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Yang T, Wen C, Zhang Y, Xu Y, Liu J, Li Z, Li S, Peng N, Wu H, Li L, Yu T. Temporal trends of presumed cardiac origin out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence in Guangzhou, southern China: A 10-year consecutive analysis. Resusc Plus 2025; 22:100883. [PMID: 40008322 PMCID: PMC11850736 DOI: 10.1016/j.resplu.2025.100883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2024] [Revised: 01/10/2025] [Accepted: 01/26/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Despite the rising disease mortality rates, there is a dearth of studies on the incidence and trends of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) in China. This study aims to investigate the incidence and temporal trends of presumed cardiac origin OHCA in Guangzhou, Southern China, from 2011 to 2020. Methods and results In this population-based retrospective cohort study, pre-hospital data from the Guangzhou Emergency Medical Service (GZ-EMS) from 2011 to 2020 were analyzed. Crude incidence rates and age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) were calculated respectively. ASIRs were calculated using the 2000 national census population as the standard population. The Joinpoint software was used to calculate the Annual Percent Change (APC) and Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) in the incidence of OHCA over the study period. From 2011 to 2020, 44,375 EMS-assessed OHCAs of presumed cardiac origin were recorded. Overall, the crude incidence rate of OHCA was 53.1 per 100,000 on average. AAPC was 7.0% (95% CI: 4.3%-9.8%). Age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR) was 38.4 per 100,000 on average, with an average annual increase of 4.8% (95% CI: 2.4%-7.3%). The crude and ASIR of OHCA increased in men, while the ASIR changed more moderately in women. The age group of ≥80 years had the highest rate of increase. The 20-29 and 70-79 age groups also demonstrated notable increases. Conclusions From 2011 to 2020, Guangzhou experienced a notable upward trend in both crude and ASIR of OHCA, with significant variations observed across gender and age demographics. This trend calls for a deeper investigation into the underlying factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tianqi Yang
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Cai Wen
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Yan Zhang
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Yanjun Xu
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Junpeng Liu
- Emergency Department of Huizhou Municipal Central Hospital Huizhou China
| | - Zhenzhou Li
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Shuangming Li
- Guangzhou Emergency Medical Service Main Command Centre Guangzhou China
| | - Na Peng
- Department of Emergency People’s Liberation Army General Hospital of Southern Theatre Command Guangzhou China
| | - Hao Wu
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Li Li
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
| | - Tao Yu
- Department of Emergency Medicine Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China
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Lee LK, Tang SFS, Cull WL, Fleegler EW, Olson LM. Firearm and Motor Vehicle Pediatric Deaths-Intersections of Age, Sex, Race, and Ethnicity. JAMA Pediatr 2025; 179:310-320. [PMID: 39714814 DOI: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2024.5089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2024]
Abstract
Importance Injuries from firearms and motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) are the leading causes of death among US children and youths aged 0 to 19 years. Examining the intersections of age group, sex, race, and ethnicity is essential to focus prevention efforts. Objective To examine firearm and motor vehicle fatality rates by population subgroups and analyze changes over time. Design, Setting, Participants This cross-sectional study of firearm and MVC fatalities among US children and youths aged 0 to 19 years from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Web-Based Injury Statistics and Query Reporting System from 2011 to 2021. Participants included American Indian and Alaska Native; Asian, Hawaiian Native, and Pacific Islander; Black; Hispanic; and White youths. Data analysis was conducted from July 2023 to May 2024. Exposure Firearm or MVC fatality. Main Outcome Measures Firearm and MVC fatality rates by year and over time, as measured by the Joinpoint regression annual percent change (APC). Results From 2011 to 2021 there were 35 684 firearm and 40 735 MVC fatalities among US youths aged 0 to 19 years. For firearm fatalities, there were 21 332 homicides (59.8%), 12 113 suicides (33.9%), 1359 unintentional shootings (3.8%), 277 by legal enforcement (0.8%), and 603 from unknown intents (1.6%). When considering the intersections of age group, sex, race, and ethnicity, for firearm homicides among youths aged 15 to 19 years, the APCs were similar for Black (21.8%) and Hispanic (22.2%) males from 2018 to 2021, although with different peak rates (104.22 per 100 000 individuals and 17.80 per 100 000 individuals, respectively, in 2021). Black females aged 15 to 19 years demonstrated a dramatic APC increase of 40.7% from 2019 to 2021 (peak rate, 14.07 per 100 000 individuals). For firearm suicide in youths aged 10 to 19 years by sex, Black females had the greatest APC increase of 22.0% from 2016 to 2021. For MVC fatalities, the highest APC increase of 24.9% occurred among American Indian and Alaska Native females aged 15 to 19 years from 2018 to 2021. The highest MVC fatality rates occurred in 2021 among American Indian and Alaska Native males (38.16 per 100 000 individuals) and females (29.31 per 100 000 individuals) aged 15 to 19 years. Conclusions and Relevance In this cross-sectional study, US youths aged 0 to 19 years experienced important disparities in firearm and MVC fatality rates and increases over time when considering the intersectionality by age group, sex, race, and ethnicity. These findings suggest that a multipronged strategy focused on individual, community, and policy level approaches for specific high-risk groups for each injury mechanism is necessary to address these leading causes of death in US youths.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lois K Lee
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Suk-Fong S Tang
- Department of Research, American Academy of Pediatrics, Itasca, Illinois
| | - William L Cull
- Department of Research, American Academy of Pediatrics, Itasca, Illinois
| | - Eric W Fleegler
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gun Violence Prevention Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Lynn M Olson
- Department of Research, American Academy of Pediatrics, Itasca, Illinois
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Teng J, Prabhakar S, Rajnik M, Susi A, Hisle-Gorman E, Nylund CM, Brown J. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Delivery of Congenital Syphilis Care in the Military Health System. Mil Med 2025; 190:e845-e850. [PMID: 39141422 DOI: 10.1093/milmed/usae392] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2024] [Revised: 06/27/2024] [Accepted: 07/30/2024] [Indexed: 08/15/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Congenital syphilis (CS) case rates have increased significantly in the United States over the past 20 years, accelerating during the COVID-19 pandemic. Increasing rates may relate to access to care but have not been evaluated in a fully-insured population, such as the Military Health System. MATERIALS AND METHODS We performed a repeated monthly cross-sectional study of CS cases and total encounters (care rates) using the queried Military Health System database. We defined CS by International Classifications of Diseases 10th Revision Clinical Modification diagnosis codes in beneficiaries ≤ 2 years old. We evaluated pre-COVID-19 (March 2018 to February 2020), pandemic year 1 (March 2020 to February 2021), and pandemic year 2 (March 2021 to February 2022) periods. We performed change-point and trend analyses and Poisson regression to evaluate differences by sponsor rank, TRICARE region, and pandemic period. The Uniformed Services University Institutional Review Board approved the study. RESULTS A total of 69 unique CS cases were identified with a median monthly care rate of 0.90/100,000 eligible beneficiaries. The CS care rate showed a 5.8% average monthly percent increase throughout the study period (P < .001) and a 20.8% average monthly percent increase in year 2 (P < .05). Compared to the pre-pandemic era, CS care rates increased in pandemic years 1 and 2 (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 2.76 [95% CI: 1.95-3.92], 5.52 [95% CI: 4.05-7.53], respectively). Congenital syphilis care rates were lower in children of senior enlisted sponsors versus junior enlisted, aRR 0.24 (95% CI: 0.17-0.33), and higher in the West and North regions versus South, aRR 2.45 (95% CI: 1.71-3.53) and aRR 2.88 (95% CI: 2.01-4.12), respectively. CONCLUSIONS Congenital syphilis care rates were substantially lower in this insured group than national rates but increased significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic. Higher care rates were seen in children of military members of lower rank. Regional trends differed from national data. These findings suggest that, even in a fully-insured population, income and regional differences impact CS, and the COVID-19 pandemic may have exacerbated differences in care delivery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer Teng
- School of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Sarah Prabhakar
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation, Bethesda, MD 20817, USA
| | - Michael Rajnik
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Apryl Susi
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation, Bethesda, MD 20817, USA
| | - Elizabeth Hisle-Gorman
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Cade M Nylund
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Jill Brown
- Department of Gynecologic Surgery and Obstetrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
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Moura-Neto JA, Modelli de Andrade LG, Moura AF, Cruz CMS. A Decade of Change in Peritoneal Dialysis in Brazil: Challenges and Perspectives in the Public Health System. Healthcare (Basel) 2025; 13:337. [PMID: 39942526 PMCID: PMC11817309 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare13030337] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2025] [Revised: 01/30/2025] [Accepted: 02/04/2025] [Indexed: 02/16/2025] Open
Abstract
Background/Objectives: The Brazilian Constitution defines health as a universal right and a State responsibility, with the Unified Public Health System (SUS) ensuring free access to comprehensive care, including renal replacement therapies (RRTs) such as dialysis and kidney transplantation. This study aimed to analyze trends in peritoneal dialysis (PD) usage within Brazil's public health system over a 10-year period, focusing on geographic, demographic, and clinical changes. Methods: Using data from DATASUS and the Brazilian Society of Nephrology Dialysis Census, we analyzed PD usage and patient characteristics from 2014 to 2023. This methodology enabled an in-depth examination of shifts in RRT trends across regions and patient demographics. Results: PD usage declined from 6.5% in 2014 to 4.3% in 2023, with the steepest reductions observed in the North and Northeast regions. Usage increased in the Central-West region, while the Southeast and South experienced steady declines from 2016 to 2023. The proportion of centers offering PD decreased from 51.6% in 2014 to 37.9% in 2023. Over time, the average age of PD patients increased, as did the proportion of Brown/Black individuals receiving PD. Despite these shifts, patient serum levels of hemoglobin, parathyroid hormone, and phosphorus remained stable. Conclusions: This study highlights a relative decline in PD availability and use within Brazil's public health system, with notable regional disparities. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted policies to support PD infrastructure, funding, and training to ensure equitable access to RRT across the country.
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Affiliation(s)
- José A. Moura-Neto
- Department of Internal Medicine, Bahiana School of Medicine and Public Health, Salvador 40290-000, BA, Brazil; (A.F.M.); (C.M.S.C.)
| | | | - Ana Flávia Moura
- Department of Internal Medicine, Bahiana School of Medicine and Public Health, Salvador 40290-000, BA, Brazil; (A.F.M.); (C.M.S.C.)
| | - Constança Margarida Sampaio Cruz
- Department of Internal Medicine, Bahiana School of Medicine and Public Health, Salvador 40290-000, BA, Brazil; (A.F.M.); (C.M.S.C.)
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Mansingka N, Adekanmbi V, Hsu CD, Hoang TN, Baillargeon JG, Berenson AB, Guo F. Trends in the Incidence and Mortality of Tobacco-Related Cancers Among Adults in the United States. Cancers (Basel) 2025; 17:534. [PMID: 39941900 PMCID: PMC11817473 DOI: 10.3390/cancers17030534] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2024] [Revised: 01/28/2025] [Accepted: 02/03/2025] [Indexed: 02/16/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Tobacco use remains a global challenge to public health, accounting for almost eight million deaths per year worldwide, with a significant portion attributable to tobacco-related cancers. Examining the epidemiology of tobacco-related cancers and assessing the trends in the incidence and mortality will allow for more effective prevention, treatment, and targeted strategies. METHODS We assessed the trends in the incidence and mortality of tobacco-related cancers among adults in the United States using data from United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) 2001-2021 and mortality data 1975-2022 from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). The incidence and mortality rates of tobacco-related cancers were calculated as cases per 1,000,000 persons and age-adjusted to the 2000 United States standard population. RESULTS There was a recent overall decreasing trend in both the incidence (2001-2021) and mortality rate (2001-2022). Among adults 20-49 years old, there was an increasing trend from 2001 to 2021 in the incidence among non-Hispanic American Indians/Alaska Natives (APC 2.6, 95% CI 2.1-3.0) and those in the West (APC 0.2, 95% CI 0.0-0.4); in Hispanics, the incidence rate increased most recently from 2013 to 2021 (APC 1.7, 95% CI 1.0-3.0). The mortality rate first increased from 1975 to 1990 among females 50-64 years old and males 65+ years old and from 1975 to 2000 among females 65+ years old, and then decreased thereafter. CONCLUSIONS The rising incidence in some younger groups highlights the need for targeted public health interventions to address disparities and improve cancer prevention in these vulnerable populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nandika Mansingka
- School of Public and Population Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA;
| | - Victor Adekanmbi
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA; (V.A.); (C.D.H.); (T.N.H.); (A.B.B.)
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Women’s Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA
| | - Christine D. Hsu
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA; (V.A.); (C.D.H.); (T.N.H.); (A.B.B.)
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Women’s Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA
| | - Thao N. Hoang
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA; (V.A.); (C.D.H.); (T.N.H.); (A.B.B.)
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Women’s Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA
| | - Jacques G. Baillargeon
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public and Population Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA;
| | - Abbey B. Berenson
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA; (V.A.); (C.D.H.); (T.N.H.); (A.B.B.)
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Women’s Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA
| | - Fangjian Guo
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA; (V.A.); (C.D.H.); (T.N.H.); (A.B.B.)
