Upper gastrointestinal cancer burden in Hebei Province, China: A population-based study

Table 1 Upper gastrointestinal cancer in Hebei Provincial Cancer Registry areas, 2013

Area	Gender	Upper gastrointestinal cancer				Esophageal cancer				Stomach cancer
		No.	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR China (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)	No.	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR China (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)	No.	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR China (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)
Total	Both genders	6205	55.47	44.16	44.90	2349	21.00	16.63	16.91	3856	34.47	27.54	27.99
	Male	4328	75.8	62.43	63.50	1517	26.57	21.83	22.16	2811	49.23	40.60	41.34
	Female	1877	34.28	26.43	26.75	832	15.19	11.59	11.81	1045	19.08	14.84	14.94
Urban	Both genders	1360	28.69	21.73	21.65	449	9.47	7.12	7.16	911	19.22	14.61	14.49
	Male	969	40.46	32.51	32.5	315	13.15	10.51	10.48	654	27.31	22.00	22.02
	Female	391	16.67	12.03	11.74	134	5.71	4.00	4.05	257	10.96	8.03	7.69
Rural	Both genders	4845	75.17	62.3	63.75	1900	29.48	24.45	24.97	2945	45.69	37.85	38.79
	Male	3359	101.35	85.84	87.89	1202	36.27	30.92	31.67	2157	65.08	54.91	56.22
	Female	1486	47.46	38.79	39.69	698	22.29	18.05	18.37	788	25.17	20.73	21.31

Table 2 Mortality rates of upper gastrointestinal cancer in Hebei Province from the 1970s to 2013

	1973-1975			1990-1992			2004-2005			2013
	Both	Male	Female	Both	Male	Female	Both	Male	Female	Both	Male	Female
Deaths	72347	49516	22831	10429	7049	3380	7103	4927	2176	4498	3000	1498
Crude rate (1/105)	50.53	67.68	32.61	53.72	70.82	35.72	51.24	69.16	32.29	40.21	52.54	27.35
ASR China (1/105)	57.61	79.19	36.29	65.24	90.35	41.46	45.84	64.49	27.71	32.76	44.86	21.28
ASR World (1/105)	58.07	80.04	36.30	65.62	91.02	41.45	46.01	64.75	27.70	32.63	44.77	21.03
Ratio (%)	51.29	58.14	40.86	47.00	49.75	42.13	38.55	41.94	32.59	27.64	29.55	24.49
Median age (yr)	66.15	65.78	67.04	66.22	65.81	67.11	68.09	67.64	69.23	70.39	69.21	72.95

ASR China: Age-standardized rate based on China’s standard population (2000); ASR World: Age-standardized rate based on the world standard population.

Table 3 Mortality rates of upper gastrointestinal cancer in high-risk areas and non-high-risk areas of Hebei Province from the 1970s to 2013

	1973-1975				1990-1992				2004-2005				2013
	Deaths	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)	Median age (yr)	Deaths	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)	Median age (yr)	Deaths	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)	Median age (yr)	Deaths	Crude rate (1/105)	ASR World (1/105)	Median age (yr)
High-risk areas
Male	2975	214.94	286.44	62.99	3182	189.69	300.62	62.91	2005	158.63	188.08	65.46	969	143.19	131.41	69.22
Female	1536	118.93	150.76	64.70	1645	98.63	133.82	64.55	910	76.25	80.50	67.21	489	75.68	59.43	73.04
Both genders	4511	168.60	218.69	63.54	4827	140.79	203.94	63.48	2915	118.62	132.47	66.01	1458	110.22	93.46	70.37
Non-high-risk areas
Male	46541	64.85	76.49	65.95	3867	46.73	58.14	66.10	2922	49.87	45.00	67.12	2031	40.36	34.22	69.21
Female	21295	30.99	34.39	67.22	1735	22.26	24.85	66.36	1266	22.83	18.91	68.11	1009	20.89	15.91	72.91
Both genders	67836	48.28	55.34	66.32	5602	35.04	41.26	66.18	4188	36.72	31.77	67.41	3040	30.82	24.89	70.40

ASR World: Age-standardized rate based on the world standard population.

Table 4 Mortality data analysis of upper gastrointestinal cancer via the grey system model in Cixian and Shexian

Year	t	Cixian			Shexian
		Mortality rate	Predicted rate	Error	Mortality rate	Predicted rate	Error
2004	1	113.41			156.08
2005	2	117.74	124.88	-7.13	158.66	160.24	-1.57
2006	3	126.51	129.78	-3.27	150.89	159.62	-8.73
2007	4	123.38	123.73	-0.35	145.89	164.62	-18.73
2008	5	122.51	118.66	3.85	167.40	172.49	-5.09
2009	6	123.59	112.34	11.25	168.63	156.75	11.88
2010	7	99.45	102.87	-3.42	148.73	137.70	11.02
2011	8	114.65	115.50	-0.85	147.39	136.52	10.88
2012	9	112.17	110.93	1.24	138.28	134.65	3.63
2013	10	106.87	106.87	0.00	139.88	139.90	-0.02
2014	11		106.18			141.57
2015	12		104.29			139.64
2016	13		102.42			137.73
2017	14		100.59			135.85
2018	15		98.80			133.99