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Dunn W, Li Y, Singal AK, Simonetto DA, Díaz LA, Idalsoaga F, Ayares G, Arnold J, Ayala-Valverde M, Perez D, Gomez J, Escarate R, Fuentes-López E, Ramirez-Cadiz C, Morales-Arraez D, Zhang W, Qian S, Ahn JC, Buryska S, Mehta H, Dunn N, Waleed M, Stefanescu H, Bumbu A, Horhat A, Attar B, Agrawal R, Cabezas J, Echavaría V, Cuyàs B, Poca M, Soriano G, Sarin SK, Maiwall R, Jalal PK, Higuera-de-la-Tijera F, Kulkarni AV, Rao PN, Guerra-Salazar P, Skladaný L, Kubánek N, Prado V, Clemente-Sanchez A, Rincon D, Haider T, Chacko KR, Romero GA, Pollarsky FD, Restrepo JC, Toro LG, Yaquich P, Mendizabal M, Garrido ML, Marciano S, Dirchwolf M, Vargas V, Jiménez C, Hudson D, García-Tsao G, Ortiz G, Abraldes JG, Kamath PS, Arrese M, Shah VH, Bataller R, Arab JP. An artificial intelligence-generated model predicts 90-day survival in alcohol-associated hepatitis: A global cohort study. Hepatology 2024; 80:1196-1211. [PMID: 38607809 PMCID: PMC11798100 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000000883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2023] [Accepted: 03/14/2024] [Indexed: 04/14/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) poses significant short-term mortality. Existing prognostic models lack precision for 90-day mortality. Utilizing artificial intelligence in a global cohort, we sought to derive and validate an enhanced prognostic model. APPROACH AND RESULTS The Global AlcHep initiative, a retrospective study across 23 centers in 12 countries, enrolled patients with AH per National Institute for Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism criteria. Centers were partitioned into derivation (11 centers, 860 patients) and validation cohorts (12 centers, 859 patients). Focusing on 30 and 90-day postadmission mortality, 3 artificial intelligence algorithms (Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machines, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting) informed an ensemble model, subsequently refined through Bayesian updating, integrating the derivation cohort's average 90-day mortality with each center's approximate mortality rate to produce posttest probabilities. The ALCoholic Hepatitis Artificial INtelligence Ensemble score integrated age, gender, cirrhosis, and 9 laboratory values, with center-specific mortality rates. Mortality was 18.7% (30 d) and 27.9% (90 d) in the derivation cohort versus 21.7% and 32.5% in the validation cohort. Validation cohort 30 and 90-day AUCs were 0.811 (0.779-0.844) and 0.799 (0.769-0.830), significantly surpassing legacy models like Maddrey's Discriminant Function, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease variations, age-serum bilirubin-international normalized ratio-serum Creatinine score, Glasgow, and modified Glasgow Scores ( p < 0.001). ALCoholic Hepatitis Artificial INtelligence Ensemble score also showcased superior calibration against MELD and its variants. Steroid use improved 30-day survival for those with an ALCoholic Hepatitis Artificial INtelligence Ensemble score > 0.20 in both derivation and validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS Harnessing artificial intelligence within a global consortium, we pioneered a scoring system excelling over traditional models for 30 and 90-day AH mortality predictions. Beneficial for clinical trials, steroid therapy, and transplant indications, it's accessible at: https://aihepatology.shinyapps.io/ALCHAIN/ .
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yanming Li
- University of Kansas Medical Center, KS, USA
| | - Ashwani K. Singal
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, USA
| | | | - Luis A. Díaz
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Francisco Idalsoaga
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Gustavo Ayares
- Servicio Medicina Interna, Hospital El Pino, Santiago, Chile
| | - Jorge Arnold
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Diego Perez
- Servicio Medicina Interna, Hospital El Pino, Santiago, Chile
| | - Jaime Gomez
- Servicio Medicina Interna, Hospital El Pino, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Eduardo Fuentes-López
- Department of Health Sciences, Facultad de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Carolina Ramirez-Cadiz
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University & London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Dalia Morales-Arraez
- Center for Liver Diseases, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, PA, USA
| | - Wei Zhang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
- Center for Liver Disease and Liver Transplantation, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Steve Qian
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
| | - Joseph C. Ahn
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Seth Buryska
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Heer Mehta
- University of Kansas Medical Center, KS, USA
| | | | - Muhammad Waleed
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, USA
| | - Horia Stefanescu
- Regional Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Andreea Bumbu
- Regional Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Adelina Horhat
- University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Iuliu Hatieganu” Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Bashar Attar
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Cook County Health, and Hospital Systems, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Rohit Agrawal
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of West Virginia, West Virginia, USA
| | - Joaquín Cabezas
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Department. University Hospital Marqués de Valdecilla. Santander. Spain; Clinical and Translational Research in Digestive Diseases, Research Institute Valdecilla (IDIVAL). Santander, Spain
| | - Victor Echavaría
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Department. University Hospital Marqués de Valdecilla. Santander. Spain; Clinical and Translational Research in Digestive Diseases, Research Institute Valdecilla (IDIVAL). Santander, Spain
| | - Berta Cuyàs
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Institut de Recerca Hospital de Sant Pau-IIB Sant Pau, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, CIBERehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Maria Poca
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Institut de Recerca Hospital de Sant Pau-IIB Sant Pau, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, CIBERehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | - German Soriano
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Institut de Recerca Hospital de Sant Pau-IIB Sant Pau, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, CIBERehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Shiv K. Sarin
- Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Rakhi Maiwall
- Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Prasun K. Jalal
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Fátima Higuera-de-la-Tijera
- Servicio de Gastroenterología y Hepatología, Hospital General de México “Dr. Eduardo Liceaga”; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México
| | - Anand V. Kulkarni
- Department of Hepatology, Asian Institute of Gastroenterology, Hyderabad, India
| | - P Nagaraja Rao
- Department of Hepatology, Asian Institute of Gastroenterology, Hyderabad, India
| | | | - Lubomir Skladaný
- Division of Hepatology, Gastroenterology and Liver Transplantation, Department of Internal Medicine II, Slovak Medical University, F. D. Roosevelt University Hospital, Banska Bystrica, Slovak Republic
| | - Natália Kubánek
- Division of Hepatology, Gastroenterology and Liver Transplantation, Department of Internal Medicine II, Slovak Medical University, F. D. Roosevelt University Hospital, Banska Bystrica, Slovak Republic
| | | | - Ana Clemente-Sanchez
- Center for Liver Diseases, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, PA, USA
- Liver Unit, Department of Digestive Diseases Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain
- CIBERehd Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas, Madrid, Spain
| | - Diego Rincon
- Liver Unit, Department of Digestive Diseases Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain
| | - Tehseen Haider
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Kristina R Chacko
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Gustavo A. Romero
- Sección Hepatología, Hospital de Gastroenterología Dr. Carlos Bonorino Udaondo, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Florencia D. Pollarsky
- Sección Hepatología, Hospital de Gastroenterología Dr. Carlos Bonorino Udaondo, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Juan C. Restrepo
- Unidad de Hepatología del Hospital Pablo Tobon Uribe, Grupo de Gastrohepatología de la Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia
| | - Luis G. Toro
- Hepatology and Liver Transplant Unit, Hospitales de San Vicente Fundación de Medellín y Rionegro, Colombia
| | - Pamela Yaquich
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Hospital San Juan de Dios, Santiago, Chile
| | - Manuel Mendizabal
- Hepatology and Liver Transplant Unit, Hospital Universitario Austral, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | | | | | - Melisa Dirchwolf
- Unidad de Hígado, Hospital Privado de Rosario, Rosario, Argentina
| | - Victor Vargas
- Liver Unit, Hospital Vall d’Hebron, Vall d’Hebron Research Institute (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, CIBERehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | - César Jiménez
- Liver Unit, Hospital Vall d’Hebron, Vall d’Hebron Research Institute (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, CIBERehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | - David Hudson
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University & London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Guadalupe García-Tsao
- Section of Digestive Diseases, Yale University School of Medicine/VA-CT Healthcare System, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Guillermo Ortiz
- Section of Digestive Diseases, Yale University School of Medicine/VA-CT Healthcare System, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Juan G. Abraldes
- Division of Gastroenterology, Liver Unit, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
| | - Patrick S. Kamath
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Marco Arrese
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Vijay H. Shah
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Ramon Bataller
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Juan P. Arab
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University & London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada
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Karvellas CJ, Bajaj JS, Kamath PS, Napolitano L, O'Leary JG, Solà E, Subramanian R, Wong F, Asrani SK. AASLD Practice Guidance on Acute-on-chronic liver failure and the management of critically ill patients with cirrhosis. Hepatology 2024; 79:1463-1502. [PMID: 37939273 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000000671] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 31.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2023] [Accepted: 11/01/2023] [Indexed: 11/10/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Constantine J Karvellas
- Division of Gastroenterology (Liver Unit), Department of Critical Care Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
| | - Jasmohan S Bajaj
- Virginia Commonwealth University, Central Virginia Veterans Healthcare System, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Patrick S Kamath
- Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | | | - Jacqueline G O'Leary
- Department of Medicine, Dallas Veterans Medical Center, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Elsa Solà
- Institute for Immunity, Transplantation and Infection, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA
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Haselwanter P, Scheiner B, Balcar L, Semmler G, Riedl-Wewalka M, Schmid M, Reiberger T, Zauner C, Schneeweiss-Gleixner M. Use of the CytoSorb adsorber in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. Sci Rep 2024; 14:11309. [PMID: 38760460 PMCID: PMC11101465 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-61658-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/19/2024] Open
Abstract
CytoSorb is a hemoadsorptive column used to remove high concentrations of proinflammatory cytokines in septic shock. Data on CytoSorb application in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is lacking. This retrospective observational study analyzed 21 ACLF patients admitted to ICUs at the Vienna General Hospital who received CytoSorb adsorber therapy between 2017 and 2023. Median ICU length of stay was 8 days (IQR: 3-13), the ICU survival rate was 23.8% (n = 5). Significant decreases in bilirubin (median peak: 20.7 mg/dL to median post-treatment: 10.8 mg/dL; - 47.8%; p < 0.001), procalcitonin (1.34 to 0.74 pg/mL; - 44.6%; p < 0.001), interleukin-6 (385 to 131 ng/mL; - 66.0%; p = 0.0182)-but also of platelets (72 to 31 G/L; - 56.9%; p = 0.0014) and fibrinogen (230 to 154 mg/dL; - 33.0%; p = 0.0297) were detected. ICU survivors had a trend towards a stronger relative decrease in bilirubin (- 76.1% vs. - 48.2%), procalcitonin (- 90.6% vs. - 23.5%), and IL-6 (- 54.6% vs. - 17.8%) upon CytoSorb treatment. Moreover, no serious CytoSorb-attributed complications were detected. In conclusion, use of CytoSorb adsorber in ACLF patients results in a significant decrease in bilirubin and proinflammatory cytokines, while platelets and fibrinogen were also lowered. Prospective trials are warranted to investigate the impact of CytoSorb on clinical outcomes of ACLF patients with high proinflammatory cytokine levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Patrick Haselwanter
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Bernhard Scheiner
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Lorenz Balcar
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Georg Semmler
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Marlene Riedl-Wewalka
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Monika Schmid
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Thomas Reiberger
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Christian Zauner
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria
| | - Mathias Schneeweiss-Gleixner
- Intensive Care Unit 13H1, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, 1090, Vienna, Austria.
