Retrospective Cohort Study
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©The Author(s) 2019. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastroenterol. Dec 14, 2019; 25(46): 6752-6766
Published online Dec 14, 2019. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v25.i46.6752
Table 1 Characteristics of patients enrolled in this study, n (%)
Characteristic SEER database West China Hospital database MPV- group MPV+ group P valueMPV- group MPV+ group P valueSample size, n 6825 714 579 110 Sex 0.041a 0.353 Male 3458 (50.7) 333 (46.6) 368 (63.6) 75 (68.2) Female 3367 (49.3) 381 (53.4) 211 (36.4) 35 (31.8) Age at diagnosis (± SEM) 66.4 (± 0.13) 65.4 (± 0.38) 0.019a 58.4 (± 0.41) 58.35 (± 0.88) 0.998 Tumor diameter 0.000a 0.003a ≤ 2 cm 1232 (18.1) 62 (8.7) 130 (22.5) 12 (10.9) > 2 cm but ≤ 4 cm 4377 (64.1) 482 (67.5) 373 (64.4) 73 (66.4) > 4 cm 1216 (17.8) 170 (23.8) 76 (13.1) 25 (22.7) Positive lymph nodes 0.161 0.001a 0 1900 (27.8) 214 (30.0) 345 (59.6) 46 (41.8) 1-3 2893 (42.4) 311 (43.6) 195 (33.7) 48 (43.6) ≥ 4 2032 (29.8) 189 (26.5) 39 (6.7) 16 (14.5) AJCC 8th stage 0.000a 0.000a IA 500 (7.3) 22 (3.1) 89 (15.4) 4 (3.6) IB 1162 (17.0) 19 (20.9) 219 (37.8) 31 (28.2) IIA 238 (3.5) 43 (6.0) 37 (6.4) 11 (10.0) IIB 2893 (42.4) 311 (43.6) 195 (33.7) 45 (43.6) III 2032 (29.8) 189 (26.5) 39 (6.7) 16 (14.5) Perineural invasion N/A 0.016a Absent N/A N/A 165 (28.3) 19 (17.3) Present N/A N/A 415 (71.7) 91 (82.7) Intravascular tumor emboli N/A 0.971 Absent N/A N/A 494 (85.3) 94 (85.5) Present N/A N/A 85 (14.7) 16 (14.5) Grade1 0.605 0.984 Well differentiated 632 (9.3) 59 (8.3) 5 (0.9) 1 (1.0) Moderately differentiated 3397 (49.8) 314 (44.0) 215 (38.1) 37 (37.4) Poorly/undifferentiated 2489 (36.5) 251 (35.1) 344 (61.0) 61 (61.6) Unknown 307 (4.5) 90 (12.6) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) Margin status2 N/A 0.000a R0 N/A N/A 427 (73.7) 61 (55.5) R1 N/A N/A 152 (26.3) 49 (44.5) R2 N/A N/A 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Table 2 Univariate and multivariate analyses of the survival of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma
Univariate SEER database West China Hospital database Hazard ratio (95%CI) P valueHazard ratio (95%CI) P valueSex Male 1.000 Reference 1.000 Reference Female 0.931 (0.879, 0.987) 0.017a 0.861 (0.709, 1.046) 0.132 Tumor diameter 0.000a 0.000a ≤ 2 cm (T1) 1.000 Reference 1.000 Reference > 2 cm but ≤ 4 cm (T2) 1.375 (1.267, 1.492) 0.000a 1.466 (1.145, 1.878) 0.002a > 4 cm (T3) 1.796 (1.629, 1.982) 0.000a 2.466 (1.789, 3.397) 0.000a Positive lymph nodes 0.000a 0.000a 0 (N0) 1.000 Reference 1.000 Reference 1-3 (N1) 1.527 (1.419, 1.644) 0.000a 1.676 (1.378, 2.039) 0.000a > 4 (N2) 1.940 (1.791, 2.100) 0.000a 2.466 (1.774, 3.429) 0.000a MPV invasion 1.170 (1.059, 1.293) 0.002a 1.708 (1.352, 2.159) 0.000a Multivariate SEER database West China Hospital database Hazard ratio (95%CI) P Hazard ratio (95%CI) P