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Women’s Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77555, USA
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Foley O, Abdul Jabbar AB, Levine KK, El-Shaer A, Tauseef A, Aboeata A. Heart Failure and Sepsis-Related Mortality Trends in the United States, 1999 - 2019: An Analysis of Gender, Race/Ethnicity, and Regional Disparities. Cardiol Res 2025; 16:53-63. [PMID: 39897446 PMCID: PMC11779676 DOI: 10.14740/cr1749] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2024] [Accepted: 12/04/2024] [Indexed: 02/04/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Heart failure (HF) and sepsis are significant causes of disease burden and mortality among the elderly population of the USA. HF causes fluid overload, which complicates the treatment approach when patients develop sepsis necessitating fluid resuscitation. While individual disease states have been studied extensively, the trends in mortality for concurrent sepsis and HF are not well known. Methods Mortality trends due to sepsis and HF in individuals aged 65 and older in the USA from 1999 to 2019 were analyzed using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Differences in age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) and average annual percent change (AAPC) over the past two decades based on gender, race, region, and place of death were examined. Results Between 1999 and 2019, there were a total of 5,887,799 deaths related to HF, 2,584,523 deaths related to sepsis, and 250,115 deaths related to both HF and sepsis. There was also a decrease in AAMR for HF-related (AAPC -0.80%) and sepsis-related (AAPC -0.28) deaths but an increase in combined HF and sepsis-related AAMR (AAPC 1.06%). Men had consistently higher AAMRs compared to women and a greater increase in mortality (AAPC in men 1.53% vs. women 0.56%). African American patients had a higher AAMR than White patients throughout the study period, though the difference narrowed. African Americans saw a decrease in overall HF and sepsis-related AAMR from 48.90 to 40.56 (AAPC -0.83), whereas AAMR for the White population increased from 27.26 to 33.81 (AAPC 1.37). Regionally, the Northeast had the highest AAMR in 1999 (32.32) but decreased to the lowest AAMR by 2019 (30.77). Totally, 203,368 (81.31%) of all deaths related to HF and sepsis were in medical facilities, 18,430 (7.37%) were in home/hospice facilities, and 24,713 (9.88%) in nursing homes. Conclusions HF and sepsis-related mortality in the elderly population increased over the past two decades, with men and African Americans at disproportionately higher risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olivia Foley
- Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
| | - Ali Bin Abdul Jabbar
- Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
| | - Kimberly K. Levine
- Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
| | - Ahmed El-Shaer
- Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
| | - Abubakar Tauseef
- Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
| | - Ahmed Aboeata
- Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
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Song S, Lim D. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Life Expectancy in South Korea, 2019-2022. Healthcare (Basel) 2025; 13:258. [PMID: 39942446 PMCID: PMC11817954 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare13030258] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/25/2024] [Revised: 01/26/2025] [Accepted: 01/26/2025] [Indexed: 02/16/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study investigated changes in life expectancy due to the COVID-19 pandemic by analyzing the contributions of age, sex, and cause of death in 2019 and 2022. METHODS Korea's simplified life table and cause-of-death statistics from 2019 to 2022 were used to assess mortality changes by age, sex, and cause of death during the pandemic. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to detect trends, and the Arriaga decomposition method was used to quantify the contributions of age, sex, and cause of death to life expectancy changes. RESULTS Joinpoint regression identified a slow increase in life expectancy in 2007 and a decline in 2020, coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic. Life expectancy decreased markedly for men (-0.36 years per year, 95%CI: -0.68 to -0.03) and women (-0.45 years per year, 95%CI: -0.71 to -0.18). Age-specific contributions revealed declines across age groups, with the steepest reductions in the older population (80 years or older: -0.35 years for men; -0.52 years for women). Women (-0.68 years) contributed more to the decline in life expectancy than men (-0.41 years). COVID-19 ranked as the third leading cause of death in 2022, significantly contributing to the decline in life expectancy among the older population (aged 80 years or older: -0.306 years for men, -0.408 years for women). Women in Korea were more affected than men, reducing the sex-specific gap in life expectancy by 0.3 years. CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the life expectancy in Korea, particularly among older adults, with women experiencing a greater decline than men. These findings emphasize the need for targeted public health strategies to address age and sex disparities in future pandemics. Before the pandemic, non-communicable diseases such as malignant neoplasms, heart disease, and cerebrovascular disease dominated Korea's top 10 causes of death. During the pandemic, however, COVID-19 rose to third place by 2022. Notably, intentional self-harm (suicide) contributed to an increase in life expectancy, suggesting shifts in the relative impact of various causes of death.
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Affiliation(s)
- Soojin Song
- Department of Health Administration, College of Nursing and Health, Kongju National University, Gongju 32588, Republic of Korea;
- Division of Zoonotic and Vector Borne Disease Research, National Institute of Health, Cheongju 28159, Republic of Korea
| | - Daroh Lim
- Department of Health Administration, College of Nursing and Health, Kongju National University, Gongju 32588, Republic of Korea;
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Liu Z, Shi Y, Xue C, Yuan M, Li Z, Zheng C. Epidemiological and Spatiotemporal Clustering Analysis of Human Brucellosis - China, 2019-2023. China CDC Wkly 2025; 7:130-136. [PMID: 39931445 PMCID: PMC11807248 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2025.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2024] [Accepted: 12/03/2024] [Indexed: 02/13/2025] Open
Abstract
What is already known about this topic? The number of reported cases of human brucellosis significantly increased from 45,046 (3.25/100,000) in 2019 to 70,439 (4.99/100,000) in 2023. What is added by this report? Human brucellosis continued to spread and expand of in northern China, with the most cases reported in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region (n=87,961), Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (n=27,845) and Shanxi Province (n=21,932). In southern China, reported cases increased substantially from 2,036 in 2019 to 5,128 in 2023. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed an upward trend in incidence rate across 29 provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs), with an annual percent change (APC) of 12.86, (P<0.05), with particularly rapid increases observed in most southern PLADs. Spatiotemporal analysis identified high-risk clusters concentrated in the northwestern and northeastern regions. What are the implications for public health practice? With the continued worsening of human brucellosis over the past five years, implementing strict controls on the movement of infected animals is urgeent.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhiguo Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yue Shi
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Chuizhao Xue
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), Shanghai, China
| | - Min Yuan
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Zhenjun Li
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Canjun Zheng
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
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Cao W, Xu J, Xu P, Wang H, Yang T, Gan Q, Luo R, Pan H, Liu A, He Y, Zhang Q. Trends of Overweight and Obesity Among Chinese Rural Children and Adolescents Aged 6 to 15 Years - the Central and Western Regions, China, 2012-2023. China CDC Wkly 2025; 7:10-14. [PMID: 39801821 PMCID: PMC11718372 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2025.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2024] [Accepted: 12/30/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2025] Open
Abstract
What is already known about this topic? Childhood overweight and obesity pose significant risks to physical and mental health. The Nutrition Improvement Programme for Rural Compulsory Education Students (NIPRCES) has demonstrated effectiveness in reducing malnutrition. What is added by this report? From 2012 to 2023, obesity prevalence increased more rapidly (AAPC=10.6%) than overweight prevalence (AAPC=2.0%) among children aged 6-15 years in central and western rural China. A quicker increase in the trends of overweight and obesity was observed in rural western China (AAPC for overweight=3.0%, AAPC for obesity=11.8%), among males (AAPC for overweight=2.1%, AAPC for obesity=10.8%). Additionally, while the prevalence of overweight/obesity was lower in older age groups of children, these cohorts showed more rapid increases. What are the implications for public health practice? Continuous monitoring of prevalence and implementation of targeted interventions are essential to prevent and control the expansion of overweight and obesity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Cao
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Juan Xu
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Peipei Xu
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Hongliang Wang
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Titi Yang
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Qian Gan
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Ruihe Luo
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Hui Pan
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Aidong Liu
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yuna He
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Qian Zhang
- National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
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Zhou S, Huang Y, Wen X, Wang S, Xia B, Huang L, Li X. Epidemiological Characteristics and Diagnostic Outcomes of Suspected Occupational Noise-Induced Deafness - Guangdong Province, China, 2014-2023. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:1381-1387. [PMID: 39801593 PMCID: PMC11718380 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.275] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2024] [Accepted: 12/16/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction Suspected occupational noise-induced deafness (ONID) represents the most prevalent suspected occupational disease in Guangdong Province and is among the most frequently reported nationwide. Given its public health significance, we conducted a systematic investigation of suspected ONID cases in Guangdong from 2014 to 2023, analyzing their epidemiological characteristics and diagnostic outcomes to inform evidence-based policies for ONID prevention and management. Methods Data on suspected ONID cases reported in Guangdong Province from 2014 to 2023 were extracted from the "Occupational Diseases and Health Hazard Factors Monitoring Information System." Cases were analyzed using descriptive epidemiological methods, with joinpoint regression analysis employed to assess long-term trends. Results From 2014 to 2023, 16,987 suspected ONID cases were reported in Guangdong Province, comprising 65.22% of all suspected occupational disease cases (26,044). Cases exhibited a significant increasing trend (Average annual percentage change: 11.8%, 95% CI: 2.9%-22.3%, P = 0.013). The Pearl River Delta region accounted for 87.9% of all cases, with manufacturing being the predominant industry (90.1%). Within manufacturing, the metal products industry represented the highest proportion (15.2%). Males constituted 87.7% (14,905/16,987) of cases. Analysis of diagnostic outcomes from 2020 to 2023 revealed an overall diagnostic procedure initiation rate of 45.1%, with a subsequent confirmation rate of 48.9%. Conclusions Guangdong Province demonstrates high occurrence patterns of suspected ONID cases, particularly concentrated in the Pearl River Delta region and manufacturing sectors. The low rates of diagnostic procedure initiation and confirmation highlight the urgent need for enhanced regulatory oversight of diagnostic procedures and the development of expert consensus on suspected ONID identification criteria to improve diagnostic confirmation rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shanyu Zhou
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yongshun Huang
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Xianzhong Wen
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Shu Wang
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Bing Xia
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Lang Huang
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Xudong Li
- Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China
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Liu S, Xu X, Liu Q, Tang L, Wang X, Huang A, Li J, Xiu Y, Yang H, Wen N, Rodewald LE, Yin Z, Wang F. Impact of Immunization Strategies on Rubella Incidence During Progress Toward Rubella Control and Elimination - China, 2004-2023. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:1319-1324. [PMID: 39734787 PMCID: PMC11673184 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.262] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2024] [Accepted: 08/06/2024] [Indexed: 12/31/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Since rubella was incorporated into the national disease surveillance system in 2004, rubella incidence has changed dramatically. This study analyzed the impact of immunization strategies on the age-specific and sex-specific incidence of rubella in China from 2004 to 2023 to inform efforts to accelerate rubella elimination. Methods Annual rubella-containing vaccine (RCV) coverage levels, reported rubella cases and incidence, and vaccination status of cases were obtained from the National Immunization Program Information Management System, the National Notifiable Diseases Reporting System, and the Measles Surveillance System, and used to describe temporal trends. Incidence trends and annual percent changes (APC) by age group and sex were estimated using joinpoint regression. Results In 2008, RCV coverage was 51.5% for the first dose and 39.0% for the second dose, increasing to and stabilizing at 95% or above for both doses by 2012. There were 584,758 cases of rubella reported in China during 2004-2023. Joinpoint regression showed that rubella incidence initially increased, peaked in 2008, and then decreased (APC2004-2008=47.12%, APC2008-2023=-18.95%, P<0.05). Adolescents, aged 10-19 years, accounted for 67.8% of cases at a peak incidence in 2019 (APC2016-2019=103.70%, APC2016-2019=-89.76%, P<0.05); 77.8% of cases had no or unknown RCV history. Conclusions The decrease in rubella incidence is closely associated with vaccination. Nationwide inclusion of RCV significantly impacted on the prevention and control of rubella. Targeted measures to address immunization gaps and maintain high surveillance sensitivity are necessary to promote rubella elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Siyu Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Xia Xu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Qianqian Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Lin Tang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoqi Wang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Aodi Huang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jiuhong Li
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yuexin Xiu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Hong Yang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Ning Wen
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Lance E. Rodewald
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Zundong Yin
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Fuzhen Wang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases (NITFID), National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
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Cherla A, Kyriopoulos I, Pearcy P, Tsangalidou Z, Hajrulahovic H, Theodorakis P, Andersson CE, Mehra MR, Mossialos E. Trends in avoidable mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the European Union, 1995-2020: a retrospective secondary data analysis. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. EUROPE 2024; 47:101079. [PMID: 39397877 PMCID: PMC11470399 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2024] [Revised: 09/02/2024] [Accepted: 09/09/2024] [Indexed: 10/15/2024]
Abstract
Background Certain causes of death can be avoided with access to timely prevention and treatment. We quantified trends in avoidable deaths from cardiovascular diseases for European Union (EU) countries from 1995 to 2020 and examined variations by demographics, disease characteristics, and geography. Methods Retrospective secondary data analysis of avoidable cardiovascular mortality using the WHO Mortality Database. Avoidable causes of death were identified from the OECD and Eurostat list (which uses an age threshold of 75 years). Regression models were used to identify changes in the trends of age-standardized mortality rates and potential years of life lost. Findings From 1995 to 2020, 11.4 million deaths from cardiovascular diseases in Europe were avoidable, resulting in 213.1 million potential life years lost. Avoidable deaths were highest among males (7.5 million), adults 65-74 years (6.8 million), and with the leading cause of death being ischemic heart disease (6.1 million). From its peak in 1995 until 2020, avoidable mortality from cardiovascular diseases has decreased by 57% across the EU. The difference in avoidable cardiovascular diseases mortality between females and males, and between Eastern and Western Europe has reduced greatly, however gaps continue to persist. Interpretation Avoidable mortality from cardiovascular diseases has decreased substantially among EU countries, although improvement has not been uniform across diseases, demographic groups or regions. These trends suggest additional policy interventions are needed to ensure that improvements in mortality are continued. Funding World Health Organization, Regional Office for Europe.
