Published online Dec 27, 2023. doi: 10.4254/wjh.v15.i12.1294
Peer-review started: September 6, 2023
First decision: October 25, 2023
Revised: November 7, 2023
Accepted: November 24, 2023
Article in press: November 24, 2023
Published online: December 27, 2023
Processing time: 109 Days and 18.3 Hours
Liver cirrhosis (LC) is the end stage of chronic liver disease and is associated with significant morbidity, mortality and healthcare utilization. China accounts for a large proportion of the regional burden of LC. Thanks to widespread hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination and the potent antiviral treatment for HBV and hepatitis C virus, the LC mortality has greatly decreased.
In the context of changing burden of LC, the recent transition in etiologies and clinical features of LC is unclear in China.
Our main objective was to identify the transition in etiologies and clinical characteristics of hospitalized LC patients in Southern China. Furthermore, in-hospital prognosis and associated risk factors were also investigated.
We included LC inpatients admitted from 2001 to 2020 in this retrospective, cross-sectional study. The etiologies of LC were mainly determined according to the discharge diagnosis, and upper gastrointestinal bleeding, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), portal vein thrombosis, hepatorenal syndrome, and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) were considered LC-related complications. Changing trends in the etiologies and clinical characteristics were investigated using logistic regression, and temporal trends in proportions of separated years were investigated using the Cochran-Armitage test.
The study included a total of 33143 patients and the mean age increased from 51.0 years in 2001-2010 to 52.0 years in 2011-2020 (P < 0.001). In the meantime, proportion of decompensated LC and the score of model for end-stage liver disease decreased. During the study period, HBV remained the major etiology of LC (75.0%), but the proportion of HBV-LC decreased from 82.4% in 2001-2005 to 74.2% in 2016-2020 (P for trend < 0.001). Meanwhile, the proportions of LC caused by alcoholic liver disease and autoimmune hepatitis both increased slightly (both P for trend < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was low, and HCC and ACLF were associated with 6-fold and 4-fold increased risks of mortality.
Our study showed a decreased ratio of HBV LC, and an increased ratio of alcoholic and autoimmune hepatitis LC in real-world inpatients over the past two decades. HCC and ACLF were identified as the strongest risk factors for in-hospital mortality.
Our large sample cross-sectional study showed the transition in etiologies and characteristics of newly diagnosed LC in our medical center over the past twenty years and the findings may reflect the changing trend of LC in entire Southern China. Future multicenter studies are needed to reveal the changing incidence of LC in China, and more attention should be given to the rising burden of HCC and ACLF in LC patients.