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Liguori A, Zoncapè M, Casazza G, Easterbrook P, Tsochatzis EA. Staging liver fibrosis and cirrhosis using non-invasive tests in people with chronic hepatitis B to inform WHO 2024 guidelines: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2025; 10:332-349. [PMID: 39983746 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(24)00437-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Revised: 12/14/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Non-invasive tests (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index [APRI] and transient elastography [FibroScan]) were recommended in the 2015 WHO guidelines to guide treatment decisions in people with chronic hepatitis B. We updated the systematic review and meta-analysis that informed the 2015 guidelines to inform new cutoffs for non-invasive tests for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis for the 2024 WHO guidelines for chronic hepatitis B. METHODS We searched PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, and Science Citation Index Expanded (Web of Science) for studies published in any language between Jan 1, 2014, and Feb 15, 2023. We included all studies that reported cross-sectional data on the staging of fibrosis or cirrhosis with APRI, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and FibroScan compared with liver biopsy as the reference standard in people with chronic hepatitis B. We excluded studies in which the maximum interval between liver biopsy and non-invasive fibrosis test was more than 6 months; that reported on fewer than ten patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis; that were done exclusively in children; and did not report diagnostic accuracy across our prespecified ranges of test cutoffs. The results of this updated search were collated with the meta-analysis that informed the 2015 guidelines. Outcomes of interest were the sensitivity and specificity of non-invasive tests using defined index test cutoffs for detecting significant fibrosis (≥F2), advanced fibrosis (≥F3), and cirrhosis (F4) based on the METAVIR staging system. We performed meta-analyses using a bivariate random-effects model. FINDINGS Of 19 933 records identified by our search strategy, 195 were eligible for our systematic review and combined with the 69 studies from the previous meta-analysis to total 264. Two studies were at low risk of bias, 31 studies had unclear risk of bias, and 231 studies had a high risk of bias. Of these 264, 211 studies with 61 665 patients were used in the meta-analysis. For the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (≥F2), sensitivity and specificity were 72·9% (95% CI 70·2-75·5) and 64·7% (95% CI 61·0-68·2) for the APRI low cutoff (>0·3 to 0·7), 30·5% (23·7-38·3) and 92·3% (89·3-94·6) for the APRI high cutoff (>1·3 to 1·7), and 75·1% (72·2-77·7) and 79·3% (76·2-82·2) for FibroScan (>6·0 to 8·0 kPa), respectively. For the diagnosis of cirrhosis (F4), sensitivity and specificity were 59·4% (53·2-65·2) and 73·9% (70·1-77·4) for the APRI low cutoff (>0·8 to 1·2), 30·2% (24·2-36·9) and 88·2% (85·4-90·6) for the APRI high cutoff (>1·8 to 2·2), and 82·6% (77·8-86·5) and 89·0% (86·3-91·2) for FibroScan (>11·0 to 14·0 kPa), respectively. Using a hypothetical population of 1000 unselected patients with chronic hepatitis B with a 25% prevalence of significant fibrosis (≥F2), the APRI low cutoff for significant fibrosis (≥F2) would result in 262 (26·2%) false positives but only 68 (6·8%) false negatives. The FibroScan cutoff would result in 158 (15·8%) false positives and 63 (6·3%) false negatives. In a population with a 5% prevalence of cirrhosis (F4), the APRI low cutoff for cirrhosis (F4) would result in 247 (24·7%) false positives and 21 (2·1%) false negatives and the FibroScan cutoff would result in 105 (10·5%) false positives and nine (0·9%) false negatives. INTERPRETATION These findings have informed new thresholds of APRI and FibroScan for diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in the 2024 WHO guidelines on chronic hepatitis B, with an APRI score greater than 0·5 or a FibroScan value greater than 7·0 kPa considered to identify most adults with significant fibrosis (≥F2) and an APRI score greater than 1·0 or a FibroScan value greater than 12·5 kPa to identify most adults with cirrhosis (F4). These patients are a priority for antiviral treatment. FUNDING WHO.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonio Liguori
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital and University College London, London, UK; Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Mirko Zoncapè
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital and University College London, London, UK; Liver Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Verona and Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Giovanni Casazza
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy; Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Philippa Easterbrook
- Department of Global HIV, Hepatitis and STI Programmes, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Emmanuel A Tsochatzis
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital and University College London, London, UK.