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Affiliation(s)
- Avi Cherla
- Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | - Ilias Kyriopoulos
- Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | - Pauline Pearcy
- Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | | | - Haris Hajrulahovic
- World Health Organization, Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Pavlos Theodorakis
- World Health Organization, Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Charlotte E. Andersson
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Mandeep R. Mehra
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Elias Mossialos
- Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
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Brigadoi G, Gres E, Barbieri E, Liberati C, Rossin S, Chiusaroli L, Demarin GC, Tesser F, Maestri L, Tirelli F, Carrara E, Tacconelli E, Bressan S, Giaquinto C, Da Dalt L, Donà D. Impact of a multifaceted antibiotic stewardship programme in a paediatric acute care unit over 8 years. JAC Antimicrob Resist 2024; 6:dlae181. [PMID: 39507942 PMCID: PMC11538966 DOI: 10.1093/jacamr/dlae181] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2024] [Accepted: 10/19/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Antibiotics are the most prescribed drugs for children worldwide, but overuse and misuse have led to an increase in antibiotic resistance. Antimicrobial stewardship programmes (ASPs) have proven feasible in reducing inappropriate antimicrobial use. The study aimed at evaluating the impact and sustainability of an ASP with multiple interventions over 8 years. Methods This quasi-experimental study was conducted between 2014 and 2022 in the paediatric acute care unit of Padua University Hospital. Demographic and clinical data were retrieved from the electronic clinical records. Daily prescriptions were collected and analysed based on the AWaRe classification and using days of therapy (DOT) out of 1000 patient days (DOT/1000PDs). The primary outcome was to assess the change in overall antibiotic consumption and of access and watch antibiotics, stratifying patients with and without comorbidities. Trends in antibiotic consumption (DOTs/1000PD) were assessed using joinpoint regression analysis. Findings A total of 3118 children were included. Total antibiotic consumption remained stable and low in patients without comorbidities, ∼300 DOT/1000PDs, whereas a statistically significant constant reduction was observed in children with comorbidities, from almost 500 DOT/1000PPDs to <400 DOT/1000PDs. Access consumption increased in both groups of patients, whereas watch consumption constantly decreased, although statistically significant only in children with comorbidities. Interpretation Implementing a multistep ASP has proven feasible and sustainable in improving antibiotic prescriptions for previously healthy and fragile children. All the implemented interventions were low cost, and with efficient use of resources, ensuring an ASP that was effective, practical, and easily replicable and implementable in various healthcare settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Brigadoi
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Emelyne Gres
- CERPOP, UMR 1295, Inserm, University of Toulouse 3, Toulouse, France
| | - Elisa Barbieri
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Cecilia Liberati
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Sara Rossin
- Pediatric Emergency Department, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Lorenzo Chiusaroli
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Giulia Camilla Demarin
- Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Francesca Tesser
- Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Linda Maestri
- Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Francesca Tirelli
- Rheumatology Unit, Department of Woman’s and Child’s Health, University of Padova, Via Giustiani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Elena Carrara
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Diagnostic and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona 37134, Italy
| | - Evelina Tacconelli
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Diagnostic and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona 37134, Italy
| | - Silvia Bressan
- Pediatric Emergency Department, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Carlo Giaquinto
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Liviana Da Dalt
- Pediatric Emergency Department, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
| | - Daniele Donà
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department for Women’s and Children’s Health, University of Padua, Via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy
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Zhang R, Mi H, He T, Ren S, Zhang R, Xu L, Wang M, Su C. Trends and multi-model prediction of hepatitis B incidence in Xiamen. Infect Dis Model 2024; 9:1276-1288. [PMID: 39224908 PMCID: PMC11366886 DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2024.08.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2023] [Revised: 07/30/2024] [Accepted: 08/05/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Background This study aims to analyze the trend of Hepatitis B incidence in Xiamen City from 2004 to 2022, and to select the best-performing model for predicting the number of Hepatitis B cases from 2023 to 2027. Methods Data were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP). The Joinpoint Regression Model analyzed temporal trends, while the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model assessed the effects of age, period, and cohort on hepatitis B incidence rates. We also compared the predictive performance of the Neural Network Autoregressive (NNAR) Model, Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) Model, Prophet, Exponential Smoothing (ETS) Model, Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model, and Hybrid Model, selecting the model with the highest performance to forecast the number of hepatitis B cases for the next five years. Results Hepatitis B incidence rates in Xiamen from 2004 to 2022 showed an overall declining trend, with rates higher in men than in women. Higher incidence rates were observed in adults, particularly in the 30-39 age group. Moreover, the period and cohort effects on incidence showed a declining trend. Furthermore, in the best-performing NNAR(10, 1, 6)[12] model, the number of new cases is predicted to be 4271 in 2023, increasing to 5314 by 2027. Conclusions Hepatitis B remains a significant issue in Xiamen, necessitating further optimization of hepatitis B prevention and control measures. Moreover, targeted interventions are essential for adults with higher incidence rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruixin Zhang
- School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Hongfei Mi
- Department of Public Health, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Tingjuan He
- Department of Public Health, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Shuhao Ren
- School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Renyan Zhang
- School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Liansheng Xu
- Department of Endemic Disease and Chronic Non-communicable Disease Prevention and Control, Xiamen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Mingzhai Wang
- Department of Occupational Health and Poison Control, Xiamen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
| | - Chenghao Su
- Department of Public Health, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China
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15
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Zhou S, Huang Y, Chen L, Wen X, Wang S, Huang L, Li X. Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Analysis of Occupational Noise-Induced Deafness From 2006 to 2022 in Guangdong, China: Surveillance Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2024; 10:e57851. [PMID: 39625102 PMCID: PMC11623259 DOI: 10.2196/57851] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2024] [Revised: 08/25/2024] [Accepted: 09/03/2024] [Indexed: 12/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Occupational noise-induced deafness (ONID) has replaced occupational poisoning as the second most common occupational disease in China since 2015. However, there is a limited number of articles on epidemiological characteristics of legally diagnosed ONID. Objective We conducted a comprehensive analysis of the epidemiological and spatiotemporal characteristics of ONID in Guangdong Province from 2006 to 2022, with the aim of providing a scientific foundation for policy formulation and health resource allocation. Methods Surveillance data of ONID cases in Guangdong Province from 2006 to 2022 were obtained from the "Occupational Diseases and Health Hazard Factors Monitoring Information System." Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to assess the long-term trends in cases of ONID from 2006 to 2022. Global spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to measure the overall degree of similarity of the attribute values of spatially adjacent or neighboring regional units. The local indicators of spatial autocorrelation (LISA) plots were then used to identify the local clusters of ONID in Guangdong. Results There were 3761 ONID cases in Guangdong Province from 2006 to 2022, showing a significantly increased trend in cases across the entire study period (average annual percentage change 21.9, 95% CI 18.7-35.1). The Moran's I values for the period of 2006 to 2022 ranged from 0.202 to 0.649 (all P<.001), indicating a positive spatial correlation of ONID across regions each year in Guangdong Province. A total of 15 high-high clusters were notably concentrated in specific counties within the Pearl River Delta. Conclusions Significant spatiotemporal patterns of ONID in Guangdong Province from 2006 to 2022 were identified, characterized by a dramatic increase followed by stabilization in case numbers. ONID predominantly occur in manufacturing industries, domestically funded enterprises, among males, individuals aged 40-49 years, and those with 5+ years of occupational noise exposure. Spatial analysis demonstrated significant clustering in the Pearl River Delta region, with consistent positive spatial autocorrelation across years. These results could help prioritize the allocation of resources for targeted prevention and control measures for ONID.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shanyu Zhou
- Laboratory of Key Technology Research, Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yongshun Huang
- General Office, Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, 68 Haikang Street Xingang Road, Guangzhou, 510300, China, 86 20-89022988
| | - Lin Chen
- Occupational Health Evaluation and Monitoring Center, Guangzhou Twelfth People’s Hospital, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xianzhong Wen
- Department of Technology Extension, Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, 68 Haikang Street Xingang RoadGuangzhou, 510300, China
| | - Shu Wang
- Laboratory of Key Technology Research, Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lang Huang
- General Office, Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, 68 Haikang Street Xingang Road, Guangzhou, 510300, China, 86 20-89022988
| | - Xudong Li
- General Office, Guangdong Province Hospital for Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment, 68 Haikang Street Xingang Road, Guangzhou, 510300, China, 86 20-89022988
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Hoopsick RA, Yockey RA, Campbell BM, Sauda TH, Khan TN. Suicide deaths involving opioid poisoning in the United States, by sex, 1999-2021. Am J Epidemiol 2024; 193:1511-1518. [PMID: 38808619 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwae094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2023] [Revised: 05/15/2024] [Accepted: 05/24/2024] [Indexed: 05/30/2024] Open
Abstract
Suicide remains a leading cause of death in the United States, and recent data suggest suicide deaths involving opioids are increasing. Given unprecedented increases in drug-poisoning deaths, suicidality, and suicide deaths in recent years, an updated examination of the trends in suicide deaths involving opioids is warranted. In this descriptive epidemiologic analysis, we leverage final and provisional mortality data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's WONDER database to examine trends in suicide deaths involving opioid poisoning from 1999 to 2021 by biological sex. Results reveal complex changes over time: the number and age-adjusted rate of suicide deaths involving opioid poisoning among male and female residents tended to track together, and both increased through 2010, but then diverged, with the number and rate of suicide deaths involving opioid poisoning among female residents outpacing that of male residents. However, the number and rate of suicide deaths involving opioid poisoning among male residents then began to stabilize, while that of female residents declined, closing the sex-based gap. Across all years of data, the proportion of suicide deaths that involved opioid poisoning was consistently higher among female decedents (5.8%-11.0%) compared with male decedents (1.4%-2.8%). Findings have implications for improved suicide prevention and harm reduction efforts. This article is part of a Special Collection on Mental Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel A Hoopsick
- Department of Kinesiology and Community Health, College of Applied Health Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 61820, United States
| | - R Andrew Yockey
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of North Texas Health Science Center, Fort Worth, TX 76107, United States
- Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatrics, Texas College of Osteopathic Medicine, University of North Texas Health Science Center, Fort Worth, TX 76107, United States
| | - Benjamin M Campbell
- Department of Kinesiology and Community Health, College of Applied Health Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 61820, United States
| | - Tonazzina H Sauda
- Department of Kinesiology and Community Health, College of Applied Health Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 61820, United States
| | - Tourna N Khan
- Department of Kinesiology and Community Health, College of Applied Health Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 61820, United States
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Bhagavathula AS, Daglis T, Chattu VK. Temporal trends in online searches related to COVID-19 vaccine safety: A digital infodemiology study. Health Promot Perspect 2024; 14:304-311. [PMID: 39633619 PMCID: PMC11612352 DOI: 10.34172/hpp.43117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2024] [Accepted: 09/05/2024] [Indexed: 12/07/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The rapid development of COVID-19 vaccines may have raised public concerns about their safety and side effects in the United States (US). This study aimed to assess trends in online searches related to the safety and side effects of COVID-19 vaccines in the US from 2021-2022. Methods Google COVID-19 Vaccination Search Insights was used to analyze searches about COVID-19 vaccine safety and side effects in the US from January 4, 2021, to November 21, 2022 (98 weeks). Data were scaled from 0 (low interest) to 100 (high interest) as a fixed scaling factor called scaled normalized interest (SNI) to indicate relative search interest over time and by location. A joinpoint regression analysis was used to determine the search trends during the study period. Results Analysis included 709 counties across 38 US states. Searches of COVID-19 vaccine safety and side effects peaked in April 2021 in the District of Columbia (SNI: 35.8), Massachusetts (29.7), New Hampshire (27.4), Connecticut (27.3), and Maine (26.7), then decreased significantly by an average monthly percentage change (AMPC) of -16.6% (95% CI -19.9 to -13.3) until July 2022. Overall AMPC from January 2021 to November 2022 was -8.9% (95% CI -16.2 to -0.9; P<0.001). Conclusion Online searches related to COVID-19 vaccine safety and side effects decreased dramatically over time, supporting the utility of digital surveillance to track real-time vaccine safety concerns. This study provides insights into public interest in COVID-19 vaccine risks and can help monitor potential safety issues.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Theodoros Daglis
- University of the Aegean, 841 00 Syros, Greece; Agricultural University of Athens, 118 55 Athens, Greece; Technical University of Crete, 731 00 Chania, Greece
| | - Vijay Kumar Chattu
- Center for Global Health Research, Saveetha Medical College and Hospitals, Saveetha Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences (SIMATS), Saveetha University, Chennai, India
- Department of OS & OT, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5G 1V7, Canada
- Center for Evidence-based Research, Global Health Research and Innovations Canada Inc. (GHRIC), Toronto, Canada
