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Ma FC, Zhang GL, Chi BT, Tang YL, Peng W, Liu AQ, Chen G, Gao JB, Wei DM, Ge LY. Blood-based machine learning classifiers for early diagnosis of gastric cancer via multiple miRNAs. World J Gastrointest Oncol 2025; 17:103679. [DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v17.i4.103679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2024] [Revised: 01/16/2025] [Accepted: 02/11/2025] [Indexed: 03/25/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early screening methods for gastric cancer (GC) are lacking; therefore, the disease often progresses to an advanced stage when patients first start to exhibit typical symptoms. Endoscopy and pathological biopsy remain the primary diagnostic approaches, but they are invasive and not yet widely applicable for early population screening. miRNA is a highly conserved type of RNA that exists stably in plasma. Dysfunction of miRNA is linked to tumorigenesis and progression, indicating that individual miRNAs or combinations of multiple miRNAs may serve as potential biomarkers.
AIM To identify effective plasma miRNA biomarkers and investigate the clinical value of combining multiple miRNAs for early detection of GC.
METHODS Plasma samples from multiple centres were collected. Differentially expressed genes among healthy controls, early-stage GC patients, and advanced-stage GC patients were identified through small RNA sequencing (sRNA-seq) and validated via real-time quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). A Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used to investigate the differences in miRNAs. Sequencing datasets of GC serum samples were retrieved from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO), ArrayExpress, and The Cancer Genome Atlas databases, and a multilayer perceptron-artificial neural network (MLP-ANN) model was constructed for the key risk miRNAs. The pROC package was used to assess the discriminatory efficacy of the model.
RESULTS Plasma samples of 107 normal, 71 early GC and 97 advanced GC patients were obtained from three centres, and serum samples of 8443 normal and 1583 GC patients were obtained from the GEO database. The sRNA-seq and RT-qPCR experiments revealed that miR-452-5p, miR-5010-5p, miR-27b-5p, miR-5189-5p, miR-552-5p and miR-199b-5p were significantly increased in early GC patients compared with healthy controls and in advanced GC patients compared with early GC patients (P < 0.05). An MLP-ANN model was constructed for the six key miRNAs. The area under the curve (AUC) within the training cohort was 0.983 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.980–0.986]. In the two validation cohorts, the AUCs were 0.995 (95%CI: 0.987 to nearly 1.000) and 0.979 (95%CI: 0.972–0.986), respectively.
CONCLUSION Potential miRNA biomarkers, including miR-452-5p, miR-5010-5p, miR-27b-5p, miR-5189-5p, miR-552-5p and miR-199b-5p, were identified. A GC classifier based on these miRNAs was developed, benefiting early detection and population screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fu-Chao Ma
- Department of Medical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Guan-Lan Zhang
- Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Bang-Teng Chi
- Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Yu-Lu Tang
- Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Wei Peng
- Department of Medical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Ai-Qun Liu
- Department of Endoscopy, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Gang Chen
- Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Jin-Biao Gao
- Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Dan-Ming Wei
- Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Lian-Ying Ge
- Department of Endoscopy, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
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Guan G, Coates DE, Sun Q, Cannon RD, Mei L. Atomic Force Microscopy for Revealing Oncological Nanomechanobiology and Thermodynamics. ACS NANO 2025; 19:10862-10877. [PMID: 40084655 DOI: 10.1021/acsnano.4c14837] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/16/2025]
Abstract
Atomic force microscopy (AFM) is powerful nanobiotechnology for characterizing the nanotopographic and nanobiomechanical properties of live cells. Current limitations in AFM analysis of nanomechanobiology include the unjustified selection of nesting indices and filters, leading to the inaccurate reporting of waviness and roughness parameters, and inadequacies in the selection of the mathematical model for the Young's modulus. Critical biomechanical factors such as total deformation energy, elastic energy, and plastic energy are often overlooked. Here we refine and optimize the selection of the nesting index and filters for cellular analysis and develop an artificial intelligence-based classifier that can differentiate between normal and cancer cells. The application of AFM for detecting surface waviness and roughness, further enhanced by artificial intelligence (AI), represents a substantial advancement in cancer diagnostics. Although still in the experimental phase, AFM holds the potential to revolutionize cell biology and oncology by facilitating early cancer detection and advancing precision medicine. Moreover, this study's innovative exploration of the relationship between cellular nanomechanobiology and thermodynamics introduces important perspectives on cancer cell behavior at the nanoscale, unlocking opportunities for therapeutic interventions and cutting-edge oncological research. This paradigm shift may significantly influence the future trajectory of cancer biology and therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guangzhao Guan
- Department of Oral Diagnostic and Surgical Sciences, Sir John Walsh Research Institute, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Otago, Dunedin 9016, New Zealand
| | - Dawn E Coates
- Sir John Walsh Research Institute, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand
| | - Qing Sun
- Department of Oral Diagnostic and Surgical Sciences, Sir John Walsh Research Institute, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Otago, Dunedin 9016, New Zealand
| | - Richard D Cannon
- Department of Oral Sciences, Sir John Walsh Research Institute, University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand
| | - Li Mei
- Department of Oral Sciences, Sir John Walsh Research Institute, University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand
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Sciuto A, Fattori S, Abubaker F, Arjmand S, Catalano R, Chatzipapas K, Cuttone G, Farokhi F, Guarrera M, Hassan A, Incerti S, Kurmanova A, Oliva D, Pappalardo AD, Petringa G, Sakata D, Tran HN, Cirrone GAP. GANDALF: Generative ANsatz for DNA damage evALuation and Forecast. A neural network-based regression for estimating early DNA damage across micro-nano scales. Phys Med 2025; 133:104953. [PMID: 40117723 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejmp.2025.104953] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2024] [Revised: 02/27/2025] [Accepted: 03/10/2025] [Indexed: 03/23/2025] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE This study aims to develop a comprehensive simulation framework to connect radiation effects from the microscopic to the nanoscopic scale. METHOD The process begins with a Geant4-DNA simulation based on the example "molecularDNA", producing a dataset of twelve different types of early DNA damages within an Escherichia coli (E. coli) bacterium, generated by proton irradiation at different kinetic energies, giving a nano-scale view of the particle-matter interaction. Then we pass to the micro-scale with a Geant4 simulation, based on the example "radiobiology", providing a microscopic view of proton interactions with matter through the Linear Energy Transfer (LET). Then GANDALF (Generative ANsatz for DNA damage evALuation and Forecast) Machine Learning (ML) toolkit, a Neural Network (NN)-based regression system, is employed to correlate the micro-scale LET data with the nano-scale occurrences of DNA damages in the E. coli bacterium. RESULTS The trained ML algorithm provides a practical tool to convert LET curves versus depth in a water phantom into DNA damage curves for twelve distinct types of DNA damage. To assess the performance, we evaluated the choice and optimization of the regression system based on its interpolation and extrapolation capabilities, ensuring the model could reliably predict DNA damage under various conditions. CONCLUSIONS Through the synergistic integration of Geant4, Geant4-DNA and ML, the study provides a tool to easily convert the results at the micro-scale of Geant4 to those at the nano-scale of Geant4-DNA without having to deal with the high CPU time requirements of the latter.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alberto Sciuto
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | - Serena Fattori
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy.
| | - Farmesk Abubaker
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy; Charmo University, 46023, Chamchamal, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
| | - Sahar Arjmand
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | - Roberto Catalano
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | | | - Giacomo Cuttone
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | - Fateme Farokhi
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | | | - Ali Hassan
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | | | - Alma Kurmanova
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy; Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia "Ettore Majorana", Università di Catania, via S.Sofia 64, Catania, Italy
| | - Demetrio Oliva
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | | | - Giada Petringa
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy
| | - Dousatsu Sakata
- Division of Health Sciences, Osaka University, Osaka 565-0871, Japan; School of Physics, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; Centre For Medical Radiation Physics, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
| | - Hoang N Tran
- Univ. Bordeaux, CNRS, LP2I, UMR 5797, F-33170 Gradignan, France
| | - G A Pablo Cirrone
- INFN Laboratori Nazionali del Sud, via S.Sofia 62, 95123 Catania, Italy; Centro Siciliano di Fisica Nucleare e Struttura della Materia, via S. Sofia 64 Catania 95123, Italy
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Li Y, Jin N, Zhan Q, Huang Y, Sun A, Yin F, Li Z, Hu J, Liu Z. Machine learning-based risk predictive models for diabetic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2025; 16:1495306. [PMID: 40099258 PMCID: PMC11911190 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2025.1495306] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/13/2025] [Indexed: 03/19/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Machine learning (ML) models are being increasingly employed to predict the risk of developing and progressing diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, the performance of these models still varies, which limits their widespread adoption and practical application. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize and evaluate the performance and clinical applicability of these risk predictive models and to identify key research gaps. Methods We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the performance of ML predictive models. We searched PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science for English-language studies using ML algorithms to predict the risk of DKD in patients with T2DM, covering the period from database inception to April 18, 2024. The primary performance metric for the models was the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) checklist. Results 26 studies that met the eligibility criteria were included into the meta-analysis. 25 studies performed internal validation, but only 8 studies conducted external validation. A total of 94 ML models were developed, with 81 models evaluated in the internal validation sets and 13 in the external validation sets. The pooled AUC was 0.839 (95% CI 0.787-0.890) in the internal validation and 0.830 (95% CI 0.784-0.877) in the external validation sets. Subgroup analysis based on the type of ML showed that the pooled AUC for traditional regression ML was 0.797 (95% CI 0.777-0.816), for ML was 0.811 (95% CI 0.785-0.836), and for deep learning was 0.863 (95% CI 0.825-0.900). A total of 26 ML models were included, and the AUCs of models that were used three or more times were pooled. Among them, the random forest (RF) models demonstrated the best performance with a pooled AUC of 0.848 (95% CI 0.785-0.911). Conclusion This meta-analysis demonstrates that ML exhibit high performance in predicting DKD risk in T2DM patients. However, challenges related to data bias during model development and validation still need to be addressed. Future research should focus on enhancing data transparency and standardization, as well as validating these models' generalizability through multicenter studies. Systematic Review Registration https://inplasy.com/inplasy-2024-9-0038/, identifier INPLASY202490038.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yihan Li
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Nan Jin
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Qiuzhong Zhan
- Faculty of Chinese Medicine, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macao, Macao SAR, China
| | - Yue Huang
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Aochuan Sun
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
- Graduate School of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Fen Yin
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
- Graduate School of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Zhuangzhuang Li
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Jiayu Hu
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Zhengtang Liu
- Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
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Zhu X, Ventura EF, Bansal S, Wijeyesekera A, Vimaleswaran KS. Integrating genetics, metabolites, and clinical characteristics in predicting cardiometabolic health outcomes using machine learning algorithms - A systematic review. Comput Biol Med 2025; 186:109661. [PMID: 39799831 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2025.109661] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2024] [Revised: 01/02/2025] [Accepted: 01/06/2025] [Indexed: 01/15/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Machine learning (ML) integration of clinical, metabolite, and genetic data reveals variable results in predicting cardiometabolic health (CMH) outcomes. Therefore, we aim to (1) evaluate whether a multi-modal approach incorporating all three data types using ML algorithms can improve CMH outcome prediction compared to single-modal or paired-modal models, and (2) compare the methodologies used in existing prediction models. METHODS We systematically searched five databases from 1998 to 2024 for ML predictive modelling studies using the multi-modal approach for CMH outcomes. Risk-of-bias assessment tools were used to assess methodological quality. Study characteristics, ML algorithms, data preprocessing, evaluation methods and metrics, feature selections, and feature importance parameters were synthesized narratively to show methodological heterogeneity. RESULTS Of the four included studies (3 ML algorithms), three were at low risk of bias, and one was at high risk. The multi-modal approach consistently improved T2D and BP prediction compared to single-modal or paired-modal models. Genetics showed the lowest predictive performance in three studies. Logistic regression (n = 2 studies) and random forest (n = 1) were used in T2D studies, while XGBoost was used in one BP study. One study with missing data and variations in feature selection across all studies hindered a comprehensive comparison of feature importance. CONCLUSIONS Our review emphasizes the potential improvement in T2D and BP prediction using ML algorithms with the multi-modal approach. However, further studies using diverse ML algorithms with optimized methodologies on single-modal, paired-modal, and multi-modal models are needed to gain insights into biomarker selection for predicting CMH outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xianyu Zhu
- Hugh Sinclair Unit of Human Nutrition, Department of Food and Nutritional Sciences and Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Research (ICMR), University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6DZ, UK
| | - Eduard F Ventura
- Institute of Agrochemistry and Food Technology-National Research Council (IATA-CSIC), Department of Biotechnology, Av. Agustin Escardino 7, 46980, Valencia, Spain
| | - Sakshi Bansal
- Hugh Sinclair Unit of Human Nutrition, Department of Food and Nutritional Sciences and Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Research (ICMR), University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6DZ, UK
| | - Anisha Wijeyesekera
- Food Microbial Sciences Unit, Department of Food and Nutritional Sciences, School of Chemistry, Food and Pharmacy, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6DZ, UK
| | - Karani S Vimaleswaran
- Hugh Sinclair Unit of Human Nutrition, Department of Food and Nutritional Sciences and Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Research (ICMR), University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6DZ, UK; Institute for Food, Nutrition and Health (IFNH), University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AH, UK.