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Xiong FX, Sun L, Zhang XJ, Chen JL, Zhou Y, Ji XM, Meng PP, Wu T, Wang XB, Hou YX. Machine learning-based models for advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis patients: A cohort study. World J Gastroenterol 2025; 31:101383. [PMID: 40061588 PMCID: PMC11886044 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v31.i9.101383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2024] [Revised: 12/02/2024] [Accepted: 01/08/2025] [Indexed: 02/18/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The global prevalence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and its associated risk of adverse outcomes, particularly in patients with advanced liver fibrosis, underscores the importance of early and accurate diagnosis. AIM To develop a machine learning-based diagnostic model for advanced liver fibrosis in NASH patients. METHODS A total of 749 patients who underwent liver biopsy at Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, between January 2010 and January 2020 were included. Patients were randomly divided into training (n = 522) and validation (n = 224) cohorts. Five machine learning models were applied to predict advanced liver fibrosis, with feature selection based on Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). The diagnostic performance of these models was compared to traditional scores such as the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4), using metrics including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration curves. RESULTS The Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model outperformed all other machine learning models, achieving an AUROC of 0.934 (95%CI: 0.914-0.955) in the training cohort and 0.917 (95%CI: 0.880-0.953) in the validation cohort (P < 0.001). Incorporating liver stiffness measurement into the model further improved its performance, with an AUROC of 0.977 (95%CI: 0.966-0.980) in the training cohort and 0.970 (95%CI: 0.950-0.990) in the validation cohort, significantly surpassing APRI and FIB-4 scores (P < 0.001). The XGBoost model also demonstrated superior clinical utility, as evidenced by DCA and calibration curve analysis in both cohorts. CONCLUSION The XGBoost model provides a highly accurate, non-invasive diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis in NASH patients, outperforming traditional methods. An online tool based on this model has been developed to assist clinicians in evaluating the risk of advanced liver fibrosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fei-Xiang Xiong
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Lei Sun
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
- Department of Pathology, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Xue-Jie Zhang
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Jia-Liang Chen
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Yang Zhou
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Xiao-Min Ji
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Pei-Pei Meng
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Tong Wu
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Xian-Bo Wang
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
| | - Yi-Xin Hou
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100015, China
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Xia W, Tan Y, Mei B, Zhou Y, Tan J, Pubu Z, Sang B, Jiang T. Application of Interpretable Machine Learning Models to Predict the Risk Factors of HBV-Related Liver Cirrhosis in CHB Patients Based on Routine Clinical Data: A Retrospective Cohort Study. J Med Virol 2025; 97:e70302. [PMID: 40105097 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.70302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2024] [Revised: 12/12/2024] [Accepted: 03/09/2025] [Indexed: 03/20/2025]
Abstract
Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection represents a significant global public health issue, often leading to hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC) with poor prognoses. Early identification of HBV-LC risk is essential for timely intervention. This study develops and compares nine machine learning (ML) models to predict HBV-LC risk in CHB patients using routine clinical and laboratory data. A retrospective analysis was conducted involving 777 CHB patients, with 50.45% (392/777) progressing to HBV-LC. Admission data consisted of 52 clinical and laboratory variables, with missing values addressed using multiple imputation. Feature selection utilized Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and the Boruta algorithm, identifying 24 key variables. The evaluated ML models included XGBoost, logistic regression (LR), LightGBM, random forest (RF), AdaBoost, Gaussian naive Bayes (GNB), multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN). The data set was partitioned into an 80% training set (n = 621) and a 20% independent testing set (n = 156). Cross-validation (CV) facilitated hyperparameter tuning and internal validation of the optimal model. Performance metrics included the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Brier score, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score. The RF model demonstrated superior performance, with AUCs of 0.992 (training) and 0.907 (validation), while the reconstructed model achieved AUCs of 0.944 (training) and 0.945 (validation), maintaining an AUC of 0.863 in the testing set. Calibration curves confirmed a strong alignment between observed and predicted probabilities. Decision curve analysis indicated that the RF model provided the highest net benefit across threshold probabilities. The SHAP algorithm identified RPR, PLT, HBV DNA, ALT, and TBA as critical predictors. This interpretable ML model enhances early HBV-LC prediction and supports clinical decision-making in resource-limited settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Xia
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, People's Republic of China
- Center for Scientific Research and Medical Transformation, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Hubei, People's Republic of China
| | - Yafeng Tan
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, People's Republic of China
| | - Bing Mei
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, People's Republic of China
| | - Yizheng Zhou
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, People's Republic of China
- Center for Scientific Research and Medical Transformation, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Hubei, People's Republic of China
| | - Jufang Tan
- Department of pediatrics, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Hubei, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhaxi Pubu
- Department of pediatrics, Lozha County People's Hospital, Shannan, Xizang Autonomous Region, People's Republic of China
| | - Bu Sang
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Lozha County People's Hospital, Shannan, Xizang Autonomous Region, Shannan, People's Republic of China
| | - Tao Jiang
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Jingzhou Hospital Affiliated to Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, People's Republic of China