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Sharan K, Sharma A, Rana S, Patnaik I, Gupta R. Neutrophil Gelatinase-associated Lipocalin Predicts Short-term Outcomes in Decompensated Cirrhosis With Acute Kidney Injury. J Clin Exp Hepatol 2024; 14:101274. [PMID: 38076377 PMCID: PMC10709204 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2023.08.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2022] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Background and aims Acute kidney injury (AKI) increases mortality in cirrhosis. Early identification of the cause of AKI helps in planning appropriate management. We aimed to find whether neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) can be used to differentiate between different types of AKI in cirrhosis and predict short-term outcomes in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and AKI. Method This was a time-bound study in which consecutive hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and AKI were prospectively recruited and managed as per standard care. Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) was diagnosed as per the EASL-CLIF Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Cirrhosis (CANONIC) criteria. Urine NGAL was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) by Epitope Diagnostics Inc. kit (San Diego, USA.) in all patients on admission, and patients were followed up until hospital discharge or death. Results A total of 110 consecutive patients (median [range] age: 44 [28-81] years;87.3%were male; ACLF: 71.8%; acute decompensation 28.2%; Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) 27 [13-46]; Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) 11 [7-15]) with cirrhosis and AKI were recruited. Alcohol was the most common etiology of cirrhosis(64.5%)). Pre-renal azotemia (PRA) was the most common cause of AKI (n = 56). Urine NGAL was significantly elevated in acute tubular necrosis (ATN) (1747 [6-6141] ng/ml than in hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (379 [33.5-2320] ng/ml; P < 0.0001) and PRA (167 ng/ml [3.34-660]; P < 0.0001). Sixty-four percent patients with ATN, 27.6% patients with HRS, and none with PRA required dialysis. A total of 79.31% patients with HRS and 76% with ATN died. Urine NGAL was significantly higher in patients who required hemodialysis than in those who did not (1733 [243-6141] ng/ml vs 235 [3.34-2320] ng/ml; P < 0.0001). Both urine NGAL (n = 110) and plasma NGAL (n = 90) were significantly higher in patients who died (urine NGAL: -475 [6-6141] ng/ml vs 247 [3.34-2320] ng/ml; P = 0.002;plasma NGAL-950 [94-4859] ng/ml vs 608 [18-3300)]g/ml; P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, urine NGAL and INR could predict mortality. Conclusion NGAL can differentiate between different types of AKI in cirrhosis and predict the need for hemodialysis and mortality in decompensated cirrhosis with AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kshitiz Sharan
- Department of Medical Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India
| | - Anand Sharma
- Department of Medical Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India
| | - Satyavati Rana
- Department of Biochemistry, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India
| | - Itish Patnaik
- Department of Medical Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India
| | - Rohit Gupta
- Department of Medical Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India
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Bedewy A, El-Kassas M. Anesthesia in patients with chronic liver disease: An updated review. Clin Res Hepatol Gastroenterol 2023; 47:102205. [PMID: 37678609 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinre.2023.102205] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2023] [Revised: 08/18/2023] [Accepted: 09/04/2023] [Indexed: 09/09/2023]
Abstract
Anesthesia in chronic liver disease patients can be challenging because of the medications given or interventions performed and their effects on liver physiology. Also, the effects of liver disease on coagulation and metabolism should be considered carefully. This review focuses on anesthesia in patients with different chronic liver disease stages. A literature search was performed for Scopus and PubMed databases for articles discussing different types of anesthesia in patients with chronic liver disease, their safety, usage, and risks. The choice of anesthesia is of crucial importance. Regional anesthesia, especially neuroaxial anesthesia, may benefit some patients with liver disease, but coagulopathy should be considered. Regional anesthesia provides optimum intraoperative relaxation and analgesia that extends to the postoperative period while avoiding the side effects of intravenous anesthetics and opioids. Pharmacodynamics and pharmacokinetics of anesthetic medications must guard against complications related to overdose or decreased metabolism. The choice of anesthesia in chronic liver disease patients is crucial and could be tailored according to the degree of liver compensation and the magnitude of the surgical procedure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmed Bedewy
- Anesthesia and Surgical Intensive Care Department, Faculty of Medicine, Helwan University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Mohamed El-Kassas
- Endemic Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Helwan University, Postal Code: 11795, Cairo, Egypt.
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Janka T, Tornai D, Papp M, Vitális Z. The Value of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Identify Bacterial Infection and Predict Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Acutely Decompensated Cirrhosis. Diagnostics (Basel) 2023; 13:2954. [PMID: 37761321 PMCID: PMC10529351 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics13182954] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2023] [Revised: 08/29/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 09/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Liver cirrhosis patients are highly susceptible to infections, affecting survival, but current parameters for detecting infection are not reliable enough in this population. We investigated the ability of white blood cell (WBC), ∆WBC, neutrophil and ∆neutrophil counts, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR) and ∆NLR ratios and C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) levels to identify infection and predict short-term mortality in liver cirrhosis patients. We recruited 233 patients with liver cirrhosis hospitalized with acute decompensation (AD) who had an outpatient visit within 1 month (baseline laboratory data) and followed them for 90 days. Difference between laboratory values at baseline and the AD episode was defined as delta (∆) values of the parameters. Delta values did not increase the diagnostic and predictive ability of investigated parameters. The CRP level was found to be the best diagnostic marker for infection in patients with cirrhosis. However, NLR seems to be superior for short-term mortality prediction, better than the WBC count. Distinguishing inflammations of different origin is a remaining clinical challenge in acutely decompensated cirrhosis. Based on our results, NLR might be more suitable for predicting short-term mortality in patients with AD than the WBC count currently included in the CLIF-C AD score.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tamás Janka
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary; (T.J.)
- Kálmán Laki Doctoral School of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Dávid Tornai
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary; (T.J.)
| | - Mária Papp
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary; (T.J.)
| | - Zsuzsanna Vitális
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary; (T.J.)
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Terres AZ, Balbinot RS, Muscope ALF, Longen ML, Schena B, Cini BT, Rost Jr GL, Balensiefer JIL, Eberhardt LZ, Balbinot RA, Balbinot SS, Soldera J. Acute-on-chronic liver failure is independently associated with higher mortality for cirrhotic patients with acute esophageal variceal hemorrhage: Retrospective cohort study. World J Clin Cases 2023; 11:4003-4018. [PMID: 37388802 PMCID: PMC10303600 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v11.i17.4003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2023] [Revised: 04/15/2023] [Accepted: 05/12/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute esophageal variceal hemorrhage (AEVH) is a common complication of cirrhosis and might precipitate multi-organ failure, causing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). AIM To analyze if the presence and grading of ACLF as defined by European Society for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) is able to predict mortality in cirrhotic patients presenting AEVH. METHODS Retrospective cohort study executed in Hospital Geral de Caxias do Sul. Data from medical records from 2010 to 2016 were obtained by searching the hospital electronic database for patients who received terlipressin. Medical records were reviewed in order to determine the diagnosis of cirrhosis and AEVH, including 97 patients. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used for univariate analysis and a stepwise approach to the Cox regression for multivariate analysis. RESULTS All- cause mortality for AEVH patients was 36%, 40.2% and 49.4% for 30-, 90- and 365-day, respectively. The prevalence of ACLF was 41.3%. Of these, 35% grade 1, 50% grade 2 and 15% grade 3. In multivariate analysis, the non-use of non-selective beta-blockers, presence and higher grading of ACLF and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores were independently associated with higher mortality for 30-day with the addition of higher Child-Pugh scores for 90-day period. CONCLUSION Presence and grading of ACLF according to the EASL-CLIF criteria was independently associated with higher 30- and 90-day mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted due to AEVH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alana Zulian Terres
- Clinical Gastroenterology, Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Caxias do Sul 95020-002, Brazil
| | | | | | - Morgana Luisa Longen
- School of Medicine, Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Caxias do Sul 95020-002, Brazil
| | - Bruna Schena
- School of Medicine, Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Caxias do Sul 95020-002, Brazil
| | - Bruna Teston Cini
- School of Medicine, Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Caxias do Sul 95020-002, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Raul Angelo Balbinot
- Clinical Gastroenterology, Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Caxias do Sul 95020-002, Brazil
| | | | - Jonathan Soldera
- Department of Gastroenterology, University of South Wales, Cardiff CF37 1DL, United Kingdom
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Gary PJ, Lal A, Simonetto DA, Gajic O, Gallo de Moraes A. Acute on chronic liver failure: prognostic models and artificial intelligence applications. Hepatol Commun 2023; 7:02009842-202304010-00015. [PMID: 36972378 PMCID: PMC10043584 DOI: 10.1097/hc9.0000000000000095] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2022] [Accepted: 01/04/2023] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Critically ill patients presenting with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) represent a particularly vulnerable population due to various considerations surrounding the syndrome definition, lack of robust prospective evaluation of outcomes, and allocation of resources such as organs for transplantation. Ninety-day mortality related to ACLF is high and patients who do leave the hospital are frequently readmitted. Artificial intelligence (AI), which encompasses various classical and modern machine learning techniques, natural language processing, and other methods of predictive, prognostic, probabilistic, and simulation modeling, has emerged as an effective tool in various areas of healthcare. These methods are now being leveraged to potentially minimize physician and provider cognitive load and impact both short-term and long-term patient outcomes. However, the enthusiasm is tempered by ethical considerations and a current lack of proven benefits. In addition to prognostic applications, AI models can likely help improve the understanding of various mechanisms of morbidity and mortality in ACLF. Their overall impact on patient-centered outcomes and countless other aspects of patient care remains unclear. In this review, we discuss various AI approaches being utilized in healthcare and discuss the recent and expected future impact of AI on patients with ACLF through prognostic modeling and AI-based approaches.
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Affiliation(s)
- Phillip J Gary
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Amos Lal
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Douglas A Simonetto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Ognjen Gajic
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Alice Gallo de Moraes
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Multidisciplinary Epidemiology and Translational Research in Intensive Care Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Rashed E, Soldera J. CLIF-SOFA and CLIF-C scores for the prognostication of acute-on-chronic liver failure and acute decompensation of cirrhosis: A systematic review. World J Hepatol 2022; 14:2025-2043. [PMID: 36618331 PMCID: PMC9813844 DOI: 10.4254/wjh.v14.i12.2025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2022] [Revised: 10/18/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by decompensation in individuals with chronic liver disease, generally secondary to one or more extra-hepatic organ failures, implying an elevated mortality rate. Acute decompensation (AD) is the term used for one or more significant consequences of liver disease in a short time and is the most common reason for hospital admission in cirrhotic patients. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic-Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) Group modified the intensive care Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score into CLIF-SOFA, which detects the presence of ACLF in patients with or without AD, classifying it into three grades. AIM To investigate the role of the EASL-CLIF definition for ACLF and the ability of CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD scores for prognosticating ACLF or AD. METHODS This study is a literature review using a standardized search method, conducted using the steps following the guidelines for reporting systematic reviews set out by the PRISMA statement. For specific keywords, relevant articles were found by searching PubMed, ScienceDirect, and BioMed Central-BMC. The databases were searched using the search terms by one reviewer, and a list of potentially eligible studies was generated based on the titles and abstracts screened. The data were then extracted and assessed on the basis of the Reference Citation Analysis (https://www.referencecitationanalysis.com/). RESULTS Most of the included studies used the EASL-CLIF definition for ACLF to identify cirrhotic patients with a significant risk of short-term mortality. The primary outcome in all reviewed studies was mortality. Most of the study findings were based on an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, which revealed that CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD scores were preferable to other models predicting 28-d mortality. Their AUROC scores were higher and able to predict all-cause mortality at 90, 180, and 365 d. A total of 50 articles were included in this study, which found that the CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF and CLIF-C AD scores in more than half of the articles were able to predict short-term and long-term mortality in patients with either ACLF or AD. CONCLUSION CLIF-SOFA score surpasses other models in predicting mortality in ACLF patients, especially in the short-term. CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD are accurate short-term and long-term mortality prognosticating scores.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ebrahim Rashed
- Acute Medicine, University of South Wales, Cardiff CF37 1DL, United Kingdom
| | - Jonathan Soldera
- Acute Medicine, University of South Wales, Cardiff CF37 1DL, United Kingdom.
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Choi JW, Kwak JY, Lee SS, Kim HG, Son HJ, Jeon H, Kim HJ, Cha RR, Lee JM, Kim HJ. Clinical Features of Hepatitis C Virus-related Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure in a Korean Population. THE KOREAN JOURNAL OF GASTROENTEROLOGY 2022; 80:169-176. [DOI: 10.4166/kjg.2022.050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2022] [Revised: 05/30/2022] [Accepted: 06/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Jung Woo Choi
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Ji Yoon Kwak
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Changwon, Korea
| | - Sang Soo Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Changwon, Korea
- Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju, Korea
| | - Hyun-gyu Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Ho Jin Son
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Hankyu Jeon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Hee Jin Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Changwon, Korea
| | - Ra Ri Cha
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Changwon, Korea
- Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju, Korea
| | - Jae Min Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Changwon, Korea
- Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju, Korea
| | - Hyun Jin Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Changwon, Korea
- Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju, Korea
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Kim JH, Jun BG, Lee M, Lee HA, Kim TS, Heo JW, Moon DH, Kang SH, Suk KT, Kim MY, Kim YD, Cheon GJ, Baik SK, Kim DJ, Choi DH. Reappraisal of Sepsis-3 and CLIF-SOFA or Mortality in Patients With Cirrhosis and Infection Presenting to the Emergency Department: A Multicenter Study. Clin Mol Hepatol 2022; 28:540-552. [PMID: 35526859 PMCID: PMC9293608 DOI: 10.3350/cmh.2021.0169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2021] [Accepted: 05/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background/Aims Sepsis-3 criteria and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) have been advocated to be used in defining sepsis in the general population. We aimed to compare the Sepsis-3 criteria and Chronic Liver Failure-SOFA (CLIF-SOFA) scores as predictors of in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted to the emergency department (ED) for infections. Methods A total of 1,622 cirrhosis patients admitted at the ED for infections were assessed retrospectively. We analyzed their demographic, laboratory, and microbiological data upon diagnosis of the infection. The primary endpoint was inhospital mortality rate. The predictive performances of baseline CLIF-SOFA, Sepsis-3, and qSOFA scores for in-hospital mortality were evaluated. Results The CLIF-SOFA score proved to be significantly better in predicting in-hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC], 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78–0.82) than the Sepsis-3 (AUROC, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.72–0.77, P<0.001) and qSOFA (AUROC, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.64–0.70; P<0.001) score. The CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C-AD scores, Sepsis-3 criteria, septic shock, and qSOFA positivity were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.19–1.28; aHR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.09–1.17; aHR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.15–1.24; aHR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.42–2.48; aHR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.55–2.72; respectively; all P<0.001). For CLIF-SOFA scores ≥6, in-hospital mortality was >10%; this is the cutoff point for the definition of sepsis. Conclusions Among cirrhosis patients presenting with infections at the ED, CLIF-SOFA scores showed a better predictive performance for mortality than both Sepsis-3 criteria and qSOFA scores, and can be a useful tool of risk stratification in cirrhotic patients requiring timely intervention for infection.