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Taithongchai A, Reid F, Agro EF, Rosato E, Bianchi D, Serati M, Da Silva AS, Giarenis I, Robinson D, Abrams P. Are We Able to Optimize Outcomes and Predict Complications in Pelvic Floor Surgery With a Better Understanding of Hormonal, Microbial and Other Factors? A Report From the ICI-RS 2024. Neurourol Urodyn 2025; 44:668-675. [PMID: 39704249 DOI: 10.1002/nau.25645] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2024] [Accepted: 11/21/2024] [Indexed: 12/21/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Pelvic organ prolapse (POP) is a common condition, affecting women worldwide and is known to have a significant impact on Health Related Quality of Life (HRQoL). Although there are various treatment options available, including pelvic floor muscle training and support pessaries, many women opt for or require surgery, with a lifetime risk of needing surgery of 12%-19%. As with any operation, this does not come without its complications and the reoperation rate following POP surgery is up to 36%. This International Consultation on Incontinence-Research Society (ICI-RS) report aims to look at the different factors which may play a role in objective and subjective outcomes following pelvic floor surgery and to summarize the evidence and uncertainties regarding prediction of POP surgical outcomes, how to optimize them and the tools available to predict them. Research question proposals to further this field have been highlighted. METHODS At ICI-RS 2024, the evidence for predicting the outcomes from POP surgery and methods to optimize outcomes were discussed and presented in this paper. RESULTS There are many reasons why POP surgery may fail, such as variations in lifestyle and occupation, persistent constipation, failure in the perineal body, connective tissue types or the shape of the pelvis. There may also be inherent conditions of the vagina, such as hormonal or microbial features. The literature lacks evidence about the potential use of advanced statistical modeling or supervised machine learning in the development of management plans for patients with POP. Furthermore, future research is needed to determine the role of UDS in the preoperative evaluation of POP patients. CONCLUSIONS High-quality powered studies are required to assess optimization for long-term outcomes of pelvic surgery and then, once these are well established, and possible interventions are elucidated, prediction modeling can have a real impact clinically.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Taithongchai
- Department of Urogynaecology, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - F Reid
- University of Manchester Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - E Finazzi Agro
- Department of Surgical Sciences, Policlinico Tor Vergata University Hospital, University of Rome "Tor Vergata" and Unit of Urology, Rome, Italy
| | - E Rosato
- Department of Surgical Sciences, Policlinico Tor Vergata University Hospital, University of Rome "Tor Vergata" and Unit of Urology, Rome, Italy
| | - D Bianchi
- Department of Surgical Sciences, Policlinico Tor Vergata University Hospital, University of Rome "Tor Vergata" and Unit of Urology, Rome, Italy
| | - M Serati
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Del Ponte Hospital, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
| | - A S Da Silva
- Department of Urogynaecology, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - I Giarenis
- Department of Urogynaecology, Norfolk and Norwich Hospital, Norwich, UK
| | - D Robinson
- Department of Urogynaecology, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - P Abrams
- Department of Urology, Bristol Urological Institute, Bristol, UK
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Ge W, De Silva R, Fan Y, Sisson SA, Stenzel MH. Machine Learning in Polymer Research. ADVANCED MATERIALS (DEERFIELD BEACH, FLA.) 2025; 37:e2413695. [PMID: 39924835 PMCID: PMC11923530 DOI: 10.1002/adma.202413695] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2024] [Revised: 12/21/2024] [Indexed: 02/11/2025]
Abstract
Machine learning is increasingly being applied in polymer chemistry to link chemical structures to macroscopic properties of polymers and to identify chemical patterns in the polymer structures that help improve specific properties. To facilitate this, a chemical dataset needs to be translated into machine readable descriptors. However, limited and inadequately curated datasets, broad molecular weight distributions, and irregular polymer configurations pose significant challenges. Most off the shelf mathematical models often need refinement for specific applications. Addressing these challenges demand a close collaboration between chemists and mathematicians as chemists must formulate research questions in mathematical terms while mathematicians are required to refine models for specific applications. This review unites both disciplines to address dataset curation hurdles and highlight advances in polymer synthesis and modeling that enhance data availability. It then surveys ML approaches used to predict solid-state properties, solution behavior, composite performance, and emerging applications such as drug delivery and the polymer-biology interface. A perspective of the field is concluded and the importance of FAIR (findability, accessibility, interoperability, and reusability) data and the integration of polymer theory and data are discussed, and the thoughts on the machine-human interface are shared.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Ge
- School of Chemistry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
- School of Mathematics and Statistics and UNSW Data Science Hub, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
| | - Ramindu De Silva
- School of Chemistry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
- School of Mathematics and Statistics and UNSW Data Science Hub, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
- Data61, CSIRO, Sydney, NSW, 2015, Australia
| | - Yanan Fan
- School of Mathematics and Statistics and UNSW Data Science Hub, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
- Data61, CSIRO, Sydney, NSW, 2015, Australia
| | - Scott A Sisson
- School of Mathematics and Statistics and UNSW Data Science Hub, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
| | - Martina H Stenzel
- School of Chemistry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2052, Australia
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Zhu X, Li C, Wang X, Yang Z, Liu Y, Zhao L, Zhang X, Peng Y, Li X, Yi H, Guan J, Yin S, Xu H. Accessible moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea screening tool using multidimensional obesity indicators as compact representations. iScience 2025; 28:111841. [PMID: 39981513 PMCID: PMC11841217 DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.111841] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2024] [Revised: 08/27/2024] [Accepted: 01/16/2025] [Indexed: 02/22/2025] Open
Abstract
Many obesity indicators have been linked to adiposity and its distribution. Utilizing a combination of multidimensional obesity indicators may yield different values to assess the risk of moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). We aimed to develop and validate the performances of automated machine-learning models for moderate-to-severe OSA, employing multidimensional obesity indicators as compact representations. We trained, validated, and tested models with logistic regression and other 5 machine learning algorithms on the clinical dataset and a community dataset. Light gradient boosting machine (LGB) had better performance of calibration and clinical utility than other algorithms in both clinical and community datasets. The model with the LGB algorithm demonstrated the feasibility of predicting moderate-to-severe OSA with considerable accuracy using 19 obesity indicators in clinical and community settings. The useable interface with deployment of the best performing model could scale-up well into real-word practice and help effectively detection for undiagnosed moderate-to-severe OSA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoyue Zhu
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Chenyang Li
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaoting Wang
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhipeng Yang
- School of Software, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yupu Liu
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Lei Zhao
- School of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, New Cornerstone Science Laboratory, Frontiers Science Center for Transformative Molecules, National Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaoman Zhang
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu Peng
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xinyi Li
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Hongliang Yi
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jian Guan
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Shankai Yin
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Huajun Xu
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Sleep Disordered Breathing, Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Otolaryngological Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
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Sharma M, Goel S, Elias AA. Predictive modeling of soil profiles for precision agriculture: a case study in safflower cultivation environments. Sci Rep 2025; 15:44. [PMID: 39747163 PMCID: PMC11696571 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-83551-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2024] [Accepted: 12/16/2024] [Indexed: 01/04/2025] Open
Abstract
Evaluating high-throughput soil profile information is essential in safflower precision agriculture, as it facilitates efficient resource management and design of an experiment that promotes sustainable production. We collected soil from representative target environments (TE) of safflower cultivation and evaluated 14 soil physio-chemical features for constructing fine-resolution maps. The robustness, versatility, and predictive ability of two statistical learning models in correctly classifying the soil profile to clusters were tested. Calcium, sand, soil organic carbon, phosphorous, potassium, and sodium were found to be most influential in classifying the representative TE. Random Forest model was found to be the best performing with average prediction accuracy above 85% in all test settings which reached 100% in some. The optimal training population size for prediction was found to be 70-80%. The spatial distribution of sodium in Delhi was found to be aligned with the low yield of safflower emphasizing the importance of fine-resolution soil mapping to design a field experiment and optimize the nutrient supply. Fine-resolution mapping not only enhance soil management strategies but also support government initiatives such as soil health cards, delineation of cultivable land, and risk assessments in crop-growing areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Megha Sharma
- Department of Botany, University of Delhi, Delhi, India
| | | | - Ani A Elias
- ICFRE-Institute of Forest Genetics and Tree Breeding, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India.
- HelixOmics Analytics LLP., Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India.
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10
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Sahu N, Mahanty B, Haldar D. Response surface methodology and artificial neural network based media optimization for pullulan production in Aureobasidium pullulans. Int J Biol Macromol 2025; 284:138045. [PMID: 39586438 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijbiomac.2024.138045] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2024] [Revised: 11/09/2024] [Accepted: 11/22/2024] [Indexed: 11/27/2024]
Abstract
The selection and optimization of carbon and nitrogen sources are essential for enhancing pullulan production in Aureobasidium pullulans. In this study, combinations of carbon (sucrose, fructose, glucose) and nitrogen sources ((NH4)2SO4, urea, NaNO3) were screened, where sucrose and NaNO3 offered the highest pullulan yield (9.33 g L-1). Plackett-Burman design of experiment identified KH2PO4, NaCl, and sucrose as significant factors, which were further optimized using a central composite design. A hyperparameter-optimized artificial neural network (ANN) model with a 3-6-2-1 architecture demonstrated superior predictive accuracy (R2: 0.96) and generalizability (R2CV: 0.74) over a reduced quadratic model (R2: 0.82). The predicted pullulan yield (31.9 g L-1) under ANN model optimized conditions (sucrose: 79.9 g L-1, KH2PO4: 0.25 g L-1, NaCl: 4.3 g L-1) closely matched with the observed yield (30.17 g L-1), while quadratic model showed a significant deviation (39.7 g L-1 vs. 21.0 g L-1), highlighting the reliability of the ANN model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nageswar Sahu
- Division of Biotechnology, Karunya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Coimbatore 641114, Tamil Nadu, India.
| | - Biswanath Mahanty
- Division of Biotechnology, Karunya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Coimbatore 641114, Tamil Nadu, India.
| | - Dibyajyoti Haldar
- Division of Biotechnology, Karunya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Coimbatore 641114, Tamil Nadu, India.
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Park JS, Song J, Yoo R, Kim D, Chun MK, Han J, Lee JY, Choi SJ, Lee JS, Ryu JM, Kang SH, Koh KN, Im HJ, Kim H. Machine Learning-based Prediction of Blood Stream Infection in Pediatric Febrile Neutropenia. J Pediatr Hematol Oncol 2025; 47:12-18. [PMID: 39641618 DOI: 10.1097/mph.0000000000002974] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2024] [Accepted: 10/11/2024] [Indexed: 12/07/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to develop machine learning (ML) prediction models for identifying bloodstream infection (BSI) and septic shock (SS) in pediatric patients with cancer who presenting febrile neutropenia (FN) at emergency department (ED) visit. MATERIALS AND METHODS A retrospective study was conducted on patients, younger than 18 years of age, who visited a tertiary university-affiliated hospital ED due to FN between January 2004 and August 2022. ML models, based on XGBoost, were developed for BSI and SS prediction. RESULTS After applying the exclusion criteria, we identified 4423 FN events during the study period. We identified 195 (4.4%) BSI and 107 (2.4%) SS events. The BSI and SS models demonstrated promising performance, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.87 and 0.88, respectively, which were superior to those of the logistic regression models. Clinical features, including body temperature, some laboratory results, vital signs, and diagnosis of acute myeloblastic leukemia were identified as significant predictors. CONCLUSIONS The ML-based prediction models, which use data obtainable at ED visits may be valuable tools for ED physicians to predict BSI or SS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jun Sung Park
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center
| | - Jongkeon Song
- Division of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Asan Medical Center Children's Hospital
| | - Reenar Yoo
- Department of Convergence Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Asan Institutes for Life Sciences
| | - Dahyun Kim
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center
| | - Min Kyo Chun
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center
| | - Jeeho Han
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center
| | - Jeong-Yong Lee
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center
| | - Seung Jun Choi
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center
| | - Jong Seung Lee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center, College of Medicine, University of Ulsan, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jeong-Min Ryu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center, College of Medicine, University of Ulsan, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Han Kang
- Division of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Asan Medical Center Children's Hospital
| | - Kyung-Nam Koh
- Division of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Asan Medical Center Children's Hospital
| | - Ho Joon Im
- Division of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Asan Medical Center Children's Hospital
| | - Hyery Kim
- Division of Pediatric Hematology/Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Asan Medical Center Children's Hospital
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12
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Peng C, Xu S, Wang Y, Chen B, Liu D, Shi Y, Zhang J, Zhou Z. Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for the types of sleep respiratory events in patients with OSA based on hypoxic parameters. Sleep Breath 2024; 28:2457-2467. [PMID: 39207665 DOI: 10.1007/s11325-024-03147-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2024] [Revised: 08/04/2024] [Accepted: 08/14/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the differences and associations of hypoxic parameters among distinct types of respiratory events in patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and to construct prediction models for the types of respiratory events based on hypoxic parameters. METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 67 patients with polysomnography (PSG). All overnight recorded respiratory events with pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2) desaturation were categorized into four categories: hypopnea (Hyp, 3409 events), obstructive apnea (OA, 5561 events), central apnea (CA, 1110 events) and mixed apnea (MA, 1372 events). All event recordings were exported separately from the PSG software as comma-separated variable (.csv) files, which were imported into custom-built MATLAB software for analysis. Based on 13 hypoxic parameters, artificial neural network (ANN) and binary logistic regression (BLR) were separately used for construction of Hyp, OA, CA and MA models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to compare the various predictive indicators of the two models for different respiratory event types, respectively. RESULTS Both ANN and BLR models suggested that 13 hypoxic parameters significantly influenced the classification of respiratory event types; The area under the ROC curves of the ANN models surpassed those of traditional BLR models respiratory event types. CONCLUSION The ANN models constructed based on the 13 hypoxic parameters exhibited superior predictive capabilities for distinct types of respiratory events, providing a feasible new tool for automatic identification of respiratory event types using sleep SpO2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheng Peng
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China
| | - Shaorong Xu
- The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guizhou, China
| | - Yan Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
| | - Baoyuan Chen
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China
| | - Dan Liu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China
| | - Yu Shi
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Biomedical Engineering, School of Precision Instrument and Opto-Electronics Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China
| | - Zhongxing Zhou
- Biomedical Engineering, School of Precision Instrument and Opto-Electronics Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China.
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Nuñez-Calonge R, Santamaria N, Rubio T, Manuel Moreno J. Making and Selecting the Best Embryo in In vitro Fertilization. Arch Med Res 2024; 55:103068. [PMID: 39191078 DOI: 10.1016/j.arcmed.2024.103068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2024] [Revised: 06/27/2024] [Accepted: 08/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/29/2024]
Abstract
Currently, most assisted reproduction units transfer a single embryo to avoid multiple pregnancies. Embryologists must select the embryo to be transferred from a cohort produced by a couple during a cycle. This selection process should be accurate, non-invasive, inexpensive, reproducible, and available to in vitro fertilization (IVF) laboratories worldwide. Embryo selection has evolved from static and morphological criteria to the use of morphokinetic embryonic characteristics using time-lapse systems and artificial intelligence, as well as the genetic study of embryos, both invasive with preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidies (PGT-A) and non-invasive (niPGT-A). However, despite these advances in embryo selection methods, the overall success rate of IVF techniques remains between 25 and 30%. This review summarizes the different methods and evolution of embryo selection, their strengths and limitations, as well as future technologies that can improve patient outcomes in the shortest possible time. These methodologies are based on procedures that are applied at different stages of embryo development, from the oocyte to the cleavage and blastocyst stages, and can be used in laboratory routine.