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Patel K, Asrani SK, Fiel MI, Levine D, Leung DH, Duarte-Rojo A, Dranoff JA, Nayfeh T, Hasan B, Taddei TH, Alsawaf Y, Saadi S, Majzoub AM, Manolopoulos A, Alzuabi M, Ding J, Sofiyeva N, Murad MH, Alsawas M, Rockey DC, Sterling RK. Accuracy of blood-based biomarkers for staging liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease: A systematic review supporting the AASLD Practice Guideline. Hepatology 2025; 81:358-379. [PMID: 38489517 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000000842] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2023] [Accepted: 02/19/2024] [Indexed: 03/17/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Blood-based biomarkers have been proposed as an alternative to liver biopsy for noninvasive liver disease assessment in chronic liver disease. Our aims for this systematic review were to evaluate the diagnostic utility of selected blood-based tests either alone, or in combination, for identifying significant fibrosis (F2-4), advanced fibrosis (F3-4), and cirrhosis (F4), as compared to biopsy in chronic liver disease. APPROACH AND RESULTS We included a comprehensive search of databases including Ovid MEDLINE(R), EMBASE, Cochrane Database, and Scopus through to April 2022. Two independent reviewers selected 286 studies with 103,162 patients. The most frequently identified studies included the simple aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis (FIB)-4 markers (with low-to-moderate risk of bias) in HBV and HCV, HIV-HCV/HBV coinfection, and NAFLD. Positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios across direct and indirect biomarker tests for HCV and HBV for F2-4, F3-4, or F4 were 1.66-6.25 and 0.23-0.80, 1.89-5.24 and 0.12-0.64, and 1.32-7.15 and 0.15-0.86, respectively; LR+ and LR- for NAFLD F2-4, F3-4, and F4 were 2.65-3.37 and 0.37-0.39, 2.25-6.76 and 0.07-0.87, and 3.90 and 0.15, respectively. Overall, the proportional odds ratio indicated FIB-4 <1.45 was better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index <0.5 for F2-4. FIB-4 >3.25 was also better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index >1.5 for F3-4 and F4. There was limited data for combined tests. CONCLUSIONS Blood-based biomarkers are associated with small-to-moderate change in pretest probability for diagnosing F2-4, F3-4, and F4 in viral hepatitis, HIV-HCV coinfection, and NAFLD, with limited comparative or combination studies for other chronic liver diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keyur Patel
- Department of Medcine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sumeet K Asrani
- Department of Medicine, Division of Hepatology, Baylor University Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Maria Isabel Fiel
- Department of Pathology, Molecular and Cell-Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Deborah Levine
- Department of Radiology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Daniel H Leung
- Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine and Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Andres Duarte-Rojo
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Northwestern Medicine and Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Jonathan A Dranoff
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Digestive Diseases, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Tarek Nayfeh
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Bashar Hasan
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Tamar H Taddei
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Digestive Diseases, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Yahya Alsawaf
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Samer Saadi
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | | | | | - Muayad Alzuabi
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Jingyi Ding
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Nigar Sofiyeva
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Mohammad H Murad
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Mouaz Alsawas
- Mayo Clinic Evidence-based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
- Department of Medicine, Section of Hepatology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Don C Rockey
- Department of Medicine, Digestive Disease Research Center, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA
| | - Richard K Sterling
- Department of Medicine, Section of Hepatology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
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Rui F, Xu L, Yeo YH, Xu Y, Ni W, Tan Y, Zheng Q, Tian X, Zeng QL, He Z, Qiu Y, Zhu C, Ding W, Wang J, Huang R, Xue Q, Wang X, Chen Y, Fan J, Fan Z, Ogawa E, Kwak MS, Qi X, Shi J, Wong VWS, Wu C, Li J. Machine Learning-Based Models for Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis Diagnosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Hepatic Steatosis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 22:2250-2260.e12. [PMID: 38906440 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.06.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2023] [Revised: 06/10/2024] [Accepted: 06/11/2024] [Indexed: 06/23/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The global rise of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) superimposed on hepatic steatosis (HS) warrants noninvasive, precise tools for assessing fibrosis progression. This study leveraged machine learning (ML) to develop diagnostic models for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in this patient population. METHODS Treatment-naive CHB patients with concurrent HS who underwent liver biopsy in 10 medical centers were enrolled as a training cohort and an independent external validation cohort (NCT05766449). Six ML models were implemented to predict advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. The final models, derived from SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations), were compared with Fibrosis-4 Index, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease Fibrosis Score, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index using the area under receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS Of 1,198 eligible patients, the random forest model achieved AUROCs of 0.778 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.749-0.807) for diagnosing advanced fibrosis (random forest advanced fibrosis model) and 0.777 (95% CI, 0.748-0.806) for diagnosing cirrhosis (random forest cirrhosis model) in the training cohort, and maintained high AUROCs in the validation cohort. In the training cohort, the random forest advanced fibrosis model obtained an AUROC of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.787-0.862) in patients with hepatitis B virus DNA ≥105 IU/mL, and the random forest cirrhosis model had an AUROC of 0.828 (95% CI, 0.774-0.883) in female patients. The 2 models outperformed Fibrosis-4 Index, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease Fibrosis Score, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index in the training cohort, and also performed well in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS The random forest models provide reliable, noninvasive tools for identifying advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in CHB patients with concurrent HS, offering a significant advancement in the comanagement of the 2 diseases. CLINICALTRIALS gov, Number: NCT05766449.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fajuan Rui