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Wang L, Xu W, Li X, Chen D, Zhang Y, Chen Y, Wang J, Luo Q, Xie C, Peng L. Long-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus–related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective study. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22:162. [PMID: 35366805 PMCID: PMC8976971 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02239-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2021] [Accepted: 03/25/2022] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
The long-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus–related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is not well characterised. We assessed long-term outcomes and the associated risk factors of HBV-ACLF patients in southern China.
Methods
We retrospectively analysed clinical data, adverse events, and clinical endpoint events of HBV-ACLF patients treated at our department between January 2014 and December 2018.
Results
A total of 616 (52.3%) patients with cirrhosis and 561 (47.7%) patients without cirrhosis were included. In 973 (83%) patients, the disease was associated only with HBV, while 204 (17%) patients had two or more aetiological factors. The proportion of patients receiving antiviral treatment for HBV was low (20.3%). Further analyses indicated that patients without cirrhosis had a significantly lower 90-day liver transplantation–free mortality and higher 5‐year survival rate than those with cirrhosis (59.5% vs. 27.6%; 62% vs. 36%; P < 0.05). Remarkably, self-withdrawal of nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) was an independent risk factor for short-term prognosis. Age, cirrhosis at admission, and platelet level were closely related to long-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients.
Conclusion
The proportion of HBV-ACLF patients receiving antiviral treatment is very low in south China. Cirrhosis at admission has a significant effect on both short-term and long-term prognosis. No significant improvement in the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients was observed compared with previous studies. More comprehensive access to antiviral treatment and long-term surveillance of HBV patients are key imperatives to reduce the incidence of HBV-ACLF and improve the prognosis.
Trial Registration The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (CT.gov identifier: NCT04231565) on May 13, 2020: https://register.clinicaltrials.gov/prs/app/action/SelectProtocol?sid=S0009OZY&selectaction=Edit&uid=U00036P1&ts=2&cx=27seqt
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Mallik M, Singhai A, Khadanga S, Ingle V. The Significant Morbidity and Mortality Indicators in Patients of Cirrhosis. Cureus 2022; 14:e21226. [PMID: 35174029 PMCID: PMC8841014 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.21226] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/14/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Cirrhosis progression varies greatly from patient to patient due to a variety of factors, including hepatic reserve, cirrhosis etiology, and the presence of hepatocellular cancer. As a result, determining a prognosis in a patient with cirrhosis remains a difficult task. For nearly three decades, the Child-Pugh score (CPS) has been the gold standard for determining the prognosis of cirrhosis. In the last two decades, many prognostic models and scores like a model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score, peripheral blood lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) have been presented to predict prognosis in patients with cirrhosis and to choose the best therapy option. The aim of our study is to determine which score is more effective in predicting three-month mortality and whether these scores are equally effective in predicting short-term outcomes. Materials & methods: In this hospital-based longitudinal study, we analyzed 140 patients with cirrhosis of liver visiting All India Institute of Medical Sciences Bhopal between July 2019 and July 2020. All the 140 patients were followed up for three months to establish short-term outcomes. The blood investigations were done at the time of presentation from all the patients and after three months in the survivors. Various scores were calculated. Results: The majority of patients (47%) were in Child-Pugh class C. Mean MELD score was 13.54, LMR score was 1.96 and CLIF-SOFA score was 5. The total bilirubin, serum creatinine, international normalized ratio (INR), total leukocyte count, absolute monocyte count, CPS, MELD, CLIF-SOFA were significantly higher in a non-surviving group as compared to the surviving group, whereas the albumin and LMR significantly decreased in the non-surviving group. On performing multivariate regression, LMR and CLIF-SOFA were significant independent risk factors of mortality after adjusting for confounding factors. All the parameters had significant discriminatory power to predict mortality. Discriminatory power of CLIF-SOFA (AUC 0.808; 95% CI: 0.733 to 0.870) was excellent and discriminatory power of CPS (AUC 0.792; 95% CI: 0.716 to 0.856), MELD score (AUC 0.765; 95% CI: 0.685 to 0.832) and LMR (AUC 0.75; 95% CI: 0.669 to 0.819) was acceptable. Among all the parameters, CLIF-SOFA was the best predictor of mortality at a cut-off point of >5 with 80.80% chances of correctly predicting mortality. Conclusion: The significant morbidity and mortality indicators are high total bilirubin, high creatinine, high INR, high TLC, low platelet count, and low albumin. Among the various scores, CLIF-SOFA is a better predictor of mortality and morbidity. Low LMR and high CLIF-SOFA are significant independent risk factors of mortality at three months.
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Outcomes After TIPS for Ascites and Variceal Bleeding in a Contemporary Era-An ALTA Group Study. Am J Gastroenterol 2021; 116:2079-2088. [PMID: 34158464 PMCID: PMC8822954 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000001357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2021] [Accepted: 05/21/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Advances in transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) technology have led to expanded use. We sought to characterize contemporary outcomes of TIPS by common indications. METHODS This was a multicenter, retrospective cohort study using data from the Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches study group among adults with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS for ascites/hepatic hydrothorax (ascites/HH) or variceal bleeding (2010-2015). Adjusted competing risk analysis was used to assess post-TIPS mortality or liver transplantation (LT). RESULTS Among 1,129 TIPS recipients, 58% received TIPS for ascites/HH and 42% for variceal bleeding. In patients who underwent TIPS for ascites/HH, the subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) for death was similar across all Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELD-Na) categories with an increasing sHR with rising MELD-Na. In patients with TIPS for variceal bleeding, MELD-Na ≥20 was associated with increased hazard for death, whereas MELD-Na ≥22 was associated with LT. In a multivariate analysis, serum creatinine was most significantly associated with death (sHR 1.2 per mg/dL, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.4 and 1.37, 95% CI 1.08-1.73 in ascites/HH and variceal bleeding, respectively). Bilirubin and international normalized ratio were most associated with LT in ascites/HH (sHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.15-1.3; sHR 2.99, 95% CI 1.76-5.1, respectively) compared with only bilirubin in variceal bleeding (sHR 1.06, 95% CI 1.00-1.13). DISCUSSION MELD-Na has differing relationships with patient outcomes dependent on TIPS indication. These data provide new insights into contemporary predictors of outcomes after TIPS.
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Xue R, Yang J, Wu J, Wang Z, Meng Q. Novel Prognostic Models for Predicting the 180-day Outcome for Patients with Hepatitis-B Virus-related Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure. J Clin Transl Hepatol 2021; 9:514-520. [PMID: 34447680 PMCID: PMC8369019 DOI: 10.14218/jcth.2021.00028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2021] [Revised: 03/22/2021] [Accepted: 04/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS It remains difficult to forecast the 180-day prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) using existing prognostic models. The present study aimed to derive novel-innovative models to enhance the predictive effectiveness of the 180-day mortality in HBV-ACLF. METHODS The present cohort study examined 171 HBV-ACLF patients (non-survivors, n=62; survivors, n=109). The 27 retrospectively collected parameters included the basic demographic characteristics, clinical comorbidities, and laboratory values. Backward stepwise logistic regression (LR) and the classification and regression tree (CART) analysis were used to derive two predictive models. Meanwhile, a nomogram was created based on the LR analysis. The accuracy of the LR and CART model was detected through the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), compared with model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores. RESULTS Among 171 HBV-ACLF patients, the mean age was 45.17 years-old, and 11.7% of the patients were female. The LR model was constructed with six independent factors, which included age, total bilirubin, prothrombin activity, lymphocytes, monocytes and hepatic encephalopathy. The following seven variables were the prognostic factors for HBV-ACLF in the CART model: age, total bilirubin, prothrombin time, lymphocytes, neutrophils, monocytes, and blood urea nitrogen. The AUROC for the CART model (0.878) was similar to that for the LR model (0.878, p=0.898), and this exceeded that for the MELD scores (0.728, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS The LR and CART model are both superior to the MELD scores in predicting the 180-day mortality of patients with HBV-ACLF. Both the LR and CART model can be used as medical decision-making tools by clinicians.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ran Xue
- Department of Medical Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis & Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Early Drug Development Center, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Jun Yang
- Department of Integrated Traditional and Western Liver Disease, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Wu
- Department of Medical Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Zhongying Wang
- Department of Infection Center, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Qinghua Meng
- Department of Medical Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Jacques RDOC, Massignan LDS, Winkler MS, Balbinot RS, Balbinot SS, Soldera J. ACUTE-ON-CHRONIC LIVER FAILURE IS INDEPENDENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH LOWER SURVIVAL IN PATIENTS WITH SPONTANEOUS BACTERIAL PERITONITIS. ARQUIVOS DE GASTROENTEROLOGIA 2021; 58:344-352. [PMID: 34705969 DOI: 10.1590/s0004-2803.202100000-58] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2020] [Accepted: 04/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a decompensation of cirrhosis with an in-hospital mortality ranging from 20% to 40%. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study is to analyze if EASL-CLIF definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is able to predict mortality in cirrhotic patients with SBP. METHODS Historical cohort study conducted in a public tertiary care teaching hospital. Data from medical records from January 2009 to July 2016 were obtained by searching the hospital electronic database for samples of ascites collected in the period. Electronic and physical medical records were analyzed and patients were included if they were over 18-years old, with cirrhosis and an ascites fluid compatible with SBP: 69 patients were included. Liver-specific scores were calculated and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used for univariate analysis and a stepwise approach to the Cox regression for multivariate analysis. RESULTS All cause mortality was 44%, 56.5% and 74% for 28-, 90- and 365-day, respectively. The prevalence of ACLF was 58%. Of these, 65% grade 1, 17.5% grade 2 and 17.5% grade 3. In multivariate analysis, the use of proton-pump inhi-bitors, alanine transaminase lower than 40 U/L, hemoglobin higher than 9 g/dL, absence of ACLF and lower CLIF-SOFA and MELD scores were independently associated with higher survival for both 28- and 90-day interval. CONCLUSION The presence of ACLF and higher CLIF-SOFA scores were independently associated with higher 28- and 90-day mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted due to SBP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raquel de Oliveira Coberllini Jacques
- Hospital Geral, Medicina Interna, Caxias do Sul, RS, Brasil
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | - Lais da Silva Massignan
- Hospital Geral, Medicina Interna, Caxias do Sul, RS, Brasil
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Gastroenterologia Clínica, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | | | - Rafael Sartori Balbinot
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre, Medicina Interna, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
| | - Silvana Sartori Balbinot
- Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Departamento de Gastroenterologia Clínica, Caxias do Sul, RS, Brasil
- Universidade de São Paulo, Departamento de Gastroenterologia, São Paulo, SP, Brasil
| | - Jonathan Soldera
- Universidade de Caxias do Sul, Departamento de Gastroenterologia Clínica, Caxias do Sul, RS, Brasil
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre, Departamento de Hepatologia, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Medicina: Hepatologia, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
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Liu LX, Zhang Y, Nie Y, Zhu X. Assessing the Prediction Effect of Various Prognosis Model for 28-Day Mortality in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Patients. Risk Manag Healthc Policy 2021; 13:3155-3163. [PMID: 33402854 PMCID: PMC7778450 DOI: 10.2147/rmhp.s281999] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2020] [Accepted: 12/10/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is an extremely clinical entity associated with short-term high mortality. The CLIF-SOFA score measures both hepatic and extrahepatic organ dysfunction and can discriminate significantly better between survivors and nonsurvivors compared to other methods. The MELD score is widely used for organ allocation in liver transplantation. Recent reports indicate that the PWR is a potential biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes. The ALBI score is a new score model for evaluating the severity of liver dysfunction. We aimed to compare these prognosis models to predict short-term mortality in ACLF patients. Methods A retrospective analysis of 89 ACLF patients between 2015 and 2018 was performed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the power of four prognosis models for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Results The ALBI score, MELD score and CLIF-SOFA score were significantly higher, and the PWR was slightly lower in nonsurviving ACLF patients than in surviving patients. The MELD score and ALBI score were positively correlated with the CLIF-SOFA score, while the PWR was inversely related to the CLIF-SOFA score. The area under the ROC curves (AUROCS) of the CLIF-SOFA score, PWR, ALBI score and MELD score were 0.804, 0.759, 0.710 and 0.670, respectively. Conclusion The CLIF-SOFA score, PWR and ALBI score can better predict 28-day mortality in ACLF patients, but the MELD score has worse predictability. The CLIF-SOFA score is the best prognosis model among these models. PWR may be a simple and useful tool that can predict 28-day outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lin Xiang Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang 330006, People's Republic of China
| | - Yue Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang 330006, People's Republic of China
| | - Yuan Nie
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang 330006, People's Republic of China
| | - Xuan Zhu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang 330006, People's Republic of China
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Chronic alcoholism and all-cause mortality among disabled individuals: Findings from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort. Alcohol 2020; 89:57-62. [PMID: 32860858 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcohol.2020.08.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2020] [Revised: 07/27/2020] [Accepted: 08/18/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Alcohol use among adults with mild to severe disability is an under-researched topic in the literature. Few studies have attempted to assess the impact of alcohol misuse, abuse, and chronic alcoholism among this target group. Thus, we investigated the association between chronic alcoholism and mortality among disabled individuals in South Korea. METHODS We used data from the National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) for the years 2003-2013, which included data on 61,013 disabled individuals. Among these patients, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio of mortality associated with chronic alcoholism. RESULTS A total of 800 individuals died during the study period. Individuals who had medical claims for chronic alcoholism following their disability diagnosis had greater risk of mortality than individuals without chronic alcoholism (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-2.31, p = 0.0244). Individuals with a physical disability (HR: 2.30, 95% CI: 1.06-4.95, p = 0.0342), brain lesion (HR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.03-3.74, p = 0.0405), and/or kidney failure (HR: 4.98, 95% CI: 1.07-23.25, p = 0.0411) had greatest mortality risk when diagnosed with chronic alcoholism, compared to individuals who were not diagnosed with chronic alcoholism. CONCLUSIONS Chronic alcoholism following disability diagnosis was associated with greater mortality risk in a nationally representative population of disabled individuals, especially among individuals with a physical disability, brain lesion, and/or kidney failure. Such findings reveal that certain social and political measures must be implemented to help disabled individuals suffering from alcoholism, especially according to disability diagnosis.