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14
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Mascanzoni M, Luciani A, Tamburella F, Iosa M, Lena E, Di Fonzo S, Pisani V, Di Lucente MC, Caretti V, Sideli L, Cuzzocrea G, Scivoletto G. The Role of Psychological Variables in Predicting Rehabilitation Outcomes After Spinal Cord Injury: An Artificial Neural Networks Study. J Clin Med 2024; 13:7114. [PMID: 39685573 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13237114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2024] [Revised: 11/15/2024] [Accepted: 11/20/2024] [Indexed: 12/18/2024] Open
Abstract
Background: Accurate prediction of neurorehabilitation outcomes following Spinal Cord Injury (SCI) is crucial for optimizing healthcare resource allocation and improving rehabilitation strategies. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) may identify complex prognostic factors in patients with SCI. However, the influence of psychological variables on rehabilitation outcomes remains underexplored despite their potential impact on recovery success. Methods: A cohort of 303 patients with SCI was analyzed with an ANN model that employed 17 input variables, structured into two hidden layers and a single output node. Clinical and psychological data were integrated to predict functional outcomes, which were measured by the Spinal Cord Independence Measure (SCIM) at discharge. Paired Wilcoxon tests were used to evaluate pre-post differences and linear regression was used to assess correlations, with Pearson's coefficient and the Root Mean Square Error calculated. Results: Significant improvements in SCIM scores were observed (21.8 ± 15.8 at admission vs. 57.4 ± 22.5 at discharge, p < 0.001). The model assigned the highest predictive weight to SCIM at admission (10.3%), while psychological factors accounted for 36.3%, increasing to 40.9% in traumatic SCI cases. Anxiety and depression were the most influential psychological predictors. The correlation between the predicted and actual SCIM scores was R = 0.794 for the entire sample and R = 0.940 for traumatic cases. Conclusions: The ANN model demonstrated the strong impact, especially for traumatic SCI, of psychological factors on functional outcomes. Anxiety and depression emerged as dominant negative predictors. Conversely, self-esteem and emotional regulation functioned as protective factors increasing functional outcomes. These findings support the integration of psychological assessments into predictive models to enhance accuracy in SCI rehabilitation outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marta Mascanzoni
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
- Department of Human Sciences, LUMSA University of Rome, 00193 Rome, Italy
| | - Alessia Luciani
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Federica Tamburella
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
- Department of Life Sciences, Health and Health Professions, Link Campus University of Rome, 00165 Roma, Italy
| | - Marco Iosa
- Department of Psychology, Sapienza University of Rome, 00185 Roma, Italy
- Smart Lab, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Emanuela Lena
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Sergio Di Fonzo
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Valerio Pisani
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Maria Carmela Di Lucente
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Caretti
- Department of Human Sciences, LUMSA University of Rome, 00193 Rome, Italy
| | - Lucia Sideli
- Department of Human Sciences, LUMSA University of Rome, 00193 Rome, Italy
| | - Gaia Cuzzocrea
- Department of Human Sciences, LUMSA University of Rome, 00193 Rome, Italy
| | - Giorgio Scivoletto
- Spinal Center and Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
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Mhana KH, Norhisham SB, Katman HYB, Yaseen ZM. Road urban planning sustainability based on remote sensing and satellite dataset: A review. Heliyon 2024; 10:e39567. [PMID: 39524728 PMCID: PMC11550651 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e39567] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2024] [Revised: 10/10/2024] [Accepted: 10/17/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Infrastructural development and urbanization effects have been investigated over the past decades with novel approaches and adaptation strategies. Road network expansions are more useful for the socio-economic development from urban to rural areas where 75 % of the passenger, and goods transportation sectors are influenced by the road. Road infrastructure and urbanization are perpendicular to each other, and this research investigation indicates that the novel approaches and adaptation strategies for road infrastructure and urbanization effects. This study evaluated the trend in the road network and urbanization-related literature from 2010 to 2022 with some measurable keywords. Around 370 pieces of research literature are analysis and around 85 research evaluations for the road network and urbanization-related Land use and land cover (LULC) studies while numerous road network analysis approaches and LULC-related investigations are evaluated in this research. Three major parts road network analysis-related approaches, LULC, and urbanization-related approaches related to road network expansion and urbanization, were investigated. In this work, many research publications' approaches to LULC simulation, kernel density, shortage distance, and picture classification are discussed and assessed. The survey is more valuable for urban planners, future disaster management teams, and administrators to implement the shortage distance analysis, reduction of road accidents, and urbanization effects on the environment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khalid Hardan Mhana
- Institute of Energy Infrastructure (IEI) and Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional (UNITEN), Putrajaya Campus, Jalan IKRAM-UNITEN, 43000, Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
- Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering, University of Anbar, Iraq
| | - Shuhairy Bin Norhisham
- Institute of Energy Infrastructure (IEI) and Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional (UNITEN), Putrajaya Campus, Jalan IKRAM-UNITEN, 43000, Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
| | - Herda Yati Binti Katman
- Institute of Energy Infrastructure (IEI) and Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional (UNITEN), Putrajaya Campus, Jalan IKRAM-UNITEN, 43000, Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
| | - Zaher Mundher Yaseen
- Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, Dhahran, 31261, Saudi Arabia
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16
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Xin X, Wu S, Xu H, Ma Y, Bao N, Gao M, Han X, Gao S, Zhang S, Zhao X, Qi J, Zhang X, Tan J. Non-invasive prediction of human embryonic ploidy using artificial intelligence: a systematic review and meta-analysis. EClinicalMedicine 2024; 77:102897. [PMID: 39513188 PMCID: PMC11541425 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102897] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2024] [Revised: 10/06/2024] [Accepted: 10/07/2024] [Indexed: 11/15/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Embryonic ploidy is critical for the success of embryo transfer. Currently, preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A) is the gold standard for detecting ploidy abnormalities. However, PGT-A has several inherent limitations, including invasive biopsy, high economic burden, and ethical constraints. This paper provides the first comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis of the performance of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms using embryonic images for non-invasive prediction of embryonic ploidy. Methods Comprehensive searches of studies that developed or utilized AI algorithms to predict embryonic ploidy from embryonic imaging, published up until August 10, 2024, across PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, IEEE, SCOPUS, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were performed. Studies with prospective or retrospective designs were included without language restrictions. The summary receiver operating characteristic curve, along with pooled sensitivity and specificity, was estimated using a bivariate random-effects model. The risk of bias and study quality were evaluated using the QUADAS-AI tool. Heterogeneity was quantified using the inconsistency index (I 2 ), derived from Cochran's Q test. Predefined subgroup analyses and bivariate meta-regression were conducted to explore potential sources of heterogeneity. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024500409). Findings Twenty eligible studies were identified, with twelve studies included in the meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of AI for predicting embryonic euploidy were 0.71 (95% CI: 0.59-0.81), 0.75 (95% CI: 0.69-0.80), and 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76-0.83), respectively, based on a total of 6879 embryos (3110 euploid and 3769 aneuploid). Meta-regression and subgroup analyses identified the type of AI-driven decision support system, external validation, risk of bias, and year of publication as the primary contributors to the observed heterogeneity. There was no evidence of publication bias. Interpretation Our findings indicate that AI algorithms exhibit promising performance in predicting embryonic euploidy based on embryonic imaging. Although the current AI models developed cannot entirely replace invasive methods for determining embryo ploidy, AI demonstrates promise as an auxiliary decision-making tool for embryo selection, particularly for individuals who are unable to undergo PGT-A. To enhance the quality of future research, it is essential to overcome the specific challenges and limitations associated with AI studies in reproductive medicine. Funding This work was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (2022YFC2702905), the Shengjing Freelance Researcher Plan of Shengjing Hospital and the 345 talent project of Shengjing Hospital.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xing Xin
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Shanshan Wu
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Heli Xu
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Yujiu Ma
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Nan Bao
- The College of Medicine and Biological Information Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110167, China
| | - Man Gao
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 36 Sanhao Street, Heping District, Shenyang 110004, China
| | - Xue Han
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 36 Sanhao Street, Heping District, Shenyang 110004, China
| | - Shan Gao
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Siwen Zhang
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Xinyang Zhao
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Jiarui Qi
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Xudong Zhang
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
| | - Jichun Tan
- Centre of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
- Key Laboratory of Reproductive Dysfunction Disease and Fertility Remodeling of Liaoning Province, No. 39 Huaxiang Road, Tiexi District, Shenyang 110022, China
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Beauregard E, Chopin J. Interactions Between Offender and Crime Characteristics Leading to a Lethal Outcome in Cases of Sexually-Motivated Abductions. SEXUAL ABUSE : A JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND TREATMENT 2024; 36:774-798. [PMID: 37902157 PMCID: PMC11425975 DOI: 10.1177/10790632231210536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/31/2023]
Abstract
Despite the widespread public concern regarding abduction, research on this type of crime is scarce. This lack of research is even more pronounced when looking at cases that end with the death of the victim. In fact, all of the research looking at lethal outcomes in cases of abductions has focused exclusively on child victims and has failed to consider the interactions at the multivariate level between the factors related to the death of the victim. Therefore, the aim of the study is to identify offender and crime characteristics - as well as their interactions - associated with a lethal outcome in sexually-motivated abductions using a combination of logistic regression and neural network analyses on a sample of 281 cases (81 cases ending with a lethal outcome, random sample of 200 comparison cases). Findings show that sexually-motivated abductions ending with a lethal outcome are more likely to be characterized by an offender who is a loner, forensically aware, and who who uses a weapon and restraints, and who sexually penetrates and beats a known victim. The neural network analysis show that three different pathways lead to a lethal outcome in sexually-motivated abductions. Such findings are important for correctional practices.
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Fu S, Chen L, Lin H, Jiang X, Zhang S, Zhong F, Liu D. Prediction Model for Delayed Behavior of Early Ambulation After Surgery for Varicose Veins of the Lower Extremity: A Prospective Case-Control Study. Arch Phys Med Rehabil 2024; 105:1908-1920. [PMID: 38909739 DOI: 10.1016/j.apmr.2024.06.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2023] [Revised: 05/24/2024] [Accepted: 06/04/2024] [Indexed: 06/25/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To analyze influencing factors and establish a prediction model for delayed behavior of early ambulation after surgery for varicose veins of the lower extremity (VVLE). DESIGN A prospective case-control study. SETTING Patients with VVLE were recruited from 2 local hospitals. PARTICIPANTS In total, 498 patients with VVLE were selected using convenience sampling and divided into a training set and a test set. INTERVENTIONS Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES We collected information from the selected participants before surgery and followed up until the day after surgery, then divided them into a normal and delayed ambulation group. Propensity score matching was applied to all participants by type of surgery and anesthesia. All the characteristics in the 2 groups were compared using logistic regression, back propagation neural network (BPNN), and decision tree models. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) values of the 3 models were compared to determine the optimal model. RESULTS A total of 406 participants were included after propensity score matching. The AUC values for the training sets of logistic regression, BPNN, and decision tree models were 0.850, 0.932, and 0.757, respectively. The AUC values for the test sets were 0.928, 0.984, and 0.776, respectively. A BPNN was the optimal model. Social Support Rating Scale score, preoperative 30-second sit-stand test score, Clinical-Etiology-Anatomy-Pathophysiology (CEAP) grade, Medical Coping Modes Questionnaire score, and whether you know the need for early ambulation, in descending order of the result of a BPNN model. A probability value greater than 0.56 indicated delayed behavior of early ambulation. CONCLUSIONS Clinicians should pay more attention to those with lower Social Support Rating Scale scores, poor lower limb strength, a higher CEAP grade, and poor medical coping ability, and make patients aware of the necessity and importance of early ambulation, thereby assisting decision-making regarding postoperative rehabilitation. Further research is needed to improve the method, add more variables, and transform the model into a scale to screen and intervene in the delayed behavior of early ambulation of VVLE in advance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuiqin Fu
- The School of Nursing, Fujian Medical University, China; Department of Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen Medical College, China
| | - Lanzhen Chen
- Department of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen Medical College, China
| | - Hairong Lin
- Department of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen Medical College, China
| | - Xiaoxiang Jiang
- Intensive Care Unit, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen Medical College, China
| | - Suzhen Zhang
- Department of General surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, China
| | - Fuxiu Zhong
- Department of Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, China
| | - Dun Liu
- The School of Nursing, Fujian Medical University, China.
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Agnes A, Nguyen ST, Konishi T, Peacock O, Bednarski BK, You YN, Messick CA, Tillman MM, Skibber JM, Chang GJ, Uppal A. Early Postoperative Prediction of Complications and Readmission After Colorectal Cancer Surgery Using an Artificial Neural Network. Dis Colon Rectum 2024; 67:1341-1352. [PMID: 38959458 DOI: 10.1097/dcr.0000000000003253] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early predictors of postoperative complications can risk-stratify patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery. However, conventional regression models have limited power to identify complex nonlinear relationships among a large set of variables. We developed artificial neural network models to optimize the prediction of major postoperative complications and risk of readmission in patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to develop an artificial neural network model to predict postoperative complications using postoperative laboratory values and compare the accuracy of models to standard regression methods. DESIGN This retrospective study included patients who underwent elective colorectal cancer resection between January 1, 2016, and July 31, 2021. Clinical data, cancer stage, and laboratory data from postoperative days 1 to 3 were collected. Complications and readmission risk models were created using multivariable logistic regression and single-layer neural networks. SETTING National Cancer Institute-Designated Comprehensive Cancer Center. PATIENTS Adult patients with colorectal cancer. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES The accuracy of predicting postoperative major complications, readmissions, and anastomotic leaks using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS Neural networks had larger areas under the curve for predicting major complications compared to regression models (neural network 0.811; regression model 0.724, p < 0.001). Neural networks also showed an advantage in predicting anastomotic leak ( p = 0.036) and readmission using postoperative day 1 to 2 values ( p = 0.014). LIMITATIONS Single-center, retrospective design limited to cancer operations. CONCLUSIONS In this study, we generated a set of models for the early prediction of complications after colorectal surgery. The neural network models provided greater discrimination than the models based on traditional logistic regression. These models may allow for early detection of postoperative complications as early as postoperative day 2. See the Video Abstract . PREDICCIN POST OPERATORIA TEMPRANA DE COMPLICACIONES Y REINGRESO DESPUS DE LA CIRUGA DE CNCER COLORRECTAL MEDIANTE UNA RED NEURONAL ARTIFICIAL ANTECEDENTES:Los predictores tempranos de complicaciones postoperatorias pueden estratificar el riesgo de los pacientes sometidos a cirugía de cáncer colorrectal. Sin embargo, los modelos de regresión convencionales tienen un poder limitado para identificar relaciones no lineales complejas entre un gran conjunto de variables. Desarrollamos modelos de redes neuronales artificiales para optimizar la predicción de complicaciones postoperatorias importantes y riesgo de reingreso en pacientes sometidos a cirugía de cáncer colorrectal.OBJETIVO:El objetivo de este estudio fue desarrollar un modelo de red neuronal artificial para predecir complicaciones postoperatorias utilizando valores de laboratorio postoperatorios y comparar la precisión de estos modelos con los métodos de regresión estándar.DISEÑO:Este estudio retrospectivo incluyó a pacientes que se sometieron a resección electiva de cáncer colorrectal entre el 1 de enero de 2016 y el 31 de julio de 2021. Se recopilaron datos clínicos, estadio del cáncer y datos de laboratorio del día 1 al 3 posoperatorio. Se crearon modelos de complicaciones y riesgo de reingreso mediante regresión logística multivariable y redes neuronales de una sola capa.AJUSTE:Instituto Nacional del Cáncer designado Centro Oncológico Integral.PACIENTES:Pacientes adultos con cáncer colorrectal.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Precisión de la predicción de complicaciones mayores postoperatorias, reingreso y fuga anastomótica utilizando el área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor.RESULTADOS:Las redes neuronales tuvieron áreas bajo la curva más grandes para predecir complicaciones importantes en comparación con los modelos de regresión (red neuronal 0,811; modelo de regresión 0,724, p < 0,001). Las redes neuronales también mostraron una ventaja en la predicción de la fuga anastomótica ( p = 0,036) y el reingreso utilizando los valores del día 1-2 postoperatorio ( p = 0,014).LIMITACIONES:Diseño retrospectivo de un solo centro limitado a operaciones de cáncer.CONCLUSIONES:En este estudio, generamos un conjunto de modelos para la predicción temprana de complicaciones después de la cirugía colorrectal. Los modelos de redes neuronales proporcionaron una mayor discriminación que los modelos basados en regresión logística tradicional. Estos modelos pueden permitir la detección temprana de complicaciones posoperatorias tan pronto como el segundo día posoperatorio. (Traducción-Dr. Mauricio Santamaria ).