Sex Male 1.000 Reference Female 0.937 (0.887, 0.989) 0.018a Tumor diameter 0.000a 0.000a T1 1.000 Reference 1.000 Reference T2 1.299 (1.203, 1.404) 0.000a 1.361 (1.060, 1.746) 0.015a T3 1.611 (1.468, 1.768) 0.000a 2.079 (1.500, 2.880) 0.000a Positive lymph nodes 0.000a 0.000a N0 1.000 Reference 1.000 Reference N1 1.454 (1.358, 1.557) 0.000a 1.573 (1.290, 1.916) 0.000a N2 1.842 (1.710, 1.984) 0.000a 2.127 (1.523, 2.971) 0.000a MPV invasion 1.178 (1.071, 1.290) 0.000a 1.423 (1.120, 1.807) 0.004a
Table 3 Differences in survival functions between American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM stages in patients stratified according to whether there was mesenterico-portal vein invasion
SEER database West China Hospital database MPV- group MPV+ group MPV- group MPV+ group Stage IA Median survival 38 (± 3.6) 19 (± 3.4) 32 (± 5.3) 21 1-yr survival rate 84.7% (± 1.7%) 85.7% (± 7.6%) 84.2% (± 4.0%) 100.0% 3-yr survival rate 51.7% (± 2.5%) 26.8% (± 10.9%) 45.4% (± 6.6%) 0.0% (±0.0%) 5-yr survival rate 39.4% (± 2.7%) 26.8% (± 10.9%) 36.0% (± 7.1%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) Stage IB Median survival 27 (± 1.3) 22 (± 2.3) 24 (± 1.6) 17 (± 2.3) 1-yr survival rate 78.0% (± 1.3%) 76.6% (± 3.7%) 79.0% (± 2.9%) 72.5% (± 8.3%) 3-yr survival rate 40.1% (± 1.6%) 34.1% (± 4.6%) 27.9% (± 3.8%) 8.55% (± 5.7%) 5-yr survival rate 27.6% (± 1.6%) 23.7% (± 4.4%) 20.9% (± 4.0%) 4.35% (± 4.2%) Stage IIA Median survival 20 (± 1.1) 19 (± 6.6) 18 (± 3.7) 15 (± 3.7) 1-yr survival rate 69.8% (± 3.1%) 71.6% (± 7.3%) 59.3% (± 8.5%) 55.6% (± 16.6%) 3-yr survival rate 24.7% (± 3.1%) 32.8% (± 8.5%) 13.7% (± 8.4%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) 5-yr survival rate 13.4% (± 2.7%) 18.4% (± 8.1%) 6.95% (± 6.4%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) Stage IIB Median survival 20 (± 0.5) 17 (± 1.1) 18 (± 1.0) 15 (± 4.8) 1-yr survival rate 68.7% (± 0.9%) 63.6% (± 2.8%) 66.7% (± 3.5%) 63.3% (± 7.1%) 3-yr survival rate 26.3% (± 0.9%) 15.3% (± 2.3%) 14.1% (± 3.1%) 7.95% (± 4.3%) 5-yr survival rate 15.9% (± 0.8%) 9.25% (± 2.1%) 5.65% (± 2.9%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) Stage III Median survival 16 (± 0.4) 13 (± 1.2) 15 (± 2.8) 15 (± 4.8) 1-yr survival rate 60.0% (± 1.1%) 53.1% (± 3.9%) 53.3% (± 8.4%) 53.9% (± 14.1%) 3-yr survival rate 17.6% (± 1.0%) 8.65% (± 2.6%) 10.4% (± 6.1%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) 5-yr survival rate 8.15% (± 0.8%) 6.55% (± 2.4%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) 0.0% (± 0.0%) IA vs IB Survival function P = 0.000a P = 0.917P = 0.044a P = 0.3821-yr survival rate P = 0.002a P = 0.282P = 0.2933-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P = 0.537P = 0.022a P = 0.1365-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P = 0.792P = 0.064P = 0.306IB vs IIA Survival function P = 0.000a P = 0.486P = 0.003a P = 0.2641-yr survival rate P = 0.015a