Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2021.
World J Gastroenterol. Sep 7, 2021; 27(33): 5610-5621
Published online Sep 7, 2021. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i33.5610
Table 1 Baseline characteristics of the study population
Characteristics
PNI+ (n = 144)
PNI- (n = 159)
P value
The training set(n = 242)
The validation set(n = 61)
P value
Age (mean ± SD, yr)58.9 ± 11.858.9 ± 11.70.95258.4 ± 11.960.8 ± 10.20.162
Sex (male/female)77/6793/660.379140/10230/310.223
Volume (cm3) 19.720.80.13220.120.80.847
Location10.0750.045
Middle-low1019616433
High43637828
cT stage (T1-2/T3/T4)25/98/2157/90/12< 0.00161/156/2521/32/80.222
cN stage (N0/N1/N2)31/52/6175/59/25< 0.00189/84/6917/27/170.313
Neoadjuvant therapy (+/-)25/11937/1220.20351/19111/500.599
CEA (+/-) (positive ≥ 5 ng/mL)77/6756/1030.001107/13526/350.823
CA19-9 (+/-) (positive ≥ 30 U/mL)43/10135/1240.11964/17814/470.577
CA125 (+/-) (positive ≥ 24 U/mL)20/12415/1440.22620/2223/580.378
pT stage (T1/T2/T3/T4)0/15/117/128/44/95/12< 0.0016/48/171/172/11/41/70.584
pN stage (0/N1/N2)29/74/4181/56/22< 0.00188/101/5322/29/100.579
Stage (Ⅰ/Ⅱ/Ⅲ)10/28/11538/43/78< 0.00140/48/1548/14/390.731
Histologic grade (G1/G2/G3)1/105/382/133/240.0142/189/511/49/110.523
Rad-score0.60 ± 0.190.40 ± 0.20< 0.0010.50±0.210.49 ± 0.230.805
Table 2 Risk factors selected by logistic regression analysis
Variables
Univariate
Multivariate

OR
P value
OR
P value
Age1.0010.961--
Sex0.7870.358--
Volume1.0001.000--
Location1.7790.0501.4700.265
cT stage2.328< 0.0011.6360.087
cN stage1.550< 0.0011.4580.001
CEA2.631< 0.0012.5280.003
CA19-91.4780.182--
CA1250.7170.484--
Rad-score3.012< 0.0013.148< 0.001
Table 3 Comparisons of variables and models in the training and validation cohorts

The training set
The validation set

AUC
SEN (%)
SPE (%)
P value
AUC
SEN (%)
SPE (%)
P value
CEA0.597 (0.533-0.660)50.0076.38< 0.0010.635 (0.502-0.754)96.5540.630.042
cT stage0.613 (0.549-0.675)84.3533.86< 0.0010.589 (0.456-0.714)75.8643.750.004
cN stage0.670 (0.607-0.729)42.6184.25< 0.0010.684 (0.553-0.797)86.2140.630.045
Rad-score0.760 (0.701-0.812)72.1769.290.0200.782 (0.658-0.878)68.9778.120.640
Clinical model0.718 (0.657-0.774)63.4870.08< 0.0010.674 (0.542-0.789)65.5271.870.045
Combined model0.828 (0.774-0.873)66.0988.190.801 (0.679-0.892)62.0793.75
Table 4 Subgroup analyses of the models in the whole cohort

The clinical model
The combined model
P value
Subgroups
AUC
SEN (%)
SPE (%)
AUC
SEN (%)
SPE (%)

nCRT
With (n = 62)0.710 (0.581-0.818)68.0075.680.853 (0.740-0.930)68.0089.190.011
Without (n = 241)0.712 (0.650-0.768)48.7483.610.814 (0.759-0.861)65.5587.70< 0.001
Stage
II (n = 62)0.553 (0.422-0.680)21.0593.020.670 (0.538-0.784)36.84100.000.098
III (n = 193)0.630 (0.558-0.698)56.5269.230.796 (0.732-0.851)73.0479.49< 0.001