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Affiliation(s)
- Annamaria Agnes
- Department of General Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Sa T Nguyen
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Tsuyoshi Konishi
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Oliver Peacock
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Brian K Bednarski
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Y Nancy You
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Craig A Messick
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Matthew M Tillman
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - John M Skibber
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - George J Chang
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Abhineet Uppal
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
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Raja MS, Pannirselvam V, Srinivasan SH, Guhan B, Rayan F. Recent technological advancements in Artificial Intelligence for orthopaedic wound management. J Clin Orthop Trauma 2024; 57:102561. [PMID: 39502891 PMCID: PMC11532955 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcot.2024.102561] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2023] [Revised: 09/04/2024] [Accepted: 10/14/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
In orthopaedics, wound care is crucial as surgical site infections carry disease burden due to increased length of stay, decreased quality of life and poorer patient outcomes. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has a vital role in revolutionising wound care in orthopaedics: ranging from wound assessment, early detection of complications, risk stratifying patients, and remote patient monitoring. Incorporating AI in orthopaedics has reduced dependency on manual physician assessment which is time-consuming. This article summarises current literature on how AI is used for wound assessment and management in the orthopaedic community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Momna Sajjad Raja
- University of Leicester, University Rd, Leicester, LE1 7RH, United Kingdom
- Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Faizal Rayan
- Kettering General Hospital, Kettering, United Kingdom
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21
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Talebi Moghaddam M, Jahani Y, Arefzadeh Z, Dehghan A, Khaleghi M, Sharafi M, Nikfar G. Predicting diabetes in adults: identifying important features in unbalanced data over a 5-year cohort study using machine learning algorithm. BMC Med Res Methodol 2024; 24:220. [PMID: 39333899 PMCID: PMC11430121 DOI: 10.1186/s12874-024-02341-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2024] [Accepted: 09/16/2024] [Indexed: 09/30/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Imbalanced datasets pose significant challenges in predictive modeling, leading to biased outcomes and reduced model reliability. This study addresses data imbalance in diabetes prediction using machine learning techniques. Utilizing data from the Fasa Adult Cohort Study (FACS) with a 5-year follow-up of 10,000 participants, we developed predictive models for Type 2 diabetes. METHODS We employed various data-level and algorithm-level interventions, including SMOTE, ADASYN, SMOTEENN, Random Over Sampling and KMeansSMOTE, paired with Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Decision Tree and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) classifier. We evaluated model performance using F1 score, AUC, and G-means-metrics chosen to provide a comprehensive assessment of model accuracy, discrimination ability, and overall balance in performance, particularly in the context of imbalanced datasets. RESULTS our study uncovered key factors influencing diabetes risk and evaluated the performance of various machine learning models. Feature importance analysis revealed that the most influential predictors of diabetes differ between males and females. For females, the most important factors are triglyceride (TG), basal metabolic rate (BMR), and total cholesterol (CHOL), whereas for males, the key predictors are body Mass Index (BMI), serum glutamate Oxaloacetate Transaminase (SGOT), and Gamma-Glutamyl (GGT). Across the entire dataset, BMI remains the most important variable, followed by SGOT, BMR, and energy intake. These insights suggest that gender-specific risk profiles should be considered in diabetes prevention and management strategies. In terms of model performance, our results show that ADASYN with MLP classifier achieved an F1 score of 82.17 ± 3.38, AUC of 89.61 ± 2.09, and G-means of 89.15 ± 2.31. SMOTE with MLP followed closely with an F1 score of 79.85 ± 3.91, AUC of 89.7 ± 2.54, and G-means of 89.31 ± 2.78. The SMOTEENN with Random Forest combination achieved an F1 score of 78.27 ± 1.54, AUC of 87.18 ± 1.12, and G-means of 86.47 ± 1.28. CONCLUSION These combinations effectively address class imbalance, improving the accuracy and reliability of diabetes predictions. The findings highlight the importance of using appropriate data-balancing techniques in medical data analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maryam Talebi Moghaddam
- Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran
- Student of Biostatistics, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran
| | - Yones Jahani
- Modeling in Health Research Center Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran
| | - Zahra Arefzadeh
- Faculty of Data Science and Intelligent Systems, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr, Iran
| | - Azizallah Dehghan
- Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Health, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran
| | - Mohsen Khaleghi
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fasa Branch, Islamic Azad University, Fasa, Iran.
| | - Mehdi Sharafi
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar, Abbas, Iran.
| | - Ghasem Nikfar
- Research Development Unit Valiasr Hospital, Fasa University of Medical Sciences, Fasa, Iran
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McCracken C, Raisi-Estabragh Z, Szabo L, Veldsman M, Raman B, Topiwala A, Roca-Fernández A, Husain M, Petersen SE, Neubauer S, Nichols TE. Feasibility of multiorgan risk prediction with routinely collected diagnostics: a prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank. BMJ Evid Based Med 2024; 29:313-323. [PMID: 38719437 PMCID: PMC11503151 DOI: 10.1136/bmjebm-2023-112518] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/20/2024] [Indexed: 09/22/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Despite rising rates of multimorbidity, existing risk assessment tools are mostly limited to a single outcome of interest. This study tests the feasibility of producing multiple disease risk estimates with at least 70% discrimination (area under the receiver operating curve, AUROC) within the time and information constraints of the existing primary care health check framework. DESIGN Observational prospective cohort study SETTING: UK Biobank. PARTICIPANTS 228 240 adults from the UK population. INTERVENTIONS None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, stroke, all-cause dementia, chronic kidney disease, fatty liver disease, alcoholic liver disease, liver cirrhosis and liver failure. RESULTS Using a set of predictors easily gathered at the standard primary care health check (such as the National Health Service Health Check), we demonstrate that it is feasible to simultaneously produce risk estimates for multiple disease outcomes with AUROC of 70% or greater. These predictors can be entered once into a single form and produce risk scores for stroke (AUROC 0.727, 95% CI 0.713 to 0.740), all-cause dementia (0.823, 95% CI 0.810 to 0.836), myocardial infarction (0.785, 95% CI 0.775 to 0.795), atrial fibrillation (0.777, 95% CI 0.768 to 0.785), heart failure (0.828, 95% CI 0.818 to 0.838), chronic kidney disease (0.774, 95% CI 0.765 to 0.783), fatty liver disease (0.766, 95% CI 0.753 to 0.779), alcoholic liver disease (0.864, 95% CI 0.835 to 0.894), liver cirrhosis (0.763, 95% CI 0.734 to 0.793) and liver failure (0.746, 95% CI 0.695 to 0.796). CONCLUSIONS Easily collected diagnostics can be used to assess 10-year risk across multiple disease outcomes, without the need for specialist computing or invasive biomarkers. Such an approach could increase the utility of existing data and place multiorgan risk information at the fingertips of primary care providers, thus creating opportunities for longer-term multimorbidity prevention. Additional work is needed to validate whether these findings would hold in a larger, more representative cohort outside the UK Biobank.
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Affiliation(s)
- Celeste McCracken
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, and Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Zahra Raisi-Estabragh
- William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
- Barts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew’s Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Liliana Szabo
- William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
- Barts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew’s Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
- Heart and Vascular Center, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Michele Veldsman
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Betty Raman
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, and Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Anya Topiwala
- Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Masud Husain
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Neuroimaging (WIN FMRIB), University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Neuroscience, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Steffen E Petersen
- William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
- Barts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew’s Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
- Health Data Research UK, London, UK
- Alan Turing Institute, London, UK
| | - Stefan Neubauer
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, and Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Thomas E Nichols
- Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Neuroimaging (WIN FMRIB), University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Wang D, Tang YT, He J, Robinson D, Yang W. A mini-review for identifying future directions in modelling heating values for sustainable waste management. WASTE MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOLID WASTES AND PUBLIC CLEANSING ASSOCIATION, ISWA 2024:734242X241271042. [PMID: 39279247 DOI: 10.1177/0734242x241271042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/18/2024]
Abstract
Global estimations suggest energy content within municipal solid waste (MSW) is underutilized, compromising efforts to reduce fossil CO2 emissions and missing the opportunities for pursuing circular economy in energy consumption. The energy content of the MSW, represented by heating values (HVs), is a major determinant for the suitability of incinerating the waste for energy and managing waste flows. Literature reveals limitations in traditional statistical HV modelling approaches, which assume a linear and additive relationship between physiochemical properties of MSW samples and their HVs, as well as overlook the impact of non-combustible substances in MSW mixtures on energy harvest. Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models show promise but pose challenges in interpretation based on established combustion theories. From the variable selection perspectives, using MSW physical composition categories as explanatory variables neglects intra-category variations in energy contents while applying environmental or socio-economic factors emerges to address waste composition changes as society develops. The article contributes by showing to professionals and modellers that leveraging AI technology and incorporating societal and environmental factors are meaningful directions for advancing HV prediction in waste management. These approaches promise more precise evaluations of incinerating waste for energy and enhancing sustainable waste management practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dan Wang
- Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Plant Evolutionary Ecology and Conservation, School of Life Sciences, Taizhou University, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yu-Ting Tang
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Nottingham Ningbo China, Ningbo, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jun He
- International Doctoral Innovation Centre, Department of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, University of Nottingham Ningbo China, Ningbo, Zhejiang, China
| | - Darren Robinson
- School of Architecture, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Wanqin Yang
- Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Plant Evolutionary Ecology and Conservation, School of Life Sciences, Taizhou University, Zhejiang, China
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Damaser MS, Valentini FA, Clavica F, Giarenis I. Is the time right for a new initiative in mathematical modeling of the lower urinary tract? ICI-RS 2023. Neurourol Urodyn 2024; 43:1303-1310. [PMID: 38149773 PMCID: PMC11610278 DOI: 10.1002/nau.25362] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 12/01/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION A session at the 2023 International Consultation on Incontinence - Research Society (ICI-RS) held in Bristol, UK, focused on the question: Is the time right for a new initiative in mathematical modeling of the lower urinary tract (LUT)? The LUT is a complex system, comprising various synergetic components (i.e., bladder, urethra, neural control), each with its own dynamic functioning and high interindividual variability. This has led to a variety of different types of models for different purposes, each with advantages and disadvantages. METHODS When addressing the LUT, the modeling approach should be selected and sized according to the specific purpose, the targeted level of detail, and the available computational resources. Four areas were selected as examples to discuss: utility of nomograms in clinical use, value of fluid mechanical modeling, applications of models to simplify urodynamics, and utility of statistical models. RESULTS A brief literature review is provided along with discussion of the merits of different types of models for different applications. Remaining research questions are provided. CONCLUSIONS Inadequacies in current (outdated) models of the LUT as well as recent advances in computing power (e.g., quantum computing) and methods (e.g., artificial intelligence/machine learning), would dictate that the answer is an emphatic "Yes, the time is right for a new initiative in mathematical modeling of the LUT."
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Affiliation(s)
- Margot S. Damaser
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Lerner Research Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
- Advanced Platform Technology Center, Louis Stokes Cleveland Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Françoise A. Valentini
- Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Department, Rothschild Hospital, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Francesco Clavica
- ARTORG Center for Biomedical Engineering Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Department of Urology, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Ilias Giarenis
- Department of UroGynaecology, Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital, Norwich, UK
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Tamburella F, Lena E, Mascanzoni M, Iosa M, Scivoletto G. Harnessing Artificial Neural Networks for Spinal Cord Injury Prognosis. J Clin Med 2024; 13:4503. [PMID: 39124769 PMCID: PMC11313443 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13154503] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2024] [Revised: 07/25/2024] [Accepted: 07/30/2024] [Indexed: 08/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Background: Prediction of neurorehabilitation outcomes after a Spinal Cord Injury (SCI) is crucial for healthcare resource management and improving prognosis and rehabilitation strategies. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have emerged as a promising alternative to conventional statistical approaches for identifying complex prognostic factors in SCI patients. Materials: a database of 1256 SCI patients admitted for rehabilitation was analyzed. Clinical and demographic data and SCI characteristics were used to predict functional outcomes using both ANN and linear regression models. The former was structured with input, hidden, and output layers, while the linear regression identified significant variables affecting outcomes. Both approaches aimed to evaluate and compare their accuracy for rehabilitation outcomes measured by the Spinal Cord Independence Measure (SCIM) score. Results: Both ANN and linear regression models identified key predictors of functional outcomes, such as age, injury level, and initial SCIM scores (correlation with actual outcome: R = 0.75 and 0.73, respectively). When also alimented with parameters recorded during hospitalization, the ANN highlighted the importance of these additional factors, like motor completeness and complications during hospitalization, showing an improvement in its accuracy (R = 0.87). Conclusions: ANN seemed to be not widely superior to classical statistics in general, but, taking into account complex and non-linear relationships among variables, emphasized the impact of complications during the hospitalization on recovery, particularly respiratory issues, deep vein thrombosis, and urological complications. These results suggested that the management of complications is crucial for improving functional recovery in SCI patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Federica Tamburella
- Department of Life Sciences, Health and Health Professions, Link Campus University, 00165 Rome, Italy;
- Spinal Center, Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione S. Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy; (E.L.); (M.M.); (G.S.)
| | - Emanuela Lena
- Spinal Center, Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione S. Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy; (E.L.); (M.M.); (G.S.)
| | - Marta Mascanzoni
- Spinal Center, Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione S. Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy; (E.L.); (M.M.); (G.S.)
| | - Marco Iosa
- Department of Psychology, Sapienza University of Rome, 00183 Rome, Italy
- Smart Lab, IRCCS Fondazione Santa Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy
| | - Giorgio Scivoletto
- Spinal Center, Spinal Rehabilitation Laboratory, IRCCS Fondazione S. Lucia, 00179 Rome, Italy; (E.L.); (M.M.); (G.S.)