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Pikala M, Burzyńska M. Mortality and Years of Life Lost from Diabetes Mellitus in Poland: A Register-Based Study (2000-2022). Nutrients 2024; 16:3597. [PMID: 39519429 PMCID: PMC11547854 DOI: 10.3390/nu16213597] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2024] [Revised: 10/18/2024] [Accepted: 10/21/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim of the study was to assess mortality and years of life lost from diabetes mellitus in Poland between 2000 and 2022. METHODS The database was created from death cards made available for the purposes of this study by Statistics Poland. The study used data on deaths caused by type 1 diabetes mellitus, T1DM (N = 33,328), and type 2 diabetes mellitus, T2DM (N = 113,706). Standardized death rates (SDRs) and standard expected years of life lost per person (SEYLLp) and per death (SEYLLd) were calculated. A time trend analysis was performed using joinpoint models. The annual percentage change (APC) and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) were estimated. RESULTS Between 2000 and 2022, 33,328 people died from T1DM in Poland. The SDR rate increased from 6.0 to 8.8 per 100,000 population in the analyzed period. The APC was 1.3% (p < 0.05). SEYLLp rates per 100,000 population were 79.3 in 2000 and 109.2 in 2022. SEYLLd rates were 22.9 and 17.9 years, respectively (APC = -1.0%, p < 0.05). The mean age of those who died from T1DM increased from 66.1 in 2000 to 72.5 in 2022. Between 2000 and 2022, 113,706 people died from T2DM. The SDR increased from 12.5 to 37.7 per 100,00 (APC = 5.5%, p < 0.05). SEYLLp rates were 88.8 and 296.0 per 100,000 population (APC = 6.4%, p < 0.05). SEYLLd rates decreased from 16.9 in 2000 to 13.4 in 2022 (AAPC = -1.0%, p < 0.05). The mean age of those who died from T2DM increased from 73.1 to 78.1 years. CONCLUSIONS The study showed a growing problem of diabetes as a cause of death and years of life lost.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Monika Burzyńska
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The Chair of Social and Preventive Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, Żeligowskiego 7/9, 90-752 Lodz, Poland;
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Shen X, Zhang L, Guo L, He J, Yu W. Trends and Spatial Pattern Analysis of Typhoid and Paratyphoid Fever Incidence - Yunnan Province, China, 1989-2022. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:1049-1053. [PMID: 39502396 PMCID: PMC11532531 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2024] [Accepted: 09/22/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction This study explored the incidence trends and spatial clustering of typhoid and paratyphoid fever (TPF) in Yunnan Province to provide scientific evidence for developing and improving prevention and control strategies. Methods Temporal trends were investigated by calculating the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC), along with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The spatial clustering of TPF across Yunnan Province was examined using global Moran's I and local indicators of spatial association (LISA) statistics. Results A total of 206,066 TPF cases were reported in Yunnan Province from 1989 to 2022, with an average annual incidence of 13.98 per 100,000 population and a case fatality rate of 2.5 per 1,000. The greatest number of cases was reported during July and August. The 25-34-year age group had the highest incidence, and farmers were prominently represented. TPF incidence in Yunnan Province showed a significant decrease and spatial clustering. From 2005 to 2022, 13 county-level cities/counties/municipal districts in 5 prefectures (cities) in Yunnan Province were identified as statistically significant H-H spatial clusters of TPF incidence. A total of 24 TPF outbreaks were reported in Yunnan Province from 2005 to 2022. Conclusions The incidence of TPF in Yunnan Province showed a significant decrease and spatial clustering. Control strategies should focus on high-incidence areas, seasons, and populations to reduce the incidence of TPF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiulian Shen
- Epidemic Surveillance/Public Health Emergency Response Center, Yunnan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Kunming City, Yunnan Province, China
| | - Liqiong Zhang
- Department of Intervention Research, Yunnan Institute for Drug Abuse, Kunming City, Yunnan Province, China
| | - Lining Guo
- Hunnan District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province, China
| | - Jibo He
- Epidemic Surveillance/Public Health Emergency Response Center, Yunnan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Kunming City, Yunnan Province, China
| | - Weijun Yu
- Institute for Prevention and Control of Infection and Infectious Diseases, Liaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province, China
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Sun N, Jia X, Shi X, Jiang F, Yang C, Yang Y. A Global Decomposition Analysis of the Effect of Population Aging on Disability-Adjusted Life Years Associated with Cardiovascular Disease - 204 Countries and Territories, 1990-2021. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:1004-1010. [PMID: 39502895 PMCID: PMC11532513 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.209] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/24/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
What is already known about this topic? The influence of population aging on the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) is acknowledged, yet the magnitude of this impact remains unclear. What is added by this report? This research quantified the influence of population aging on CVD DALYs from 1990 to 2021 through decomposition analysis. The findings revealed that the proportion of DALYs attributable to aging varied widely, ranging from ‒77.0% to 148.9% across 204 countries. There was significant variation in the attributed DALY proportions among different countries or territories and types of CVD. Ischemic heart disease and stroke emerged as the leading contributors to DALYs influenced by aging. What are the implications for public health practice? Globally, the association of population aging with increased CVD DALYs underscores the critical need for enhancing health systems to cater to the needs of older adults. Mitigating the burden of CVD DALYs linked to demographic aging can be achieved by investing in resources and adjusting fertility policies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Na Sun
- Department of Computer and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, China
| | - Xiaocan Jia
- Department of Computer and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, China
| | - Xuezhong Shi
- Department of Computer and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, China
| | - Feng Jiang
- Department of Disease Prevention and Control, Zhengzhou University Hospital, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, China
| | - Chaojun Yang
- Department of Computer and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, China
| | - Yongli Yang
- Department of Computer and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, China
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21
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Luo Y, Zhong P, Huang Y, Zhao Y, Hong C, Zheng X. Trends and Distribution of Life Expectancy and Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy - Asia-Pacific Region, 1990-2021. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:996-1003. [PMID: 39502896 PMCID: PMC11532511 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.208] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2024] [Accepted: 09/12/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
What is already known about this topic? The Asia-Pacific region is the most populous and diverse globally, encompassing nations with both the longest and shortest life expectancies (LE). However, less is known about the health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE) situation in this region. What is added by this report? This study found diversity in the levels and trends of HALE among countries in the Asia-Pacific region, with HALE in 2021 ranging from 49.87 years in Afghanistan to 74.96 years in Singapore. The largest HALE increase from 1990 to 2021 was observed in the Lao People's Democratic Republic and the smallest in Fiji. HALE continually increased as SDI increased, but different patterns of HALE across countries varied by SDI level. What are the implications for public health practice? The diversity among these countries provides a prerequisite and scientific basis for promoting the achievement of health goals in the Asia-Pacific region through multilateral and bilateral cooperation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanan Luo
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Global Health and Development, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Panliang Zhong
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yujie Huang
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Yihao Zhao
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chenlu Hong
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoying Zheng
- Institute for Global Health and Development, Peking University, Beijing, China
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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22
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Araujo ACB, de Souza OF, de Alencar FEC, Kersanach BB, Feitosa VL, Mozzer JSC, Brandão VA, Roni GM, de Mello Monteiro CB, de Abreu LC. Trends in Mortality Due to Stroke in South America between 1990 and 2019. EPIDEMIOLOGIA 2024; 5:581-591. [PMID: 39311357 PMCID: PMC11417841 DOI: 10.3390/epidemiologia5030040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2024] [Revised: 08/08/2024] [Accepted: 08/20/2024] [Indexed: 09/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Stroke is the second leading cause of death and disability in Latin America; however, few epidemiological studies have been conducted in South America. An observational study was conducted to analyze trends in stroke mortality in South American (SA) countries. Age-standardized mortality rates and proportional mortality due to stroke in the populations of SA countries between 1990 and 2019 were assessed by extracting data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Joinpoint regression models were employed to identify trends in the annual percentage change in mortality rates for each segment. Considering the data collected over the 30 years that were studied, the age-standardized stroke mortality trend decreased in Argentina (-1.6%), Uruguay (-0.6%), Brazil (-0.5%), Guyana (-0.5%), and Bolivia (-0.4%), while Venezuela (+1.6%) and Suriname (+1.0%) showed an increasing trend. The proportional stroke mortality trend decreased in Argentina (-1.7%), Paraguay (-0.9%), Uruguay (-0.7%), Guyana (-0.7%), Brazil (-0.5%), and Chile (-0.5%), whereas Bolivia (+1.0%), Suriname (+0.6%), and Peru (+0.4%) exhibited an increasing trend. The trends in stroke mortality between 1990 and 2019 demonstrated considerable variability. While most SA countries experienced significant decreases in stroke mortality trends, Venezuela and Suriname showed increases in age-standardized mortality rates, and Bolivia, Suriname, and Peru exhibited increases in proportional mortality rates. No decreasing stroke mortality trend was observed in the segment after the last joinpoint, highlighting the need for improvement in prevention and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandre Castelo Branco Araujo
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | - Orivaldo Florencio de Souza
- Postgraduate Program in Nutrition and Health, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil;
| | - Filomena Euridice Carvalho de Alencar
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | - Betina Bolina Kersanach
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | - Victor Lopes Feitosa
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | - Julia Silva Cesar Mozzer
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | - Vinicius Andreata Brandão
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | - Gabriel Marim Roni
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
| | | | - Luiz Carlos de Abreu
- Study Design and Scientific Writing Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória CEP29043-900, Brazil; (F.E.C.d.A.); (B.B.K.); (V.L.F.); (J.S.C.M.); (V.A.B.); (G.M.R.); (L.C.d.A.)
- Postgraduate Program in Medical Sciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo CEP01246-903, Brazil
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23
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Derin O. Gender and Age Trends in HIV Incidence in Turkey between 1990 and 2021: Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analyses. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2024; 60:1357. [PMID: 39202638 PMCID: PMC11356638 DOI: 10.3390/medicina60081357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2024] [Revised: 08/18/2024] [Accepted: 08/19/2024] [Indexed: 09/03/2024]
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Despite a global decrease in HIV incidence, recent trends in Türkiye indicate a concerning rise, particularly among younger populations and women. This study investigates the local and regional dynamics influencing these trends using advanced epidemiological methodologies. Material and Methods: Utilizing Age-period-cohort analysis and joinpoint regression, we analysed HIV incidence and prevalence data from the Global Burden of Disease study for Türkiye. These methods allowed for a detailed examination of changes over time, identifying specific age groups and periods with significant shifts in incidence rates. Results: Key findings include a 13.03% increase in annual percentage change among males aged 15-19 and an 11.37% increase among females in the same age group. Additionally, the incidence rates among females have shown a significant rise after 2008. Conclusions: The rising HIV incidence in Türkiye reflects complex socio-economic, cultural, and biological factors, with significant increases among young people and women. Addressing these challenges requires targeted interventions, comprehensive educational programs, and inclusive healthcare services to align with global efforts and commitments. The study underscores the importance of incorporating young people in decision-making processes to effectively combat HIV in Türkiye.
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Affiliation(s)
- Okan Derin
- Epidemiology PhD Program, Graduate School of Health Sciences, İstanbul Medipol University, 34810 İstanbul, Türkiye;
- Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology Clinic, İstanbul Şişli Hamidiye Etfal Training and Research Hospital, 34396 İstanbul, Türkiye
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Teterina I, Mirzajanova V, Mokricka V, Zolovs M, Šmits D, Pokrotnieks J. National 30-Day Readmission Trends in IBD 2014-2020-Are We Aiming for Improvement? MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2024; 60:1310. [PMID: 39202591 PMCID: PMC11356697 DOI: 10.3390/medicina60081310] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2024] [Revised: 08/02/2024] [Accepted: 08/09/2024] [Indexed: 09/03/2024]
Abstract
Background: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) prevalence in Eastern Europe is increasing. The 30-day readmission rate is a crucial quality metric in healthcare, reflecting the effectiveness of initial treatment and the continuity of care post-discharge; however, such parameters are rarely analyzed. The aim of this study was to explore the trends in 30-day readmissions among patients with inflammatory bowel disease in Latvia between 2014 and 2020. Methods: This is a retrospective trends study in IBD-ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease (UC and CD)-patients in Latvia between 2014 and 2020, involving all IBD patients identified in the National Health service database in the International Classification of Diseases-10 (ICD) classification (K50.X and K51.X) and having at least one prescription for IBD diagnoses. We assessed all IBD-related hospitalizations (discharge ICD codes K50X and K51X), as well as hospitalizations potentially related to IBD comorbidities. We analyzed hospitalization trends and obtained the 30 day all-cause readmission rate, disease specific readmission rate and readmission proportion for specific calendar years. Trends in readmissions and the mean length of stay (LOS) for CD and UC were calculated. Results: Despite a decrease in admission rates observed in 2020, the total number of readmissions for CD and UC has increased. Female patients prevailed through the study period and were significantly older than male patients in both the CD and UC groups, p < 0.05. We noted that there was no trend for 30 day all-cause readmission rate for CD (p > 0.05); however, there was a statistically significant trend for 30 day all-cause readmission for UC patients (p-trend = 0.018) in the period from 2014 to 2019. There was a statistically significant trend for CD-specific readmission rate (p < 0.05); however, no statistically significant trend was observed for UC-specific readmission (p > 0.05). An exploratory analysis did not reveal any statistically significant differences between treated and not-treated IBD patients (p > 0.05). The increasing trend is statistically significant over the period 2014-2018 (p < 0.05); however, the trend interrupts in 2020, which can be associated with the COVID-19 global pandemic and the related changes in admission flows where the gastroenterology capacity was reallocated to accommodate increasing numbers of COVID-19 patients. More studies are needed to evaluate the long-term impact of COVID-19 pandemic and 30-day readmissions. No significant dynamics were observed in the mean total hospitalization costs over the 2014-2020 period.
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Affiliation(s)
- Irēna Teterina
- Department of Pharmacology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Riga Stradiņš University, LV-1007 Riga, Latvia
| | | | - Viktorija Mokricka
- Pauls Stradiņš Clinical University Hospital, LV-1002 Riga, Latvia; (V.M.); (J.P.)
| | - Maksims Zolovs
- Statistics Unit, Riga Stradiņš University, LV-1007 Riga, Latvia;
- Institute of Life Sciences and Technology, Daugavpils University, LV-5401 Daugavpils, Latvia
| | - Dins Šmits
- Department of Public Health and Epidemiology, Faculty of Health and Sports Sciences, Riga Stradiņš University, LV-1007 Riga, Latvia;
| | - Juris Pokrotnieks
- Pauls Stradiņš Clinical University Hospital, LV-1002 Riga, Latvia; (V.M.); (J.P.)
