Published online Sep 28, 2022. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v28.i36.5364
Peer-review started: June 26, 2022
First decision: August 1, 2022
Revised: August 9, 2022
Accepted: September 8, 2022
Article in press: September 8, 2022
Published online: September 28, 2022
Processing time: 89 Days and 5.1 Hours
Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease and poses great harm to people’s health. Early identification of MAFLD is imminent.
Atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) is a reference predictor of obesity-related diseases, but its predictive value for MAFLD remains unclear. No studies have reported whether its combination with waist circumference (WC) and body mass index (BMI) can improve the predictive performance for MAFLD.
This study had two main objectives: (1) To systematically explore the relationship between AIP and MAFLD and evaluate its predictive value for MAFLD; and (2) To pioneer a novel prediction model combining AIP, WC, and BMI and validate its predictive performance for MAFLD.
This cross-sectional study consecutively enrolled 864 participants. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the relationship between AIP and MAFLD and its predictive power for MAFLD. The novel prediction model A-W-B combining AIP, WC, and BMI to predict MAFLD was established, and internal verification was completed by magnetic resonance imaging diagnosis.
Subjects with higher AIP exhibited a significantly increased risk of MAFLD, with an odds ratio of 12.420 (6.008-25.675) for AIP after adjusting for various confounding factors. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the A-W-B model was 0.833 (0.807-0.858), which was significantly higher than that of AIP, WC, and BMI (all P <0.05). The best cutoff values for the A-W-B model to predict MAFLD in males and females were 0.5932 and 0.4105, respectively. Additionally, in the validation set the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of A-W-B model to predict MAFLD was 0.862 (0.791-0.916). The A-W-B level was strongly and positively associated with the liver proton density fat fraction (r = 0.630, P < 0.001) and significantly increased with the severity of MAFLD (P < 0.05).
AIP was strongly and positively associated with MAFLD and can be a reference predictor for MAFLD. The novel noninvasive prediction model A-W-B combining AIP, WC, and BMI can significantly improve the predictive ability for MAFLD and provide better services for clinical prediction and screening of MAFLD.
Studies that may be conducted in the future should further explore the predictive value of AIP and the A-W-B model for different severities of MAFLD and other related metabolic diseases.