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Batra RK. Utility of Liver Transplantation Within the Bounds of Non-futility. CURRENT TRANSPLANTATION REPORTS 2020. [DOI: 10.1007/s40472-020-00288-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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Chen BH, Tseng HJ, Chen WT, Chen PC, Ho YP, Huang CH, Lin CY. Comparing Eight Prognostic Scores in Predicting Mortality of Patients with Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure Who Were Admitted to an ICU: A Single-Center Experience. J Clin Med 2020; 9:1540. [PMID: 32443729 PMCID: PMC7290486 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9051540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2020] [Revised: 05/16/2020] [Accepted: 05/17/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Limited data is available on long-term outcome predictions for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in an intensive care unit (ICU) setting. Assessing the reliability and accuracy of several mortality prediction models for these patients is helpful. Two hundred forty-nine consecutive patients with ACLF and admittance to the liver ICU in a single center in northern Taiwan between December 2012 and March 2015 were enrolled in the study and were tracked until February 2017. Ninety-one patients had chronic hepatitis B-related cirrhosis. Clinical features and laboratory data were collected at or within 24 h of the first ICU admission course. Eight commonly used clinical scores in chronic liver disease were calculated. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) III and chronic liver failure consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF scores were significantly superior to other models in predicting overall mortality as determined by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis (area under the ROC curve (AUROC): 0.817). Subgroup analysis of patients with chronic hepatitis B-related cirrhosis displayed similar results. CLIF-C organ function (OF), CLIF-C ACLF, and APACHE III scores were statistically superior to the mortality probability model III at zero hours (MPM0-III) and the simplified acute physiology (SAP) III scores in predicting 28-day mortality. In conclusion, for 28-day and overall mortality prediction of patients with ACLF admitted to the ICU, APACHE III, CLIF-OF, and CLIF-C ACLF scores might outperform other models. Further prospective study is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bo-Huan Chen
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan; (B.-H.C.); (W.-T.C.); (P.-C.C.); (Y.-P.H.); (C.-Y.L.)
| | - Hsiao-Jung Tseng
- Biostatistics Unit, Clinical Trial Center, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan;
| | - Wei-Ting Chen
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan; (B.-H.C.); (W.-T.C.); (P.-C.C.); (Y.-P.H.); (C.-Y.L.)
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
| | - Pin-Cheng Chen
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan; (B.-H.C.); (W.-T.C.); (P.-C.C.); (Y.-P.H.); (C.-Y.L.)
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Pin Ho
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan; (B.-H.C.); (W.-T.C.); (P.-C.C.); (Y.-P.H.); (C.-Y.L.)
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
| | - Chien-Hao Huang
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan; (B.-H.C.); (W.-T.C.); (P.-C.C.); (Y.-P.H.); (C.-Y.L.)
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
- Graduate Institute of Clinical Medical Sciences, College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
| | - Chun-Yen Lin
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan; (B.-H.C.); (W.-T.C.); (P.-C.C.); (Y.-P.H.); (C.-Y.L.)
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
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de Sausmarez E, Crowest P, Fry S, Hodgson L. Predicting outcome in liver patients admitted to intensive care: A dual-centre non-specialist hospital external validation of the Liver injury and Failure evaluation score. J Intensive Care Soc 2020; 22:152-158. [PMID: 34025755 DOI: 10.1177/1751143720924352] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Acute hepatic dysfunction in the critically ill population with pre-existing liver cirrhosis is associated with a high mortality. Several prediction models have been developed to risk stratify patients with liver disease. Methods This UK dual-centre non-specialist hospital retrospective study (2015-2019) externally validated the Liver injury and Failure evaluation score (incorporating lactate, bilirubin and International Normalised Ratio), alongside two other general intensive care unit prediction models (Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II). Inclusion criteria matched a recent UK-wide study including at least one of biopsy proven cirrhosis, imaging suggestive of cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy or portal hypertension. Results One hundred and ninety-nine admissions met inclusion criteria over the study period (n = 169), mean age 57( ±13). In-hospital mortality was 40% in this cohort compared to 18% of all intensive care unit individuals during the same period. Variceal bleeding was associated with a lower short-term (18% versus 47%, P < 0.001, odds ratio 0.3 (95% confidence interval 0.1-0.5)) and longer-term mortality (log rank P = 0.015). In-patient mortality was higher in cases requiring renal replacement therapy (82% versus 29%, odds ratio 11.1 (95% confidence interval 4.6-26.9), P < 0.001) or ventilation (47% versus 32%, odds ratio 1.9 (1.1-3.4), P = 0.03). For in-patient mortality, area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were Liver injury and Failure evaluation 0.69 (95% confidence interval 0.62-0.77), Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre 0.80 (0.74-0.86) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II 0.73 (0.65-0.81). Forty-one per cent of cases were alive at one-year follow-up. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for one-year survival were Liver injury and Failure evaluation 0.69 (0.61-0.77), Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre 0.75 (0.67-0.82) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II 0.69 (0.61-0.77). Conclusion This first Liver injury and Failure evaluation score validation in a UK non-specialist hospital setting suggests this parsimonious, easy to calculate model may have utility in prediction of short-term and one-year mortality. As with previous studies variceal haemorrhage was associated with lower mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Paul Crowest
- Intensive Care Department, Worthing Hospital, West Sussex, UK
| | - Steve Fry
- Intensive Care Department, Worthing Hospital, West Sussex, UK
| | - Luke Hodgson
- Intensive Care Department, Worthing Hospital, West Sussex, UK.,Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
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Impact of early remote organ dysfunction on long-term survival after liver transplantation. Clin Res Hepatol Gastroenterol 2019; 43:730-737. [PMID: 30954392 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinre.2019.02.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2018] [Revised: 02/11/2019] [Accepted: 02/16/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Attention is focused on graft function although extrahepatic organ dysfunction often occurs. Renal failure, cardiovascular events and sepsis have individually shown a significant impact on short- and long-term outcomes. The aim of the study was to identify how extrahepatic organ dysfunction (EROD) and allograft dysfunction (EAD) may be associated and their relative impact on long-term survival. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted in a unicentric cohort of 294 patients transplanted between 2009 and 2014. The composite endpoint EROD was defined as requirement during the hospitalization of de novo renal replacement therapy, reintubation/ventilation > 7 days or cardiovascular event. Donor and recipient characteristics were evaluated as predictive of EROD in uni- and multivariate analysis. Main endpoint was overall survival evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS EROD occurred in 91 patients (31%) among whom 42 also experienced EAD (46%). Predicting factors associated with EROD were IL6 level (P = 0.002) and lab-MELD (P < 0.001). Only patients experiencing both EAD and EROD had a worse survival (P = 0.001). In patients without EAD, time to normalization of bilirubin and INR were longer in patients with EROD compared to those without EROD (P = 0.002 and P = 0.008 respectively). CONCLUSIONS The composite endpoint described as early remote organ dysfunction could be used as a predictive factor after transplantation and should be included in future studies together with early allograft dysfunction. Identifying patients in whom EROD and EAD occur together or one after the other could help to better predict long-term outcomes.
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Abstract
Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text. To better describe the outcomes of acute respiratory distress syndrome in mechanically ventilated patients with cirrhosis.
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Maipang K, Potranun P, Chainuvati S, Nimanong S, Chotiyaputta W, Tanwandee T, Charatcharoenwitthaya P. Validation of the prognostic models in acute-on-chronic liver failure precipitated by hepatic and extrahepatic insults. PLoS One 2019; 14:e0219516. [PMID: 31291342 PMCID: PMC6619802 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0219516] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2019] [Accepted: 06/25/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) precipitated by hepatic injury and extrahepatic insults had distinct clinical phenotypes, and prognosis. This study aimed to validate prognostic models for ACLF and to explore their discriminative abilities in ACLF population categorized by the etiologies of precipitating events. Methods This study collected data from 343 consecutive cirrhotic patients hospitalized with the diagnosis of ACLF according to the EASL-CLIF-Consortium definition. The discrimination abilities of prognostic models at the onset of ACLF were tested with the concordance index and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results Among the entire cohort, 103 patients survived with medical management, nine patients were transplanted, and 231 patients died without liver transplantation. The predictive accuracy of the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) for 28-day mortality was similar to the CLIF Consortium Organ Failure (CLIF-C OF) but significantly higher than the CLIF Consortium ACLF, the Child-Turcotte-Pugh, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), the MELD-sodium, the integrated MELD, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II. Of note, 44 patients had acute hepatic insult triggering ACLF (hepatic-ACLF), 244 were exclusively precipitated by bacterial infection or gastrointestinal bleeding (extrahepatic-ACLF), and 55 cases had no any identifiable potential precipitating events. Patients with hepatic-ACLF had significantly higher 28-day mortality than extrahepatic-ACLF patients. The CLIF-SOFA and CLIF-C OF displayed the highest accuracy significantly outperforming other scoring systems in predicting mortality among patients with hepatic-ACLF and those with extrahepatic-ACLF. Conclusion The CLIF-SOFA and simpler CLIF-C OF are reliable measures of mortality risk in ACLF patients precipitated by either hepatic or extrahepatic insults. Both validated models could be used to stratify the risk of death and improve management of ACLF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kotchakon Maipang
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Pichanun Potranun
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Siwaporn Chainuvati
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Supot Nimanong
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Watcharasak Chotiyaputta
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Tawesak Tanwandee
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Phunchai Charatcharoenwitthaya
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
- * E-mail:
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Ji B, Wang S, Liu Z, Weinberg BD, Yang X, Liu T, Wang L, Mao H. Revealing hemodynamic heterogeneity of gliomas based on signal profile features of dynamic susceptibility contrast-enhanced MRI. NEUROIMAGE-CLINICAL 2019; 23:101864. [PMID: 31176951 PMCID: PMC6558214 DOI: 10.1016/j.nicl.2019.101864] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2018] [Revised: 04/30/2019] [Accepted: 05/19/2019] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
Dynamic susceptibility contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DSC MRI) is widely used for studying blood perfusion in brain tumors. While the time-dependent change of MRI signals related to the concentration of the tracer is used to derive the hemodynamic parameters such as regional blood volume and flow into tumors, the tissue-specific information associated with variations in profiles of signal time course is often overlooked. We report a new approach of combining model free independent component analysis (ICA) identification of specific signal profiles of DSC MRI time course data and extraction of the features from those time course profiles to interrogate time course data followed by calculating the region specific blood volume based on selected individual time courses. Based on the retrospective analysis of DSC MRI data from 38 patients with pathology confirmed low (n = 18) and high (n = 20) grade gliomas, the results reveal the spatially defined intra-tumoral hemodynamic heterogeneity of brain tumors based on features of time course profiles. The hemodynamic heterogeneity as measured by the number of independent components of time course data is associated with the tumor grade. Using 8 selected signal profile features, machine-learning trained algorithm, e.g., logistic regression, was able to differentiate pathology confirmed low intra-tumoral and high grade gliomas with an accuracy of 86.7%. Furthermore, the new method can potentially extract more tumor physiological information from DSC MRI comparing to the traditional model-based analysis and morphological analysis of tumor heterogeneity, thus may improve the characterizations of gliomas for better diagnosis and treatment decisions.