- Department of Internal Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Riga Stradiņš University, LV-1038 Riga, Latvia
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25
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Yuan Y, Liu C, Guo M, Xin Z, Chen G, Yang Y, Zheng J, Zang B, Yang J. Exploring Cancer Incidence Trends by Age and Sex Among 14.14 Million Individuals in China From 2007 to 2021: Population-Based Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2024; 10:e55657. [PMID: 39110964 PMCID: PMC11339572 DOI: 10.2196/55657] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2023] [Revised: 04/30/2024] [Accepted: 05/15/2024] [Indexed: 08/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sex is a crucial factor in the development, progression, and treatment of cancer, making it vital to examine cancer incidence trends by sex for effective prevention strategies. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to assess the incidence of cancer in China between 2007 and 2021, with a focus on sex-based trends. METHODS A population-based cancer registry comprising 14.14 million individuals was maintained between 2007 and 2021 by the Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center. The age-standardized rates (ASRs) of cancers were calculated using the Segi population. The average annual percentage of change (AAPC) was evaluated using the joinpoint regression model, while the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict cancer incidence in the next 10 years. RESULTS From 2007 to 2021, the study included 651,342 incident patients with cancer, of whom 51.2% (n=333,577) were women. The incidence indicated by the ASR for all cancers combined was 200.8 per 100,000 for women and 184.4 per 100,000 for men. The increase in incidence indicated by AAPC for all malignancies combined significantly increased in women between 2007 and 2021 (AAPC=3.1%; P<.001), whereas it remained constant in men (AAPC=0.3%; P=.30). Although the overall incidence of all cancers indicated by AAPC increased in young men (AAPC=3.2%; P=.01), the greatest increase was observed among young women (AAPC=6.1%; P<.001). The incidence rate ratio for cancer in women increased among subsequent younger generations compared with patients born in the 1962-1966 cohort. The ASR in women will increase 1.6-fold over the next 10 years, with women having twice the incidence rate of men by 2031. CONCLUSIONS The rising incidence of cancer among women in China has become a growing concern, emphasizing the need for increased efforts in cancer prevention and early screening, especially among young women.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yingchao Yuan
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Chang Liu
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Moning Guo
- Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center, Beijing, China
| | - Zhong Xin
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Guanjie Chen
- The Center for Research on Genomics and Global Health, National Human Genome Research Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States
| | - Yue Yang
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jianpeng Zheng
- Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center, Beijing, China
| | - Bai Zang
- Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center, Beijing, China
| | - Jinkui Yang
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Ilic I, Zivanovic Macuzic I, Ilic M. Mortality Attributable to Clostridioides difficile Infection: The Rising Burden of Disease in European Countries. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2024; 60:1222. [PMID: 39202503 PMCID: PMC11355982 DOI: 10.3390/medicina60081222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2024] [Revised: 07/19/2024] [Accepted: 07/26/2024] [Indexed: 09/03/2024]
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Clostridioides difficile infection is a major public health issue, being among the main causes of mortality due to healthcare-associated diarrhea. This study aimed to assess the trends in mortality attributable to Clostridioides difficile infections in European countries over a period of 30 years. Materials and Methods: A descriptive epidemiological study was conducted, with the application of an ecological study design, to evaluate the trends in mortality due to Clostridioides difficile infection in the Central, Eastern, and Western European sub-regions from 1990 to 2019. The Global Burden of Disease study database was used. Trends were evaluated with the joinpoint regression analysis. Results: In both sexes, about 76% of all deaths attributable to Clostridioides difficile infections were recorded in the Western European sub-region in 2019. The age-standardized rates of the burden of Clostridioides difficile infection in 2019 were the highest in the Central European sub-region, followed by the Western European sub-region, while the lowest rates were observed in the Eastern European sub-region. A significantly increasing trend in mortality attributable to Clostridioides difficile infection from 1990 to 2019 was recorded both in males (by +2.1% per year) and females (by +2.8% per year). The burden of Clostridioides difficile infection showed increasing trends in most of the European countries, significantly correlating with the country's development, according to the Human Development Index. Conclusions: The rising burden of Clostridioides difficile infection in European countries in the last few decades suggests a need for improving public health measures, with a focus both on the hospital setting and community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Irena Ilic
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Ivana Zivanovic Macuzic
- Department of Anatomy, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
| | - Milena Ilic
- Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
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27
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Santos BA, Ribeiro CJN, dos Santos AD, de Sousa ÁFL, Siqueira TS, Andrade LA, dos Santos AJ, Lima SVMA. Surveillance of TB-HIV coinfection in Brazil: a space-time approach. REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE EPIDEMIOLOGIA 2024; 27:e240037. [PMID: 39016388 PMCID: PMC11251641 DOI: 10.1590/1980-549720240037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2023] [Revised: 03/01/2024] [Accepted: 03/22/2024] [Indexed: 07/18/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To identify the epidemiological, spatial, and temporal pattern of TB-HIV coinfection in Brazil during the period from 2001 to 2020. METHODS Ecological study using space-time analysis techniques. It included cases of TB-HIV coinfection registered in Brazil from 2001 to 2020. The temporal trend analysis was performed using segmented regression by Joinpoint regression. For spatial analysis, Moran indices were calculated and choropleth maps were produced using TerraView and QGIS software. RESULTS A stable temporal trend was observed in the incidence rates of TB-HIV coinfection in Brazil during the analyzed period. In addition, high-risk areas for coinfection located in states in the North, Southeast, South, and Midwest regions were identified. CONCLUSION There was stability in the incidence of TB-HIV coinfection in Brazil over the last 20 years and heterogeneous geographic distribution of risk areas for the condition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Beatriz Almeida Santos
- Universidade Federal de Sergipe, Graduate Program in Nursing – São Cristóvão (SE), Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Thayane Santos Siqueira
- Universidade Federal de Sergipe, Graduate Program in Health Sciences – São Cristóvão (SE), Brazil
| | - Lucas Almeida Andrade
- Universidade Federal de Sergipe, Graduate Program in Health Sciences – São Cristóvão (SE), Brazil
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28
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Liu Q, Li J, Liu S, Tang L, Wang X, Huang A, Xu X, Xiu Y, Yang H, Wen N, Rodewald L, Wang F, Yin Z. The Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Clustering of Measles - China, 2005-2022. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:665-669. [PMID: 39027631 PMCID: PMC11252050 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2024] [Accepted: 06/30/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction In recent years, the incidence of measles in China has consistently remained below 1 per 100,000 population, yet the disease has not been eliminated. This study aims to comprehensively analyze the epidemiological characteristics of measles from 2005 to 2022, identify high-risk populations and areas, and propose targeted interventions. Methods We utilized data from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System for our comprehensive analysis. Spatial autocorrelation was employed to examine the spatial clustering of measles, while spatiotemporal scanning analysis was used to detect spatiotemporal clustering to describe measles epidemiology during the study period. Results Between 2005 and 2022, 732,218 measles cases were reported in China. Overall, the incidence of measles exhibited a downward trend, particularly during the periods of 2008-2011 and 2015-2022. In 2022, the incidence rate reached its historical low at 0.039 per 100,000 population. Measles predominantly affects young children. Since 2017, global spatial clustering has diminished, although hotspot areas persist in the western provinces. Spatial-temporal scanning identified a high-incidence cluster from 2005 to 2008, comprising 15 provinces in the western, central, and northern regions of China. Conversely, from 2016 to 2022, a low-incidence cluster was detected in the southern and central provinces. Conclusions China has made significant progress in measles prevention and control. The recent low incidence and absence of substantial spatiotemporal clustering indicate that China is nearing measles elimination. However, there is a continuing need to enhance prevention and control efforts among very young children and in historic incidence hotspots in western provinces. Additionally, improving the diagnosis of vaccine-associated rash illnesses is essential.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qianqian Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jiuhong Li
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Siyu Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Lin Tang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoqi Wang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Aodi Huang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Xia Xu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yuexin Xiu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Hong Yang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Ning Wen
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Lance Rodewald
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Fuzhen Wang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Zundong Yin
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Immunization Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
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Zhao F, Yang D, Lan Y, Li X. Different trends of gastric cancer in China, Japan, Republic of Korea and United States of America. iScience 2024; 27:110074. [PMID: 38947500 PMCID: PMC11214484 DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2024.110074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2023] [Revised: 04/09/2024] [Accepted: 05/17/2024] [Indexed: 07/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Gastric cancer exerts a significant healthcare burden worldwide and is highly geographically heterogeneous. This study investigates the burden of gastric cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 and compares it with Japan, South Korea, and the United States. The results indicated a declining trend in ASIR and ASDR in four countries. However, the incidence and death rates in China remain disproportionately high. Significant gender disparities exist in the incidence and death rates, with males experiencing significantly higher rates than females. Incidence and death rates were found to increase with age in all studied countries. In China, a transient upward trend was observed in the period effect, whereas the cohort effect has been declining. In contrast, the remaining countries showed decreasing patterns in both period and cohort effects. The burden of disease remains high in China, therefore, broaden the scope of gastroscopy screening and concentrate on high-risk groups is vital.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fangrui Zhao
- Department of Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan 430060, Hubei Province, China
| | - Dashuai Yang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan 430060, Hubei Province, China
| | - Yanfang Lan
- Department of Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan 430060, Hubei Province, China
| | - Xiangpan Li
- Department of Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan 430060, Hubei Province, China
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Yu ZH, Zhang LM, Dai ZQ, Zhang MN, Zheng SM. Epidemiology and prognostic nomogram for locally advanced gastric signet ring cell carcinoma: A population-based study. World J Gastrointest Oncol 2024; 16:2610-2630. [PMID: 38994168 PMCID: PMC11236255 DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v16.i6.2610] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2024] [Revised: 04/06/2024] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC) represents a specific subtype of gastric cancer renowned for its contentious epidemiological features, treatment principles, and prognostic factors. AIM To investigate the epidemiology of GSRC and establish an improved model for predicting the prognosis of patients with locally advanced GSRC (LAGSRC) after surgery. METHODS The annual rates of GSRC incidence and mortality, covering the years 1975 to 2019, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to explore the temporal trends in both disease incidence and mortality rates using Joinpoint software. The clinical data of 3793 postoperative LAGSRC patients were collected from the SEER database for the analysis of survival rates. The Cox regression model was used to explore the independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). The risk factors extracted were used to establish a prognostic nomogram. RESULTS The overall incidence of GSRC increased dramatically between 1975 and 1998, followed by a significant downward trend in incidence after 1998. In recent years, there has been a similarly optimistic trend in GSRC mortality rates. The trend in GSRC showed discrepancies based on age and sex. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS demonstrated the high discriminative ability and clinical utility of this nomogram. The area under the curve indicated that the performance of the new model outperformed that of the pathological staging system. CONCLUSION The model we established can aid clinicians in the early prognostication of LAGSRC patients, resulting in improved clinical outcomes by modifying management strategies and patient health care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ze-Hao Yu
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Lei-Ming Zhang
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Zhi-Qi Dai
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Meng-Na Zhang
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
- College of Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Si-Ming Zheng
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
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Yu ZH, Zhang LM, Dai ZQ, Zhang MN, Zheng SM. Epidemiology and prognostic nomogram for locally advanced gastric signet ring cell carcinoma: A population-based study. World J Gastrointest Oncol 2024; 16:2598-2618. [DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v16.i6.2598] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2024] [Revised: 04/06/2024] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 06/13/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC) represents a specific subtype of gastric cancer renowned for its contentious epidemiological features, treatment principles, and prognostic factors.
AIM To investigate the epidemiology of GSRC and establish an improved model for predicting the prognosis of patients with locally advanced GSRC (LAGSRC) after surgery.
METHODS The annual rates of GSRC incidence and mortality, covering the years 1975 to 2019, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to explore the temporal trends in both disease incidence and mortality rates using Joinpoint software. The clinical data of 3793 postoperative LAGSRC patients were collected from the SEER database for the analysis of survival rates. The Cox regression model was used to explore the independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). The risk factors extracted were used to establish a prognostic nomogram.
RESULTS The overall incidence of GSRC increased dramatically between 1975 and 1998, followed by a significant downward trend in incidence after 1998. In recent years, there has been a similarly optimistic trend in GSRC mortality rates. The trend in GSRC showed discrepancies based on age and sex. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS demonstrated the high discriminative ability and clinical utility of this nomogram. The area under the curve indicated that the performance of the new model outperformed that of the pathological staging system.
