision trees and create intermediate models. We asked human experts to rate the rules generated by RuleFit and incorporated these ratings to generate final EAML models. We identified 1384 ACLF patients. For death at 1 year, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve were 0.707 (confidence interval [CI] 0.625-0.793) for EAML and 0.719 (CI 0.640-0.800) for RuleFit. For death at 90 days, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve were 0.678 (CI 0.581-0.776) for EAML and 0.707 (CI 0.615-0.800) for RuleFit. In pairwise comparisons, both EAML and RuleFit models outperformed cross-sectional models. Significant discrepancies between experts and ML occurred in rankings of biomarkers used in clinical practice. EAML may serve as a method for ML-guided hypothesis generation in further ACLF research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Ge
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
| | - Jean C Digitale
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Cynthia Fenton
- Division of Hospital Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Charles E McCulloch
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Jennifer C Lai
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Mark J Pletcher
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Efstathios D Gennatas
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
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Drezga-Kleiminger M, Demaree-Cotton J, Koplin J, Savulescu J, Wilkinson D. Should AI allocate livers for transplant? Public attitudes and ethical considerations. BMC Med Ethics 2023; 24:102. [PMID: 38012660 PMCID: PMC10683249 DOI: 10.1186/s12910-023-00983-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2023] [Accepted: 11/14/2023] [Indexed: 11/29/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Allocation of scarce organs for transplantation is ethically challenging. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been proposed to assist in liver allocation, however the ethics of this remains unexplored and the view of the public unknown. The aim of this paper was to assess public attitudes on whether AI should be used in liver allocation and how it should be implemented. METHODS We first introduce some potential ethical issues concerning AI in liver allocation, before analysing a pilot survey including online responses from 172 UK laypeople, recruited through Prolific Academic. FINDINGS Most participants found AI in liver allocation acceptable (69.2%) and would not be less likely to donate their organs if AI was used in allocation (72.7%). Respondents thought AI was more likely to be consistent and less biased compared to humans, although were concerned about the "dehumanisation of healthcare" and whether AI could consider important nuances in allocation decisions. Participants valued accuracy, impartiality, and consistency in a decision-maker, more than interpretability and empathy. Respondents were split on whether AI should be trained on previous decisions or programmed with specific objectives. Whether allocation decisions were made by transplant committee or AI, participants valued consideration of urgency, survival likelihood, life years gained, age, future medication compliance, quality of life, future alcohol use and past alcohol use. On the other hand, the majority thought the following factors were not relevant to prioritisation: past crime, future crime, future societal contribution, social disadvantage, and gender. CONCLUSIONS There are good reasons to use AI in liver allocation, and our sample of participants appeared to support its use. If confirmed, this support would give democratic legitimacy to the use of AI in this context and reduce the risk that donation rates could be affected negatively. Our findings on specific ethical concerns also identify potential expectations and reservations laypeople have regarding AI in this area, which can inform how AI in liver allocation could be best implemented.
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Affiliation(s)
- Max Drezga-Kleiminger
- Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
- Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK
| | - Joanna Demaree-Cotton
- Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK
| | - Julian Koplin
- Monash Bioethics Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Julian Savulescu
- Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK
- Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia
- Centre for Biomedical Ethics, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Dominic Wilkinson
- Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
- Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK.
- Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia.
- Centre for Biomedical Ethics, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
- John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK.