Signal profiles of dynamic susceptibility contrast MRI data of brain tumors reflect hemodynamic properties of tumor tissue. Features in signal profiles extracted by machine learning methods revealed the hemodynamic heterogeneity of the gliomas. The reported approach is a new strategy to characterize the intra-tumor heterogeneity and physiological properties of gliomas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bing Ji
- Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America
| | - Silun Wang
- Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America
| | - Zhou Liu
- Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America; Medical College of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China
| | - Brent D Weinberg
- Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America
| | - Xiaofeng Yang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America
| | - Tianming Liu
- Department of Computer Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United States of America
| | - Liya Wang
- Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America; Medical College of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China; Department of Radiology, The People's Hospital of Longhua, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.
| | - Hui Mao
- Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.
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Allegretti AS, Parada XV, Ortiz GA, Long J, Krinsky S, Zhao S, Fuchs BC, Sojoodi M, Zhang D, Karumanchi SA, Kalim S, Nigwekar SU, Thadhani RI, Parikh SM, Chung RT. Serum Angiopoietin-2 Predicts Mortality and Kidney Outcomes in Decompensated Cirrhosis. Hepatology 2019; 69:729-741. [PMID: 30141205 PMCID: PMC6351209 DOI: 10.1002/hep.30230] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2018] [Accepted: 08/08/2018] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Acute kidney injury in decompensated cirrhosis has limited therapeutic options, and novel mechanistic targets are urgently needed. Angiopoietin-2 is a context-specific antagonist of Tie2, a receptor that signals vascular quiescence. Considering the prominence of vascular destabilization in decompensated cirrhosis, we evaluated Angiopoietin-2 to predict clinical outcomes. Serum Angiopoietin-2 was measured serially in a prospective cohort of hospitalized patients with decompensated cirrhosis and acute kidney injury. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were examined over a 90-day period and analyzed according to Angiopoietin-2 levels. Primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Our study included 191 inpatients (median Angiopoietin-2 level 18.2 [interquartile range 11.8, 26.5] ng/mL). Median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 23 [17, 30] and 90-day mortality was 41%. Increased Angiopoietin-2 levels were associated with increased mortality (died 21.9 [13.9, 30.3] ng/mL vs. alive 15.2 [9.8, 23.0] ng/mL; P < 0.001), higher Acute Kidney Injury Network stage (stage I 13.4 [9.8, 20.1] ng/mL vs. stage II 20.0 [14.1, 26.2] ng/mL vs. stage III 21.9 [13.0, 29.5] ng/mL; P = 0.002), and need for renal replacement therapy (16.5 [11.3, 23.6] ng/mL vs. 25.1 [13.3, 30.3] ng/mL; P = 0.005). The association between Angiopoietin-2 and mortality was significant in unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models (P ≤ 0.001 for all models), and improved discrimination for mortality when added to MELD score (integrated discrimination increment 0.067; P = 0.001). Conclusion: Angiopoietin-2 was associated with mortality and other clinically relevant outcomes in a cohort of patients with decompensated cirrhosis with acute kidney injury. Further experimental study of Angiopoietin/Tie2 signaling is warranted to explore its potential mechanistic and therapeutic role in this population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew S. Allegretti
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Xavier Vela Parada
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | | | - Joshua Long
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Scott Krinsky
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sophia Zhao
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Bryan C. Fuchs
- Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Mozhdeh Sojoodi
- Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Dongsheng Zhang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - S. Ananth Karumanchi
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA,Departments of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Sahir Kalim
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sagar U. Nigwekar
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ravi I. Thadhani
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA,Departments of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Samir M. Parikh
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Raymond T. Chung
- Liver Center and Gastrointestinal Division, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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Wu SL, Zheng YX, Tian ZW, Chen MS, Tan HZ. Scoring systems for prediction of mortality in decompensated liver cirrhosis: A meta-analysis of test accuracy. World J Clin Cases 2018; 6:995-1006. [PMID: 30568954 PMCID: PMC6288518 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v6.i15.995] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2018] [Revised: 11/08/2018] [Accepted: 11/14/2018] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM To compare the accuracy of the scoring systems Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), Model for End-stage Liver Disease score (MELD), MELD-Na, and MELD to Serum Sodium ratio (MESO) to predict the mortality in decompensated liver cirrhosis. METHODS The PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, and Ovid databases were systematically searched from inception to September 2018 for relevant articles, and we evaluated the quality of the included studies. The accuracy of scoring systems was analyzed with Stata 12 and MetaDiSc 1.4. RESULTS Sixteen studies involving 2337 patients were included. The pooled areas under the summary receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, and MESO to predict mortality were 0.81, 0.78, 0.85, and 0.86, respectively. Within 3 mo, the AUROCs of CTP, MELD, and MELD-Na in predicting mortality were 0.78, 0.76, and 0.89, respectively. The AUROCs of CTP, MELD, and MELD-Na at 3 mo were 0.86, 0.78, and 0.86, respectively. The AUROCs of CTP, MELD, and MELD-Na at 6 mo were 0.91, 0.83, and 0.90, respectively. The AUROCs of CTP, MELD, and MELD-Na at 12 mo were 0.72, 0.75 and 0.84, respectively. In cirrhotic patients with bleeding, the AUROCs of CTP and MELD were 0.76 and 0.88, respectively. CONCLUSION MESO has the highest AUROC in all assessed scoring systems. Considering the different time points, MELD-Na has good accuracy in predicting the mortality of decompensated liver cirrhosis. Compared to CTP, MELD is better in predicting variceal bleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shi-Lan Wu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410000, Hunan Province, China
| | - Yi-Xiang Zheng
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410000, Hunan Province, China
| | - Zheng-Wen Tian
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410000, Hunan Province, China
| | - Meng-Shi Chen
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410000, Hunan Province, China
| | - Hong-Zhuan Tan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410000, Hunan Province, China
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Angeli P, Bernardi M, Villanueva C, Francoz C, Mookerjee RP, Trebicka J, Krag A, Laleman W, Gines P. EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines for the management of patients with decompensated cirrhosis. J Hepatol 2018; 69:406-460. [PMID: 29653741 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2018.03.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1737] [Impact Index Per Article: 248.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2018] [Accepted: 03/28/2018] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
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诸 聪, 卢 观, 祁 婷, 何 钦, 陈 永, 文 维, 周 福, 陈 金. [Long-term prognosis and quality of life of survivors with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure]. NAN FANG YI KE DA XUE XUE BAO = JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN MEDICAL UNIVERSITY 2018; 38:736-741. [PMID: 29997098 PMCID: PMC6765706 DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-4254.2018.06.15] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/08/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the long-term prognosis and health-related quality of life of patients surviving hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). METHODS The clinical data were collected from patients with HBV-ACLF, who were hospitalized in our department between November, 2011 and October, 2016 and survived for more than 90 days. The patients were followed for occurrence of newly diagnosed cirrhosis, decompensation events, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. The quality of life of the patients was evaluated using SF-36 score, and the patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and cirrhosis treated during the same period served as controls. RESULTS A total of 223 ACLF survivors were included in this study. According to the presence of cirrhosis on admission, the enrolled patients were divided into chronic hepatitis B-related ACLF (CHB-ACLF) group (n=130) and liver cirrhosis ACLF (CIR-ACLF) group (n=93). The 12-, 24- and 50-month survival rates in CHB-ACLF group were 97%, 95.7% and 93.9%, respectively, significantly higher than the rates in CIR-ACLF group (91%, 86% and 74%, respectively; P=0.007). In patients with CHB-ACLF, the 12-, 24- and 36-month progression rates of cirrhosis were 37.9%, 58.4% and 68.7% respectively. Multivariate Cox regression identified the peak value of serum creatinine (HR=1.015, P=0.026) and INR (HR=2.032, P=0.006) within 28 days as independent risk factors and serum sodium at baseline (HR=0.84, P=0.035) as an independent protective factor of occurrence of cirrhosis. The score of mental health on SF-36 in ACLF group was significantly lower than the national norms, and the scores for general health and body pain of ACLF patients were significantly higher than those in patients with CHB or cirrhosis. CONCLUSION The long-term prognosis of ACLF survivors with and without cirrhosis can be different. Acute attacks are associated with an increased rate of cirrhosis progression in CHB patients who recovered from ACLF, possibly in relation with the severity of extra-hepatic organ injuries. The physical and social functions of long-term survivors of ACLF do not significantly decline, but their psychological status can be affected.