CONCLUSION The model we established can aid clinicians in the early prognostication of LAGSRC patients, resulting in improved clinical outcomes by modifying management strategies and patient health care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ze-Hao Yu
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Lei-Ming Zhang
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Zhi-Qi Dai
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Meng-Na Zhang
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
- College of Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Si-Ming Zheng
- Health Science Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang Province, China
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Sánchez-Díaz G, Arias-Merino G, Gallego E, Sarmiento-Suárez R, Alonso-Ferreira V. Silicosis mortality in Spain (1999-2020): A temporal and geographical approach. AIMS Public Health 2024; 11:715-728. [PMID: 39416892 PMCID: PMC11474323 DOI: 10.3934/publichealth.2024036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2024] [Revised: 04/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/23/2024] [Indexed: 10/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Silicosis is an occupational respiratory disease linked to silica dust inhalation. The main driver was traditional coal mining, but in recent decades, new sources of exposure have emerged. Our aim in this study was to assess the temporal and spatial distribution of mortality due to this disease over a 22-year period in Spain. Methods Silicosis records, as an Underlying Cause of Death, were extracted from the National Institute of Statistics from 1999 to 2020 using the International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (code J62.8). Age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates per 1,000,000 inhabitants were calculated for the territory and by province. A geographic analysis was performed, and clusters of deaths were identified at the municipal level, and then the outcomes were compared in two periods of 11 years. Results There were 2618 deaths due to silicosis in Spain. The mean age of death increased significantly by 0.66% annually from 1999 to 2013. The age-adjusted mortality rate decreased by 7.30% per year, falling from 3.00 to 0.65 per 1,000,000 inhabitants. The temporal pattern showed a significant decrease of mortality rate in 31% of the provinces (16 out of 52), while it increased in Pontevedra. Regarding the spatial analysis, 11 clusters were found in both periods, but some variations were observed in terms of their distribution in the Spanish territory, as well as in the affected municipalities. Conclusions The decrease in mortality due to Silicosis could be related to less exposure to silica dust over the years and an improvement in the survival of those affected. It is thus essential to analyze the role of preventive measures for this occupational disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Germán Sánchez-Díaz
- Institute of Rare Diseases Research, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 1, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Raras, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 0, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Greta Arias-Merino
- Institute of Rare Diseases Research, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 1, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Elisa Gallego
- Institute of Rare Diseases Research, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 1, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez
- Institute of Rare Diseases Research, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 1, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Verónica Alonso-Ferreira
- Institute of Rare Diseases Research, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 1, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Raras, Av. Monforte de Lemos 3–5, Pabellón 11, Planta 0, 28029 Madrid, Spain
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Liu H, Wang X, Wang L, Yin P, Liu F, Wei L, Wang Y, Zhou M, Qi J, Rao H. Mortality Burden of Liver Cancer in China: An Observational Study From 2008 to 2020. J Clin Transl Hepatol 2024; 12:371-380. [PMID: 38638380 PMCID: PMC11022066 DOI: 10.14218/jcth.2023.00455] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2023] [Revised: 02/19/2024] [Accepted: 02/29/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and Aims China accounts for nearly half of liver cancer deaths globally. A better understanding of the current liver cancer mortality will be helpful to establishing priorities for intervention and to decreasing the disease burden of liver cancer. The study aimed to explore and predict the mortality burden of liver cancer in China. Methods Data were extracted from the Disease Surveillance Point system of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 2008 to 2020. Crude and age-standardized liver cancer mortality rates were reported by sex, urban or rural residence, and region. Trends in liver cancer mortality rates from 2008 to 2020 were estimated as average annual percentage change (AAPC). The changing trend of live cancer mortality in the future is also predicted. Results In 2020, the crude mortality of liver cancer was 25.57/100,000, and males and people lived in rural areas had higher age-standardized liver cancer mortality rates than females and people lived in people in urban areas. Crude mortality and age-standardized mortality rates in southwest provinces (Guangxi, Sichuan, Tibet) and in a northeast province (Heilongjiang) were higher than that in other provinces, and age-specific mortality rates increased with age. From 2008 to 2020, liver cancer mortality rates decreased, but people under 50 years of age had a higher AAPC than those over 50 years of age, possibly because of the adoption of hepatitis B virus vaccination in newborns and children. Furthermore, the mortality of liver cancer in 2021-2030 is predicted to have a downward trend. Conclusions Liver cancer mortality rates declined in China from 2008 to 2020. Future interventions to control liver cancer mortality need to focus on people of male sex, older age, and living in rural areas or less developed provinces.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huixin Liu
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoxiao Wang
- Peking University People’s Hospital, Peking University Hepatology Institute, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hepatitis C and Immunotherapy for Liver Diseases, Beijing International Cooperation Base for Science and Technology on NAFLD Diagnosis, Beijing, China
| | - Lijun Wang
- National Center for Chronic Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Peng Yin
- National Center for Chronic Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Feng Liu
- Peking University People’s Hospital, Peking University Hepatology Institute, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hepatitis C and Immunotherapy for Liver Diseases, Beijing International Cooperation Base for Science and Technology on NAFLD Diagnosis, Beijing, China
| | - Lai Wei
- Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yu Wang
- Chinese Foundation for Hepatitis Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
| | - Maigeng Zhou
- National Center for Chronic Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jinlei Qi
- National Center for Chronic Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Huiying Rao
- Peking University People’s Hospital, Peking University Hepatology Institute, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hepatitis C and Immunotherapy for Liver Diseases, Beijing International Cooperation Base for Science and Technology on NAFLD Diagnosis, Beijing, China
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Rodríguez JCP, Olivera MJ, Cantillo LA, Chaparro-Narváez P. Changes in the endemic-epidemic pattern of malaria in Colombia, 1978-2021. Rev Soc Bras Med Trop 2024; 57:e00405. [PMID: 38655991 PMCID: PMC11037921 DOI: 10.1590/0037-8682-0364-2023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2023] [Accepted: 03/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Malaria is a major global public health issue with varying epidemiologies across countries. In Colombia, it is a priority endemic-epidemic event included in the national public health policy. However, evidence demonstrating nationwide variations in the disease behavior is limited. This study aimed to analyze changes in the levels and distribution of endemic-epidemic malaria transmission in the eco-epidemiological regions of Colombia from 1978 to 1999 and 2000 to 2021. METHODS We conducted a comprehensive time-series study using official secondary data on malaria-associated morbidity and mortality in Colombia from 1978 to 2021. Temporal-spatial and population variables were analyzed, and the absolute and relative frequency measures of general and regional morbidity and mortality were estimated. RESULTS We observed an 18% reduction in malaria endemic cases between the two study periods. The frequency and severity of the epidemic transmission of malaria varied less and were comparable across both periods. A shift was observed in the frequency of parasitic infections, with a tendency to match and increase infections by Plasmodium falciparum. The risk of malaria transmission varied significantly among the eco-epidemiological regions during both study periods. This study demonstrated a sustained decrease of 78% in malarial mortality. CONCLUSIONS Although the endemic components of malaria decreased slightly between the two study periods, the epidemic pattern persisted. There were significant variations in the risk of transmission across the different eco-epidemiological regions. These findings underscore the importance of targeted public health interventions in reducing malarial morbidity and mortality rates in Colombia.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Mario Javier Olivera
- Red de Gestión de Conocimiento, Investigación e Innovación en Malaria, Bogotá D.C., Colombia
- Instituto Nacional de Salud, Grupo de Parasitología, Bogotá D.C., Colombia
| | - Luis Acuña Cantillo
- Red de Gestión de Conocimiento, Investigación e Innovación en Malaria, Bogotá D.C., Colombia
- Instituto Nacional de Salud, Grupo de Entomología, Bogotá D.C., Colombia
| | - Pablo Chaparro-Narváez
- Red de Gestión de Conocimiento, Investigación e Innovación en Malaria, Bogotá D.C., Colombia
- Instituto Nacional de Salud, Observatorio Nacional de Salud, Bogotá D.C., Colombia
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Castañeda-Millán G, Eslava-Schmalbach J. [Trends in motorcycle road deaths in Colombia, 2008-2021Tendências de mortalidade por acidentes de motocicleta na Colômbia, 2008-2021]. Rev Panam Salud Publica 2024; 48:e44. [PMID: 38623526 PMCID: PMC11018259 DOI: 10.26633/rpsp.2024.44] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 01/17/2024] [Indexed: 04/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective To identify trends in motorcycle road deaths in Colombia between 2008 and 2021. Methods An observational and descriptive study of trends in motorcycle road deaths was conducted using official death records from 2008 to 2021. Jointpoint Poisson regression analysis was performed to detect inflection points in mortality rates specific to age, sex, and area of residence. Results A total of 28 200 motorcycle road deaths were identified during the period; 24 271 men and 3 929 women died. Of the deaths, 74.1% occurred in urban areas and 25.9% in rural areas. In rural areas, there was an increasing trend in fatalities in young adults of both sexes during the period. The same occurred in men over 65 years of age. In urban areas, there was an upward trend in fatalities in the age group from 45-64 for both sexes during the period. Only one inflection point was detected, in 2015, showing a downward trend in adolescent females. Conclusion The trend in motorcycle road deaths in Colombia continued to rise during the 2008-2021 period, both in rural areas for young adults and in urban areas for middle-aged adults.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Javier Eslava-Schmalbach
- Universidad Nacional de ColombiaBogotáColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia.
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Rzymski P, Zarębska-Michaluk D, Genowska A, Tyszko P, Strukcinskiene B, Flisiak R. Trends of Hepatitis A Virus Infection in Poland: Assessing the Potential Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and War in Ukraine. Viruses 2024; 16:469. [PMID: 38543833 PMCID: PMC10975752 DOI: 10.3390/v16030469] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Revised: 03/12/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis A virus (HAV) is the most common cause of acute viral hepatitis, which is preventable by vaccination. This study analyzed trends of HAV infections in Poland according to socio-demographic features in the years 2009-2022 and assessed the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2023) and the migration of war refugees from Ukraine (since February 2022). In 2009-2022, 7115 new cases of HAV infection were diagnosed in Poland, especially among men (66.4%) and in urban areas (77.4%). Infections among men were most common at the age of 25-34 (median rate 0.43 per 105) and in women aged 15-24 (median rate 0.39 per 105). Analysis of the 14-year frequency of HAV infections exhibited three trends, regardless of gender, age, and residence. The infections revealed a downward trend in 2009-2014, increased significantly in 2014-2018, and decreased again after 2018. A particularly rapid increase in HAV infections occurred between March 2017 and February 2018 (median rate 0.79 per 105). The high level of new infections persisted until the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, at which point it dropped significantly but did not reach the level recorded before March 2017. During the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 dominance period, the median rate of HAV infections was 0.053 per 105, with a four-fold increase being observed from February 2022 (when the migration of war refugees from Ukraine began) to August 2022. The presented results can serve as a reference point for further observations in Central Europe. The HAV epidemiological situation is unlikely to escalate in Poland but requires further monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Piotr Rzymski
- Department of Environmental Medicine, Poznań University of Medical Sciences, 60-806 Poznań, Poland
| | - Dorota Zarębska-Michaluk
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Allergology, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-317 Kielce, Poland;
| | - Agnieszka Genowska
- Department of Public Health, Medical University of Bialystok, 15-295 Bialystok, Poland;
| | - Piotr Tyszko
- Department of Social Medicine and Public Health, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-091 Warsaw, Poland;
- Institute of Rural Health, 20-090 Lublin, Poland
| | | | - Robert Flisiak
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Bialystok, 15-540 Bialystok, Poland
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Azarbakhsh H, Jafari F, Dehghani SP, Hamedi A, Sharifi MH, Mirahmadizadeh A. Trend Analysis of Suicide and Homicide Mortality and Years of Life Lost (YLL) in Children Aged 10-19 Years in the South of Iran, 2004-2019. J Res Health Sci 2024; 24:e00606. [PMID: 39072542 PMCID: PMC10999100 DOI: 10.34172/jrhs.2024.141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2023] [Revised: 01/01/2024] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 07/30/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to investigate mortality and years of life lost (YLL) due to suicide and homicide in children aged 10-19 years in southern Iran from 2004 to 2019. Study Design: A cross-sectional study. METHODS The data on all deaths due to suicide and homicide in Fars province were obtained from the population-based electronic death registration system (EDRS). Crude mortality rate and YLL were calculated. The joinpoint regression method was used to examine the trend. RESULTS During the study period, 563 cases of suicide and 218 cases of homicide in children aged 10-19 have occurred. The total number of YLL due to suicide was 9766 in men and 6261 in women. According to the joinpoint regression analysis, the trend of YLL due to suicide was increasing in males. In other words, the annual percent change (APC) was 4.8% (95% CI 0.4 to 9.5, P=0.036). Additionally, there was a constant trend in females, and APC was 2.7% (95% CI -2.0 to 7.7, P=0.241). The number of YLL due to homicide was 4890 in males and 1294 in females. The trend of YLL due to homicide was stable in males and females. In other words, APC was -1.6% (95% CI -5.6 to -2.6, P=0.422) in males and -2.7% (95% CI -10.0 to 5.2, P=0.467) in females. CONCLUSION Based on the findings of this study, the trend of mortality rate and YLL due to suicide in men has been increasing and it has been stable in women. Moreover, the trend of mortality due to homicide was stable for both males and females. Therefore, it is necessary to take preventive actions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Habibollah Azarbakhsh
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Health, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Fatemeh Jafari
- Student Research Committee, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Seyed Parsa Dehghani
- Department of Social Medicine, School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Andishe Hamedi
- Student Research Committee, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Mohammad Hossein Sharifi
- Research Center for Traditional Medicine and History of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Alireza Mirahmadizadeh
- Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
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Ilic I, Ilic M. Global Patterns of Trends in Incidence and Mortality of Dengue, 1990-2019: An Analysis Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2024; 60:425. [PMID: 38541151 PMCID: PMC10972128 DOI: 10.3390/medicina60030425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2024] [Revised: 02/27/2024] [Accepted: 02/29/2024] [Indexed: 07/21/2024]
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Dengue is an important public health concern that warrants an examination of the longer-term global trends of its disease burden. The aim of this study was to assess the trends in dengue incidence and mortality worldwide over the last three decades. Materials and Methods: A descriptive epidemiological study was carried out, investigating the trends in the incidence and mortality of dengue from 1990 to 2019. The dengue incidence and mortality data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study database. Trends were examined using joinpoint regression analysis. Results: Globally, there were 56.7 million new cases of dengue reported in 2019: the disease was diagnosed in 27.4 million males and 29.3 million females. A total of 36,055 (18,993 males and 17,032 females) related deaths were reported worldwide in 2019. In both sexes, about 60% of new cases were recorded in the South-East Asia region (16.3 million in males and 17.4 million in females). Globally, the incidence of dengue exhibited an increasing tendency from 1990 to 2019 in both sexes (equally, by 1.2% per year). A significantly decreasing trend in the mortality of dengue was recorded only in females (by -0.5% per year), while an increasing trend was observed in males (by +0.6% per year). Conclusions: The rise in the number of new dengue cases and deaths in the world in the last several decades suggests a need for implementing more effective prevention and management measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Irena Ilic
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia;
| | - Milena Ilic
- Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