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Sharma P, Arora A. Basic Understanding of Liver Transplant Immunology. J Clin Exp Hepatol 2023; 13:1091-1102. [PMID: 37975047 PMCID: PMC10643508 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2023.05.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2023] [Accepted: 05/14/2023] [Indexed: 11/19/2023] Open
Abstract
The liver is a specialized organ and plays an important role in our immune system. The liver constitutes parenchymal cells which are hepatocytes and cholangiocytes (60-80%) and non-parenchymal cells like liver sinusoidal endothelial cells (LSECs), hepatic satellite/Ito cells, Kupffer cells, neutrophils, mononuclear cells, T and B lymphocytes (conventional and non-conventional), natural killer cells, and natural killer T (NKT) cells. The liver mounts a rapid and strong immune response, under unfavorable conditions and acts as an immune tolerance to a variety of non-pathogenic antigens. This delicate and dynamic interaction between different kinds of immune cells in the liver maintains a balance between immune screening and immune tolerance. The liver allografts are privileged immunologically; however, allograft rejection is not uncommon and is classified as cell or antibody-mediated. Advancements in transplant immunology help in the prevention of allografts rejection by immune reactions of the host thus leading to better graft and host survival. Fewer patients may not require immunosuppression due to systemic donor-specific T-cell tolerance. The liver tolerance mechanism is poorly studied, and LSEC and unconventional lymphocytes play an important role that dampens T cell response either by inducing apoptosis of cells or inhibiting co-stimulatory pathways. Newer cell-based therapy based on Treg, dendritic cells, and mesenchymal stromal cells will probably change the future of immunosuppression. Various invasive and non-invasive biomarkers and artificial intelligence have also been investigated to predict graft survival, post-transplant complications, and immunotolerance in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Praveen Sharma
- Department of Gastroenterology, Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, New Delhi, India
| | - Anil Arora
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, New Delhi, India
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Schattenberg JM, Chalasani N, Alkhouri N. Artificial Intelligence Applications in Hepatology. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 21:2015-2025. [PMID: 37088460 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2023.04.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2022] [Revised: 03/16/2023] [Accepted: 04/14/2023] [Indexed: 04/25/2023]
Abstract
Over the past 2 decades, the field of hepatology has witnessed major developments in diagnostic tools, prognostic models, and treatment options making it one of the most complex medical subspecialties. Through artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, computers are now able to learn from complex and diverse clinical datasets to solve real-world medical problems with performance that surpasses that of physicians in certain areas. AI algorithms are currently being implemented in liver imaging, interpretation of liver histopathology, noninvasive tests, prediction models, and more. In this review, we provide a summary of the state of AI in hepatology and discuss current challenges for large-scale implementation including some ethical aspects. We emphasize to the readers that most AI-based algorithms that are discussed in this review are still considered in early development and their utility and impact on patient outcomes still need to be assessed in future large-scale and inclusive studies. Our vision is that the use of AI in hepatology will enhance physician performance, decrease the burden and time spent on documentation, and reestablish the personalized patient-physician relationship that is of utmost importance for obtaining good outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jörn M Schattenberg
- Metabolic Liver Research Program, I. Department of Medicine, University Medical Center Mainz, Mainz, Germany
| | - Naga Chalasani
- Indiana University School of Medicine and Indiana University Health, Indianapolis, Indiana
| | - Naim Alkhouri
- Arizona Liver Health and University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona.
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Feldman K, Baraboo J, Dinakarpandian D, Chan SS. Machine Learning Algorithm Improves the Prediction of Transplant Hepatic Artery Stenosis or Occlusion: A Single-Center Study. Ultrasound Q 2023; 39:86-94. [PMID: 36103456 DOI: 10.1097/ruq.0000000000000624] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