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Affiliation(s)
- 聪妍 诸
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 观婷 卢
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 婷婷 祁
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 钦俊 何
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 永鹏 陈
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 维群 文
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 福元 周
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
| | - 金军 陈
- />南方医科大学南方医院肝病中心, 广东 广州 510515Center of Hepatology, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China
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Song DS, Kim TY, Kim DJ, Kim HY, Sinn DH, Yoon EL, Kim CW, Jung YK, Suk KT, Lee SS, Lee CH, Kim TH, Choe WH, Yim HJ, Kim SE, Baik SK, Jang JY, Kim HS, Kim SG, Yang JM, Sohn JH, Choi EH, Cho HC, Jeong SW, Kim MY. Validation of prognostic scores to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2018; 33:900-909. [PMID: 28921629 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.13991] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2017] [Revised: 08/16/2017] [Accepted: 09/02/2017] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM The aim of this study was to validate the chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score (CLIF-SOFAs), CLIF consortium organ failure score (CLIF-C OFs), CLIF-C acute-on-chronic liver failure score (CLIF-C ACLFs), and CLIF-C acute decompensation score in Korean chronic liver disease patients with acute deterioration. METHODS Acute-on-chronic liver failure was defined by either the Asian Pacific Association for the study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) or CLIF-C criteria. The diagnostic performances for short-term mortality were compared by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS Among a total of 1470 patients, 252 patients were diagnosed with ACLF according to the CLIF-C (197 patients) or AARC definition (95 patients). As the ACLF grades increased, the survival rates became significantly lower. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic of the CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs were significantly higher than those of the Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease, and model for end-stage liver disease-Na scores in ACLF patients according to the CLIF-C definition (all P < 0.05), but there were no significant differences in patients without ACLF or in patients with ACLF according to the AARC definition. The CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs had higher specificities with a fixed sensitivity than liver specific scores in ACLF patients according to the CLIF-C definition, but not in ACLF patients according to the AARC definition. CONCLUSIONS The CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs are useful scoring systems that provide accurate information on prognosis in patients with ACLF according to the CLIF-C definition, but not the AARC definition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Do Seon Song
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Tae Yeob Kim
- Institute of Medical Science, Hanyang University, Seoul, Korea
| | - Dong Joon Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University College of Medicine, Chuncheon, Korea
| | - Hee Yeon Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Dong Hyun Sinn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Eileen L Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Inje University Sanggye Paik Hospital, Seoul, Korea
| | - Chang Wook Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Young Kul Jung
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Ansan Hospital, Ansan, Korea
| | - Ki Tae Suk
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University College of Medicine, Chuncheon, Korea
| | - Sang Soo Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju, Korea
| | - Chang Hyeong Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Catholic University of Daegu School of Medicine, Daegu, Korea
| | - Tae Hun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Ewha Womans University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Won Hyeok Choe
- Department of Internal Medicine, Konkuk University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyung Joon Yim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Ansan Hospital, Ansan, Korea
| | - Sung Eun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital, Anyang, Korea
| | - Soon Koo Baik
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea
| | - Jae Young Jang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyoung Su Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University Kangdong Sacred Heart Hospital, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sang Gyune Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital, Bucheon, Korea
| | - Jin Mo Yang
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Joo Hyun Sohn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Guri Hospital, Guri, Korea
| | - Eun Hee Choi
- Institute of Lifestyle Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea
| | - Hyun Chin Cho
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju, Korea
| | - Soung Won Jeong
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Moon Young Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea
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Wu J, Li YY, Hu JH, Jia L, Shi M, Meng FP, Li J, Zhao J, Wang FS, Meng QH. Differential characteristics and prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure defined by European Association for the Study of the Liver - Chronic Liver Failure criteria. Hepatol Res 2018; 48:153-164. [PMID: 28456135 DOI: 10.1111/hepr.12909] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2017] [Revised: 04/18/2017] [Accepted: 04/28/2017] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
AIM To determine the differential characteristics and prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) detected using Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria and then classified using European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) criteria. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed 316 HBV-related APASL ACLF patients treated at Beijing 302 Hospital or Beijing You'An Hospital (both Beijing, China) between February 2015 and February 2016. Clinical characteristics and mortality rates were compared among patients with different EASL-CLIF ACLF severity grades (no ACLF, and ACLF grades 1-3). RESULTS According to the EASL-CLIF criteria, 138 patients had no ACLF, 123 had ACLF at enrollment, and 55 developed ACLF during hospitalization. Both 28-day and 90-day transplant-free mortality were dramatically lower in patients without EASL-CLIF ACLF (0.7% and 5.1%, respectively) than in patients with EASL-CLIF ACLF (40.7% and 63.2%, respectively; both P < 0.001). Liver failure rates were similar in patients with and without EASL-CLIF ACLF, but extrahepatic organ failure was rare in patients without EASL-CLIF ACLF. Baseline serum creatinine, new bacterial infection and new acute kidney injury during hospitalization, maximum rising rates of CLIF-C ACLF score, and Model for End-stage Liver Disease score were independent predictors of EASL-CLIF ACLF after enrollment. CONCLUSIONS The EASL-CLIF ACLF classification can accurately prognosticate the short-term mortality of patients with HBV-related APASL ACLF. It can also distinguish distinct clinical characteristics and prognoses in patients with and without EASL-CLIF ACLF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Wu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, 302 Military Hospital of China - Peking University Teaching Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Li
- Department of Infectious Diseases, 302 Military Hospital of China - Peking University Teaching Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Jin-Hua Hu
- Medical Center for Liver Failure, Beijing 302 Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Lin Jia
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You'An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Ming Shi
- Department of Infectious Diseases, 302 Military Hospital of China - Peking University Teaching Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Fan-Ping Meng
- Department of Infectious Diseases, 302 Military Hospital of China - Peking University Teaching Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Juan Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You'An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Juan Zhao
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You'An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Fu-Sheng Wang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, 302 Military Hospital of China - Peking University Teaching Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Qing-Hua Meng
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You'An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Xue R, Duan Z, Liu H, Chen L, Yu H, Ren M, Zhu Y, Jin C, Han T, Gao Z, Meng Q. A novel dynamic model for predicting outcome in patients with hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure. Oncotarget 2017; 8:108970-108980. [PMID: 29312583 PMCID: PMC5752496 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.22447] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2017] [Accepted: 10/27/2017] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM It is challenging to predict the outcome of patients with hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) through existing prognostic models. Our aim was to establish a novel dynamic model to improve the predictive efficiency of 30-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. METHODS 305 patients who were diagnosed as HBV-ACLF (derivation cohort, n=211; validation cohort, n=94) were included in this study. The HBV-ACLF dynamic (HBV-ACLFD) model was constructed based on the daily levels of predictive variables in 7 days after diagnosis combined with baseline risk factors by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The HBV-ACLFD model was compared with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and MELD within corporation of serum sodium (MELD-Na) score by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROC). RESULTS The HBV-ACLFD model demonstrated excellent discrimination with AUROC of 0.848 in the derivation cohort and of 0.813 in the validation cohort (p=0.620). The performance of the HBV-ACLFD model appeared to be superior to MELD score, MELD-Na score and CTP score (P<0.0001). CONCLUSION The HBV-ACLFD model can accurately predict 30-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF, which is helpful to select appropriate clinical procedures, so as to relieve the social and economic burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ran Xue
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Zhonghui Duan
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Haixia Liu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Li Chen
- Georgia Prevention Institute, Medical College of Georgia, Augusta University, Augusta, GA, USA
| | - Hongwei Yu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Meixin Ren
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yueke Zhu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Chenggang Jin
- The School of Social Development and Public Policy, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
| | - Tao Han
- Department of Hepatology, Tianjin Third Central Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China
| | - Zhiliang Gao
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Zhongshan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qinghua Meng
- Department of Critical Care Medicine of Liver Disease, Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Abstract
慢加急性肝衰竭(acute-on-chronic liver failure, ACLF)是以慢性肝病基础上发生的急性肝功能失代偿和短期高死亡率为主要临床特征的一种可逆的、复杂的临床综合征. 由于不同区域ACLF的病因不同, 且病理机制复杂, 导致东西方对ACLF的定义及诊断标准仍存在争议, 且缺乏公认的预后评估体系. 近年来, ACLF引起了国内外学者的广泛关注, 取得了一些重要的研究进展, 本文将围绕国际上ACLF的最新进展, 对ACLF的定义及预后评估等进行分析总结.
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Li N, Huang C, Yu KK, Lu Q, Shi GF, Zheng JM. Validation of prognostic scores to predict short-term mortality in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: The CLIF-C OF is superior to MELD, CLIF SOFA, and CLIF-C ACLF. Medicine (Baltimore) 2017; 96:e6802. [PMID: 28445322 PMCID: PMC5413287 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000006802] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients has a high short-term mortality. Identification of effective models to predict the short-term mortality may enable early intervention and improve patients' prognosis. We aim to assess the performance of the CLIF Consortium Organ Failure score (CLIF-C OFs), CLIF sequential organ failure assessment score (CLIF-SOFAs), CLIF Consortium ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLFs), ACLF grade, and model for end-stage liver disease score (MELDs) in predicting the short-term mortality in CHB patients with ACLF.Among the 155 consecutive adult patients with liver failure as a discharge diagnosis were screened, and all the patients were treated at the Department of Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University (Shanghai, China) from January 2010 to February 2016. The diagnosis of ACLF was based on the criteria formalized by the ACLF consensus recommendations of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL). Diagnostic accuracy for predicting short-term (28-day) mortality was calculated for CLIF-C OFs, CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C ACLFs, ACLF grade, and MELDs in all patients.One hundred fifty-five consecutive adult liver failure patients were screened and 85 patients including 73 males and 12 females were enrolled. Overall, the 28-day transplant-free mortality was 32% in all patients, and 100% in those with severe early course (ACLF-3). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of CLIF-C OFs (AUROC: 0.906, P = .0306, compared with MELDs) was higher than those of CLIF-SOFAs (AUROC: 0.876), CLIF-C ACLFs (AUROC: 0.858), ACLF grade (AUROC: 0.857), and MELDs (AUROC: 0.838) for predicting short-term mortality. The cut-point for baseline CLIF-C OFs in predicting death was 8.5, with 67% sensitivity, 90% specificity, and AUROC of 0.906 (95% CI: 0.8450-0.9679).The results indicate that short-term mortality is high in patients with ACLF and CLIF Consortium Organ Failure score is superior to MELD, CLIF SOFA, and CLIF-C ACLF in predicting its short-term mortality.
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Huber W, Henschel B, Schmid R, Al-Chalabi A. First clinical experience in 14 patients treated with ADVOS: a study on feasibility, safety and efficacy of a new type of albumin dialysis. BMC Gastroenterol 2017; 17:32. [PMID: 28209134 PMCID: PMC5312588 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-017-0569-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2016] [Accepted: 01/06/2017] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver failure (LF) is associated with prolonged hospital stay, increased cost and substantial mortality. Due to the limited number of donor organs, extracorporeal liver support is suggested as an appealing concept to "bridge to transplant" or to avoid transplant in case of recovery. ADVanced Organ Support (ADVOS) is a new type of albumin dialysis, that provides rapid regeneration of toxin-binding albumin by two purification circuits altering the binding capacities of albumin by biochemical (changing of pH) and physical (changing of temperature) modulation of the dialysate. It was the aim of this study to evaluate feasibility, efficacy and safety of ADVOS in the first 14 patients ever treated with this procedure. METHODS Patients included suffered from acute on chronic LF (n = 9) or "secondary" LF (n = 5) which resulted from non-hepatic diseases such as sepsis. The primary endpoint was the change of serum bilirubin, creatinine and serum BUN levels before and after the first treatment with ADVOS. The Wilcoxon Signed Rank test for paired samples was used to analyze the data. RESULTS A total of 239 treatments (1 up to 101 per patient) were performed in 14 patients (6 female, 8 male). Mean age 54 ± 13; MELD-score 34 ± 7; CLIF-SOFA 15 ± 3. Serum bilirubin levels were significantly decreased by 32% during the first session (26.0 ± 15.4 vs. 17.7 ± 10.5 mg/dl; p = 0.001). Similarly, serum creatinine (2.2 ± 0.8 vs. 1.6 ± 0.7 mg/dl; p = 0.005) and serum BUN (49.4 ± 23.3 vs. 31.1 ± 19.7 mg/dl; p = 0.003), were significantly lowered by 27% and 37%, respectively. None of the treatment sessions had to be interrupted due to side effects related to the procedure. CONCLUSION ADVOS efficiently eliminates water- and protein-bound toxins in humans with LF. ADVOS is feasible in patients with advanced LF which is emphasized by a total number of more than 100 treatment sessions in one single patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wolfgang Huber
- II. Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik, Klinikum rechts der Isar, Technische Universität München, Ismaninger Straße 22, D-81675, Munich, Germany.
| | - Benedikt Henschel
- Klinik für Anaesthesiologie der Universität München, Campus Großhadern, Marchioninistraße, 15 81377, Munich, Germany
| | - Roland Schmid
- II. Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik, Klinikum rechts der Isar, Technische Universität München, Ismaninger Straße 22, D-81675, Munich, Germany
| | - Ahmed Al-Chalabi
- Jamaica Hospital Medical Center, 8900 Van Wyck Expy, Jamaica, NY, 11418, USA
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Shi KQ, Cai YJ, Lin Z, Dong JZ, Wu JM, Wang XD, Song M, Wang YQ, Chen YP. Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 32:497-505. [PMID: 27490495 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.13502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/25/2016] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM Determining individual risk of short-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) is a difficult task. We aimed to develop and externally validate a prognostic nomogram for ACHBLF patients. METHODS The nomogram was built to estimate the probability of 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, and 60-month survival based on an internal cohort of 246 patients with ACHBLF. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of nomogram were determined by a concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (tdROC), comparing with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score. The results were validated using bootstrap resampling and an external cohort of 138 patients. Furthermore, we plotted decision curves to evaluate the clinical usefulness of nomogram. RESULTS Independent factors derived from multivariable Cox analysis of training cohort to predict mortality were age, total bilirubin, serum sodium, and prothrombin activity, which were all assembled into nomogram. The calibration curves for probability of survival showed optimal agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observation. The C-index of nomogram was higher than that of MELD score for predicting survival (30-day, 0.809 vs 0.717, P < 0.001; 60-day, 0.792 vs 0.685, P < 0.001; 90-day, 0.779 vs 0.678, P < 0.001; 6-month, 0.781 vs 0.677, P < 0.001). Additionally, tdROC and decision curves also showed that nomogram was superior to MELD score. The results were confirmed in validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS The prognostic nomogram provided an individualized risk estimate of short-term survival in patients with ACHBLF, offering to clinicians to improve their abilities to assess patient prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ke-Qing Shi
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Yi-Jing Cai
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Zhuo Lin
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Jin-Zhong Dong
- Department of Infection and Liver Diseases, Ningbo First Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Jian-Min Wu
- Institute of Genomic Medicine, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Xiao-Dong Wang
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Mei Song
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Yu-Qun Wang
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Yong-Ping Chen
- Department of Liver Diseases, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
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Shi KQ, Zhou YY, Yan HD, Li H, Wu FL, Xie YY, Braddock M, Lin XY, Zheng MH. Classification and regression tree analysis of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: Seeing the forest for the trees. J Viral Hepat 2017; 24:132-140. [PMID: 27686368 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.12617] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2016] [Accepted: 08/10/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
At present, there is no ideal model for predicting the short-term outcome of patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF). This study aimed to establish and validate a prognostic model by using the classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. A total of 1047 patients from two separate medical centres with suspected ACHBLF were screened in the study, which were recognized as derivation cohort and validation cohort, respectively. CART analysis was applied to predict the 3-month mortality of patients with ACHBLF. The accuracy of the CART model was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, which was compared with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and a new logistic regression model. CART analysis identified four variables as prognostic factors of ACHBLF: total bilirubin, age, serum sodium and INR, and three distinct risk groups: low risk (4.2%), intermediate risk (30.2%-53.2%) and high risk (81.4%-96.9%). The new logistic regression model was constructed with four independent factors, including age, total bilirubin, serum sodium and prothrombin activity by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The performances of the CART model (0.896), similar to the logistic regression model (0.914, P=.382), exceeded that of MELD score (0.667, P<.001). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. We have developed and validated a novel CART model superior to MELD for predicting three-month mortality of patients with ACHBLF. Thus, the CART model could facilitate medical decision-making and provide clinicians with a validated practical bedside tool for ACHBLF risk stratification.
