Retrospective Study
Copyright
©The Author(s) 2017. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastroenterol. Apr 21, 2017; 23(15): 2731-2742
Published online Apr 21, 2017. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v23.i15.2731
Table 1 Characteristic of interval cancers and screen-detected colorectal cancers n (%)
Interval cancers Screen-detected (SCs) P valueFIT Post-colonoscopy Total 186 (6.8) 18 (0.7) 2518 (92.5) - Patient characteristics Sex Male 125 (67.2) 10 (55.6) 1651 (65.6) 0.601 Female 61 (32.8) 8 (44.4) 867 (34.4) Age (yr) Mean (SC) 60.2 (4.9) 62.0 (3.5) 61.7 (3.4) 0.042 50-54 28 (15.1) 0 (0) 375 (14.9) 55-59 53 (28.5) 5 (27.8) 539 (21.4) 0.001 60-64 61 (32.8) 10 (55.6) 709 (28.2) 65-69 44 (23.7) 3 (16.7) 895 (35.5) Round of invitation 0.001 1 143 (76.9) 16 (88.9) 1615 (64.1) 2 40 (21.5) 2 (11.1) 680 (27.0) 3 3 (1.6) 0 (0) 223 (8.9) Type participation 0.086 Initial 149 (80.1) 17 (94.4) 1863 (74.0) Regular 35 (18.8) 1 (5.6) 639 (25.4) Irregular 2 (1.1) 0 (0) 16 (0.6) Deprivation Index 0.192 1 (least deprived) 42 (23.9) 3 (16.7) 521 (21.4) 2 43 (24.4) 1 (5.5) 503 (20.6) 3 29 (16.5) 6 (33.4) 539 (22.1) 4 38 (21.6) 2 (11.1) 461 (18.9) 5 (most deprived) 24 (13.6) 5 (27.8) 414 (17.0) Unknown 0 (0) 1 (5.5) 0 (0) Time to diagnosis (months) - < 0.0001 Median (IQR) 13.5 (8.5-18.9) 28.1 (16.5-40.1) Range 1.5-39.4 5.6-61.2 Cancer characteristics Location < 0.0001 Proximal1 68 (36.6) 7 (38.9) 478 (19.0) Distal2 58 (31.2) 9 (50.0) 1529 (60.7) Rectum 58 (31.2) 2 (11.1) 404 (16.0) Unknown 2 (1.1) 0 (0) 107 (4.2) Stage < 0.0001 I 43 (23.1) 4 (22.2) 1376 (54.6) II 36 (19.4) 2 (11.1) 408 (16.2) III 57 (30.6) 7 (38.9) 566 (22.5) IV 50 (26.9) 5 (27.8) 152 (6.0) Unknown 0 (0) 0 (0) 16 (0.6) Morphology 0.002 ADC, NOS 139 (74.7) 15 (83.3) 1823 (72.4) ADC in adenomatous polyp 4 (2.2) 0 (0) 121 (4.8) Carcinoid tumor 0 (0) 0 (0) 7 (0.3) ADC in villous adenoma 6 (3.2) 0 (0) 154 (6.1) ADC in tubulovillous adenoma 10 (5.4) 0 (0) 174 (6.9) Mucinous ADC 5 (2.7) 2 (11.1) 42 (1.7) Mucin-producing ADC 3 (1.6) 0 (0) 23 (0.9) Signet ring cell carcinoma 0 (0) 0 (0) 4 (0.2) Other 15 (8.1) 0 (0) 64 (2.5) Unknown 4 (2.2) 1 (5.6) 106 (4.2) Degree of differentiation < 0.0001 Well differentiated 76 (41.1) 7 (38.9) 988 (39.2) Moderately differentiated 59 (31.9) 7 (38.9) 1061 (42.2) Poorly differentiated 14 (7.6) 1 (5.5) 86 (3.4) Undifferentiated/anaplastic 33 (17.8) 2 (11.1) 320 (12.7) Unknown 3 (1.6) 1 (5.5) 63 (2.5) Size (mm) 0.022 Median (IQR) 20 (8.0-40.0) 38.0 (30.0-60.0) 26.0 (19.7-40.0) Range 2.0-90.0 9.0-80.0 2.0-95.0 Treatment < 0.0001 Endoscopic resection 5 (2.7) 0 (0) 733 (29.1) Surgery 56 (30.1) 9 (50.0) 182 (7.2) Surgery and neoadjuvant therapy 106 (57.0) 7 (38.9) 1332 (52.9) Palliative procedure 18 (9.7) 2 (11.1) 164 (6.6) Unknown 1 (0.5) 0 (0) 107 (4.2)
Table 2 f-Hb values of previous negative screening test in interval cancer cases