P = 0.541P = 0.028a P = 0.3633-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P = 0.893P = 0.124P = 0.1365-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P = 0.565P = 0.064P = 0.306IIA vs IIB Survival function P = 0.622P = 0.136P = 0.523P = 0.5001-yr survival rate P = 0.733P = 0.306P = 0.421P = 0.6703-yr survival rate P = 0.620P = 0.047a P = 0.964P = 0.0665-yr survival rate P =0.375P = 0.272P = 0.853IIB vs III survival function P = 0.000a P = 0.053P = 0.033a P = 0.4181-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P = 0.029a P = 0.141P = 0.5523-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P = 0.054P = 0.589P = 0.0665-yr survival rate P = 0.000a P =0.397P = 0.053
Table 4 The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system and the modified staging scheme
AJCC staging of pancreatic cancer (8th edition) Stage Primary tumor size and extension (T) T1: Tumor ≤ 2 cm in the greatest dimension, without involvement of the CA, SMA, and CHA. IA: T1N0M0 IB: T2N0M0 T2: Tumor > 2 cm and ≤ 4 cm in the greatest dimension, without involvement of the CA, SMA, and CHA. IIA: T3N0M0 IIB: T1-3N1M0 T3: Tumor > 4 cm in the greatest dimension, without involvement of the CA, SMA, and CHA. III: (1) TxN2M0; T4: Tumor involves the CA, SMA, or CHA, regardless of size. (2) T4NxM0 Regional lymph node (N) IV: TxNxM1 N0: No positive regional lymph node N1: 1-3 positive regional lymph nodes N2: 4 or more positive regional lymph nodes Distant metastasis (M) M0: No distant metastasis M1: Distant metastasis Modified staging of pancreatic cancer Primary tumor size and extension (T) T1: Tumor ≤ 2 cm in the greatest dimension, without involvement of the CA, SMA, CHA, and MPV IA: T1N0M0 IB: T2N0M0 T2: Tumor > 2 cm and ≤ 4 cm in the greatest dimension, without involvement of the CA, SMA, CHA, and MPV IIA: T1N1M0 IIB: T3N0M0; T3: Tumor involves the MPV, or > 4 cm in the greatest dimension, without involvement of the CA, SMA, and CHA T2N1M0 III: (1) T3N1M0; T4: Tumor involves the CA, SMA, or CHA, regardless of size (2) TxN2M0; Regional lymph node (N) (3) T4NxM0 N0: No positive regional lymph node IV: TxNxM1 N1: 1-3 positive regional lymph nodes N2: 4 or more positive regional lymph nodes Distant metastasis (M) M0: No distant metastasis M1: Distant metastasis
Table 5 Verification of the modified staging system in predicting prognosis
Stage SEER database West China Hospital database Median survival 1-yr survival rate, % (±%) 3-yr survival rate, % (±%) 5-yr survival rate, % (±%) Median survival 1-yr survival rate, % (±%) 3-yr survival rate, % (±%) 5-yr survival rate, % (±%) Prognostic comparison of different 8th edition AJCC T classifications AJCC T1 27 (± 1.1) 78.7 (± 1.2) 39.7 (± 1.5) 27.0 (± 1.5) 25 (± 2.2) 82.6 (± 3.3) 32.9 (± 4.8) 24.4 (± 4.9) AJCC T2 20 (± 0.3) 68.9 (± 0.7) 26.0 (± 0.7) 16.1 (± 0.7) 19 (± 0.9) 72.0 (± 2.2) 21.5 (± 2.4) 11.4 (± 2.2) AJCC T3 15 (± 0.5) 