ABSTRACT The aim of this study was to determine if machine learning can improve the specificity of detecting transplant hepatic artery pathology over conventional quantitative measures while maintaining a high sensitivity.This study presents a retrospective review of 129 patients with transplanted hepatic arteries. We illustrate how beyond common clinical metrics such as stenosis and resistive index, a more comprehensive set of waveform data (including flow half-lives and Fourier transformed waveforms) can be integrated into machine learning models to obtain more accurate screening of stenosis and occlusion. We present a novel framework of Extremely Randomized Trees and Shapley values, we allow for explainability at the individual level.The proposed framework identified cases of clinically significant stenosis and occlusion in hepatic arteries with a state-of-the-art specificity of 65%, while maintaining sensitivity at the current standard of 94%. Moreover, through 3 case studies of correct and mispredictions, we demonstrate examples of how specific features can be elucidated to aid in interpreting driving factors in a prediction.This work demonstrated that by utilizing a more complete set of waveform data and machine learning methodologies, it is possible to reduce the rate of false-positive results in using ultrasounds to screen for transplant hepatic artery pathology compared with conventional quantitative measures. An advantage of such techniques is explainability measures at the patient level, which allow for increased radiologists' confidence in the predictions.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Justin Baraboo
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
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Bhat M, Rabindranath M, Chara BS, Simonetto DA. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, and deep learning in liver transplantation. J Hepatol 2023; 78:1216-1233. [PMID: 37208107 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2023.01.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 37.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2022] [Revised: 01/11/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving treatment for individuals with end-stage liver disease. The management of LT recipients is complex, predominantly because of the need to consider demographic, clinical, laboratory, pathology, imaging, and omics data in the development of an appropriate treatment plan. Current methods to collate clinical information are susceptible to some degree of subjectivity; thus, clinical decision-making in LT could benefit from the data-driven approach offered by artificial intelligence (AI). Machine learning and deep learning could be applied in both the pre- and post-LT settings. Some examples of AI applications pre-transplant include optimising transplant candidacy decision-making and donor-recipient matching to reduce waitlist mortality and improve post-transplant outcomes. In the post-LT setting, AI could help guide the management of LT recipients, particularly by predicting patient and graft survival, along with identifying risk factors for disease recurrence and other associated complications. Although AI shows promise in medicine, there are limitations to its clinical deployment which include dataset imbalances for model training, data privacy issues, and a lack of available research practices to benchmark model performance in the real world. Overall, AI tools have the potential to enhance personalised clinical decision-making, especially in the context of liver transplant medicine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mamatha Bhat
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Toronto General Hospital Research Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Madhumitha Rabindranath
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Toronto General Hospital Research Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Beatriz Sordi Chara
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Douglas A Simonetto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Rogers MP, Janjua HM, Read M, Cios K, Kundu MG, Pietrobon R, Kuo PC. Recipient Survival after Orthotopic Liver Transplantation: Interpretable Machine Learning Survival Tree Algorithm for Patient-Specific Outcomes. J Am Coll Surg 2023; 236:563-572. [PMID: 36728472 DOI: 10.1097/xcs.0000000000000545] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Elucidating contributors affecting liver transplant survival is paramount. Current methods offer crude global group outcomes. To refine patient-specific mortality probability estimation and to determine covariate interaction using recipient and donor data, we generated a survival tree algorithm, Recipient Survival After Orthotopic Liver Transplantation (ReSOLT), using United Network Organ Sharing (UNOS) transplant data. STUDY DESIGN The UNOS database was queried for liver transplants in patients ≥18 years old between 2000 and 2021. Preoperative factors were evaluated with stepwise logistic regression; 43 significant factors were used in survival tree modeling. Graft survival of <7 days was excluded. The data were split into training and testing sets and further validated with 10-fold cross-validation. Survival tree pruning and model selection was achieved based on Akaike information criterion and log-likelihood values. Log-rank pairwise comparisons between subgroups and estimated survival probabilities were calculated. RESULTS A total of 122,134 liver transplant patients were included for modeling. Multivariable logistic regression (area under the curve = 0.742, F1 = 