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Yang J, Li Y, Li X, Tao S, Zhang Y, Chen T, Xie G, Xu H, Gao X, Yang Y. A Machine Learning Model for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Chinese Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: Findings From the China Myocardial Infarction Registry. J Med Internet Res 2024; 26:e50067. [PMID: 39079111 PMCID: PMC11322712 DOI: 10.2196/50067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2023] [Revised: 03/25/2024] [Accepted: 06/18/2024] [Indexed: 08/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Machine learning (ML) risk prediction models, although much more accurate than traditional statistical methods, are inconvenient to use in clinical practice due to their nontransparency and requirement of a large number of input variables. OBJECTIVE We aimed to develop a precise, explainable, and flexible ML model to predict the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS This study recruited 18,744 patients enrolled in the 2013 China Acute Myocardial Infarction (CAMI) registry and 12,018 patients from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events (PEACE)-Retrospective Acute Myocardial Infarction Study. The Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model was derived from 9616 patients in the CAMI registry (2014, 89 variables) with 5-fold cross-validation and validated on both the 9125 patients in the CAMI registry (89 variables) and the independent China PEACE cohort (10 variables). The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) approach was employed to interpret the complex relationships embedded in the proposed model. RESULTS In the XGBoost model for predicting all-cause in-hospital mortality, the variables with the top 8 most important scores were age, left ventricular ejection fraction, Killip class, heart rate, creatinine, blood glucose, white blood cell count, and use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs). The area under the curve (AUC) on the CAMI validation set was 0.896 (95% CI 0.884-0.909), significantly higher than the previous models. The AUC for the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) model was 0.809 (95% CI 0.790-0.828), and for the TIMI model, it was 0.782 (95% CI 0.763-0.800). Despite the China PEACE validation set only having 10 available variables, the AUC reached 0.840 (0.829-0.852), showing a substantial improvement to the GRACE (0.762, 95% CI 0.748-0.776) and TIMI (0.789, 95% CI 0.776-0.803) scores. Several novel and nonlinear relationships were discovered between patients' characteristics and in-hospital mortality, including a U-shape pattern of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). CONCLUSIONS The proposed ML risk prediction model was highly accurate in predicting in-hospital mortality. Its flexible and explainable characteristics make the model convenient to use in clinical practice and could help guide patient management. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01874691; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT01874691.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingang Yang
- State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yingxue Li
- Ping An Healthcare and Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Xiang Li
- Ping An Healthcare and Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Shuiying Tao
- State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yuan Zhang
- Ping An Healthcare and Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Tiange Chen
- Ping An Healthcare and Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Guotong Xie
- Ping An Healthcare and Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Haiyan Xu
- State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaojin Gao
- State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yuejin Yang
- State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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Ranjan R, Ken-Dror G, Sharma P. Prediction of Long-Term Poor Clinical Outcomes in Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Using Neural Networks Model: The BEAST Study. Int J Gen Med 2024; 17:2919-2930. [PMID: 38978712 PMCID: PMC11228426 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s468433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2024] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 07/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Risk prediction models are commonly performed with logistic regression analysis but are limited by skewed datasets. We utilised neural networks (NNs) model to identify independent predictors of poor outcomes in cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) due to the limitations of logistic regression (LR) analysis with complex datasets. Methods We evaluated 1309 adult CVT patients from the prospective BEAST (Biorepository to Establish the Aetiology of Sinovenous Thrombosis) study. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve confirmed the goodness-of-fit of prediction models. The normalised importance (NI) of the NNs determines the significance of independent predictors. Results The stepwise logistic regression model found thrombolysis (OR 32.1; 95% CI 3.6-287.0; P=0.002), craniotomy (OR 6.9; 95% CI 1.3-36.8; P=0.02), and cerebral haemorrhage (OR 4.5; 95% CI 1.3-15.4; P=0.01) as predictors of poor clinical outcome with the AUROC of 0.71. Conversely, the NNs model identified major independent predictors of long-term poor clinical outcomes as cerebral haemorrhage (NI 100%) and thrombolysis (NI 98%), as well as trivial predictors of age (NI 2.8%) and altered mental status (NI 3.5%). The accuracy of the NNs model was 95.1% and 94.1% for self-learned randomly selected training and testing samples with an AUROC of 0.82. Positive and negative predictive values for poor outcomes were 13.2% and 97.1% for the LR model, compared with the NNs model of 18.8% and 98.7%, respectively. Conclusion Cerebral haemorrhage and thrombolysis was a strong independent predictor, whereas age merely impacts the long-term poor clinical outcome in adult CVT. Integrating unorthodox neural networks risk prediction model can improve decision-making as it outperforms conventional logistic regression with complex datasets.
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Affiliation(s)
- Redoy Ranjan
- Department of Biological Sciences, Institute of Cardiovascular Research, Royal Holloway University of London (ICR2UL), Egham, Greater London, UK
| | - Gie Ken-Dror
- Department of Biological Sciences, Institute of Cardiovascular Research, Royal Holloway University of London (ICR2UL), Egham, Greater London, UK
| | - Pankaj Sharma
- Department of Biological Sciences, Institute of Cardiovascular Research, Royal Holloway University of London (ICR2UL), Egham, Greater London, UK
- Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
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Asteris PG, Karoglou M, Skentou AD, Vasconcelos G, He M, Bakolas A, Zhou J, Armaghani DJ. Predicting uniaxial compressive strength of rocks using ANN models: Incorporating porosity, compressional wave velocity, and schmidt hammer data. ULTRASONICS 2024; 141:107347. [PMID: 38781796 DOI: 10.1016/j.ultras.2024.107347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2024] [Revised: 05/10/2024] [Accepted: 05/14/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
The unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of intact rocks is crucial for engineering applications, but traditional laboratory testing is often impractical, especially for historic buildings lacking sufficient core samples. Non-destructive tests like the Schmidt hammer rebound number and compressional wave velocity offer solutions, but correlating these with UCS requires complex mathematical models. This paper introduces a novel approach using an artificial neural network (ANN) to simultaneously correlate UCS with three non-destructive test indexes: Schmidt hammer rebound number, compressional wave velocity, and open-effective porosity. The proposed ANN model outperforms existing methods, providing accurate UCS predictions for various rock types. Contour maps generated from the model offer practical tools for geotechnical and geological engineers, facilitating decision-making in the field and enhancing educational resources. This integrated approach promises to streamline UCS estimation, improving efficiency and accuracy in engineering assessments of intact rock materials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Panagiotis G Asteris
- Computational Mechanics Laboratory, School of Pedagogical and Technological Education, Heraklion, GR 14121, Athens, Greece.
| | - Maria Karoglou
- School of Chemical Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Zografou Campus, 15780 Athens, Greece.
| | - Athanasia D Skentou
- Computational Mechanics Laboratory, School of Pedagogical and Technological Education, Heraklion, GR 14121, Athens, Greece.
| | - Graça Vasconcelos
- ISISE, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Minho, Portugal.
| | - Mingming He
- State Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, China.
| | - Asterios Bakolas
- School of Chemical Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Zografou Campus, 15780 Athens, Greece.
| | - Jian Zhou
- School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China.
| | - Danial Jahed Armaghani
- School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia.
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Alie MS, Negesse Y, Kindie K, Merawi DS. Machine learning algorithms for predicting COVID-19 mortality in Ethiopia. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:1728. [PMID: 38943093 PMCID: PMC11212371 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-19196-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2023] [Accepted: 06/19/2024] [Indexed: 07/01/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a global public health crisis, continues to pose challenges despite preventive measures. The daily rise in COVID-19 cases is concerning, and the testing process is both time-consuming and costly. While several models have been created to predict mortality in COVID-19 patients, only a few have shown sufficient accuracy. Machine learning algorithms offer a promising approach to data-driven prediction of clinical outcomes, surpassing traditional statistical modeling. Leveraging machine learning (ML) algorithms could potentially provide a solution for predicting mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Ethiopia. Therefore, the aim of this study is to develop and validate machine-learning models for accurately predicting mortality in COVID-19 hospitalized patients in Ethiopia. METHODS Our study involved analyzing electronic medical records of COVID-19 patients who were admitted to public hospitals in Ethiopia. Specifically, we developed seven different machine learning models to predict COVID-19 patient mortality. These models included J48 decision tree, random forest (RF), k-nearest neighborhood (k-NN), multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Naïve Bayes (NB), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and logistic regression (LR). We then compared the performance of these models using data from a cohort of 696 patients through statistical analysis. To evaluate the effectiveness of the models, we utilized metrics derived from the confusion matrix such as sensitivity, specificity, precision, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC). RESULTS The study included a total of 696 patients, with a higher number of females (440 patients, accounting for 63.2%) compared to males. The median age of the participants was 35.0 years old, with an interquartile range of 18-79. After conducting different feature selection procedures, 23 features were examined, and identified as predictors of mortality, and it was determined that gender, Intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and alcohol drinking/addiction were the top three predictors of COVID-19 mortality. On the other hand, loss of smell, loss of taste, and hypertension were identified as the three lowest predictors of COVID-19 mortality. The experimental results revealed that the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) algorithm outperformed than other machine learning algorithms, achieving an accuracy of 95.25%, sensitivity of 95.30%, precision of 92.7%, specificity of 93.30%, F1 score 93.98% and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) score of 96.90%. These findings highlight the effectiveness of the k-NN algorithm in predicting COVID-19 outcomes based on the selected features. CONCLUSION Our study has developed an innovative model that utilizes hospital data to accurately predict the mortality risk of COVID-19 patients. The main objective of this model is to prioritize early treatment for high-risk patients and optimize strained healthcare systems during the ongoing pandemic. By integrating machine learning with comprehensive hospital databases, our model effectively classifies patients' mortality risk, enabling targeted medical interventions and improved resource management. Among the various methods tested, the K-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm demonstrated the highest accuracy, allowing for early identification of high-risk patients. Through KNN feature identification, we identified 23 predictors that significantly contribute to predicting COVID-19 mortality. The top five predictors are gender (female), intensive care unit (ICU) admission, alcohol drinking, smoking, and symptoms of headache and chills. This advancement holds great promise in enhancing healthcare outcomes and decision-making during the pandemic. By providing services and prioritizing patients based on the identified predictors, healthcare facilities and providers can improve the chances of survival for individuals. This model provides valuable insights that can guide healthcare professionals in allocating resources and delivering appropriate care to those at highest risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Melsew Setegn Alie
- Department Public Health, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Aman, Ethiopia.
