Brief Article
Copyright ©2009 The WJG Press and Baishideng.
World J Gastroenterol. Feb 14, 2009; 15(6): 717-721
Published online Feb 14, 2009. doi: 10.3748/wjg.15.717
Table 1 Demographic and clinical variables of the whole series
Demographic and clinical variablesValues
Number of patents44
Age (years ± SD)49 ± 18
Gender male70.4% (31/44)
SAP70.4% (31/44)
Presence of necrosis49.9% (18/44)
Extent (percentage) of necrosis
< 30%38.9% (7/18)
30%-50%11.1% (2/18)
> 50%50.0% (9/18)
IAH (IAP ≥ 12 mmHg)43.2% (19/44)
ACS (IAP ≥ 20 mmHg + MOF)13.6% (6/44)
Mortality13.6% (6/44)
APACHE II score at admission16.5 (4.0-10.0)
Max APACHE II score during hospitalization18.0 (5.0-11.0)
Glasgow-Imrie score at admission13.0 (2.0-3.0)
Max Glasgow-Imrie score during hospitalization13.0 (2.0-4.0)
MODS score at admission12.0 (1.0-3.0)
Max MODS score during hospitalization12.0 (1.0-4.0)
Table 2 Clinical scores (on admission and max value) in relation to presence of ACS
Clinical scoresACS group median (lower & upper quartiles)Non-ACS group median (lower & upper quartiles)P
APACHE II score on admission12.0 (9.0-1.0)6.0 (4.0-9.0)< 0.01
Max APACHE score14.0 (11.0-18.0)7.0 (4.0-10.0)< 0.01
Glasgow-Imrie score on admission5.0 (4.0-5.0)2.0 (2.0-3.0)< 0.01
Max Glasgow-Imrie score5.0 (4.0-5.0)2.5 (1.0-3.0)< 0.01
MODS score on admission4.5 (3.0-8.0)1.5 (1.0-3.0)< 0.01
Max MODS score4.5 (3.0-8.0)2.0 (1.0-3.0)< 0.01
Table 3 Clinical characteristics of patients with and without ACS
Clinical characteristicsACS group (n = 6, %)Non-ACS group (n = 38, %)P
Severe AP6 (100)25 (65.8)NS
Necrotizing AP5 (83.3)13 (34.2)< 0.05
Necrosis > 30%5 (83.3)6 (15.8)< 0.05
Deaths4 (66.6)2 (5.2)< 0.01
Table 4 Areas under the ROC curves for prognostic factors of ACS
VariablesAreaStd. errorAsymptotic sigConfidence Interval
lowerupper
1st IAP on admission0.9320.0650.0010.8051.059
Glasgow-Imrie score0.9210.0540.0010.8161.026
APACHE II score0.8660.0620.0040.7450.987
MODS score0.8290.0980.0100.6361.022
Table 5 Cut-off points, sensitivity and specificity for prognostic factors of ACS
VariableCut-offSensitivity (%)Specificity (%)
APACHE II score> 7100.0 (54.1-100.0)60.5 (43.4-75.9)
Glasgow-Imrie score> 383.3 (36.1-97.2)86.8 (71.9-95.5)
MODS score> 283.3 (36.1-97.2)73.7 (56.9- 86.6)
1st IAP on admission> 1883.3 (36.1-97.2)100.0 (90.7-100.0)