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China; Institute of Viruses and Infectious Diseases, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Liang Xu
- Clinical School of the Second People's Hospital, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China; Department of Hepatology, Tianjin Second People's Hospital, Tianjin, China; Tianjin Research Institute of Liver Diseases, Tianjin, China
| | - Yee Hui Yeo
- Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Yayun Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology, West China Tianfu Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Wenjing Ni
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China; Institute of Viruses and Infectious Diseases, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Youwen Tan
- Department of Hepatology, The Third Hospital of Zhenjiang Affiliated Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, China
| | - Qi Zheng
- Department of Hepatology, Hepatology Research institute, the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Xiaorong Tian
- School of Computer Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geo-Information Processing, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
| | - Qing-Lei Zeng
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Zebao He
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Taizhou, China
| | - Yuanwang Qiu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Fifth People's Hospital of Wuxi, Wuxi, China
| | - Chuanwu Zhu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Affiliated Infectious Diseases Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Weimao Ding
- Department of Hepatology, Huai'an No.4 People's Hospital, Huai'an, China
| | - Jian Wang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Rui Huang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Qi Xue
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Tai'an, China
| | - Xueqi Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang People's Hospital, Weifang, China
| | - Yunliang Chen
- School of Computer Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geo-Information Processing, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
| | - Junqing Fan
- School of Computer Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geo-Information Processing, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
| | - Zhiwen Fan
- Department of Pathology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Eiichi Ogawa
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Kyushu University Hospital, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Min-Sun Kwak
- Department of Internal Medicine, Healthcare Research Institute, Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea
| | - Xiaolong Qi
- Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
| | - Junping Shi
- Department of Infectious and Hepatology Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China.
| | - Vincent Wai-Sun Wong
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China; State Key Laboratory of Digestive Disease, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Chao Wu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China; Institute of Viruses and Infectious Diseases, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jie Li
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China; Institute of Viruses and Infectious Diseases, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
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Dejanović B, Barak O, Čolović P, Janjić N, Savić Ž, Gvozdanović N, Ružić M. Hospital Mortality in Acute Decompensation of Alcoholic Liver Cirrhosis: Can Novel Survival Markers Outperform Traditional Ones? J Clin Med 2024; 13:6208. [PMID: 39458158 PMCID: PMC11508931 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13206208] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2024] [Revised: 10/13/2024] [Accepted: 10/16/2024] [Indexed: 10/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Background: There is a strong correlation between systemic inflammation intensity and clinical presentation, disease progression, and survival during liver cirrhosis decompensation. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic performance of blood-based biomarkers as meta-inflammation markers, including NLR, PLR, LMR, INPR, MPR, ALBI, FIB4, and APRI, in predicting hospital mortality in patients with acute decompensation of alcohol-related liver cirrhosis. Methods: Data from 411 patients with their first onset of acute decompensation were analyzed, forming two groups: deceased and survived during hospitalization. Generalized partial least squares regression analysis was applied to explore the effects of surrogate indicators on mortality rates, using mortality rate as the dependent variable. Root Mean Square Error, Akaike's, and Bayesian information criteria determined that four components accounted for most of the variance. Results: Variables with significant negative contributions to the outcome prediction (ranked by standardized regression coefficients) were encephalopathy grade, total bilirubin, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, MELD, NLR, MPV, FIB4, INR, PLR, and ALT. Coefficient sizes ranged from -0.63 to -0.09, with p-values from 0 to 0.018. Conclusions: NLR, PLR, and FIB4 significantly contribute to hospital mortality prediction in patients with acute decompensation of alcohol-related liver cirrhosis. Conversely, some variables used to predict liver disease severity, including INPR, APRI, LMR, and ALBI score, did not significantly contribute to hospital mortality prediction in this patient population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Božidar Dejanović
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia; (O.B.); (N.J.); (Ž.S.); (N.G.); (M.R.)
- Clinic of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center of Vojvodina, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
| | - Otto Barak
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia; (O.B.); (N.J.); (Ž.S.); (N.G.); (M.R.)
| | - Petar Čolović
- Department of Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia;
| | - Nebojša Janjić
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia; (O.B.); (N.J.); (Ž.S.); (N.G.); (M.R.)
- Clinic of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center of Vojvodina, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
| | - Željka Savić
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia; (O.B.); (N.J.); (Ž.S.); (N.G.); (M.R.)
- Clinic of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center of Vojvodina, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
| | - Nikola Gvozdanović
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia; (O.B.); (N.J.); (Ž.S.); (N.G.); (M.R.)
- Clinic of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center of Vojvodina, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
| | - Maja Ružić
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia; (O.B.); (N.J.); (Ž.S.); (N.G.); (M.R.)