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Lin P, Jiang F, Li X, Zhao Y, Shi Y, Liang Z. International trends in pulmonary hypertension mortality between 2001 and 2019: Retrospective analysis of the WHO mortality database. Heliyon 2024; 10:e26139. [PMID: 38384545 PMCID: PMC10879023 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Revised: 02/06/2024] [Accepted: 02/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Background There are limited published data on mortality trends in pulmonary hypertension (PH) worldwide. The objective of this study was to assess the PH-related mortality and time trends in the general population over the past 20 years. Material and methods We used country-level PH mortality data from the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database (2000-19), using the International Classification of Diseases, tenth revision (ICD-10) codes (I27.0, I27.2, I27.8, or I27.9). The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were calculated to describe mortality trends. Results Fifty-four countries were included in this study. Between 2017 and 2019, the average age-standardized death rates (per 100,000) were 0.80 and 0.87 for males and females, respectively. Joinpoint analyses revealed a decreasing PH mortality trend for the overall population from 2000 to 2019 (AAPC -3.2 [95% confidence interval (CI) -4.1 to -2.4]), which was consistent between males and females (males: AAPC -5.3 [95% CI -6.2 to -4.4], females: AAPC -1.7 [95% CI -2.4 to -0.9]). When the estimates were stratified by etiology, we found that the mortality rates from idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (I27.0) and pulmonary heart disease (unspecified, I27.9) had decreased significantly, while the mortality rates in other secondary PH (I27.2) and other specified pulmonary heart diseases (I27.8) had significantly increased. In addition, there were substantial differences in mortality rates and time trends across countries. Conclusion Although an overall decrease in PH mortality trends over the past two decades, there were substantial differences across countries. For countries with high or rising mortality rates, more efforts are needed to reduce the mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ping Lin
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China
| | - Faming Jiang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China
| | - Xiaoqian Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, China
| | - Yuean Zhao
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China
| | - Yujun Shi
- Institute of Clinical Pathology, Key Laboratory of Transplant Engineering and Immunology, NHC, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China
| | - Zongan Liang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China
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Gopalani SV, Senkomago V, Rim SH, Saraiya M. Human papillomavirus-associated anal squamous cell carcinoma: sociodemographic, geographic, and county-level economic trends in incidence rates-United States, 2001-2019. J Natl Cancer Inst 2024; 116:275-282. [PMID: 37851397 DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djad214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2023] [Revised: 09/25/2023] [Accepted: 10/11/2023] [Indexed: 10/19/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Incidence of anal squamous cell carcinoma is increasing, but vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV) and removal of precancerous anal lesions could prevent new cases. The overall HPV-associated cancer incidence is reported to be higher in rural populations and in counties with lower economic status. We assessed these differences specifically for HPV-associated anal squamous cell carcinoma and described the geographic, county-level economic, and sociodemographic variations in incidence rates and trends. METHODS We analyzed data from the US Cancer Statistics to assess age-standardized incidence rates of HPV-associated squamous cell carcinomas among adults aged 18 years and older from 2001 to 2019. We calculated rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals to examine differences in incidence rates. We also quantified changes in incidence rates over time using joinpoint regression. RESULTS From 2001 to 2019, 72 421 new cases of HPV-associated anal squamous cell carcinoma were diagnosed among women (2.8 per 100 000) and 37 147 among men (1.7 per 100 000). Age-standardized incidence rates were higher in the South compared with other census regions and in counties ranked in the bottom 25% and 25%-75% economically than in the top 25%. The overall incidence rate increased in women but remained stable in men during 2009-2019. Incidence rates increased in adults aged 50 years and older but decreased among those aged 40-44 years from 2001 to 2019 in women and from 2007 to 2019 in men. CONCLUSIONS There were inequities in HPV-associated anal squamous cell carcinoma incidence by geographic and county-level economic characteristics. Failure to improve vaccine and treatment equity may widen existing disparities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sameer Vali Gopalani
- Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
- Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education, Oak Ridge, TN, USA
| | - Virginia Senkomago
- Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Sun Hee Rim
- Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Mona Saraiya
- Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Takeda A, Ando Y, Tomio J. Long- and Short-Term Trends in Outpatient Attendance by Speciality in Japan: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:7133. [PMID: 38063563 PMCID: PMC10705918 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20237133] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2023] [Revised: 11/20/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a decline in outpatient attendance. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify long- and short-term clinic attendance trends by speciality in Japan between 2009 and 2021. A retrospective observational study of Japan's claims between 2009 and 2021 was conducted using the Estimated Medical Expenses Database. The number of monthly outpatient claims in clinics was used as a proxy indicator for monthly outpatient attendance, and specialities were categorised into internal medicine, paediatrics, surgery, orthopaedics, dermatology, obstetrics and gynaecology, ophthalmology, otolaryngology, and dentistry. The annually summarised age-standardised proportions and the percentage of change were calculated. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to evaluate long-term secular trends. The data set included 4,975,464,894 outpatient claims. A long-term statistically significant decrease was observed in outpatient attendance in internal medicine, paediatrics, surgery, ophthalmology, and otolaryngology during the pandemic. From March 2020 to December 2021, which includes the COVID-19 pandemic period, outpatient attendance in paediatrics, surgery, and otolaryngology decreased in all months compared with that of the corresponding months in 2019. For some specialities, the impact of the pandemic was substantial, even in the context of long-term trends. Speciality-specific preparedness is required to ensure essential outpatient services in future public health emergencies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Asuka Takeda
- Department of Health Crisis Management, National Institute of Public Health, Wako-shi, Saitama 3510197, Japan
| | - Yuichi Ando
- Department of Health Promotion, National Institute of Public Health, Wako-shi, Saitama 3510197, Japan
| | - Jun Tomio
- Department of Health Crisis Management, National Institute of Public Health, Wako-shi, Saitama 3510197, Japan
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Roura P, Puigoriol E, Altimiras J, Batiste-Alentorn E, Dégano IR. Trend and Joinpoint Analysis of Cancer Incidence and 1-Year Mortality in North-East Spain 2005-2020. Cancers (Basel) 2023; 15:5527. [PMID: 38067232 PMCID: PMC10705763 DOI: 10.3390/cancers15235527] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 11/03/2023] [Accepted: 11/17/2023] [Indexed: 07/03/2024] Open
Abstract
Cancer is the second leading cause of death. It is thus essential to examine cancer trends in all regions. In addition, trend data after 2019 and on cancer 1-year mortality are scarce. Our aim was to analyze incidence and 1-year mortality cancer trends in northeastern Spain during 2005-2020. We used the Osona Tumor Registry, which registers cancer incidence and mortality in Osona. The mortality information came from the Spanish Death Index. We analyzed age-standardized incidence rates and 1-year mortality by sex in the population aged > 17 years during 2005-2020. Trends were examined with negative binomial and joinpoint regression. Incidence rates of colorectal, lung and bronchus, and urinary bladder cancer increased annually in females by 2.86%, 4.20%, and 4.56%, respectively. In males, the incidence of stomach and prostate cancer decreased annually by 3.66% and 2.05%, respectively. One-year mortality trends decreased annually for endometrium cancer (-9.0%) and for colorectal cancer in males (-3.1%). From 2019 to 2020, the incidence of cancer decreased, while 1-year mortality increased in both sexes. In a North-Eastern Spanish county, 1-year mortality decreased for endometrium cancer in females and for colorectal cancer in males. Our results suggest a trend of decreasing cancer incidence and increasing cancer mortality as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pere Roura
- Clinical Epidemiology and Research Unit, Vic Hospital Consortium, 08500 Vic, Spain; (P.R.); (E.P.); (J.A.)
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Vic—Central University of Catalonia, 08500 Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), 08500 Vic, Spain
| | - Emma Puigoriol
- Clinical Epidemiology and Research Unit, Vic Hospital Consortium, 08500 Vic, Spain; (P.R.); (E.P.); (J.A.)
| | - Jacint Altimiras
- Clinical Epidemiology and Research Unit, Vic Hospital Consortium, 08500 Vic, Spain; (P.R.); (E.P.); (J.A.)
| | | | - Irene R. Dégano
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Vic—Central University of Catalonia, 08500 Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), 08500 Vic, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red of Cardiovascular Diseases (CIBERCV), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Registre Gironí del Cor (REGICOR) Study Group, Hospital del Mar Medical Research Institute (IMIM), 08003 Barcelona, Spain
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Jerez-Roig J, Bezerra de Souza DL, Cambra-Badii I, March-Amengual JM, Comella A, Masó-Aguado M, Ramon-Aribau A, Luque-Suárez A, Feito Grande L, Terribas N, Vivanco L, Busquets-Alibés E. Change in demand for health-related undergraduate studies in Spain during 2015-2021: a temporal series study. PeerJ 2023; 11:e16353. [PMID: 37953777 PMCID: PMC10638917 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.16353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2023] [Accepted: 10/04/2023] [Indexed: 11/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction The expansion of higher education is a worldwide phenomenon. To our knowledge, there are no studies analyzing the trends in demands of enrollment in health-related studies in Spain. Therefore, the objective was to analyze the change in demand (the number of requests for enrollment divided by the number of offered places) for undergraduate health-related studies in Spain during the period 2015-2021 as well as compare the change by region in the pre (2015-2019) and pandemic (2020-2021) period. Methods This is an observational (ecological type) study with temporal series analyses using data from public (non-for-profit) higher education institutions from the Integrated University Information System. For the analysis by region, we calculated the demand of all twelve undergraduate health-related degrees and the percentages of change between both periods using the Wilcoxon test. The Joinpoint Regression program was used to analyze the trends in demand for each degree during the 7-year period. Results Significant (p < 0.001) increases in demand during the pandemic period were observed in all regions. During the pandemic, medicine, biomedicine, nursing, odontology and pharmacy presented a higher demand in comparison with data collected before the pandemic started. In contrast, this pattern was not confirmed in the following cases: physiotherapy, occupational therapy, podiatry, psychology, social work, human nutrition and dietetics. By regions, Navarra, Asturias, and La Rioja presented the most drastic changes. In regions with the biggest number of universities, such as Catalonia, Andalusia and Madrid, the change observed was smaller.
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Affiliation(s)
- Javier Jerez-Roig
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain
| | - Dyego L. Bezerra de Souza
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Department of Collective Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil
| | - Irene Cambra-Badii
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain
| | - Jaume-Miquel March-Amengual
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain
| | - Agustí Comella
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain
| | - Montse Masó-Aguado
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain
| | - Anna Ramon-Aribau
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
| | - Alejandro Luque-Suárez
- Department of Physiotherapy, University of Málaga, Málaga, Spain
- The Biomedical Research Institute of Málaga (IBIMA), Málaga, Spain
| | | | - Núria Terribas
- Grífols Foundation Chair of Bioethics, Universitat de Vic, Vic, Spain
| | - Luis Vivanco
- Platform of Bioethics and Medical Education, Center for Biomedical Research of La Rioja (CIBIR), Logroño, Spain
- National Center of Documentation on Bioethics, Rioja Health Foundation (FRS), Logroño, Spain
| | - Ester Busquets-Alibés
- Research Group on Methodology, Methods, Models and Outcomes of Health and Social Sciences (M3O), Faculty of Health Sciences and Welfare, Center for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC), Vic, Spain
- Institute for Research and Innovation in Life Sciences and Health in Central Catalonia (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain
- Grífols Foundation Chair of Bioethics, Universitat de Vic, Vic, Spain
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Sorensen IS, Susi A, Andreason P, Hisle-Gorman E, Jannace KC, Krishnamurthy J, Chokshi B, Dorr M, Wolfgang AS, Nylund CM. Opioid-Related Trends in Active Duty Service Members During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic. Mil Med 2023; 188:567-574. [PMID: 37948265 DOI: 10.1093/milmed/usad245] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2022] [Revised: 02/04/2023] [Accepted: 06/26/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The USA is experiencing an opioid epidemic. Active duty service members (ADSMs) are at risk for opioid use disorder (OUD). The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted health care and introduced additional stressors. METHODS The Military Healthcare System Data Repository was used to evaluate changes in diagnosis of OUD, medications for OUD (MOUD), opioid overdose (OD), and opioid rescue medication. ADSMs ages 18-45 years enrolled in the Military Healthcare System between February 2019 and April 2022 were included. Joinpoint Trend Analysis Software calculated the average monthly percent change over the study period, whereas Poisson regression compared outcomes over three COVID-19 periods: Pre-lockdown (pre-COVID-19 period 0) (February 2019-February 2020), early pandemic until ADSM vaccination initiation (COVID-19 period 1 [CP1]) (March 2020-November 2020), and late pandemic post-vaccination initiation (COVID-19 period 2 [CP2]) (December 2020-April 2022). RESULTS A total of 1.86 million eligible ADSMs received care over the study period. Diagnoses of OUD decreased 1.4% monthly, MOUD decreased 0.6% monthly, diagnoses of opioid OD did not change, and opioid rescue medication increased 8.5% monthly.Diagnoses of OUD decreased in both COVID-19 time periods: CP1 and CP2: Rate ratio (RR) = 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68-0.79) and RR = 0.72 (95% CI, 0.67-0.76), respectively. MOUD decreased in both CP1 and CP2: RR = 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68-0.88) and RR = 0.86 (95% CI, 0.78-0.96), respectively. Adjusted rates for diagnoses of opioid OD did not vary in either COVID-19 time period. Opioid rescue medication prescriptions increased in CP1 and CP2: RR = 1.09 (95% CI, 1.02-1.15) and RR = 6.02 (95% CI, 5.77-6.28), respectively. CONCLUSIONS Rates of OUD and MOUD decreased, whereas rates of opioid rescue medication increased during the study period. Opioid OD rates did not significantly change in this study. Changes in the DoD policy may be affecting rates with greater effect than COVID-19 pandemic effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ian S Sorensen
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland 20817, USA
| | - Apryl Susi
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland 20817, USA
| | | | - Elizabeth Hisle-Gorman
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Kalyn C Jannace
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland 20817, USA
- Departments of Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Center for Rehabilitation Sciences Research, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Jayasree Krishnamurthy
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Binny Chokshi
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
| | - Madeline Dorr
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland 20817, USA
| | - Aaron S Wolfgang
- Department of Psychiatry, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
- Department of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT 06511, USA
| | - Cade M Nylund
- Department of Pediatrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA
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Lan T, Chen L, Hu Y, Wang J, Tan K, Pan J. Measuring low-value care in hospital discharge records: evidence from China. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. WESTERN PACIFIC 2023; 38:100887. [PMID: 37790076 PMCID: PMC10544294 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100887] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 07/25/2023] [Accepted: 08/13/2023] [Indexed: 10/05/2023]
Abstract
Background Plenty of efforts have been made to reduce the use of low-value care (the care that is not expected to provide net benefits for patients) across the world, but measures of low-value care have not been developed in China. This study aims to develop hospital discharge records-based measures of low-value surgical procedures, evaluate their annual use and associated expenditure, and analyze the practice patterns by characterizing its temporal trends and correlations across rates of different low-value procedures within hospitals. Methods Informed by evidence-based lists including Choosing Wisely, we developed 11 measures of low-value surgical procedures. We evaluated the count and proportion of low-value episodes, as well as the proportion of expenditure and medical insurance payouts for these episodes, using hospital discharge records in Sichuan Province, China during a period of 2016-2022. We compared the count and expenditure detected by different versions of these measures, which varied in sensitivity and specificity. We characterized the temporal trends in the rate of low-value surgical procedures and estimated the annual percent change using joint-point regression. Additionally, we calculated the Spearman correlation coefficients between the risk-standardized rates of low-value procedures which were estimated by multilevel models adjusting for case mix across hospitals. Findings Low-value episodes detected by more specific versions of measures accounted for 3.25% (range, 0.11%-71.66%), and constituted 6.03% (range, 0.32%-84.63%) and 5.90% (range, 0.33%-82.86%) of overall expenditure and medical insurance payouts, respectively. The three figures accounted for 5.90%, 8.41%, and 8.38% in terms of more sensitive versions of measures. Almost half of the low-value procedures (five out of eleven) experienced an increase in rates during the period of 2016-2022, with four of them increasing over 20% per year. There was no significant correlation across risk-standardized rates of different low-value procedures within hospitals (mean r for pairwise, 0.03; CI, -0.02, 0.07). Interpretation Despite overall low-value practices detected by the 11 developed measures was modest, certain clinical specialties were plagued by widespread low-value practices which imposed heavy economic burdens for the healthcare system. Given the pervasive and significant upward trends in rates of low-value practices, it has become increasingly urgent to reduce such practices. Interventions in reducing low-value practices in China would be procedure-specific as practice patterns of low-value care varied by procedures and common drivers of low-value practices may not exist. Funding The National Science Foundation of China (72074163), Taikang Yicai Public Health and Epidemic Control Fund, Sichuan Science and Technology Program (2022YFS0052 and 2021YFQ0060), and Sichuan University (2018hhf-27 and SKSYL201811).