| | - Yilkal Negesse
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Debre Markos University, Gojjam, Ethiopia
| | - Kassa Kindie
- Department Nursing, College of Medicine and Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Aman, Ethiopia
| | - Dereje Senay Merawi
- Department of Information Technology, Faculty of Technology, Debre Tabor University, Gonder, Ethiopia
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Jang DH, Lee HG, Lee B, Kang S, Kim JH, Kim BG, Kim JW, Kim MH, Chen X, No JH, Lee JM, Kim JH, Watari H, Kim SM, Kim SH, Seong SJ, Jeong DH, Kim YH. Prediction of final pathology depending on preoperative myometrial invasion and grade assessment in low-risk endometrial cancer patients: A Korean Gynecologic Oncology Group ancillary study. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0305360. [PMID: 38935680 PMCID: PMC11210801 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305360] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2024] [Accepted: 05/29/2024] [Indexed: 06/29/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Fertility-sparing treatment (FST) might be considered an option for reproductive patients with low-risk endometrial cancer (EC). On the other hand, the matching rates between preoperative assessment and postoperative pathology in low-risk EC patients are not high enough. We aimed to predict the postoperative pathology depending on preoperative myometrial invasion (MI) and grade in low-risk EC patients to help extend the current criteria for FST. METHODS/MATERIALS This ancillary study (KGOG 2015S) of Korean Gynecologic Oncology Group 2015, a prospective, multicenter study included patients with no MI or MI <1/2 on preoperative MRI and endometrioid adenocarcinoma and grade 1 or 2 on endometrial biopsy. Among the eligible patients, Groups 1-4 were defined with no MI and grade 1, no MI and grade 2, MI <1/2 and grade 1, and MI <1/2 and grade 2, respectively. New prediction models using machine learning were developed. RESULTS Among 251 eligible patients, Groups 1-4 included 106, 41, 74, and 30 patients, respectively. The new prediction models showed superior prediction values to those from conventional analysis. In the new prediction models, the best NPV, sensitivity, and AUC of preoperative each group to predict postoperative each group were as follows: 87.2%, 71.6%, and 0.732 (Group 1); 97.6%, 78.6%, and 0.656 (Group 2); 71.3%, 78.6% and 0.588 (Group 3); 91.8%, 64.9%, and 0.676% (Group 4). CONCLUSIONS In low-risk EC patients, the prediction of postoperative pathology was ineffective, but the new prediction models provided a better prediction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dong-hoon Jang
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyun-Gyu Lee
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of Korea
- College of Medicine, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of Korea
| | - Banghyun Lee
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Inha University hospital, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon, Republic of Korea
| | - Sokbom Kang
- Gynecologic Oncology Research Branch, Research Institute and Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Republic of Korea
| | - Jong-Hyeok Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Byoung-Gie Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae-Weon Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, College of Medicine, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Moon-Hong Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Korea Cancer Center Hospital, Korea Institute of Radiological and Medical Sciences, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Xiaojun Chen
- Department of Gynecology, Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jae Hong No
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea
| | - Jong-Min Lee
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital at Gangdong Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae-Hoon Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hidemich Watari
- Department of Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Seok Mo Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Chonnam National University Medical School, Gwangju, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Hoon Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Institute of Women’s Life Science, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seok Ju Seong
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, CHA Gangnam Medical Center, CHA University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Dae Hoon Jeong
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Busan Paik Hospital, College of Medicine, Inje University, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Yun Hwan Kim
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Ewha Womans University Mokdong Hospital, Ewha Womans University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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Huecker M, Schutzman C, French J, El-Kersh K, Ghafghazi S, Desai R, Frick D, Thomas JJ. Accurate Modeling of Ejection Fraction and Stroke Volume With Mobile Phone Auscultation: Prospective Case-Control Study. JMIR Cardio 2024; 8:e57111. [PMID: 38924781 PMCID: PMC11237790 DOI: 10.2196/57111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2024] [Revised: 03/19/2024] [Accepted: 04/10/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Heart failure (HF) contributes greatly to morbidity, mortality, and health care costs worldwide. Hospital readmission rates are tracked closely and determine federal reimbursement dollars. No current modality or technology allows for accurate measurement of relevant HF parameters in ambulatory, rural, or underserved settings. This limits the use of telehealth to diagnose or monitor HF in ambulatory patients. OBJECTIVE This study describes a novel HF diagnostic technology using audio recordings from a standard mobile phone. METHODS This prospective study of acoustic microphone recordings enrolled convenience samples of patients from 2 different clinical sites in 2 separate areas of the United States. Recordings were obtained at the aortic (second intercostal) site with the patient sitting upright. The team used recordings to create predictive algorithms using physics-based (not neural networks) models. The analysis matched mobile phone acoustic data to ejection fraction (EF) and stroke volume (SV) as evaluated by echocardiograms. Using the physics-based approach to determine features eliminates the need for neural networks and overfitting strategies entirely, potentially offering advantages in data efficiency, model stability, regulatory visibility, and physical insightfulness. RESULTS Recordings were obtained from 113 participants. No recordings were excluded due to background noise or for any other reason. Participants had diverse racial backgrounds and body surface areas. Reliable echocardiogram data were available for EF from 113 patients and for SV from 65 patients. The mean age of the EF cohort was 66.3 (SD 13.3) years, with female patients comprising 38.3% (43/113) of the group. Using an EF cutoff of ≤40% versus >40%, the model (using 4 features) had an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.955, sensitivity of 0.952, specificity of 0.958, and accuracy of 0.956. The mean age of the SV cohort was 65.5 (SD 12.7) years, with female patients comprising 34% (38/65) of the group. Using a clinically relevant SV cutoff of <50 mL versus >50 mL, the model (using 3 features) had an AUROC of 0.922, sensitivity of 1.000, specificity of 0.844, and accuracy of 0.923. Acoustics frequencies associated with SV were observed to be higher than those associated with EF and, therefore, were less likely to pass through the tissue without distortion. CONCLUSIONS This work describes the use of mobile phone auscultation recordings obtained with unaltered cellular microphones. The analysis reproduced the estimates of EF and SV with impressive accuracy. This technology will be further developed into a mobile app that could bring screening and monitoring of HF to several clinical settings, such as home or telehealth, rural, remote, and underserved areas across the globe. This would bring high-quality diagnostic methods to patients with HF using equipment they already own and in situations where no other diagnostic and monitoring options exist.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martin Huecker
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Craig Schutzman
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Joshua French
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Karim El-Kersh
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The University of Arizona, Phoenix, AZ, United States
| | - Shahab Ghafghazi
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Ravi Desai
- Lehigh Valley Health Network Cardiology and Critical Care, Allentown, PA, United States
| | - Daniel Frick
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Jarred Jeremy Thomas
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
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Lam BD, Chrysafi P, Chiasakul T, Khosla H, Karagkouni D, McNichol M, Adamski A, Reyes N, Abe K, Mantha S, Vlachos IS, Zwicker JI, Patell R. Machine learning natural language processing for identifying venous thromboembolism: systematic review and meta-analysis. Blood Adv 2024; 8:2991-3000. [PMID: 38522096 PMCID: PMC11215191 DOI: 10.1182/bloodadvances.2023012200] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2023] [Revised: 02/22/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 03/26/2024] Open
Abstract
ABSTRACT Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of preventable in-hospital mortality. Monitoring VTE cases is limited by the challenges of manual medical record review and diagnosis code interpretation. Natural language processing (NLP) can automate the process. Rule-based NLP methods are effective but time consuming. Machine learning (ML)-NLP methods present a promising solution. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies published before May 2023 that use ML-NLP to identify VTE diagnoses in the electronic health records. Four reviewers screened all manuscripts, excluding studies that only used a rule-based method. A meta-analysis evaluated the pooled performance of each study's best performing model that evaluated for pulmonary embolism and/or deep vein thrombosis. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) with confidence interval (CI) were calculated by DerSimonian and Laird method using a random-effects model. Study quality was assessed using an adapted TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis) tool. Thirteen studies were included in the systematic review and 8 had data available for meta-analysis. Pooled sensitivity was 0.931 (95% CI, 0.881-0.962), specificity 0.984 (95% CI, 0.967-0.992), PPV 0.910 (95% CI, 0.865-0.941) and NPV 0.985 (95% CI, 0.977-0.990). All studies met at least 13 of the 21 NLP-modified TRIPOD items, demonstrating fair quality. The highest performing models used vectorization rather than bag-of-words and deep-learning techniques such as convolutional neural networks. There was significant heterogeneity in the studies, and only 4 validated their model on an external data set. Further standardization of ML studies can help progress this novel technology toward real-world implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barbara D. Lam
- Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Division of Clinical Informatics, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Pavlina Chrysafi
- Department of Medicine, Mount Auburn Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Thita Chiasakul
- Center of Excellence in Translational Hematology, Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University and King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital, Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Harshit Khosla
- Department of Medicine, Saint Vincent Hospital, Worcester, MA
| | - Dimitra Karagkouni
- Department of Pathology, Cancer Research Institute, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Megan McNichol
- Library Sciences, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Alys Adamski
- Division of Blood Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA
| | - Nimia Reyes
- Division of Blood Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA
| | - Karon Abe
- Division of Blood Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA
| | - Simon Mantha
- Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY
| | - Ioannis S. Vlachos
- Department of Pathology, Cancer Research Institute, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Jeffrey I. Zwicker
- Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY
| | - Rushad Patell
- Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
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Kumbhar K, Mukherji P. An optimized deep strategy for recognition and alleviation of DDoS attack in SD-IoT. NETWORK (BRISTOL, ENGLAND) 2024:1-32. [PMID: 38884373 DOI: 10.1080/0954898x.2024.2356852] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2023] [Accepted: 05/14/2024] [Indexed: 06/18/2024]
Abstract
The attacks like distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) are termed as severe defence issues in data centres, and are considered real network threat. These types of attacks can produce huge disturbances in information technologies. In addition, it is a complex task to determine and fully alleviate DDoS attacks. The new strategy is developed to identify and alleviate DDoS attacks in the Software-Defined Internet of Things (SD-IoT) model. SD-IoT simulation is executed to gather data. The data collected through nodes of SD-IoT are fed to the selection of feature phases. Here, the hybrid process is considered to select features, wherein features, like wrapper-based technique, cosine similarity-based technique, and entropy-based technique are utilized to choose the significant features. Thereafter, the attack discovery process is done with Elephant Water Cycle (EWC)-assisted deep neuro-fuzzy network (DNFN). The EWC is adapted to train DNFN, and here EWC is obtained by grouping Elephant Herd Optimization (EHO) and water cycle algorithm (WCA). Finally, attack mitigation is carried out to secure the SD-IoT. The EWC-assisted DNFN revealed the highest accuracy of 96.9%, TNR of 98%, TPR of 90%, precision of 93%, and F1-score of 91%, when compared with other related techniques.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kalpana Kumbhar
- Electronics and Telecommunication Department, Vishwakarma Institute of information Technology, Pune, Maharashtra, India
- Electronics and Telecommunication Department, MKSSS's Cummins college of engineering for Women, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - Prachi Mukherji
- Electronics and Telecommunication Department, Vishwakarma Institute of information Technology, Pune, Maharashtra, India
- Electronics and Telecommunication Department, MKSSS's Cummins College of Engineering, Pune, Maharashtra, India
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Uemura S, Nakayama R, Koyama M, Taguchi Y, Bunya N, Sawamoto K, Ohnishi H, Narimatsu E. Prediction of the future number of fall-related emergency medical services calls in older individuals. Int J Emerg Med 2024; 17:72. [PMID: 38862902 PMCID: PMC11165859 DOI: 10.1186/s12245-024-00654-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2024] [Accepted: 06/07/2024] [Indexed: 06/13/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Falls among older individuals contribute significantly to the rise in ambulance transport use. To recognize the importance of future countermeasures, we estimated the projected number and percentage of fall-related emergency medical service (EMS) calls. METHODS We examined the sex, age group, and location of falls among patients aged ≥ 65 years who contacted emergency services in Sapporo City from 2013 to 2021. Annual fall-related calls per population subgroup were calculated, and trends were analyzed. Four models were used to estimate the future number of fall-related calls from the 2025-2060 projected population: (1) based on the 2022 data, estimates from the 2013-2022 data using (2) Poisson progression, (3) neural network, (4) estimates from the 2013-2019 data using neural network. The number of all EMS calls was also determined using the same method to obtain the ratio of all EMS calls. RESULTS During 2013-2022, 70,262 fall-related calls were made for those aged ≥ 65 years. The rate was higher indoors among females and outdoor among males in most age groups and generally increased with age. After adjusting for age, the rate increased by year. Future estimates of the number of fall calls are approximately double the number in 2022 in 2040 and three times in 2060, with falls accounting for approximately 11% and 13% of all EMS calls in 2040 and 2060, respectively. CONCLUSION The number of fall-related EMS calls among older people is expected to increase in the future, and the percentage of EMS calls will also increase; therefore, countermeasures are urgently needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuji Uemura
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan.
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan.
| | - Ryuichi Nakayama
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
| | - Masayuki Koyama
- Department of Public Health, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Yukiko Taguchi
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
- Department of Nursing, School of Health Sciences, Sapporo Medical University, S S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8556, Japan
| | - Naofumi Bunya
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Keigo Sawamoto
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Hirofumi Ohnishi
- Department of Public Health, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Eichi Narimatsu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
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Santana LS, Diniz JBC, Rabelo NN, Teixeira MJ, Figueiredo EG, Telles JPM. Machine Learning Algorithms to Predict Delayed Cerebral Ischemia After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Neurocrit Care 2024; 40:1171-1181. [PMID: 37667079 DOI: 10.1007/s12028-023-01832-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2023] [Accepted: 08/04/2023] [Indexed: 09/06/2023]
Abstract
Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is a common and severe complication after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Logistic regression (LR) is the primary method to predict DCI, but it has low accuracy. This study assessed whether other machine learning (ML) models can predict DCI after SAH more accurately than conventional LR. PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were systematically searched for studies directly comparing LR and other ML algorithms to forecast DCI in patients with SAH. Our main outcome was the accuracy measurement, represented by sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic. In the six studies included, comprising 1828 patients, about 28% (519) developed DCI. For LR models, the pooled sensitivity was 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57-0.84; p < 0.01) and the pooled specificity was 0.63 (95% CI 0.42-0.85; p < 0.01). For ML models, the pooled sensitivity was 0.74 (95% CI 0.61-0.86; p < 0.01) and the pooled specificity was 0.78 (95% CI 0.71-0.86; p = 0.02). Our results suggest that ML algorithms performed better than conventional LR at predicting DCI.Trial Registration: PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews) CRD42023441586; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=441586.
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Tong B, Chen H, Wang C, Zeng W, Li D, Liu P, Liu M, Jin X, Shang S. Clinical prediction models for knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis: a systematic review. Skeletal Radiol 2024; 53:1045-1059. [PMID: 38265451 DOI: 10.1007/s00256-024-04590-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2023] [Revised: 12/15/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 01/25/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To identify and describe existing models for predicting knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis. METHODS The electronic databases PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched from their inception to May 2023 for any studies to develop and validate a prediction model for predicting knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis. Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts, and full-text qualifications, and extracted data. Risk of bias was assessed using the PROBAST. Data extraction of eligible articles was extracted by a data extraction form based on CHARMS. The quality of evidence was graded according to GRADE. The results were summarized with descriptive statistics. RESULTS The search identified 2693 records. Sixteen articles reporting on 26 prediction models were included targeting occurrence (n = 9), others (n = 7), progression (n = 5), persistent (n = 2), incident (n = 1), frequent (n = 1), and flares (n = 1) of knee pain. Most of the studies (94%) were at high risk of bias. Model discrimination was assessed by the AUROC ranging from 0.62 to 0.81. The most common predictors were age, BMI, gender, baseline pain, and joint space width. Only frequent knee pain had a moderate quality of evidence; all other types of knee pain had a low quality of evidence. CONCLUSION There are many prediction models for knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis that do show promise. However, the clinical extensibility, applicability, and interpretability of predictive tools should be considered during model development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Beibei Tong
- School of Nursing, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Hongbo Chen
- Nursing Department of Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Cui Wang
- School of Nursing, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Wen Zeng
- School of Nursing, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Dan Li
- School of Nursing, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Peiyuan Liu
- School of Nursing, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Ming Liu
- Macao Polytechnic University, Macao, China
| | | | - Shaomei Shang
- School of Nursing, Peking University, Beijing, China.
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Minku, Ghosh R. A macro-micro FE and ANN framework to assess site-specific bone ingrowth around the porous beaded-coated implant: an example with BOX® tibial implant for total ankle replacement. Med Biol Eng Comput 2024; 62:1639-1654. [PMID: 38321323 DOI: 10.1007/s11517-024-03034-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2023] [Accepted: 01/22/2024] [Indexed: 02/08/2024]
Abstract
The use of mechanoregulatory schemes based on finite element (FE) analysis for the evaluation of bone ingrowth around porous surfaces is a viable approach but requires significant computational time and effort. The aim of this study is to develop a combined macro-micro FE and artificial neural network (ANN) framework for rapid and accurate prediction of the site-specific bone ingrowth around the porous beaded-coated tibial implant for total ankle replacement (TAR). A macroscale FE model of the implanted tibia was developed based on CT data. Subsequently, a microscale FE model of the implant-bone interface was created for performing bone ingrowth simulations using mechanoregulatory algorithms. An ANN was trained for rapid and accurate prediction of bone ingrowth. The results predicted by ANN are well comparable to FE-predicted results. Predicted site-specific bone ingrowth using ANN around the implant ranges from 43.04 to 98.24%, with a mean bone ingrowth of around 74.24%. Results suggested that the central region exhibited the highest bone ingrowth, which is also well corroborated with the recent explanted study on BOX®. The proposed methodology has the potential to simulate bone ingrowth rapidly and effectively at any given site over any implant surface.