- Clinic of Infectious Disease, University Clinical Center of Vojvodina, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
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7
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Chen Y, Wei M, Chen M, Wu C, Ding H, Pan X. A non-invasive diagnostic nomogram for CHB-related early cirrhosis: a prospective study. Sci Rep 2024; 14:15343. [PMID: 38961222 PMCID: PMC11222540 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-66560-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2023] [Accepted: 07/02/2024] [Indexed: 07/05/2024] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to construct a non-invasive diagnostic nomogram based on high-frequency ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging results for early liver cirrhosis patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) which cannot be detected by conventional non-invasive examination methods but can only be diagnosed through invasive liver puncture for pathological examination. 72 patients with CHB were enrolled in this prospective study, and divided into S4 stage of liver cirrhosis and S0-S3 stage of non-liver cirrhosis according to pathological findings. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors, and a diagnostic nomogram was constructed for CHB-related early cirrhosis. It was validated and calibrated by bootstrap self-extraction. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR 1.14, 95% CI (1.04-1.27)), right hepatic vein diameter (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.23-0.82), presence or absence of nodules (OR 31.98, 95% CI 3.84-266.08), and hepatic parenchymal echogenicity grading (OR 12.82, 95% CI 2.12-77.51) were identified as independent predictive indicators. The nomogram based on the 4 factors above showed good performance, with a sensitivity and specificity of 90.70% and 89.66%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction model was 0.96, and the predictive model showed better predictive performance than APRI score (AUC 0.57), FIB-4 score (AUC 0.64), INPR score (AUC 0.63), and LSM score (AUC 0.67). The calibration curve of the prediction model fit well with the ideal curve, and the decision curve analysis showed that the net benefit of the model was significant. The nomogram in this study can detect liver cirrhosis in most CHB patients without liver biopsy, providing a direct, fast, and accurate practical diagnostic tool for clinical doctors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuxia Chen
- Decheng Hospital of Quanzhou, Affiliated of Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362100, China.
| | - Meijuan Wei
- Decheng Hospital of Quanzhou, Affiliated of Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362100, China
| | - Meng Chen
- Decheng Hospital of Quanzhou, Affiliated of Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362100, China
| | - Chenyu Wu
- Decheng Hospital of Quanzhou, Affiliated of Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362100, China
| | - Hongbing Ding
- Decheng Hospital of Quanzhou, Affiliated of Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362100, China
| | - Xingnan Pan
- Decheng Hospital of Quanzhou, Affiliated of Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362100, China
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8
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Ting CW, Lee TH, Huang YH. Utilizing the International Normalized Ratio-Platelet Index for Predicting Hospital Outcomes After Spontaneous Supratentorial Intracerebral Hemorrhage. World Neurosurg 2024; 185:e555-e562. [PMID: 38382762 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2024.02.073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2024] [Accepted: 02/12/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) poses a public health issue due to its elevated mortality rates. The International Normalized Ratio-platelet index (INR-Plt index) has recently been recognized as a predictive factor for liver disease progression. The potential of applying the INR-Plt index in forecasting ICH prognosis presents an intriguing subject. This study endeavors to examine the correlation between the INR-Plt index and hospital outcomes in patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH. METHODS A retrospective examination of 283 adult ICH patients was undertaken. The INR-Plt index was computed using the formula: [INR/platelet counts (1000/μL)] × 100. The clinical outcomes evaluated consisted of mortality rates and the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at discharge. An unfavorable outcome was defined as an mRS score from 4 to 6. RESULTS The study found a significant correlation between the INR-Plt index and hospital mortality (odds ratio: 4.31, 95% CI: 1.07-17.31, P = 0.04). There was a 43% rise in mortality risk for every 0.1 unit increase in the INR-Plt index. Kaplan-Meier survival curves illustrated a considerably lower survival rate at discharge for patients with an INR-Plt index >0.8 (log-rank test: P = 0.047). Regarding unfavorable outcomes, the INR-Plt index was not a significant factor according to logistic regression analyses. CONCLUSIONS The INR-Plt index is a predictor of hospital mortality in patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH. A higher INR-Plt index value is associated with an increased risk of mortality, underlining the potential usefulness of this composite index in guiding clinical decision-making and enabling risk stratification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chun-Wei Ting
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Tsung-Han Lee
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Hua Huang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; School of Medicine, College of Medicine, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
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9
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Ahmed Y, El-Kassas M. Interpreting Serogical Markers in Hepatitis B Virus Infection. INFECTIOUS DISEASES IN CLINICAL PRACTICE 2023; 31. [DOI: 10.1097/ipc.0000000000001322] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/03/2025]
Abstract
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is considered a global health-related problem. The World Health Organization estimates an incidence of approximately 1.5 million new cases annually despite an available effective vaccine, and approximately 296 million people worldwide are living with chronic hepatitis B. This large number of patients require continuous monitoring of the treatment efficacy, disease progression, and screening for the HBV-related liver complications. Recently, it has become more evident that we need better predictive markers to allow treatment cessation when there is a reduced risk of viral reactivation, in addition to the present need to predict disease outcome and improve the management of people living with chronic hepatitis B. Novel HBV biomarkers are focused on in this minireview. These new markers include quantification of serum HBV RNA, hepatitis B core–related antigen, quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen, quantitative anti–hepatitis B core antigen, and detection of HBV nucleic acid–related antigen. The target of finding new markers for HBV replication is to provide crucial clinical data in a noninvasive way for detecting the replicative and transcriptional activity of the virus. This may support better management of patients compared with the criterion-standard invasive marker for detecting the intrahepatic replication and transcription of HBV, which is the quantification of covalently closed circular DNA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yasmeen Ahmed
- Tropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University
| | - Mohamed El-Kassas
- Endemic Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Helwan University, Cairo, Egypt
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10
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Li F, Wang T, Liang J, Qian B, Tang F, Gao Y, Lv J. Albumin‑bilirubin grade and INR for the prediction of esophagogastric variceal rebleeding after endoscopic treatment in cirrhosis. Exp Ther Med 2023; 26:501. [PMID: 37822588 PMCID: PMC10562956 DOI: 10.3892/etm.2023.12200] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2023] [Accepted: 08/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Rebleeding following endoscopic treatment in patients with cirrhosis is a serious life-threatening complication. In the present study, a novel, reliable and non-invasive score for prediction of rebleeding following endoscopic therapy for esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) was developed. The present retrospective study recruited cirrhotic patients with EGVB (n=596) who underwent endoscopic therapy. Patients hospitalized from January 2015 to January 2020 were grouped into a training (n=437) cohort to develop the new score and those hospitalized from February 2020 to February 2022 were grouped into a validation (n=159) cohort to validate the score. The international normalized ratio (INR) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade were used to develop the INR-ALBI (IALBI) score to predict risk of rebleeding. In the training cohort, the prognostic performance of the IALBI score and other ALBI-associated scores (modified ALBI, platelet-ALBI and ALBI-fibrosis-4) at 1, 3 and 12 months was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan-Meier analysis. At each time point, most areas under the ROC curve of IALBI were higher than those of other ALBI-associated scores, particularly for prediction of early rebleeding. At 1 month, the rebleeding rates of patients with IALBI grade 2 and 3 were ~10.0- and 19.5-times higher than those of patients with grade 1, respectively. The negative predictive value (NPV) of IALBI for the training and validation cohort at 1 month was 100.0 and 97.8%, respectively. For viral and non-viral patients in the training cohort, IALBI showed good predictive ability and NPV for early rebleeding. The IALBI grading system successfully assessed rebleeding, particularly early rebleeding, in cirrhotic patients with EGVB following endoscopic therapy IALBI grade 1, predicted low risk of rebleeding and may not require endoscopic treatment again in the short-term.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fenghui Li
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
| | - Tao Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
| | - Jing Liang
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
| | - Baoxin Qian
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
| | - Fei Tang
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
| | - Yanying Gao
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
| | - Jiayu Lv
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extra-Corporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, Tianjin 300170, P.R. China
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11
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Luo J, Du Z, Liang D, Li M, Yin Y, Chen M, Yang L. Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase-to-Platelet ratio predicts liver fibrosis in patients with concomitant chronic hepatitis B and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. J Clin Lab Anal 2022; 36:e24596. [PMID: 35808928 PMCID: PMC9396178 DOI: 10.1002/jcla.24596] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2021] [Revised: 04/16/2022] [Accepted: 06/27/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to compare the correlation of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index-4 (FIB-4), and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis, and perform a diagnostic value of GPR for predicting fibrosis in CHB patients with NAFLD. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted on CHB patients concurrent with NAFLD between September 2019 and December 2020. They were divided into control group (LSM ≤ 9.7 kpa) and fibrosis group (LSM ≥ 9.8 kpa). Demographic data were collected; ALT, AST, and PLT were also detected. LSM was measured by transient elastography (TE). The GPR, APRI, and FIB-4 were calculated. The correlation between GPR, APRI, FIB-4, and LSM was compared. The accuracy of predicting liver fibrosis using GPR, APRI, and FIB-4 was assessed. RESULTS Eighty-five CHB patients with NAFLD were enrolled. Multivariate analysis showed that age (p = 0.005), GGT (p = 0.001), and PLT (p = 0.013) were the independent risk factors for LSM. The GPR (p = 0.008), APRI (p = 0.001), and FIB-4 (p = 0.001) values in fibrosis group were higher than control group. Pearson linear correlation was used to analyze the correlations between LSM and GPR, APRI, and FIB-4. LSM was correlated with GPR, APRI, and FIB-4. The AUCs of GPR, APRI, and FIB4 were 0.805, 0.766, and 0.826 in assessing liver fibrosis, respectively. No significant differences in the areas of GPR were comparable to that of APRI and FIB-4. CONCLUSION GPR has a good correlation with LSM in assessing liver fibrosis and can be used as a noninvasive index for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with concomitant CHB and NAFLD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Luo
- Department of Hepatology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, ShenZhen LuoHu People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Zhan Du
- Department of Medical Examination, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Luohu People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Dongli Liang
- Department of Hepatology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, ShenZhen LuoHu People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Manni Li
- Department of Hepatology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, ShenZhen LuoHu People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Yanyao Yin
- Department of Hepatology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, ShenZhen LuoHu People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Mingfa Chen
- Department of Hepatology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, ShenZhen LuoHu People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Liuqing Yang
- Department of Infectious Disease, The Third People's Hospital of Shenzhen, The Second Affiliated Hospital to Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
