Role of children in the Bulgarian COVID-19 epidemic: A mathematical model study

doi:10.5493/wjem.v13.i3.28

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Jun 20, 2023 (publication date) through Nov 23, 2024

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World Journal of Experimental Medicine

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2220-315x

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Baishideng Publishing Group Inc, 7041 Koll Center Parkway, Suite 160, Pleasanton, CA 94566, USA

Evidence-Based Medicine

World J Exp Med. Jun 20, 2023; 13(3): 28-46
Published online Jun 20, 2023. doi: 10.5493/wjem.v13.i3.28

Table 5 Regression models with ARIMA (0,2,1) errors – Model III

Model summary
Coefficient	Estimate	Standard error
MA1	-0.9502	0.1272
Variants^a	724.0295	641.8759
Vaccines	1095.1284	691.3952
0-19 L1	5.7357	0.0519
0-19 L3	1.9966	0.8769
R²	0.953
RMSE	897.5266
Bias	-72.74389
MAPE	31.96102

^aThis variable is not so well estimated because the newest variant has not enough data.

Citation: Tomov L, Batselova H, Lazova S, Ganev B, Tzocheva I, Velikova T. Role of children in the Bulgarian COVID-19 epidemic: A mathematical model study. World J Exp Med 2023; 13(3): 28-46
URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/2220-315X/full/v13/i3/28.htm
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.5493/wjem.v13.i3.28