0.822) and survival tree modeling returned 8 significant recipient survival factors: recipient age, donor age, recipient primary payment, recipient hepatitis C status, recipient diabetes, recipient functional status at registration and at transplantation, and deceased donor pulmonary infection. Twenty subgroups consisting of combinations of these factors were identified with distinct Kaplan-Meier survival curves (p < 0.001 among all by log rank test) with 5- and 10-year survival probabilities. CONCLUSIONS Survival trees are a flexible and effective approach to understand the effects and interactions of covariates on survival. Individualized survival probability following liver transplant is possible with ReSOLT, allowing for more coherent patient and family counseling and prediction of patient outcome using both recipient and donor factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael P Rogers
- From the OnetoMAP Analytics, Department of Surgery, University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine, Tampa, FL (Rogers, Janjua, Read, Cios, Kuo)
| | - Haroon M Janjua
- From the OnetoMAP Analytics, Department of Surgery, University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine, Tampa, FL (Rogers, Janjua, Read, Cios, Kuo)
| | - Meagan Read
- From the OnetoMAP Analytics, Department of Surgery, University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine, Tampa, FL (Rogers, Janjua, Read, Cios, Kuo)
| | - Konrad Cios
- From the OnetoMAP Analytics, Department of Surgery, University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine, Tampa, FL (Rogers, Janjua, Read, Cios, Kuo)
| | | | | | - Paul C Kuo
- From the OnetoMAP Analytics, Department of Surgery, University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine, Tampa, FL (Rogers, Janjua, Read, Cios, Kuo)
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Gary PJ, Lal A, Simonetto DA, Gajic O, Gallo de Moraes A. Acute on chronic liver failure: prognostic models and artificial intelligence applications. Hepatol Commun 2023; 7:e0095. [PMID: 36972378 PMCID: PMC10043584 DOI: 10.1097/hc9.0000000000000095] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2022] [Accepted: 01/04/2023] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Critically ill patients presenting with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) represent a particularly vulnerable population due to various considerations surrounding the syndrome definition, lack of robust prospective evaluation of outcomes, and allocation of resources such as organs for transplantation. Ninety-day mortality related to ACLF is high and patients who do leave the hospital are frequently readmitted. Artificial intelligence (AI), which encompasses various classical and modern machine learning techniques, natural language processing, and other methods of predictive, prognostic, probabilistic, and simulation modeling, has emerged as an effective tool in various areas of healthcare. These methods are now being leveraged to potentially minimize physician and provider cognitive load and impact both short-term and long-term patient outcomes. However, the enthusiasm is tempered by ethical considerations and a current lack of proven benefits. In addition to prognostic applications, AI models can likely help improve the understanding of various mechanisms of morbidity and mortality in ACLF. Their overall impact on patient-centered outcomes and countless other aspects of patient care remains unclear. In this review, we discuss various AI approaches being utilized in healthcare and discuss the recent and expected future impact of AI on patients with ACLF through prognostic modeling and AI-based approaches.
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Affiliation(s)
- Phillip J. Gary
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Amos Lal
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Douglas A. Simonetto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Ognjen Gajic
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Alice Gallo de Moraes
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Artificial Intelligence-The Rising Star in the Field of Gastroenterology and Hepatology. Diagnostics (Basel) 2023; 13:diagnostics13040662. [PMID: 36832150 PMCID: PMC9955763 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics13040662] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2022] [Revised: 01/31/2023] [Accepted: 02/07/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a term that covers a multitude of techniques that are used in a manner that tries to reproduce human intelligence. AI is helpful in various medical specialties that use imaging for diagnostic purposes, and gastroenterology is no exception. In this field, AI has several applications, such as detecting and classifying polyps, detecting the malignancy in polyps, diagnosing Helicobacter pylori infection, gastritis, inflammatory bowel disease, gastric cancer, esophageal neoplasia, and pancreatic and hepatic lesions. The aim of this mini-review is to analyze the currently available studies regarding AI in the field of gastroenterology and hepatology and to discuss its main applications as well as its main limitations.