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12
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Li Y, Li C, Zhang L, Hu W, Luo H, Li J, Qiu S, Zhu S. Serum CHI3L1 as a diagnostic marker and risk factor for liver fibrosis in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B. Am J Transl Res 2022; 14:4090-4096. [PMID: 35836859 PMCID: PMC9274598] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2022] [Accepted: 05/16/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) as the major inducement of hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis, imposes a heavy health burden upon patients. This research aims to investigate the diagnostic value of serum chitinase 3-like 1 (CHI3L1) in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative CHB liver fibrosis (LF) and to analyze the risk factors. We selected 78 patients with HBeAg-negative CHB admitted to our hospital between October 2018 and October 2019, and grouped them (F0,1 group, n=38; F2-4 group, n=40) based on their stages evaluated by the METAVIR scoring system. Cubital venous blood was collected from patients in both groups to quantify the content of CHI3L1 after serum extraction. The correlation of CHI3L1 in CHB with LF diagnostic markers fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) and γ-glutamyltranspeptidase (GGT) to platelet (PLT) ratio (GPR) as well as LF staging was analyzed. The diagnostic value of serum CHI3L1 in HBeAg-negative CHB fibrosis staging was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the multivariate analysis of the risk factors for FB in HBeAg-negative CHB patients was performed using the Logistic regression model. This study found that serum CHI3L1 was positively correlated not only with LF markers (FIB-4, GPR), but also with LF staging. Serum CHI3L1 had high diagnostic efficiency for LF staging, with the sensitivity and specificity of 80.00% and 71.05%, respectively. In addition, CHI3L1, FIB-4, and GPR were identified to be the risk factors for LF in HBeAg-negative CHB. In conclusion, serum CHI3L1 can be used as a diagnostic marker and risk factor for LF in patients with HBeAg-negative CHB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuecui Li
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Chenghang Li
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Lili Zhang
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Weiyue Hu
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Hongxia Luo
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jin Li
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Shuai Qiu
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
| | - Shengwei Zhu
- Department of Infection Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Yongkang Yongkang 321300, Zhejiang, China
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13
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Wang Z, Zhou Y, Yu P, Liu Y, Mei M, Bian Z, Shao W, Lv J, Li X, Lu W, Xu L. Retrospective Evaluation of Non-Invasive Assessment Based on Routine Laboratory Markers for Assessing Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients. Int J Gen Med 2022; 15:5159-5171. [PMID: 35642202 PMCID: PMC9148603 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s364216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2022] [Accepted: 05/03/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND At present, there is a lack of cheap, effective and convenient detection methods for hepatitis B-related liver fibrosis, especially in the developing area. AIM To evaluate the non-invasive methods for the significant and advanced fibrosis stage in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) patients in basic hospitals and to assess their diagnostic utility. METHODS The study included 436 consecutive naive HBV individuals who had their livers biopsied. They were examined in one week using aspartate aminotransferase-to-aspartate aminotransferase ratio (AAR), age-platelet index (API), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Forns, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), S-index and transient elastography (TE). Scheuer scoring system was used to determine the histologic fibrosis grades (S0-S4). The diagnostic effectiveness was assessed using AUROCs and the DeLong test, both of which were based on statistical comparisons. RESULTS For both substantial (≧S2) and advanced (≧S3) fibrosis phases, TE had good diagnostic performance in determining the hepatic fibrosis. Similar diagnostic performance was shown with Forns and S-index when it came to detecting fibrosis stages lower than S3. One model's diagnostic value was not significantly improved by combining serum models. Correlation coefficients between clinical features and fibrosis phases were greatest for Forns (r = 0.397), S-index (r = 0.382) and TE (r = 0.535) when compared to other variables. CONCLUSION This investigation showed that Forns and S-index may be helpful strategies for detecting advanced fibrosis in HBV patients admitted to community hospitals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zeyu Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin, Tianjin’s Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, 300060, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yonghe Zhou
- Ultrasound department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
- Tianjin Research Institute of Liver Diseases, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Pengzhi Yu
- Ultrasound department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
- Tianjin Research Institute of Liver Diseases, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yonggang Liu
- Tianjin Research Institute of Liver Diseases, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
- Pathology Department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Mei Mei
- Department of Gastroenterology, Tianjin Haihe Hospital, Tianjin, 300350, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhuo Bian
- Ultrasound department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wei Shao
- Ultrasound department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jinxia Lv
- Ultrasound department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xin Li
- Ultrasound department, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wei Lu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin, Tianjin’s Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, 300060, People’s Republic of China
- Tianjin Research Institute of Liver Diseases, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Hepatology, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
| | - Liang Xu
- Tianjin Research Institute of Liver Diseases, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Hepatology, Tianjin Second People’s Hospital, Tianjin, 300192, People’s Republic of China
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14