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Affiliation(s)
- Minku
- Biomechanics Research Laboratory, School of Mechanical & Materials Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, Kamand, Mandi, 175075, Himachal Pradesh, India
| | - Rajesh Ghosh
- Biomechanics Research Laboratory, School of Mechanical & Materials Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, Kamand, Mandi, 175075, Himachal Pradesh, India.
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Ware OD, Lee KA, Lombardi B, Buccino DL, Lister JJ, Park E, Roberts K, Estreet A, Van Deinse T, Neukrug H, Wilson AB, Park D, Lanier P. Artificial Neural Network Analysis Examining Substance Use Problems Co-Occurring with Anxiety and Depressive Disorders Among Adults Receiving Mental Health Treatment. J Dual Diagn 2024:1-12. [PMID: 38796732 DOI: 10.1080/15504263.2024.2357623] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2024]
Abstract
Objective: The co-occurrence of anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and substance use problems was examined. Methods: The Mental Health Client-Level Data dataset was used to conduct logistic regression models and an artificial neural network analysis. Logistic regression analyses were conducted among adults with anxiety (n = 547,473) or depressive disorders (n = 1,610,601) as their primary diagnosis who received treatment in a community mental health center. The artificial neural network analysis was conducted with the entire sample (N = 2,158,074). Results: Approximately 30% of the sample had co-occurring high-risk substance use or substance use disorder. Characteristics including region of treatment receipt, age, education, gender, race and ethnicity, and the presence of co-occurring anxiety and depressive disorders were associated with the co-occurring high-risk substance use or a substance use disorder. Conclusions: Findings from this study highlight the importance of mental health facilities to screen for and provide integrated treatment for co-occurring disorders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Orrin D Ware
- School of Social Work, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Kerry A Lee
- Graduate School of Social Work and Social Research, Bryn Mawr College, Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Brianna Lombardi
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Daniel L Buccino
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Jamey J Lister
- School of Social Work, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA
| | - Eunsong Park
- School of Social Work, University of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Kate Roberts
- Graduate School of Social Work and Social Research, Bryn Mawr College, Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania, USA
| | | | - Tonya Van Deinse
- School of Social Work, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Hannah Neukrug
- School of Social Work, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Amy Blank Wilson
- School of Social Work, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Daejun Park
- Department of Social Work, Ohio University, Athens, Ohio, USA
| | - Paul Lanier
- School of Social Work, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
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Sampaio PN, Calado CCR. Enhancing Bioactive Compound Classification through the Synergy of Fourier-Transform Infrared Spectroscopy and Advanced Machine Learning Methods. Antibiotics (Basel) 2024; 13:428. [PMID: 38786156 PMCID: PMC11117366 DOI: 10.3390/antibiotics13050428] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2024] [Revised: 04/29/2024] [Accepted: 05/07/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Bacterial infections and resistance to antibiotic drugs represent the highest challenges to public health. The search for new and promising compounds with anti-bacterial activity is a very urgent matter. To promote the development of platforms enabling the discovery of compounds with anti-bacterial activity, Fourier-Transform Mid-Infrared (FT-MIR) spectroscopy coupled with machine learning algorithms was used to predict the impact of compounds extracted from Cynara cardunculus against Escherichia coli. According to the plant tissues (seeds, dry and fresh leaves, and flowers) and the solvents used (ethanol, methanol, acetone, ethyl acetate, and water), compounds with different compositions concerning the phenol content and antioxidant and antimicrobial activities were obtained. A principal component analysis of the spectra allowed us to discriminate compounds that inhibited E. coli growth according to the conventional assay. The supervised classification models enabled the prediction of the compounds' impact on E. coli growth, showing the following values for accuracy: 94% for partial least squares-discriminant analysis; 89% for support vector machine; 72% for k-nearest neighbors; and 100% for a backpropagation network. According to the results, the integration of FT-MIR spectroscopy with machine learning presents a high potential to promote the discovery of new compounds with antibacterial activity, thereby streamlining the drug exploratory process.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pedro N Sampaio
- COPELABS-Computação e Cognição Centrada nas Pessoas, Faculty of Engineering, Lusófona University, Campo Grande, 376, 1749-024 Lisbon, Portugal
- GREEN-IT-BioResources for Sustainability Unit, Institute of Chemical and Biological Technology António Xavier, ITQB NOVA, Av. da República, 2780-157 Oeiras, Portugal
| | - Cecília C R Calado
- ISEL-Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa, Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa, Rua Conselheiro Emídio Navarro 1, 1959-007 Lisbon, Portugal
- iBB-Institute for Bioengineering and Biosciences, i4HB-The Associate Laboratory Institute for Health and Bioeconomy, IST-Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal
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Salkić N, Jovanović P, Barišić Jaman M, Selimović N, Paštrović F, Grgurević I. Machine Learning for Short-Term Mortality in Acute Decompensation of Liver Cirrhosis: Better than MELD Score. Diagnostics (Basel) 2024; 14:981. [PMID: 38786278 PMCID: PMC11119188 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics14100981] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2024] [Revised: 04/28/2024] [Accepted: 05/06/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis could be improved. We aimed to develop and validate two machine learning (ML) models for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients hospitalized with acute decompensated liver cirrhosis. We trained two artificial neural network (ANN)-based ML models using a training sample of 165 out of 290 (56.9%) patients, and then tested their predictive performance against Model of End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na) and MELD 3.0 scores using a different validation sample of 125 out of 290 (43.1%) patients. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 28-day mortality for the ML model was 0.811 (95%CI: 0.714- 0.907; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.577 (95%CI: 0.435-0.720; p = 0.226) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.600 (95%CI: 0.462-0.739; p = 0.117). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 90-day mortality for the ML model was 0.839 (95%CI: 0.776- 0.884; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.682 (95%CI: 0.575-0.790; p = 0.002) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.703 (95%CI: 0.590-0.816; p < 0.001). Our study demonstrates that ML-based models for predicting short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis perform significantly better than MELD-Na and MELD 3.0 scores in a validation cohort.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nermin Salkić
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
| | - Predrag Jovanović
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
| | - Mislav Barišić Jaman
- Department for Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, University Hospital Dubrava, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia; (M.B.J.)
| | - Nedim Selimović
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
| | - Frane Paštrović
- Department for Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, University Hospital Dubrava, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia; (M.B.J.)
| | - Ivica Grgurević
- Department for Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, University Hospital Dubrava, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia; (M.B.J.)
- Faculty of Pharmacy and Biochemistry, University of Zagreb, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia
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Sarkar SK, Rudra RR, Talukdar S, Das PC, Nur MS, Alam E, Islam MK, Islam ARMT. Future groundwater potential mapping using machine learning algorithms and climate change scenarios in Bangladesh. Sci Rep 2024; 14:10328. [PMID: 38710767 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-60560-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2023] [Accepted: 04/24/2024] [Indexed: 05/08/2024] Open
Abstract
The aim of the study was to estimate future groundwater potential zones based on machine learning algorithms and climate change scenarios. Fourteen parameters (i.e., curvature, drainage density, slope, roughness, rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, lineament density, land use and land cover, general soil types, geology, geomorphology, topographic position index (TPI), topographic wetness index (TWI)) were used in developing machine learning algorithms. Three machine learning algorithms (i.e., artificial neural network (ANN), logistic model tree (LMT), and logistic regression (LR)) were applied to identify groundwater potential zones. The best-fit model was selected based on the ROC curve. Representative concentration pathways (RCP) of 2.5, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5 climate scenarios of precipitation were used for modeling future climate change. Finally, future groundwater potential zones were identified for 2025, 2030, 2035, and 2040 based on the best machine learning model and future RCP models. According to findings, ANN shows better accuracy than the other two models (AUC: 0.875). The ANN model predicted that 23.10 percent of the land was in very high groundwater potential zones, whereas 33.50 percent was in extremely high groundwater potential zones. The study forecasts precipitation values under different climate change scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6, and RCP8.5) for 2025, 2030, 2035, and 2040 using an ANN model and shows spatial distribution maps for each scenario. Finally, sixteen scenarios were generated for future groundwater potential zones. Government officials may utilize the study's results to inform evidence-based choices on water management and planning at the national level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Showmitra Kumar Sarkar
- Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Khulna University of Engineering & Technology (KUET), Khulna, 9203, Bangladesh.
| | - Rhyme Rubayet Rudra
- Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Khulna University of Engineering & Technology (KUET), Khulna, 9203, Bangladesh
| | - Swapan Talukdar
- Department of Geography, Asutosh College, University of Calcutta, Kolkata, 700026, India
| | - Palash Chandra Das
- Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Khulna University of Engineering & Technology (KUET), Khulna, 9203, Bangladesh
- Department of Geography, Texas A&M University, College Station, USA
| | - Md Sadmin Nur
- Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Khulna University of Engineering & Technology (KUET), Khulna, 9203, Bangladesh
| | - Edris Alam
- Faculty of Resilience, Rabdan Academy, 22401, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
- Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Chittagong, Chittagong, 4331, Bangladesh
| | - Md Kamrul Islam
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, King Faisal University, AlAhsa, 31982, Saudi Arabia
| | - Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam
- Department of Disaster Management, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur, 5400, Bangladesh
- Department of Development Studies, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, 1216, Bangladesh
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Yang HY, Shin YG, Shin HH, Choi JH, Seon JK. Factors to improve odds of success following medial opening-wedge high tibial osteotomy: a machine learning analysis. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2024; 25:323. [PMID: 38658876 PMCID: PMC11040853 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-024-07441-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2023] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although high tibial osteotomy (HTO) is an established treatment option for medial compartment osteoarthritis, predictive factors for HTO treatment success remain unclear. This study aimed to identify informative variables associated with HTO treatment success and to develop and internally validate machine learning algorithms to predict which patients will achieve HTO treatment success for medial compartmental osteoarthritis. METHODS This study retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent medial opening-wedge HTO (MOWHTO) at our center between March 2010 and December 2015. The primary outcomes were a lack of conversion to total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and achievement of a minimal clinically important difference of improvement in the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) at a minimum of five years postoperatively. Recursive feature selection was used to identify the combination of variables from an initial pool of 25 features that optimized model performance. Five machine learning algorithms (XGBoost, multilayer perception, support vector machine, elastic-net penalized logistic regression, and random forest) were trained using five-fold cross-validation three times and applied to an independent test set of patients. The performance of the model was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS A total of 231 patients were included, and 200 patients (86.6%) achieved treatment success at the mean of 9 years of follow-up. A combination of seven variables optimized algorithm performance, and the following specific cutoffs increased the likelihood of MOWHTO treatment success: body mass index (BMI) ≤ 26.8 kg/m2, preoperative KOOS for pain ≤ 46.0, preoperative KOOS for quality of life ≤ 33.0, preoperative International Knee Documentation Committee score ≤ 42.0, preoperative Short-Form 36 questionnaire (SF-36) score > 42.25, three-month postoperative hip-knee-ankle angle > 1.0°, and three-month postoperative medial proximal tibial angle (MPTA) > 91.5° and ≤ 94.7°. The random forest model demonstrated the best performance (F1 score: 0.93; AUC: 0.81) and was transformed into an online application as an educational tool to demonstrate the capabilities of machine learning. CONCLUSIONS The random forest machine learning algorithm best predicted MOWHTO treatment success. Patients with a lower BMI, poor clinical status, slight valgus overcorrection, and postoperative MPTA < 94.7 more frequently achieved a greater likelihood of treatment success. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, retrospective cohort study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hong Yeol Yang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, 322, Seoyang-ro 322 Hwasun-gun, Chonnam, 58128, Republic of Korea
| | | | - Hyun Ho Shin
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, 322, Seoyang-ro 322 Hwasun-gun, Chonnam, 58128, Republic of Korea
| | - Ji Hoon Choi
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, 322, Seoyang-ro 322 Hwasun-gun, Chonnam, 58128, Republic of Korea
| | - Jong Keun Seon
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, 322, Seoyang-ro 322 Hwasun-gun, Chonnam, 58128, Republic of Korea.
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Bałdyga M, Barański K, Belter J, Kalinowski M, Weichbroth P. Anomaly Detection in Railway Sensor Data Environments: State-of-the-Art Methods and Empirical Performance Evaluation. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2024; 24:2633. [PMID: 38676250 PMCID: PMC11054908 DOI: 10.3390/s24082633] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2024] [Revised: 04/12/2024] [Accepted: 04/18/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024]
Abstract
To date, significant progress has been made in the field of railway anomaly detection using technologies such as real-time data analytics, the Internet of Things, and machine learning. As technology continues to evolve, the ability to detect and respond to anomalies in railway systems is once again in the spotlight. However, railway anomaly detection faces challenges related to the vast infrastructure, dynamic conditions, aging infrastructure, and adverse environmental conditions on the one hand, and the scale, complexity, and critical safety implications of railway systems on the other. Our study is underpinned by the three objectives. Specifically, we aim to identify time series anomaly detection methods applied to railway sensor device data, recognize the advantages and disadvantages of these methods, and evaluate their effectiveness. To address the research objectives, the first part of the study involved a systematic literature review and a series of controlled experiments. In the case of the former, we adopted well-established guidelines to structure and visualize the review. In the second part, we investigated the effectiveness of selected machine learning methods. To evaluate the predictive performance of each method, a five-fold cross-validation approach was applied to ensure the highest accuracy and generality. Based on the calculated accuracy, the results show that the top three methods are CatBoost (96%), Random Forest (91%), and XGBoost (90%), whereas the lowest accuracy is observed for One-Class Support Vector Machines (48%), Local Outlier Factor (53%), and Isolation Forest (55%). As the industry moves toward a zero-defect paradigm on a global scale, ongoing research efforts are focused on improving existing methods and developing new ones that contribute to the safety and quality of rail transportation. In this sense, there are at least four avenues for future research worth considering: testing richer data sets, hyperparameter optimization, and implementing other methods not included in the current study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michał Bałdyga
- Meritus Systemy Informatyczne Sp. z.o.o., Prosta 70, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Kacper Barański
- Meritus Systemy Informatyczne Sp. z.o.o., Prosta 70, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Jakub Belter
- Meritus Systemy Informatyczne Sp. z.o.o., Prosta 70, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Mateusz Kalinowski
- Meritus Systemy Informatyczne Sp. z.o.o., Prosta 70, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Paweł Weichbroth
- Department of Software Engineering, Faculty of Electronics, Telecomunications and Informatics, Gdansk University of Technology, 80-233 Gdansk, Poland
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Berkhout M, Smit K, Versendaal J. Decision discovery using clinical decision support system decision log data for supporting the nurse decision-making process. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2024; 24:100. [PMID: 38637792 PMCID: PMC11025262 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-024-02486-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2022] [Accepted: 03/18/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Decision-making in healthcare is increasingly complex; notably in hospital environments where the information density is high, e.g., emergency departments, oncology departments, and psychiatry departments. This study aims to discover decisions from logged data to improve the decision-making process. METHODS The Design Science Research Methodology (DSRM) was chosen to design an artifact (algorithm) for the discovery and visualization of decisions. The DSRM's different activities are explained, from the definition of the problem to the evaluation of the artifact. During the design and development activities, the algorithm itself is created. During the demonstration and evaluation activities, the algorithm was tested with an authentic synthetic dataset. RESULTS The results show the design and simulation of an algorithm for the discovery and visualization of decisions. A fuzzy classifier algorithm was adapted for (1) discovering decisions from a decision log and (2) visualizing the decisions using the Decision Model and Notation standard. CONCLUSIONS In this paper, we show that decisions can be discovered from a decision log and visualized for the improvement of the decision-making process of healthcare professionals or to support the periodic evaluation of protocols and guidelines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthijs Berkhout
- Digital Ethics, HU University of Applied Sciences Utrecht, Heidelberglaan 15, Utrecht, 3584 CS, The Netherlands.