Median f-Hb (μg Hb/g faeces) IQR P valueAll 2.8 0.4-9.9 - Sex Male 3.4 0.2-10.0 0.409 Female 1.9 0.4-9.8 Age (yr) 0.380 50-54 1.9 0.2-6.9 55-59 3.0 0.6-13.0 60-64 2.8 0.2-8.6 65-69 4.0 0.4-12.5 Deprivation Index 0.887 1 (least deprived) 3.0 0.6-11.9 2 2.6 0.0-10.2 3 4.2 1.1-12.4 4 4.0 0.4-11.2 5 (most deprived) 2.6 0.0-8.7 Time to diagnosis (mo) 0.795 Within 1 yr 3.4 0.2-10.6 1-2 yr 2.5 0.5-9.6 Location 0.171 Proximal1 1.9 0.0-9.3 Distal2 3.8 0.3-13.7 Rectum 3.9 0.7-9.1 Unknown 1.0 0.0-… Stage 0.927 I 2.0 0.0-9.7 II 2.6 0.2-10.6 III 3.2 0.7-9.8 IV 4.0 0.2-9.9 Unknown Morphology 0.550 ADC, NOS 3.0 0.6-10.0 ADC in adenomatous polyp 10.0 2.0-17.2 ADC in villous adenoma 0.5 0.0-9.8 ADC in tubulovillous adenoma 2.4 0.0-9.3 Mucinous ADC 0.4 0.0-12.5 Mucin-producing ADC 14.0 0.0-… Other 1.7 0.0-6.0 Unknown 1.0 0.0-6.9 Degree of differentiation 0.600 Well differentiated 2.8 1.0-9.0 Moderately differentiated 4.4 0.6-13.0 Poorly differentiated 0.6 0.0-5.6 Undifferentiated/anaplastic 4.0 0.0-9.4 Unknown 2.0 0.0-… Size (mm) < 10 1.4 0.4-12.4 0.586 10-19.99 1.0 0.0-7.9 ≥ 20 2.9
Table 3 Characteristics of post colonoscopy colorectal cancers at the time of diagnosis
n (%)Interval CRC tumor site Appendix and caecum 5 (27.8) Ascending 0 (0) Hepatic flexure 1 (5.6) Transverse 1 (5.6) Splenic flexure 0 (0) Descending 2 (11.1) Sigmoid 7 (38.8) Rectum 2 (11.1) Unknown 0 (0) Polyp found on the Screening colonoscopy Yes 10 (61.1) No 8 (38.9) Polyp frequency Median (IQR) 2.0 (1.0-3.5) Range 1-6 Previous resection in the same location Yes 2 (11.0) No 16 (89.0) Report of incomplete Screening colonoscopy Yes2 3 (16.7) No 15 (83.3) Polyp size on the Screening colonoscopy ≥ 10 mm Yes 2 (11.1) No 16 (88.9) Polyp histology (n = 10) Hyperplastic polyp 0 (0) LRA 6 (60.0) AA 4 (40.0) Bowel preparation Inadequate 2 (11.1) Adequate1 12 (66.7) Unknown 4 (22.2) Diverticulosis Yes 5 (27.8) No 13 (72.2)
Table 4 Multivariate analysis of patients and tumors predictors of interval cancers compared with screen-detected cancers
% with CI OR (95%CI) P valueSex Female 69 (33.8) 1 (ref.) Male 135 (66.2) 1.03 (0.76-1.39) 0.860 Age (yr) 50-54 28 (13.7) 1 (ref.) 55-59 58 (28.4) 1.44 (0.90-2.31) 0.127 60-64 71 (34.8) 1.34 (0.84-2.11) 0.206 65-69 47 (23.0) 0.70 (0.43-1.14) 0.153 Deprivation 1 (least deprived) 45 (23.3) 1 (ref.) 2 44 (22.8) 1.01 (0.66-1.56) 0.954 3 35 (18.1) 0.75 (0.48-1.19) 0.222 4 40 (20.7) 1.00 (0.64-1.57) 0.984 5 (most deprived) 29 (15.0) 0.81 (0.50-1.32) 0.396 Location Proximal1 74 (36.8) 1 (ref.) Distal2 67 (33.3) 0.28 (0.20-0.40) < 0.0001 Rectum 60 (29.9) 0.96 (0.67-1.38) 0.824 Stage I 47 (23.0) 1 (ref.) II 38 (18.6) 2.73 (1.75-4.24) < 0.0001 III 64 (31.4) 3.31 (2.24-4.88) < 0.0001 IV 55 (27.0) 10.59 (6.93-16.18) < 0.0001
Table 5 Hazard ratios and 95%CI for interval cancer vs screen-detected cancers
Hazard ratio 95% CI P valueSex Female (ref) Male 1.39 1.01-1.93 0.049 Age (yr) 50-54 (ref) 0.451 55-59 1.37 0.79-2.36 0.258 60-64 1.22 0.72-2.07 0.463 65-69 1.47 0.89-2.44 0.137 Deprivation Index 1 (least deprived) (ref) 0.839 2 0.89 0.54-1.46 0.639 3 1.01 0.63-1.62 0.956 4 0.90 0.54-1.51 0.696 5 (most deprived) 1.16 0.72-1.88 0.537 Location Rectum (ref) < 0.001 Proximal1 1.17 0.78-1.77 0.456 Distal2 0.56 0.39-0.82 0.003 Stage I (ref) < 0.001 II 1.99 1.11-3.54 0.020 III 3.67 2.31-5.83 < 0.001 IV 26.54 17.37-40.56 < 0.001 CRC type Screen detected CRC (ref) < 0.0001 IC FIT 3.31 2.25-4.85 < 0.0001 IC colonoscopy 3.49 1.11-10.97 0.032