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Chung YH, Jung J, Kim SH. Mortality scoring systems for liver transplant recipients: before and after model for end-stage liver disease score. Anesth Pain Med (Seoul) 2023; 18:21-28. [PMID: 36746898 PMCID: PMC9902634 DOI: 10.17085/apm.22258] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2022] [Accepted: 01/13/2023] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
The mortality scoring systems for patients with end-stage liver disease have evolved from the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score to the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, affecting the wait list for liver allocation. There are inherent weaknesses in the MELD score, with the gradual decline in its accuracy owing to changes in patient demographics or treatment options. Continuous refinement of the MELD score is in progress; however, both advantages and disadvantages exist. Recently, attempts have been made to introduce artificial intelligence into mortality prediction; however, many challenges must still be overcome. More research is needed to improve the accuracy of mortality prediction in liver transplant recipients.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Sang Hyun Kim
- Corresponding Author: Sang Hyun Kim, M.D., Ph.D. Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, 170 Jomaru-ro, Wonmi-gu, Bucheon 14584, Korea Tel: 82-32-621-5328 Fax: 82-32-621-5322 E-mail:
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Ivanics T, So D, Claasen MPAW, Wallace D, Patel MS, Gravely A, Choi WJ, Shwaartz C, Walker K, Erdman L, Sapisochin G. Machine learning-based mortality prediction models using national liver transplantation registries are feasible but have limited utility across countries. Am J Transplant 2023; 23:64-71. [PMID: 36695623 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajt.2022.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2022] [Revised: 10/04/2022] [Accepted: 10/14/2022] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
Many countries curate national registries of liver transplant (LT) data. These registries are often used to generate predictive models; however, potential performance and transferability of these models remain unclear. We used data from 3 national registries and developed machine learning algorithm (MLA)-based models to predict 90-day post-LT mortality within and across countries. Predictive performance and external validity of each model were assessed. Prospectively collected data of adult patients (aged ≥18 years) who underwent primary LTs between January 2008 and December 2018 from the Canadian Organ Replacement Registry (Canada), National Health Service Blood and Transplantation (United Kingdom), and United Network for Organ Sharing (United States) were used to develop MLA models to predict 90-day post-LT mortality. Models were developed using each registry individually (based on variables inherent to the individual databases) and using all 3 registries combined (variables in common between the registries [harmonized]). The model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. The number of patients included was as follows: Canada, n = 1214; the United Kingdom, n = 5287; and the United States, n = 59,558. The best performing MLA-based model was ridge regression across both individual registries and harmonized data sets. Model performance diminished from individualized to the harmonized registries, especially in Canada (individualized ridge: AUROC, 0.74; range, 0.73-0.74; harmonized: AUROC, 0.68; range, 0.50-0.73) and US (individualized ridge: AUROC, 0.71; range, 0.70-0.71; harmonized: AUROC, 0.66; range, 0.66-0.66) data sets. External model performance across countries was poor overall. MLA-based models yield a fair discriminatory potential when used within individual databases. However, the external validity of these models is poor when applied across countries. Standardization of registry-based variables could facilitate the added value of MLA-based models in informing decision making in future LTs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tommy Ivanics
- Multi-Organ Transplant Program, University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Surgery, Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, Michigan, USA; Department of Surgical Sciences, Akademiska Sjukhuset, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Delvin So
- The Centre of Computational Medicine, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Marco P A W Claasen
- Multi-Organ Transplant Program, University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Surgery, division of HPB & Transplant Surgery, Erasmus MC Transplant Institute, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - David Wallace
- Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Madhukar S Patel
- Division of Surgical Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Annabel Gravely
- Multi-Organ Transplant Program, University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Woo Jin Choi
- Multi-Organ Transplant Program, University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Chaya Shwaartz
- Multi-Organ Transplant Program, University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Kate Walker
- Department of Nephrology and Transplantation, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Lauren Erdman
- The Centre of Computational Medicine, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Gonzalo Sapisochin
- Multi-Organ Transplant Program, University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
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Predicting graft failure in pediatric liver transplantation based on early biomarkers using machine learning models. Sci Rep 2022; 12:22411. [PMID: 36575218 PMCID: PMC9794703 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-25900-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2022] [Accepted: 12/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
The early detection of graft failure in pediatric liver transplantation is crucial for appropriate intervention. Graft failure is associated with numerous perioperative risk factors. This study aimed to develop an individualized predictive model for 90-days graft failure in pediatric liver transplantation using machine learning methods. We conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study. A total of 87 liver transplantation cases performed in patients aged < 12 years at the Severance Hospital between January 2010 and September 2020 were included as data samples. Preoperative conditions of recipients and donors, intraoperative care, postoperative serial laboratory parameters, and events observed within seven days of surgery were collected as features. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) -based method was used for feature selection to overcome the high dimensionality and collinearity of variables. Among 146 features, four variables were selected as the resultant features, namely, preoperative hepatic encephalopathy, sodium level at the end of surgery, hepatic artery thrombosis, and total bilirubin level on postoperative day 7. These features were selected from different times and represent distinct clinical aspects. The model with logistic regression demonstrated the best prediction performance among various machine learning methods tested (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) = 0.898 and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPR) = 0.882). The risk scoring system developed based on the logistic regression model showed an AUROC of 0.910 and an AUPR of 0.830. Together, the prediction of graft failure in pediatric liver transplantation using the proposed machine learning model exhibited superior discrimination power and, therefore, can provide valuable information to clinicians for their decision making during the postoperative management of the patients.
