Rapid Communication
Copyright ©2008 The WJG Press and Baishideng.
World J Gastroenterol. Apr 21, 2008; 14(15): 2401-2405
Published online Apr 21, 2008. doi: 10.3748/wjg.14.2401
Table 1 Characteristics of each group (%)
TotalG-1G-2G-3
Sex
Male83 (69.7)8 (23.5)30 (25.2)25 (21.0)
Female36 (30.3)13 (10.9)16 (13.4)7 (6.0)
Mean age (yr)55.7 ± 15.751.2 ± 15.362.4 ± 14.651.9 ± 14.8
Etiology
Biliary4921 (42.9)21 (42.9)7 (14.2)
Alcoholic468 (17.0)19 (41.3)19 (41.3)
Drug32 (67.0)0 ( 0.0)1 (33.3)
Idiopathic2110 (47.6)6 (28.6)5 (23.8)
Radiologic grade41 (34.3)46 (38.6)32(26.8)
Table 2 Serum pancreatic enzyme (at initial) according to etiology
AmylaseLipaseL/A ratio
Alcohol614 ± 466.92227.2 ± 1988.84.3 ± 2.4
Biliary1107.6 ± 1185.93561.6 ± 3023.83.9 ± 2.0
Drug427 ± 273.51320.3 ± 811.73.1 ± 0.1
Idiopathic893 ± 1026.92481.9 ± 2983.93.6 ± 2.5
Table 3 Univariate analysis of predictive factors
G-1G-2G-3P-value
BMI2.5 ± 0.72.3 ± 0.72.2 ± 0.60.16
Leukocytosis (/mm3)11 249.0 ± 6964.310 555.0 ± 4212.517 700.6 ± 23 913.30.048a
Hemoglobin (g/dL)13.7 ± 1.913.4 ± 2.114.8 ± 2.30.016a
Platelet (103/mm2)223.3 ± 92.1220.5 ± 61.2232.0 ± 95.80.829
AST (IU/L)233.2 ± 253.9337.9 ± 645.8176.3 ± 393.70.31
ALT (IU/L)212.0 ± 221.8201.5 ± 235.2139.2 ± 237.90.368
Total bilirubin (mg/dL)2.8 ± 2.22.2 ± 1.91.5 ± 1.10.023a
Albumin (g/dL)3.9 ± 0.43.8 ± 0.43.8 ± 0.60.51
S-amylase (IU/L)768.3 ± 926.4762.7 ± 517.31243.1 ± 1531.70.079
S-lipase (IU/L)1944.2 ± 1560.42820.3 ± 2521.43862.8 ± 3586.60.009a
Ranson (initial)1.7 ± 1.32.1 ± 1.21.8 ± 1.10.272
Ranson0.7 ± 0.71.2 ± 1.00.9 ± 0.90.052
(24 h after)
A PACH-II (initial)4.8 ± 4.37.5 ± 4.36.0 ± 4.50.017a
APACH-II (24 h after)3.5 ± 3.05.5 ± 3.84.7 ± 3.80.031a
CRP (initial) (mg/dL)4.5 ± 5.25.5 ± 4.511.9 ± 7.10.000a
CRP (f/u)2.4 ± 3.72.4 ± 2.56.6 ± 5.50.003a
Table 4 Multivariate analysis of predictive factors
FactorsP value
Leukocytosis0.29
Hemoglobin0.07
Total bilirubin0.31
S-lipase0.44
APACH-II (initial)0.65
APACH-II (24 h after)0.47
CRP (initial)0.001a
CRP (f/u)0.004a
Table 5 Likelihood ratio for prognostic markers at two time intervals
MarkerInitial24 h after
CRP2.22/0.392.09/0.46
Ranson1.22/0.711.09/0.87
APACH-II1.23/0.701.01/1.00
Table 6 CRP test
Cut-off value8.35.82.7
Sensitivity70.6%73.5%69.6%
Specificity81.6%68.4%68.7%
Likelihood for positive test3.842.332.22
Likelihood for negative test0.260.440.45