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Vachon A, Osiowy C. Novel Biomarkers of Hepatitis B Virus and Their Use in Chronic Hepatitis B Patient Management. Viruses 2021; 13:951. [PMID: 34064049 PMCID: PMC8224022 DOI: 10.3390/v13060951] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2021] [Revised: 05/17/2021] [Accepted: 05/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Even though an approved vaccine for hepatitis B virus (HBV) is available and widely used, over 257 million individuals worldwide are living with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who require monitoring of treatment response, viral activity, and disease progression to reduce their risk of HBV-related liver disease. There is currently a lack of predictive markers to guide clinical management and to allow treatment cessation with reduced risk of viral reactivation. Novel HBV biomarkers are in development in an effort to improve the management of people living with CHB, to predict disease outcomes of CHB, and further understand the natural history of HBV. This review focuses on novel HBV biomarkers and their use in the clinical setting, including the description of and methodology for quantification of serum HBV RNA, hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg), quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen (qHBsAg), including ultrasensitive HBsAg detection, quantitative anti-hepatitis B core antigen (qAHBc), and detection of HBV nucleic acid-related antigen (HBV-NRAg). The utility of these biomarkers in treatment-naïve and treated CHB patients in several clinical situations is further discussed. Novel HBV biomarkers have been observed to provide critical clinical information and show promise for improving patient management and our understanding of the natural history of HBV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alicia Vachon
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB R3E 0J9, Canada;
- National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, MB R3E 3R2, Canada
| | - Carla Osiowy
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB R3E 0J9, Canada;
- National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, MB R3E 3R2, Canada
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15
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Ding R, Zhou X, Huang D, Wang Y, Li X, Yan L, Lu W, Yang Z, Zhang Z. Nomogram for predicting advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease. BMC Gastroenterol 2021; 21:190. [PMID: 33906623 PMCID: PMC8077956 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-021-01774-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2020] [Accepted: 04/20/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We aimed to formulate a novel predictive nomogram to discriminate liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic liver disease. METHODS Nomograms were established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The predictive accuracy of the nomograms was assessed by ROC analysis and calibration. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical benefit of the nomograms. RESULTS INR, platelets, and N-terminal propeptide type III collagen (PIIINP) were independent predictors for advanced liver fibrosis (≥ S3) and cirrhosis (S4) in patients with chronic liver disease in the training cohort. In the training set, the areas under the ROCs (AUROCs) of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.83, 0.71, 0.68, and 0.74, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.74, 0.78, and 0.79, respectively. The calibrations showed optimal agreement between the prediction by the established nomograms and actual observation. In the validation set, the AUROCs of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.86, 0.79, 0.78, and 0.81, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.77, 0.81, and 0.83, respectively. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis suggested that the nomograms represent better clinical benefits in both independent cohorts than APRI, FIB-4, and GPR. CONCLUSION The constructed nomograms could be a superior tool for discriminating advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic liver disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rongrong Ding
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Xinlan Zhou
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Dan Huang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Yanbing Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Xiufen Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Li Yan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Wei Lu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Zongguo Yang
- Department of Integrative Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
| | - Zhanqing Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, 2901 Caolang Road, Shanghai, 201508 China
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Ding R, Zhou X, Huang D, Wang Y, Li X, Yan L, Lu W, Yang Z, Zhang Z. Predictive Performances of Blood Parameter Ratios for Liver Inflammation and Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Infection. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2021; 2021:6644855. [PMID: 33937406 PMCID: PMC8055419 DOI: 10.1155/2021/6644855] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2020] [Revised: 03/19/2021] [Accepted: 03/29/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Blood parameter ratios, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), have been reported that they are correlated to the progression of liver disease. This study is aimed at evaluating the predictive value of PLR, NLR, and MLR for liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS We recruited 457 patients with CHB who underwent a liver biopsy and routine laboratory tests. Liver histology was assessed according to the Scheuer scoring system. The predictive accuracy for liver inflammation and fibrosis was assessed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. RESULTS PLR and NLR presented significantly reverse correlation to liver inflammation and fibrosis. However, these correlations were not observed for MLR and liver histology. The AUROCs of PLR for assessing G2-3 and G3 were 0.676 and 0.705 with cutoffs 74.27 and 68.75, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR in predicting inflammatory scores G2-3 and G3 were 0.616 and 0.569 with cutoffs 1.36 and 1.85, respectively. The AUROCs of PLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.723 and 0.757 with cutoffs 79.67 and 74.27, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.590 with cutoff 1.14. CONCLUSION Although PLR has similar predictive power of progressive liver fibrosis compared with APRI, FIB-4, and GPR in CHB patients, it has the advantage of less cost and easy application with the potential to be widely used in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rongrong Ding
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Xinlan Zhou
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Dan Huang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Yanbing Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Xiufen Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Li Yan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Wei Lu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Zongguo Yang
- Department of Integrative Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
| | - Zhanqing Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China
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