61.7 (± 1.4) 18.7 (± 1.2) 9.9 (± 1.0) 15 (± 1.6) 53.5 (± 5.3) 10.4 (± 4.1) 3.1 (± 2.8) T1 vs T2 P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.002a P = 0.008a P = 0.034a P = 0.016a T2 vs T3 P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.001a P = 0.019a P = 0.020a Prognostic comparison of different modified T classifications Modified T1 28 (± 1.2) 78.7 (± 1.2) 41.1 (± 1.6) 27.8 (± 1.6) 26 (± 2.6) 82.6 (± 3.4) 35.7 (± 5.1) 26.5 (± 5.2) Modified T2 20 (± 0.4) 69.2 (± 0.7) 26.6 (± 0.8) 16.4 (± 0.7) 21 (± 1.1) 72.8 (± 2.4) 21.8 (± 2.8) 13.8 (± 2.7) Modified T3 16 (± 0.4) 60.5 (± 1.2) 19.1 (± 1.0) 10.7 (± 0.9) 15 (± 0.8) 61.1 (± 3.7) 7.7 (± 2.5) 2.6 (± 1.6) T1 vs T2 P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.004a P = 0.019a P = 0.017a P = 0.030a T2 vs T3 P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.008a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a Prognostic comparison of different 8th edition AJCC stages AJCC IA 38 (± 3.4) 84.8 (± 1.6) 50.7 (± 2.5) 38.9 (± 2.6) 30 (± 4.6) 84.9 (± 3.9) 43.9 (± 6.5) 34.8 (± 7.0) AJCC IB 27 (± 1.1) 77.8 (± 1.2) 39.4 (± 1.5) 27.2 (± 1.5) 23 (± 1.8) 78.2 (± 2.7) 25.6 (± 3.6) 18.3 (± 3.5) AJCC IIA 20 (± 1.0) 70.0 (± 2.8) 25.8 (± 2.9) 14.1 (± 2.6) 16 (± 2.0) 58.4 (± 7.6) 9.9 (± 6.3) 5.0 (± 4.7) AJCC IIB 19 (± 0.4) 68.2 (± 0.9) 25.2 (± 0.9) 15.3 (± 0.8) 17 (± 0.9) 66.1 (± 3.1) 12.7 (± 2.6) 4.5 (± 2.3) AJCC III 16 (± 0.4) 59.4 (± 1.1) 16.8 (± 0.9) 7.9 (± 0.7) 15 (± 2.7) 53.3 (± 7.2) 6.8 (± 4.3) 0.0 IA vs IB P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.014a P = 0.158P = 0.014a P = 0.035a IB vs IIA P = 0.000a P = 0.010a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.001a P = 0.014a P = 0.030a P =0.023a IIA vs IIB P = 0.958P = 0.541P = 0.843P = 0.659P = 0.425P = 0.348P = 0.681P = 0.924IIB vs III P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.018a P = 0.102P = 0.240P = 0.050Prognostic comparison of different modified stages Modified IA 38 (± 3.6) 84.7 (± 1.7) 51.7 (± 2.5) 39.4 (± 2.7) 32 (± 5.3) 84.2 (± 4.0) 45.4 (± 6.6) 36.0 (± 7.1) Modified IB 27 (± 1.3) 80.7 (± 1.2) 40.1 (± 1.6) 27.6 (± 1.6) 24 (± 1.6) 79.0 (± 2.9) 28.6 (± 4.0) 20.9 (± 4.0) Modified IIA 25 (± 1.4) 75.6 (± 2.0) 36.3 (± 2.3) 22.5 (± 2.2) 21 (± 3.3) 77.3 (± 7.1) 22.1 (± 7.6) 14.7 (± 6.6) Modified IIB 20 (± 0.5) 69.7 (± 1.0) 25.4 (± 1.0) 15.7 (± 0.9) 18 (± 1.1) 67.1 (± 3.4) 10.5 (± 2.8) 4.1 (± 2.2) Modified III 16 (± 0.3) 60.0 (± 0.9) 17.4 (± 0.8) 8.6 (± 0.7) 15 (± 1.0) 56.2 (± 4.5) 7.8 (± 2.8) 0.0 (± 0.0) IA vs IB P = 0.000a P = 0.055P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.044a P = 0.293P = 0.029a P = 0.064IB vs IIA P = 0.008a P = 0.029a P = 0.175P = 0.061P = 0.425P = 0.825P = 0.449P = 0.422IIA vs IIB P = 0.000a P = 0.008a P = 0.000a P = 0.004a P = 0.043a P = 0.195P = 0.152P = 0.128IIB vs III P = 0.000a P =0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.000a P = 0.004a P = 0.053P = 0.495P = 0.062