| | - Koen Smit
- Digital Ethics, HU University of Applied Sciences Utrecht, Heidelberglaan 15, Utrecht, 3584 CS, The Netherlands
| | - Johan Versendaal
- Digital Ethics, HU University of Applied Sciences Utrecht, Heidelberglaan 15, Utrecht, 3584 CS, The Netherlands
- Open University of the Netherlands, Valkenburgerweg 177, Heerlen, 6419 AT, The Netherlands
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Li X, Zhang C, Wang J, Ye C, Zhu J, Zhuge Q. Development and performance assessment of novel machine learning models for predicting postoperative pneumonia in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients: external validation in MIMIC-IV. Front Neurol 2024; 15:1341252. [PMID: 38685951 PMCID: PMC11056519 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1341252] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2023] [Accepted: 02/28/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Postoperative pneumonia (POP) is one of the primary complications after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and is associated with postoperative mortality, extended hospital stay, and increased medical fee. Early identification of pneumonia and more aggressive treatment can improve patient outcomes. We aimed to develop a model to predict POP in aSAH patients using machine learning (ML) methods. Methods This internal cohort study included 706 patients with aSAH undergoing intracranial aneurysm embolization or aneurysm clipping. The cohort was randomly split into a train set (80%) and a testing set (20%). Perioperative information was collected from participants to establish 6 machine learning models for predicting POP after surgical treatment. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), precision-recall curve were used to assess the accuracy, discriminative power, and clinical validity of the predictions. The final model was validated using an external validation set of 97 samples from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Results In this study, 15.01% of patients in the training set and 12.06% in the testing set with POP after underwent surgery. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that mechanical ventilation time (MVT), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Smoking history, albumin level, neutrophil-to-albumin Ratio (NAR), c-reactive protein (CRP)-to-albumin ratio (CAR) were independent predictors of POP. The logistic regression (LR) model presented significantly better predictive performance (AUC: 0.91) than other models and also performed well in the external validation set (AUC: 0.89). Conclusion A machine learning model for predicting POP in aSAH patients was successfully developed using a machine learning algorithm based on six perioperative variables, which could guide high-risk POP patients to take appropriate preventive measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinbo Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Chengwei Zhang
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Jiale Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Chengxing Ye
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | | | - Qichuan Zhuge
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
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Choi H, Choi B, Han S, Lee M, Shin GT, Kim H, Son M, Kim KH, Kwon JM, Park RW, Park I. Applicable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Contrast-induced Nephropathy Based on Pre-catheterization Variables. Intern Med 2024; 63:773-780. [PMID: 37558487 PMCID: PMC11008999 DOI: 10.2169/internalmedicine.1459-22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2022] [Accepted: 07/02/2023] [Indexed: 08/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective Contrast agents used for radiological examinations are an important cause of acute kidney injury (AKI). We developed and validated a machine learning and clinical scoring prediction model to stratify the risk of contrast-induced nephropathy, considering the limitations of current classical and machine learning models. Methods This retrospective study included 38,481 percutaneous coronary intervention cases from 23,703 patients in a tertiary hospital. We divided the cases into development and internal test sets (8:2). Using the development set, we trained a gradient boosting machine prediction model (complex model). We then developed a simple model using seven variables based on variable importance. We validated the performance of the models using an internal test set and tested them externally in two other hospitals. Results The complex model had the best area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve at 0.885 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.876-0.894] in the internal test set and 0.837 (95% CI 0.819-0.854) and 0.850 (95% CI 0.781-0.918) in two different external validation sets. The simple model showed an AUROC of 0.795 (95% CI 0.781-0.808) in the internal test set and 0.766 (95% CI 0.744-0.789) and 0.782 (95% CI 0.687-0.877) in the two different external validation sets. This was higher than the value in the well-known scoring system (Mehran criteria, AUROC=0.67). The seven precatheterization variables selected for the simple model were age, known chronic kidney disease, hematocrit, troponin I, blood urea nitrogen, base excess, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. The simple model is available at http://52.78.230.235:8081/Conclusions We developed an AKI prediction machine learning model with reliable performance. This can aid in bedside clinical decision making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Heejung Choi
- Department of Nephrology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
| | - Byungjin Choi
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
| | | | - Minjeong Lee
- Department of Nephrology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
| | - Gyu-Tae Shin
- Department of Nephrology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
| | - Heungsoo Kim
- Department of Nephrology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
| | - Minkook Son
- Department of Physiology, College of Medicine, Dong-A University, Korea
| | - Kyung-Hee Kim
- Department of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Center, Incheon Sejong Hospital, Korea
| | - Joon-Myoung Kwon
- Department of Critical Care and Emergency Medicine, Incheon Sejong Hospital, Korea
- Artificial Intelligence and Big Data Research Center, Sejong Medical Research Institute, Korea
- Medical Research Team, Medical AI, Korea
| | - Rae Woong Park
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Ajou University Graduate School of Medicine, Korea
| | - Inwhee Park
- Department of Nephrology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Korea
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Sasani H, Etli Y, Tastekin B, Hekimoglu Y, Keskin S, Asirdizer M. Sex Estimation From Measurements of the Mastoid Triangle and Volume of the Mastoid Air Cell System Using Classical and Machine Learning Methods: A Comparative Analysis. Am J Forensic Med Pathol 2024; 45:51-62. [PMID: 38039501 DOI: 10.1097/paf.0000000000000890] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/03/2023]
Abstract
ABSTRACT Previous studies on the sexual dimorphism of the mastoid triangle have typically focused on linear and area measurements. No studies in the literature have used mastoid air cell system volume measurements for direct anthropological or forensic sex determination. The aims of this study were to investigate the applicability of mastoid air cell system volume measurements and mastoid triangle measurements separately and combined for sex estimation, and to determine the accuracy of sex estimation rates using machine learning algorithms and discriminant function analysis of these data. On 200 computed tomography images, the distances constituting the edges of the mastoid triangle were measured, and the area was calculated using these measurements. A region-growing algorithm was used to determine the volume of the mastoid air cell system. The univariate sex determination accuracy was calculated for all parameters. Stepwise discriminant function analysis was performed for sex estimation. Multiple machine learning methods have also been used. All measurements of the mastoid triangle and volumes of the mastoid air cell system were higher in males than in females. The accurate sex estimation rate was determined to be 79.5% using stepwise discriminant function analysis and 88.5% using machine learning methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hadi Sasani
- From the Medical Faculty of Namik Kemal University, Istanbul
| | - Yasin Etli
- Department of Forensic Medicine, Medical Faculty Hospital of Selcuk University, Konya
| | - Burak Tastekin
- Clinic of Forensic Medicine, Republic of Turkey Ministry of Health, Ankara City Hospital
| | | | - Siddik Keskin
- Department of Biostatistics, Medical School of Van Yuzuncu Yil University, Van
| | - Mahmut Asirdizer
- Department of Forensic Medicine, Medical Faculty, Bahçeşehir University, Istanbul, Turkey
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Boyacioglu H, Gunacti MC, Barbaros F, Gul A, Gul GO, Ozturk T, Kurnaz ML. Impact of climate change and land cover dynamics on nitrate transport to surface waters. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2024; 196:270. [PMID: 38358427 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-024-12402-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/16/2024]
Abstract
The study investigated the impact of climate and land cover change on water quality. The novel contribution of the study was to investigate the individual and combined impacts of climate and land cover change on water quality with high spatial and temporal resolution in a basin in Turkey. The global circulation model MPI-ESM-MR was dynamically downscaled to 10-km resolution under the RCP8.5 emission scenario. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to model stream flow and nitrate loads. The land cover model outputs that were produced by the Land Change Modeler (LCM) were used for these simulation studies. Results revealed that decreasing precipitation intensity driven by climate change could significantly reduce nitrate transport to surface waters. In the 2075-2100 period, nitrate-nitrogen (NO3-N) loads transported to surface water decreased by more than 75%. Furthermore, the transition predominantly from forestry to pastoral farming systems increased loads by about 6%. The study results indicated that fine-resolution land use and climate data lead to better model performance. Environmental managers can also benefit greatly from the LCM-based forecast of land use changes and the SWAT model's attribution of changes in water quality to land use changes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hulya Boyacioglu
- Department of Environmental Engineering, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey.
| | - Mert Can Gunacti
- Department of Civil Engineering, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Filiz Barbaros
- Department of Civil Engineering, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Ali Gul
- Department of Civil Engineering, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | | | - Tugba Ozturk
- Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Department of Physics, Isik University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - M Levent Kurnaz
- Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey
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Neo PK, Leong YW, Soon MF, Goh QS, Thumsorn S, Ito H. Development of a Machine Learning Model to Predict the Color of Extruded Thermoplastic Resins. Polymers (Basel) 2024; 16:481. [PMID: 38399859 PMCID: PMC10891526 DOI: 10.3390/polym16040481] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2024] [Revised: 02/02/2024] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
The conventional method for the color-matching process involves the compounding of polymers with pigments and then preparing plaques by using injection molding before measuring the color by an offline spectrophotometer. If the color fails to meet the L*, a*, and b* standards, the color-matching process must be repeated. In this study, the aim is to develop a machine learning model that is capable of predicting offline color using data from inline color measurements, thereby significantly reducing the time that is required for the color-matching process. The inline color data were measured using an inline process spectrophotometer, while the offline color data were measured using a bench-top spectrophotometer. The results showed that the Bagging with Decision Tree Regression and Random Forest Regression can predict the offline color data with aggregated color differences (dE) of 10.87 and 10.75. Compared to other machine learning methods, Bagging with Decision Tree Regression and Random Forest Regression excel due to their robustness, ability to handle nonlinear relationships, and provision of insights into feature importance. This study offers valuable guidance for achieving Bagging with Decision Tree Regression and Random Forest Regression to correlate inline and offline color data, potentially reducing time and material waste in color matching. Furthermore, it facilitates timely corrections in the event of color discrepancies being observed via inline measurements.
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Affiliation(s)
- Puay Keong Neo
- Graduate School of Organic Materials Science, Yamagata University, 4-3-16 Jonan, Yonezawa 992-8510, Yamagata, Japan
- Omni-Plus System Limited, 994 Bendemeer Road, 01-03 B-Central, Singapore 339943, Singapore; (M.F.S.); (Q.S.G.)
| | - Yew Wei Leong
- Matwerkz Technologies Pte Ltd., 994 Bendemeer Road, 01-03 B-Central, Singapore 339943, Singapore;
| | - Moi Fuai Soon
- Omni-Plus System Limited, 994 Bendemeer Road, 01-03 B-Central, Singapore 339943, Singapore; (M.F.S.); (Q.S.G.)
| | - Qing Sheng Goh
- Omni-Plus System Limited, 994 Bendemeer Road, 01-03 B-Central, Singapore 339943, Singapore; (M.F.S.); (Q.S.G.)
| | - Supaphorn Thumsorn
- Research Center for GREEN Materials and Advanced Processing, Yamagata University, 4-3-16 Jonan, Yonezawa 992-8510, Yamagata, Japan;
| | - Hiroshi Ito
- Graduate School of Organic Materials Science, Yamagata University, 4-3-16 Jonan, Yonezawa 992-8510, Yamagata, Japan
- Research Center for GREEN Materials and Advanced Processing, Yamagata University, 4-3-16 Jonan, Yonezawa 992-8510, Yamagata, Japan;
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Lee T, Natalwala J, Chapple V, Liu Y. A brief history of artificial intelligence embryo selection: from black-box to glass-box. Hum Reprod 2024; 39:285-292. [PMID: 38061074 PMCID: PMC11016335 DOI: 10.1093/humrep/dead254] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2023] [Revised: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 02/02/2024] Open
Abstract
With the exponential growth of computing power and accumulation of embryo image data in recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) is starting to be utilized in embryo selection in IVF. Amongst different AI technologies, machine learning (ML) has the potential to reduce operator-related subjectivity in embryo selection while saving labor time on this task. However, as modern deep learning (DL) techniques, a subcategory of ML, are increasingly used, its integrated black-box attracts growing concern owing to the well-recognized issues regarding lack of interpretability. Currently, there is a lack of randomized controlled trials to confirm the effectiveness of such black-box models. Recently, emerging evidence has shown underperformance of black-box models compared to the more interpretable traditional ML models in embryo selection. Meanwhile, glass-box AI, such as interpretable ML, is being increasingly promoted across a wide range of fields and is supported by its ethical advantages and technical feasibility. In this review, we propose a novel classification system for traditional and AI-driven systems from an embryology standpoint, defining different morphology-based selection approaches with an emphasis on subjectivity, explainability, and interpretability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tammy Lee
- Fertility North, Joondalup Private Hospital, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia
- School of Human Sciences, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia, Australia
| | - Jay Natalwala
- Fertility North, Joondalup Private Hospital, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia
| | - Vincent Chapple
- Fertility North, Joondalup Private Hospital, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia
| | - Yanhe Liu
- Fertility North, Joondalup Private Hospital, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia
- School of Human Sciences, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia, Australia
- Faculty of Health Sciences and Medicine, Bond University, Robina, Queensland, Australia
- School of Medical and Health Sciences, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia
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