Bredt LC, Peres LAB, Risso M, Barros LCAL. Risk factors and prediction of acute kidney injury after liver transplantation: Logistic regression and artificial neural network approaches . World J Hepatol 2022; 14(3): 570-582 [PMID: 35582300 DOI: 10.4254/wjh.v14.i3.570]
Corresponding Author of This Article
Luis Cesar Bredt, FRCS (Gen Surg), MD, PhD, Full Professor, Surgeon, Department of Surgical Oncology and Hepatobilary Surgery, Unioeste, Tancredo Neves Avenue, Cascavel 85819-110, Paraná, Brazil. lcbredt@gmail.com
Research Domain of This Article
Transplantation
Article-Type of This Article
Retrospective Cohort Study
Open-Access Policy of This Article
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World J Hepatol. Mar 27, 2022; 14(3): 570-582 Published online Mar 27, 2022. doi: 10.4254/wjh.v14.i3.570
Table 1 Diagnostic criteria for kidney dysfunction in cirrhosis (Wong et al[22], 2011)
Diagnosis
Definition
AKI
Rise in serum creatinine of > 50% from baseline or rise of sCr by > 26.4 mmol/L (> 0.3 mg/dL) in < 48 h; HRS type 1 is a specific form of AKI
CKD
eGFR of < 60 mL/min for > 3 mo calculated using MDRD6 formula; HRS type 2 is a specific form of CKD
ACKD
Rise in serum creatinine of > 50% from baseline or rise of sCr by > 26.4 mmol/L (> 0.3 mg/dL) in < 48 h in a patient with cirrhosis whose eGFR is < 60 ml/min for > 3 mo calculated using MDRD6 formula
Table 2 Definition and classification of acute kidney injury for patients with liver cirrhosis according to the International Club of Ascites (Angeli et al[23], 2015)
Baseline sCr
A sCr value obtained in 3 mo prior to hospital admission, with preference to the value dated the closest to hospital admission. In patients without a previous sCr value, the value on admission should be used
AKI definition
Increase in sCr ≥ 0.3 mg/dL (≥ 26.5 µmol/L) within 48 h; or the percentage increase in sCr ≥ 50%, which occurred in the last 7 d
Stage 1 AKI
Increase in sCr ≥ 0.3 mg/dL (26.5 µmol/L) or an increase of 1.5 to 2 times the baseline value
Stage 2 AKI
Increase of sCr 2 to 3 times the baseline value
Stage 3 AKI
Increase in sCr > 3 times the baseline or sCr ≥ 4.0 mg/dL (353.6 µmol/L), with acute increase in sCr ≥ 0.3 mg/dL (26.5 µmol/L) or onset of RRT
Table 3 Diagnostic criteria and hepatorenal syndrome subtypes (Angeli et al[23], 2015)
Diagnostic criteria for HRS
HRS subtype
1) Presence of cirrhosis or ascites; 2) sCr > 1.5 mg/dL or 133 µmoles/L; 3) No improvement in sCr (below 1.5 mg/dL) after at least 48 h of diuretic withdrawal and volume expansion with albumin; 4) Absence of shock; 5) Has not undergone recent treatment with nephrotoxic drugs; 6) Absence of parenchymal kidney disease as indicated by proteinuria less than 500 mg/d, microhematuria (less than 50 erythrocytes/high-magnification field), and/or abnormal renal ultrasound findings
HRS type 1-Rapidly progressive renal failure defined as the doubling of initial serum creatinine to a level greater than 2.5 mg/dL or 220 µmoles/L in less than 3 wk, and associated with a very poor prognosis; HRS type 2-Moderate renal failure (sCr > 1.5 mg/dL or 133 µmoles/L), following a stable or slowly progressive course, often associated with refractory ascites
Table 4 Acute kidney injury stages according to International Club of Ascites criteria (n = 145)
Overall incidence (n = 88)
Stage 1 (n = 22)
Stage 2 (n = 36)
Stage 3/RRT (n = 30/12)
60.6%
15.1%
24.8%
20.6/8.7%
Table 5 Patients’ preoperative baseline information according to the occurrence of acute kidney injury after deceased-donor liver transplantation (n = 145)
No AKI (n = 57)
AKI (n = 88)
P value
Male gender, n (%)
29 (50.8)
49 (55.6)
0.441
Age (yr), mean (± SD)
53.2 (± 13.56)
56.2 (± 13.26)
0.352
BMI, mean (± SD)
18.2(± 4.54)
22.7 (± 4.92)
0.065
Biological MELD score, mean (± SD)
21.67 (± 2.15)
26.05 (± 3.05)
< 0.001
Previous ascites, n (%)
24 (42.1)
52 (59.0)
0.013
Previous encephalopathy, n (%)
18 (31.5)
39 (44.3)
0.025
Previous upper digestive bleeding, n (%)
21 (36.8)
45 (51.1)
0.018
Preexisting KD, n (%)
15 (26.3)
60 (68.1)
< 0.001
HCC, n (%)
20 (35.0)
37 (42.0)
0.069
Systemic arterial hypertension, n (%)
28 (49.1)
46 (52.2)
0.083
Diabetes mellitus, n (%)
23 (40.3)
43 (48.8)
0.254
Table 6 Donor and graft characteristics according to the occurrence of acute kidney injury after deceased-donor liver transplantation (n = 145)
Use of dopamine doses > 10 microg/kg per min, n (%)
10 (17.5)
13 (14.7)
0.176
Donor peak serum sodium > 155 mEq/L, n (%)
02 (3.5)
5 (5.6)
0.219
ECD (3 or more factors above), n (%)
07 (12.2)
31 (35.2)
< 0.001
Table 7 Intraoperative events in 145 deceased-donor liver transplantations according to the occurrence of postoperative acute kidney injury
Without AKI (n = 57)
With AKI (n = 88)
P value
IOAH (bleeding/PRS), n (%)
14 (24.5)
54 (61.3)
< 0.001
MBT, n (%)
5 (8.7)
15 (17.0)
< 0.001
Vasoactive drugs, n (%)
38(66.6)
48 (54.5)
0.197
Cryoprecipitate transfusion, n (%)
10 (17.5)
18 (20.4)
0.169
Piggy-back clamping, n (%)
30 (52.6)
48 (54.5)
0.072
SL (mmol/L) at the end of LT, mean (± SD)
1.4 (± 0.3)
2.8 (± 0.7)
< 0.001
Lower serum fibrinogen (mg/dL), mean (± SD)
242 (± 34)
214 (± 24)
0.090
Table 8 Logistic regression analysis of risk factors for acute kidney injury after deceased-donor liver transplantation (n = 145)
Logistic regression
Beta coeficient
OR
95%CI
P value
Biological MELD score ≥ 25
0.194
1.999
1.586
2.503
< 0.001
Pre-existing KD, n (%)
0.115
1.279
0.916
1.686
< 0.001
ECD (3 or more factors above)
0.911
1.191
0.711
1.787
0.002
IOAH (bleeding/PRS), n (%)
0.169
1.935
1.505
2.344
< 0.001
MBT, n (%)
0.125
1.830
1.428
2.241
< 0.001
SL (mmol/L) ≥ 2.0 at the end of LT
0.110
2.001
1.616
2.421
< 0.001
Citation: Bredt LC, Peres LAB, Risso M, Barros LCAL. Risk factors and prediction of acute kidney injury after liver transplantation: Logistic regression and artificial neural network approaches . World J Hepatol 2022; 14(3): 570-582