Brief Article
Copyright ©2013 Baishideng Publishing Group Co.
World J Gastroenterol. Aug 7, 2013; 19(29): 4737-4744
Published online Aug 7, 2013. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v19.i29.4737
Table 1 Patient and tumor characteristics according to recurrence rate, univariate analysis
VariablesNon-recurrent (n = 187)Recurrent HCC (n = 37)P-value
Patient characteristics
Age (yr)52.05 ± 6.9350.89 ± 6.88  0.354
Gender (male: female)151 (80.7):36 (19.3)33 (89.2):4 (10.8)  0.221
HBV: HCV: Other cause164:11:1233:2:2  0.965
Child-Pugh score8.15 ± 2.418.14 ± 2.37  0.972
MELD score12.76 ± 7.2513.05 ± 9.45  0.858
GRWR (%)1.20 ± 0.281.24 ± 0.24  0.454
≤ 1 (n = 29)26 (89.7)3 (10.3)  0.327
> 1 (n = 193)159 (82.4)34 (17.6)
  AFP (ng/mL)170.5 ± 806.2249.94 ± 481.37  0.568
≤ 100 (n = 163)142 (87.1)21 (12.9)  0.025
> 100 (n = 59)44 (74.6)15 (25.4)
PIVKA-II (mAU/mL)189.6 ± 1150.3397.2 ± 674.5  0.576
≤ 10099 (94.3)6 (5.7)  0.018
> 10014 (77.8)4 (22.2)
Pre-transplant treatment  0.025
 No (n = 57)53 (93.0)4 (7.0)
Yes (n = 167)134 (80.2)33 (19.8)
Pathologic characteristics
Maximal diameter (cm)2.76 ± 1.985.54 ± 5.65  0.006
≤ 5 (n = 196)170 (86.7)26 (13.3)< 0.001
> 5 (n = 20)10 (50.0)10 (50.0)
Total diameter (cm)4.21 ± 2.887.82 ± 6.56  0.005
≤ 9 (n = 185)162 (87.6)23 (12.4)  0.001
> 9 (n = 19)11 (57.9)8 (42.1)
Tumor number2.46 ± 2.183.06 ± 3.11  0.282
≤ 5 (n = 193)164 (85.0)29 (15.0)  0.046
> 5 (n = 22)15 (68.2)7 (31.8)
Microvascular invasion  0.039
No (n = 163)140 (85.9)23 (14.1)
  Yes (n = 44)32 (72.7)12 (27.3)
E-S grade  0.300
Low (I, II) (n = 108)93 (86.1)15 (13.9)
High (III, IV)  (n = 81)65 (80.2)16 (19.8)
Table 2 Risk factors for recurrence; multivariate analysis
VariablesP-valueExp(B)95%CI
AFP (100 ng/mL) 0.0212.8921.172-7.132
Pre-transplant treatment 0.1142.4210.742-7.897
Maximal diameter (5 cm)< 0.00111.8913.784-37.368
Total diameter (9 cm) 0.1422.6330.754-9.194
Tumor number (5) 0.7121.3730.262-7.203
Microvascular invasion 0.271.7680.653-4.784
Table 3 Recurrence rates according to various criteria n (%)
VariablesNon-recurrentRecurrentP-value
Milan criteria0.021
Within (n = 133)117 (88.0)16 (12.0)
Beyond (n = 83)63 (75.9)20 (24.1)
UCSF criteria0.002
Within (n = 154)136 (88.3)18 (11.7)
Beyond (n = 62)44 (71.0)18 (29.0)
CMC criteria0.001
Within (n = 140)126 (90.0)14 (10.0)
Beyond (n = 74)53 (71.6)21 (28.4)
TNM0.325
T1 (n = 81)71 (87.7)10 (12.3)
T2 (n = 127)103 (81.1)24 (18.9)
T3 (n = 7)5 (71.4)2 (28.6)
BCLC< 0.001
0 (n = 36)33 (91.7)3 (8.3)
A (n = 82)73 (89.0)9 (11.0)
B (n = 53)47 (88.7)6 (11.3)
C (n = 45)27 (60.0)18 (40.0)
CLIP0.023
0, 1 (n = 89)73 (82.0)16 (18.0)
2, 3 (n = 110)97 (88.2)13 (11.8)
4, 5 (n = 12)7 (58.3)5 (41.7)
Table 4 Disease-free survival and overall survival rates according to various criteria
CriteriaDisease-free survival
Overall survival
3 yr5 yrP-value3 yr5 yrP-value
Milan Within (n = 130)0.8800.867 0.0090.8080.7980.137
 Beyond (n = 81)0.7300.7040.7330.706
UCSF Within (n = 150)0.8810.869 0.0010.8220.8130.009
 Beyond (n = 61)0.6810.6450.6770.643
CMC Within (n = 138)0.8990.886< 0.0010.8400.8180.006
 Beyond (n = 71)0.6820.6560.6630.663
TNM T1 (n = 80)0.8900.870 0.1900.8300.8300.394
 T2 (n = 123)0.7880.7730.7530.725
 T3 (n = 7)0.5710.5710.5560.556
BCLC  0 (n = 35)0.9430.902< 0.0010.8820.8820.005
 A (n = 80)0.8780.8780.8050.787
 B (n = 52)0.8540.8540.8780.826
   C (n = 44)0.5780.5440.5490.549
CLIP   0,1 (n = 88)0.7950.771 0.0110.7760.7760.272
  2,3 (n = 106)0.8850.8700.8190.792
  4,5 (n = 12)0.5560.5560.5090.509
Table 5 Comparison of the Milan and Catholic Medical Center criteria
CriteriaRecurrence rateP-value5-yr DFSP-value5-yr survivalP-value
Milan criteria
Single ≤ 5 cm (n = 91)13%< 0.0010.862< 0.0010.829< 0.001
> 5 cm (n = 12)61.5%0.3330.333
No. 2 or 3 ≤ 3 cm (n = 39)9.8% 0.8890.878 0.8910.711 0.251
> 3 cm (n = 22)8.7%0.8480.747
Number   ≤ 3 (n = 164)15.4% 0.2090.824 0.2280.781 0.316
      > 3 (n = 47)21.7%0.7370.698
CMC criteria
Size ≤ 5 cm      AFP ≤ 100 (n = 138)9.6% 0.0010.886< 0.0010.818< 0.001
Size ≤ 5 cm    AFP > 100 (n = 52)20.0%0.7650.749
Size > 5 cm    AFP ≤ 100 (n = 15)38.9%0.5140.508
Size > 5 cm    AFP > 100 (n = 4)75.0% 00