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Affiliation(s)
- K-Q Shi
- Department of Hepatology, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.,Institute of Hepatology, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Y-Y Zhou
- Department of Cardiology, Jinhua Municipal Hospital, Jinhua, China
| | - H-D Yan
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - H Li
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Tianjin Infectious Disease Hospital, Tianjin, China
| | - F-L Wu
- Department of Hepatology, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.,Institute of Hepatology, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Y-Y Xie
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - M Braddock
- Global Medicines Development, AstraZeneca R&D, Loughborough, UK
| | - X-Y Lin
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - M-H Zheng
- Department of Hepatology, Liver Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.,Institute of Hepatology, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
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Jindal A, Rastogi A, Sarin SK. Reviewing the diagnostic criteria for acute-on-chronic liver failure. Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 10:1385-1395. [PMID: 27771965 DOI: 10.1080/17474124.2016.1250622] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
For over 20 years, acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has taken multiple definitions and/or classifications. The definition outlines the acute and chronic insults to include a homogenous patient group with liver failure and an expected outcome in a specific time frame. Early and accurate diagnosis is essential as this inflammation of the liver may tilt the balance of liver destruction and regeneration adversely. Various factors such as superadded systemic sepsis, liver reserve, cause of primary chronic liver disease, state of immune system or the state of gut microbial flora might determine the ultimate prognosis. Areas covered: To date, there has been no universally accepted definition of ACLF. In this review, we discuss the strengths and weaknesses, controversies and basis for early identification and accurate diagnosis of ACLF. PubMed and Google scholar database searches were conducted, search terms included 'acute on chronic liver failure,' 'ACLF,' and 'diagnostic criteria.' Expert commentary: With recent advances in the management of advanced cirrhosis, research will gradually shift towards ACLF in the near future, focusing on the pathogenesis, new treatment options and improving survival. Once we improve understanding of this syndrome, newer definitions will evolve, thereby enabling earlier diagnosis and novel therapeutic avenues.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ankur Jindal
- a Departments of Hepatology , Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences , New Delhi , India
| | - Archana Rastogi
- b Departments of Pathology , Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences , New Delhi , India
| | - Shiv Kumar Sarin
- a Departments of Hepatology , Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences , New Delhi , India
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Allegretti AS, Ortiz G, Kalim S, Wibecan J, Zhang D, Shan HY, Xu D, Chung RT, Karumanchi SA, Thadhani RI. Siglec-7 as a Novel Biomarker to Predict Mortality in Decompensated Cirrhosis and Acute Kidney Injury. Dig Dis Sci 2016; 61:3609-3620. [PMID: 27655105 PMCID: PMC5106324 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-016-4316-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2016] [Accepted: 09/13/2016] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with decompensated cirrhosis have high morbidity and are commonly hospitalized with acute kidney injury. AIMS We examined serum levels of Siglec-7, a transmembrane receptor that regulates immune activity, as a biomarker for mortality in patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury. METHODS Serum Siglec-7 was measured in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury, as well as in reference groups with acute liver injury/acute kidney injury, cirrhosis without acute kidney injury, and sepsis without liver disease. Clinical characteristics and subsequent outcomes were examined using univariate and multivariable analyses according to initial Siglec-7 levels. Primary outcome was death by 90 days. RESULTS One hundred twenty-eight subjects were included, 92 of which had cirrhosis and acute kidney injury and were used in the primary analysis. Average Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 24 [95 % CI 23, 26], and serum creatinine was 2.5 [2.2, 2.8] mg/dL at the time Siglec-7 was measured. After adjusting for age and MELD score, high serum Siglec-7 level predicted mortality with a hazard ratio of 1.96 [1.04, 3.69; p = 0.04]. There was no difference in Siglec-7 levels by etiology of AKI (p = 0.24). Addition of serum Siglec-7 to MELD score improved discrimination for 90-day mortality [category-free net reclassification index = 0.38 (p = 0.04); integrated discrimination increment = 0.043 (p = 0.04)]. CONCLUSION Serum Siglec-7 was associated with increased mortality among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury. Addition of Siglec-7 to MELD score may increase discrimination to predict 90-day mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew S. Allegretti
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Guillermo Ortiz
- Department of Medicine, St. Elizabeth’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sahir Kalim
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Joshua Wibecan
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Dongsheng Zhang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Hui Yi Shan
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Keck School of Medicine of USC, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Dihua Xu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Raymond T. Chung
- Liver Center and Gastrointestinal Division, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - S. Ananth Karumanchi
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ravi I. Thadhani
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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Sy E, Ronco JJ, Searle R, Karvellas CJ. Prognostication of critically ill patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure using the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment: A Canadian retrospective study. J Crit Care 2016; 36:234-239. [PMID: 27569253 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2016.08.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2016] [Revised: 07/31/2016] [Accepted: 08/04/2016] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE We evaluated the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score to predict survival in a Canadian critically ill cohort with acute-on-chronic liver failure. METHODS We retrospectively examined 274 acute-on-chronic liver failure patients admitted to a quaternary level intensive care unit (ICU) between April 1, 2000, and April 30, 2011. We evaluated severity of illness scores, including the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), SOFA, and CLIF-SOFA. RESULTS On ICU admission, patients had the following median (interquartile range): APACHE II, 23 (19-28); MELD, 26 (19-35); CTP, 12 (10-13); SOFA, 15 (11-18); and CLIF-SOFA, 17 (13-21). In-hospital survival was 40%. There were no significant differences in survival for cirrhosis etiology, reason, or year of admission. The CLIF-SOFA score had the greatest area under receiver operating curve of 0.865 (95% confidence interval, 0.820-0.909) and outperformed the CTP, MELD, SOFA, and APACHE II scores. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score performance improved on the third day of ICU admission (area under receiver operating curve, 0.935; 95% confidence interval, 0.895-0.975). CONCLUSIONS The CLIF-SOFA and SOFA scores during the first 3 days of ICU admission appear to be highly predictive of in-hospital mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eric Sy
- Department of Critical Care, Regina General Hospital, Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada; Department of Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada; Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
| | - Juan J Ronco
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Rowan Searle
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Constantine J Karvellas
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; Division of Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; Liver Transplant Program, Alberta Health Services, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Abstract
The definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) remains contested. In Europe and North America, the term is generally applied according to the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) Consortium guidelines, which defines this condition as a syndrome that develops in patients with cirrhosis and is characterized by acute decompensation, organ failure and high short-term mortality. One-third of patients who are hospitalized for acute decompensation present with ACLF at admission or develop the syndrome during hospitalization. ACLF frequently occurs in a closed temporal relationship to a precipitating event, such as bacterial infection or acute alcoholic, drug-induced or viral hepatitis. However, no precipitating event can be identified in approximately 40% of patients. The mechanisms of ACLF involve systemic inflammation due to infections, acute liver damage and, in cases without precipitating events, probably intestinal translocation of bacteria or bacterial products. ACLF is graded into three stages (ACLF grades 1-3) on the basis of the number of organ failures, with higher grades associated with increased mortality. Liver and renal failures are the most common organ failures, followed by coagulation, brain, circulatory and respiratory failure. The 28-day mortality rate associated with ACLF is 30%. Depending on the grade, ACLF can be reversed using standard therapy in only 16-51% of patients, leaving a considerable proportion of patients with ACLF that remains steady or progresses. Liver transplantation in selected patients with ACLF grade 2 and ACLF grade 3 increases the 6-month survival from 10% to 80%.
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Jeong JH, Park IS, Kim DH, Kim SC, Kang C, Lee SH, Kim TY, Lee SB. CLIF-SOFA score and SIRS are independent prognostic factors in patients with hepatic encephalopathy due to alcoholic liver cirrhosis. Medicine (Baltimore) 2016; 95:e3935. [PMID: 27367990 PMCID: PMC4937904 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000003935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a complication associated with worst prognosis in decompensated liver cirrhosis (LC) patients. Previous studies have identified prognostic factors for HE, and recent studies reported an association between systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and liver disease. This study aimed to identify prognostic factors for 30-day mortality in alcoholic LC patients with HE who visited the emergency department (ED).This was a retrospective study of alcoholic LC patients with HE from January 1, 2010, to April 30, 2015. The baseline characteristics, complications of portal hypertension, laboratory values, Child-Pugh class, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score, and SIRS criteria were assessed. The presence of 2 or more SIRS criteria was considered SIRS. The primary outcomes were 30-day mortality and prognostic factors for patients with HE visiting the ED.In total, 105 patients who met the inclusion criteria were analyzed. Overall, the 30-day mortality rate was 6.7% (7 patients).Significant variables were hepatorenal syndrome, international normalized ratio, white blood cell count, total bilirubin level, MELD score CLIF-SOFA score, and SIRS in univariate analysis. CLIF-SOFA score and SIRS were the significant factors in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 5.56, 15.98; 95% confidence interval 1.18-26.18, 1.58-161.37; P = 0.03, P = 0.02). The mortality rates differed according to the CLIF-SOFA score (P < 0.01).The CLIF-SOFA score and SIRS in alcoholic LC patients with HE visiting the ED are independent predictors of 30-day mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Hee Jeong
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - In Sung Park
- Department of Neurosurgery, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
- Gyeongsang Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
- Correspondence: In Sung Park, Department of Neurosurgery, Gyeongsang Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea, Gyeongsang Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea (e-mail: )
| | - Dong Hoon Kim
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Seong Chun Kim
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Changwoo Kang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Soo Hoon Lee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Tae Yun Kim
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Bong Lee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
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Characteristics, Diagnosis and Prognosis of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Cirrhosis Associated to Hepatitis B. Sci Rep 2016; 6:25487. [PMID: 27146801 PMCID: PMC4857102 DOI: 10.1038/srep25487] [Citation(s) in RCA: 116] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2015] [Accepted: 04/18/2016] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
The diagnostic and prognostic criteria of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) were developed in patients with no Hepatitis B virus (HBV) cirrhosis (CANONIC study). The aims of this study were to evaluate whether the diagnostic (CLIF-C organ failure score; CLIF-C OFs) criteria can be used to classify patients; and the prognostic score (CLIF-C ACLF score) could be used to provide prognostic information in HBV cirrhotic patients with ACLF. 890 HBV associated cirrhotic patients with acute decompensation (AD) were enrolled. Using the CLIF-C OFs, 33.7% (300 patients) were diagnosed as ACLF. ACLF was more common in the younger patients and in those with no previous history of decompensation. The most common organ failures were ‘hepatic’ and ‘coagulation’. As in the CANONIC study, 90-day mortality was extremely low in the non-ACLF patients compared with ACLF patients (4.6% vs 50%, p < 0.0001). ACLF grade and white cell count, were independent predictors of mortality. CLIF-C ACLFs accurately predicted short-term mortality, significantly better than the MELDs and a disease specific score generated for the HBV patients. Current study indicates that ACLF is a clinically and pathophysiology distinct even in HBV patients. Consequently, diagnostic criteria, prognostic scores and probably the management of ACLF should base on similar principles.