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Zhang X, Gavaldà R, Baixeries J. Interpretable prediction of mortality in liver transplant recipients based on machine learning. Comput Biol Med 2022; 151:106188. [PMID: 36306583 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2022.106188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/08/2022] [Revised: 09/24/2022] [Accepted: 10/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Accurate prediction of the mortality of post-liver transplantation is an important but challenging task. It relates to optimizing organ allocation and estimating the risk of possible dysfunction. Existing risk scoring models, such as the Balance of Risk (BAR) score and the Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplantation (SOFT) score, do not predict the mortality of post-liver transplantation with sufficient accuracy. In this study, we evaluate the performance of machine learning models and establish an explainable machine learning model for predicting mortality in liver transplant recipients. METHOD The optimal feature set for the prediction of the mortality was selected by a wrapper method based on binary particle swarm optimization (BPSO). With the selected optimal feature set, seven machine learning models were applied to predict mortality over different time windows. The best-performing model was used to predict mortality through a comprehensive comparison and evaluation. An interpretable approach based on machine learning and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) is used to explicitly explain the model's decision and make new discoveries. RESULTS With regard to predictive power, our results demonstrated that the feature set selected by BPSO outperformed both the feature set in the existing risk score model (BAR score, SOFT score) and the feature set processed by principal component analysis (PCA). The best-performing model, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), was found to improve the Area Under a Curve (AUC) values for mortality prediction by 6.7%, 11.6%, and 17.4% at 3 months, 3 years, and 10 years, respectively, compared to the SOFT score. The main predictors of mortality and their impact were discussed for different age groups and different follow-up periods. CONCLUSIONS Our analysis demonstrates that XGBoost can be an ideal method to assess the mortality risk in liver transplantation. In combination with the SHAP approach, the proposed framework provides a more intuitive and comprehensive interpretation of the predictive model, thereby allowing the clinician to better understand the decision-making process of the model and the impact of factors associated with mortality risk in liver transplantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao Zhang
- Department of Computer Science, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, 08034, Spain.
| | | | - Jaume Baixeries
- Department of Computer Science, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, 08034, Spain
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Crossroads in Liver Transplantation: Is Artificial Intelligence the Key to Donor-Recipient Matching? MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2022; 58:medicina58121743. [PMID: 36556945 PMCID: PMC9783019 DOI: 10.3390/medicina58121743] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2022] [Revised: 11/16/2022] [Accepted: 11/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Liver transplantation outcomes have improved in recent years. However, with the emergence of expanded donor criteria, tools to better assist donor-recipient matching have become necessary. Most of the currently proposed scores based on conventional biostatistics are not good classifiers of a problem that is considered "unbalanced." In recent years, the implementation of artificial intelligence in medicine has experienced exponential growth. Deep learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, may be the answer to this classification problem. The ability to handle a large number of variables with speed, objectivity, and multi-objective analysis is one of its advantages. Artificial neural networks and random forests have been the most widely used deep classifiers in this field. This review aims to give a brief overview of D-R matching and its evolution in recent years and how artificial intelligence may be able to provide a solution.
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50
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Tonon M, Moreau R. Using machine learning for predicting outcomes in ACLF. Liver Int 2022; 42:2354-2355. [PMID: 36162084 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15399] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2022] [Accepted: 08/13/2022] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Marta Tonon
- Unit of Internal Medicine and Hepatology, University Hospital of Padova, Padova, Italy
| | - Richard Moreau
- European Foundation for the Study of Chronic Liver Failure (EF CLIF), Barcelona, Spain.,INSERM, Université de Paris Cité, Centre de Recherche sur l'Inflammation (CRI), Paris, France.,Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), and Hôpital Beaujon, Service d'Hépatologie, Clichy, France
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