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Affiliation(s)
- Tianjiao Lan
- HEOA Group, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Institute for Healthy Cities and West China Research Center for Rural Health Development, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Lingwei Chen
- Ningbo Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ningbo, China
| | - Yifan Hu
- HEOA Group, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Jianjian Wang
- HEOA Group, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Institute for Healthy Cities and West China Research Center for Rural Health Development, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Kun Tan
- Health Information Center of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, China
| | - Jay Pan
- HEOA Group, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- School of Public Administration, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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Ibrahim R, Salih M, Gomez Tirambulo CV, Takamatsu C, Lee JZ, Fortuin D, Lee KS. Impact of Social Vulnerability and Demographics on Ischemic Heart Disease Mortality in the United States. JACC. ADVANCES 2023; 2:100577. [PMID: 38939497 PMCID: PMC11198229 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacadv.2023.100577] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2023] [Revised: 06/02/2023] [Accepted: 06/16/2023] [Indexed: 06/29/2024]
Abstract
Background Cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality, largely dominated by ischemic heart diseases (IHDs). Social determinants of health, including geographic, psychosocial, and socioeconomic factors, influence the development of IHD. Objectives This study aimed to evaluate yearly trends and disparities in IHD mortality and to assess the impact of social vulnerability. Methods We performed cross-sectional analyses using United States county-level mortality data and social vulnerability index (SVI) obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention databases. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population were compared between aggregated U.S. county groups, stratified by demographic information and SVI quartiles. Log-linear regression models were used to identify mortality trends from 1999 to 2020, with inflection points determined through the Monte-Carlo permutation test. Results We identified a total of 9,108,644 deaths related to IHD between 1999 and 2020. Overall AAMR decreased from 194.6 in 1999 to 91.8 in 2020. Males (AAMR: 161.51) and Black (AAMR: 141.49) populations exhibited higher AAMR compared to females (AAMR: 93.16) and White (AAMR: 123.34) populations, respectively. Disproportionate AAMRs were observed among nonmetropolitan (AAMR: 136.17) and Northeastern (AAMR: 132.96) regions. Counties with a higher SVI experienced a greater AAMR, with a cumulative excess of 20.91 deaths per 100,000 person-years associated with increased social vulnerability. Conclusions Despite a decline in IHD mortality from 1999 to 2020, disparities persisted among racial, gender, and geographic subgroups. A higher SVI was linked to increased IHD mortality. Policy interventions should prioritize integrating the SVI into health care delivery systems to effectively address these disparities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ramzi Ibrahim
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Arizona, Banner University Medical Center, Tucson, Arizona, USA
| | - Mohammed Salih
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Heart Hospital, Baylor University Medical Center, Plano, Texas, USA
| | | | - Chelsea Takamatsu
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Arizona, Banner University Medical Center, Tucson, Arizona, USA
| | - Justin Z. Lee
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - David Fortuin
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, Arizona, USA
| | - Kwan S. Lee
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, Arizona, USA
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Franco-Ramírez JD, Agudelo-Mejía K, Medina-Osorio JC, Moreno-Gómez G, Franco-Londoño J. Impact of the lockdown by the COVID-19 pandemic on suicidal trend in the Colombian Coffee Region. Heliyon 2023; 9:e17856. [PMID: 37539195 PMCID: PMC10395281 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e17856] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2022] [Revised: 06/11/2023] [Accepted: 06/29/2023] [Indexed: 08/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Suicide is considered a Public Health issue. In 2019 the Colombian suicide rate was 5.8 per-100.000 inhabitant. Likewise, the Colombian Coffee Region has doubled the national average on these rates. On the other hand, the Pandemic COVID 19 socio-economic consequences are aggravating the risk factors that we've known about suicide. Objective To evaluate the suicidal trend in the population of the Colombian Coffee Region during the COVID-19 pandemic and compare it with a non-pandemic period. Methods The data were taken from the National Institute of Legal Medicine and Forensic Science for the suicidal events during the 2016-2020 period in the Colombian Coffee Region, and the Montecarlo Regression was applied using the JoinPoint Regression Program. Results We found 1022 cases, most of them were men. The mean age was 34 years. The most used method was hanging in both sexes. Half of them had at least a high school degree. Half of the suicides were committed by single people. One-third of the cases had a previous mental illness. There are significant differences in the suicidal trend between the lockdown period and the non-lockdown period with a P value < 0.05. Conclusions We found most suicidal cases between older men and an inversely proportional relationship between education and suicidal rate. Is interesting that the most applied method for suicide for both sexes was hanging. The suicidal trend was increasing until 2020, although in the lockdown we found a decrease. In the post-lockdown period for men was a posterior increase and for women the trend has a continued decrease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan-Dario Franco-Ramírez
- Research Group, Psychiatry, Neurosciences and Community, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universidad Tecnologica de Pereira, Pereira, Colombia
| | - Karen Agudelo-Mejía
- Research Group, Psychiatry, Neurosciences and Community, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universidad Tecnologica de Pereira, Pereira, Colombia
| | - Juan-C. Medina-Osorio
- National Institute of Legal Medicine and Forensics Sciences, Occidental Region, Colombia
| | - Germán Moreno-Gómez
- Research Group, Psychiatry, Neurosciences and Community, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universidad Tecnologica de Pereira, Pereira, Colombia
| | - Jairo Franco-Londoño
- Research Group, Psychiatry, Neurosciences and Community, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universidad Tecnologica de Pereira, Pereira, Colombia
- National Institute of Legal Medicine and Forensics Sciences, Occidental Region, Colombia
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Universidad de Caldas, Manizales, Colombia
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Apicella M, Serra G, Trasolini M, Andracchio E, Chieppa F, Averna R, Iannoni ME, Infranzi A, Moro M, Guidetti C, Maglio G, Raucci U, Reale A, Vicari S. Urgent psychiatric consultations for suicide attempt and suicidal ideation before and after the COVID-19 pandemic in an Italian pediatric emergency setting. Front Psychiatry 2023; 14:1135218. [PMID: 37457771 PMCID: PMC10348632 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2023.1135218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2023] [Accepted: 05/29/2023] [Indexed: 07/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Suicidal attempts (SAs) in youth have been increasing during the last decades. Methods We studied consultations, SA, and suicidal ideation (SI) in a pediatric emergency department (ED). Results From 1 January 2011 to 31 May 2022, 606,159 patients accessed the ED, 8,397 of who had a child psychiatry consultation (CPC). CPCs increased significantly by 11 times in the last decade (155 in 2011 vs. 1,824 in 2021, p < 0.001); CPCs for SA increased significantly by 33 times, from 6 in 2011 to 200 in 2021 (3.9% of total CPC vs. 11%, p < 0.001). While total CPCs increased constantly during the entire period (annual percent change (APC) of 21.7 from 2011 to 2021 in a 0 joinpoint model), CPCs for SA increased significantly from 2011 to 2016, were approximately stable from 2016 to 2020, and then had a peak in 2021 after the COVID-19 pandemic (APC from 2011 to 2016 of 64.1, APC of 1.2 from 2016 to 2020, and APC of 230 after 2020 in a 2-joinpoint model). Discussion Total CPCs in ED as well as evaluation for SA and SI increased significantly during the last decade. CPCs for SA had an additional increase after the COVID-19 pandemic. This picture warrants timely and efficient improvements in emergency settings and mental health resources.
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Affiliation(s)
- Massimo Apicella
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Giulia Serra
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Monia Trasolini
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Elisa Andracchio
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Fabrizia Chieppa
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Roberto Averna
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Maria Elena Iannoni
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Antonio Infranzi
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Marianna Moro
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Clotilde Guidetti
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Gino Maglio
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Umberto Raucci
- Department of Emergency, Acceptance and General Pediatrics, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Antonino Reale
- Department of Emergency, Acceptance and General Pediatrics, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
| | - Stefano Vicari
- Child Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Rome, Italy
- Department of Life Sciences and Public Health, Catholic University, Rome, Italy
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Yeo YH, He X, Lv F, Zhao Y, Liu Y, Yang JD, Zu J, Ji F, Nguyen MH. Trends of Cirrhosis-related Mortality in the USA during the COVID-19 Pandemic. J Clin Transl Hepatol 2023; 11:751-756. [PMID: 36969898 PMCID: PMC10037514 DOI: 10.14218/jcth.2022.00313] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2022] [Revised: 08/01/2022] [Accepted: 08/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Immunocompromised status and interrupted routine care may render patients with cirrhosis vulnerable to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. A nationwide dataset that includes more than 99% of the decedents in the U.S. between April 2012 and September 2021 was used. Projected age-standardized mortality during the pandemic were estimated according to prepandemic mortality rates, stratified by season. Excess deaths were determined by estimating the difference between observed and projected mortality rates. A temporal trend analysis of observed mortality rates was also performed in 0.83 million decedents with cirrhosis between April 2012 and September 2021 was included. Following an increasing trend of cirrhosis-related mortality before the pandemic, with a semiannual percentage change (SAPC) of 0.54% [95% confidence interval (CI): (0.0-1.0%), p=0.036], a precipitous increase with seasonal variation occurred during the pandemic (SAPC 5.35, 95% CI: 1.9-8.9, p=0.005). Significantly increased mortality rates were observed in those with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), with a SAPC of 8.44 (95% CI: 4.3-12.8, p=0.001) during the pandemic. All-cause mortality of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease rose steadily across the entire study period with a SAPC of 6.79 (95% CI: 6.3-7.3, p<0.001). The decreasing trend of HCV-related mortality was reversed during the pandemic, while there was no significant change in HBV-related deaths. While there was significant increase in COVID-19-related deaths, more than 55% of the excess deaths were the indirect impact of the pandemic. We observed an alarming increase in cirrhosis-related deaths during the pandemic especially for ALD, with evidence in both direct and indirect impact. Our findings have implications on formulating policies for patients with cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yee Hui Yeo
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Xinyuan He
- Department of Infectious Diseases, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
| | - Fan Lv
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
| | - Yunyu Zhao
- Department of Infectious Diseases, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
| | - Yi Liu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
| | - Ju Dong Yang
- Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Jian Zu
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
| | - Fanpu Ji
- Department of Infectious Diseases, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
- National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Biodiagnosis and Biotherapy, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
- Correspondence to: Mindie H. Nguyen, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, 750 Welch Road, Suite 210, Palo Alto, CA 94304, USA. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6275-4989. Tel: +1-650-498-5691, Fax: +1-650-498-5692, E-mail: ; Fanpu Ji, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, No. 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710004, China. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1463-8035. Tel/Fax: +86-29-87678223, E-mail: or
| | - Mindie H. Nguyen
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, California, USA
- Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, California, USA
- Correspondence to: Mindie H. Nguyen, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, 750 Welch Road, Suite 210, Palo Alto, CA 94304, USA. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6275-4989. Tel: +1-650-498-5691, Fax: +1-650-498-5692, E-mail: ; Fanpu Ji, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, No. 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710004, China. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1463-8035. Tel/Fax: +86-29-87678223, E-mail: or
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50
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Karaye IM, Maleki N, Yunusa I. Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Alcohol-Attributed Deaths in the United States, 1999-2020. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:5587. [PMID: 37107870 PMCID: PMC10138663 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20085587] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2023] [Revised: 04/10/2023] [Accepted: 04/14/2023] [Indexed: 05/07/2023]
Abstract
The disparities in alcohol-attributed death rates among different racial and ethnic groups in the United States (US) have received limited research attention. Our study aimed to examine the burden and trends in alcohol-attributed mortality rates in the US by race and ethnicity from 1999 to 2020. We used national mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database and employed the ICD-10 coding system to identify alcohol-related deaths. Disparity rate ratios were calculated using the Taylor series, and Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends and calculate annual and average annual percentage changes (APCs and AAPCs, respectively) in mortality rates. Between 1999 and 2020, 605,948 individuals died from alcohol-related causes in the US. The highest age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) was observed among American Indian/Alaska Natives, who were 3.6 times more likely to die from alcohol-related causes than Non-Hispanic Whites (95% CI: 3.57, 3.67). An examination of trends revealed that recent rates have leveled among American Indians/Alaska Natives (APC = 17.9; 95% CI: -0.3, 39.3) while increasing among Non-Hispanic Whites (APC = 14.3; 95% CI: 9.1, 19.9), Non-Hispanic Blacks (APC = 17.0; 95% CI: 7.3, 27.5), Asians/Pacific Islanders (APC = 9.5; 95% CI: 3.6, 15.6), and Hispanics (APC = 12.6; 95% CI: 1.3, 25.1). However, when the data were disaggregated by age, sex, census region, and cause, varying trends were observed. This study underscores the disparities in alcohol-related deaths among different racial and ethnic groups in the US, with American Indian/Alaska Natives experiencing the highest burden. Although the rates have plateaued among this group, they have been increasing among all other subgroups. To address these disparities and promote equitable alcohol-related health outcomes for all populations, further research is necessary to gain a better understanding of the underlying factors and develop culturally sensitive interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ibraheem M. Karaye
- Department of Population Health, Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY 11549, USA
| | - Nasim Maleki
- Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114, USA
| | - Ismaeel Yunusa
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Outcomes Sciences, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC 29208, USA
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