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Allegretti AS, Ortiz G, Cui J, Wenger J, Bhan I, Chung RT, Thadhani RI, Irani Z. Changes in Kidney Function After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts Versus Large-Volume Paracentesis in Cirrhosis: A Matched Cohort Analysis. Am J Kidney Dis 2016; 68:381-91. [PMID: 26994685 DOI: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2016.02.041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2015] [Accepted: 02/11/2016] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with cirrhosis and refractory ascites have physiologic and hormonal dysregulation that contributes to decreased kidney function. Placement of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) can reverse these changes and potentially improve kidney function. We sought to evaluate change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) following TIPS placement. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective, matched cohort analysis. SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS Patients who underwent first-time TIPS placement for refractory ascites in 1995 to 2014. Frequency matching was used to generate a comparator group of patients with cirrhosis and ascites treated with serial large-volume paracentesis (LVP) in a 1:1 fashion. PREDICTOR TIPS placement compared to serial LVP. OUTCOME Change in eGFR over 90 days' follow-up. MEASUREMENTS Multivariable regression stratified by baseline eGFR<60 versus ≥60mL/min/1.73m(2); analysis of effect modification between TIPS placement and baseline eGFR. RESULTS 276 participants (TIPS, n=138; serial LVP, n=138) were analyzed. After 90 days, eGFRs increased significantly after TIPS placement in participants with baseline eGFRs<60mL/min/1.73m(2) compared to treatment with serial LVP (21 [95% CI, 13-29] mL/min/1.73m(2); P<0.001) and was no different in those with eGFRs≥60mL/min/1.73m(2) (1 [95% CI, -9 to 12] mL/min/1.73m(2); P=0.8). There was significant effect modification between TIPS status and baseline eGFR (P=0.001) in a model that included all participants. LIMITATIONS Outcomes restricted by clinically recorded data; clinically important differences may still exist between the TIPS and LVP cohorts despite good statistical matching. CONCLUSIONS TIPS placement was associated with significant improvement in kidney function. This was most prominent in participants with baseline eGFRs<60mL/min/1.73m(2). Prospective studies of TIPS use in populations with eGFRs<60mL/min/1.73m(2) are needed to evaluate these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew S Allegretti
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
| | - Guillermo Ortiz
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Jie Cui
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Julia Wenger
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Ishir Bhan
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Raymond T Chung
- Liver Center and Gastrointestinal Division, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Ravi I Thadhani
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Zubin Irani
- Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
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Zhang J, Gao S, Duan Z, Hu KQ. Overview on acute-on-chronic liver failure. Front Med 2016; 10:1-17. [PMID: 26976617 DOI: 10.1007/s11684-016-0439-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2015] [Accepted: 01/28/2016] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Liver failure (LF) is defined as severe dysfunction in hepatic synthesis, detoxification, and metabolism induced by various etiologies. Clinical presentation of LF typically includes severe jaundice, coagulation disorder, hepatic encephalopathy, and ascites. LF can be classified into acute LF, acute-on-chronic LF (ACLF), and chronic LF. ACLF has been demonstrated as a distinct syndrome with unique clinical presentation and outcomes. The severity, curability, and reversibility of ACLF have attracted considerable attention. Remarkable developments in ACLF-related conception, diagnostic criteria, pathogenesis, and therapy have been achieved. However, this disease, especially its diagnostic criteria, remains controversial. In this paper, we systemically reviewed the current understanding of ACLF from its definition, etiology, pathophysiology, pathology, and clinical presentation to management by thoroughly comparing important findings between east and west countries, as well as those from other regions. We also discussed the controversies, challenges, and needs for future studies to promote the standardization and optimization of the diagnosis and treatment for ACLF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Zhang
- Department of Hepatitis C and Drug Induced Liver Injury, Beijing YouAn Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China
- Collaborative Innovation Center of Infectious Diseases, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Shan Gao
- Beijing Artificial Liver Treatment & Training Center, Beijing YouAn Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China
- Collaborative Innovation Center of Infectious Diseases, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Zhongping Duan
- Beijing Artificial Liver Treatment & Training Center, Beijing YouAn Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
- Collaborative Innovation Center of Infectious Diseases, Beijing, 100069, China.
| | - Ke-Qin Hu
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California, Irvine, Medical Center, Orange, CA, 92868, USA.
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Zhou Q, Ding W, Jiang L, Xin J, Wu T, Shi D, Jiang J, Cao H, Li L, Li J. Comparative transcriptome analysis of peripheral blood mononuclear cells in hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure. Sci Rep 2016; 6:20759. [PMID: 26861114 PMCID: PMC4748289 DOI: 10.1038/srep20759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2015] [Accepted: 01/07/2016] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Analysis of the transcriptome of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is essential to elucidate the pathogenesis of HBV-ACLF and identify HBV-ACLF-specific biomarkers. In this study, high-throughput sequencing was performed to characterize the transcriptome of PMBCs from patients with HBV-ACLF. Specifically, 2381 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and 776 differentially expressed transcripts were identified through comparisons with patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and healthy controls. Gene Ontology (GO) analysis identified 114 GO terms that were clustered into 12 groups. We merged 10 dysregulated genes selected from these grouped GO terms and non-clustered terms with four significant genes with a specificity of >0.8 in the HBV-ACLF patients to obtain a set of 13 unique genes. The quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) validation of the top six genes (CYP19A1, SEMA6B, INHBA, DEFT1P, AZU1 and DEFA4) was consistent with the results of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) sequencing. A further receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed that the areas under the ROC curves of the six genes were all >0.8, which indicated their significant diagnostic potentials for HBV-ACLF. Conclusion: The transcriptome characteristics of PBMCs are altered in patients with HBV-ACLF, and six genes may serve as biomarkers of HBV-ACLF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qian Zhou
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Wenchao Ding
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Longyan Jiang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Jiaojiao Xin
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Tianzhou Wu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Dongyan Shi
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Jing Jiang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Hongcui Cao
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Lanjuan Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
| | - Jun Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003 China
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Peng Y, Qi X, Guo X. Child-Pugh Versus MELD Score for the Assessment of Prognosis in Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies. Medicine (Baltimore) 2016; 95:e2877. [PMID: 26937922 PMCID: PMC4779019 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000002877] [Citation(s) in RCA: 317] [Impact Index Per Article: 35.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Child-Pugh and MELD scores have been widely used for the assessment of prognosis in liver cirrhosis. A systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the discriminative ability of Child-Pugh versus MELD score to assess the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched. The statistical results were summarized from every individual study. The summary areas under receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivities, specificities, positive and negative likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios were also calculated.Of the 1095 papers initially identified, 119 were eligible for the systematic review. Study population was heterogeneous among studies. They included 269 comparisons, of which 44 favored MELD score, 16 favored Child-Pugh score, 99 did not find any significant difference between them, and 110 did not report the statistical significance. Forty-two papers were further included in the meta-analysis. In patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, Child-Pugh score had a higher sensitivity and a lower specificity than MELD score. In patients admitted to ICU, MELD score had a smaller negative likelihood ratio and a higher sensitivity than Child-Pugh score. In patients undergoing surgery, Child-Pugh score had a higher specificity than MELD score. In other subgroup analyses, Child-Pugh and MELD scores had statistically similar discriminative abilities or could not be compared due to the presence of significant diagnostic threshold effects.Although Child-Pugh and MELD scores had similar prognostic values in most of cases, their benefits might be heterogeneous in some specific conditions. The indications for Child-Pugh and MELD scores should be further identified.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ying Peng
- From the Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Shenyang Military Area, Shenyang (YP, XQ, XG); and Postgraduate College, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China (YP)
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48
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Abstract
Acute-on-chronic liver failure combines an acute deterioration in liver function in an individual with pre-existing chronic liver disease and hepatic and extrahepatic organ failures, and is associated with substantial short-term mortality. Common precipitants include bacterial and viral infections, alcoholic hepatitis, and surgery, but in more than 40% of patients, no precipitating event is identified. Systemic inflammation and susceptibility to infection are characteristic pathophysiological features. A new diagnostic score, the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) organ failure score, has been developed for classification and prognostic assessment of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. Disease can be reversed in many patients, and thus clinical management focuses upon the identification and treatment of the precipitant while providing multiorgan-supportive care that addresses the complex pattern of physiological disturbance in critically ill patients with liver disease. Liver transplantation is a highly effective intervention in some specific cases, but recipient identification, organ availability, timing of transplantation, and high resource use are barriers to more widespread application. Recognition of acute-on-chronic liver failure as a clinically and pathophysiologically distinct syndrome with defined diagnostic and prognostic criteria will help to encourage the development of new management pathways and interventions to address the unacceptably high mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- William Bernal
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
| | - Rajiv Jalan
- Liver Failure Group, Division of Medicine, University College London, London, UK; Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Division of Medicine, University College London, London, UK; Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Alberto Quaglia
- Histopathology Section, Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Kenneth Simpson
- Department of Hepatology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Julia Wendon
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Andrew Burroughs
- Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Division of Medicine, University College London, London, UK; Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
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Prognosis of Acute Kidney Injury and Hepatorenal Syndrome in Patients with Cirrhosis: A Prospective Cohort Study. Int J Nephrol 2015; 2015:108139. [PMID: 26266048 PMCID: PMC4525763 DOI: 10.1155/2015/108139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 69] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2015] [Revised: 06/28/2015] [Accepted: 07/06/2015] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background/Aims. Acute kidney injury is a common problem for patients with cirrhosis and is associated with poor survival. We aimed to examine the association between type of acute kidney injury and 90-day mortality. Methods. Prospective cohort study at a major US liver transplant center. A nephrologist's review of the urinary sediment was used in conjunction with the 2007 Ascites Club Criteria to stratify acute kidney injury into four groups: prerenal azotemia, hepatorenal syndrome, acute tubular necrosis, or other. Results. 120 participants with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury were analyzed. Ninety-day mortality was 14/40 (35%) with prerenal azotemia, 20/35 (57%) with hepatorenal syndrome, 21/36 (58%) with acute tubular necrosis, and 1/9 (11%) with other (p = 0.04 overall). Mortality was the same in hepatorenal syndrome compared to acute tubular necrosis (p = 0.99). Mortality was lower in prerenal azotemia compared to hepatorenal syndrome (p = 0.05) and acute tubular necrosis (p = 0.04). Ten participants (22%) were reclassified from hepatorenal syndrome to acute tubular necrosis because of granular casts on urinary sediment. Conclusions. Hepatorenal syndrome and acute tubular necrosis result in similar 90-day mortality. Review of urinary sediment may add important diagnostic information to this population. Multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings and better guide management.
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Shi Y, Yang Y, Hu Y, Wu W, Yang Q, Zheng M, Zhang S, Xu Z, Wu Y, Yan H, Chen Z. Acute-on-chronic liver failure precipitated by hepatic injury is distinct from that precipitated by extrahepatic insults. Hepatology 2015; 62:232-42. [PMID: 25800029 DOI: 10.1002/hep.27795] [Citation(s) in RCA: 236] [Impact Index Per Article: 23.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2014] [Accepted: 03/15/2015] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED Patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) represent a heterogeneous population. The aim of the study is to identify distinct groups according to the etiologies of precipitating events. A total of 405 ACLF patients were identified from 1,361 patients with cirrhosis with acute decompensation and categorized according to the types of acute insults. Clinical characteristics and prognosis between the hepatic group and extrahepatic group were compared, and the performance of prognostic models was tested in different groups. Two distinct groups (hepatic-ACLF and extrahepatic-ACLF) were identified among the ACLF population. Hepatic-ACLF was precipitated by hepatic insults and had relatively well-compensated cirrhosis with frequent liver and coagulation failure. In contrast, extrahepatic-ACLF was exclusively precipitated by extrahepatic insults, characterized by more severe underlying cirrhosis and high occurrence of extrahepatic organ failures (kidney, cerebral, circulation, and respiratory systems). Both groups had comparably high short-term mortality (28-day transplant-free mortality: 48.3% vs. 50.7%; P = 0.22); however, the extra-hepatic-ACLF group had significantly higher 90-day and 1-year mortality (90-day: 58.9% vs. 68.3%, P = 0.035; 1-year: 63.9% vs. 74.6%, P = 0.019). In hepatic-ACLF group, the integrated Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (iMELD) score had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (auROC = 0.787) among various prognostic models in predicting 28-day mortality, whereas CLIF-Consortium scores for ACLF patients (CLIF-C-ACLF) had the highest predictive value in the other group (auROC = 0.779). CONCLUSIONS ACLF precipitated by hepatic insults is distinct from ACLF precipitated by extrahepatic insults in clinical presentation and prognosis. The iMELD score may be a better predictor for hepatic-ACLF short-term prognosis, whereas CLIF-C-ACLF may be better for extrahepatic-ACLF patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu Shi
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Disease, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Ying Yang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Disease, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yaoren Hu
- Department of Hepatology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Wei Wu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Disease, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Qiao Yang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Min Zheng
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Disease, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Shun Zhang
- Stem Cell Laboratory, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Zhaojun Xu
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Yihua Wu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Zhejiang University School of Public Health, Hangzhou, China
| | - Huadong Yan
- Department of Hepatology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Zhi Chen
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Disease, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
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