Routine laboratory parameters in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis by the time of operative pancreatic debridement: Food for thought

Table 5 Predictive value of combined variables for hospital mortality in acute necrotizing pancreatitis patients

Multivariable model	AUC	95%CI	P value
AST (E) + AML (E)	0.791	0.618-0.911	0.016
AST (E) + DB (E)	0.784	0.610-0.906	0.0011
AML (E) + DB (E)	0.884	0.777-0.908	0.0002
AST (E) + AML (E) + DB (E)	0.884	0.728-0.968	0.003
DB (E) + DB (A/E)	0.87	0.708-0.961	0.0006
AST (E) + DB (A/E)	0.87	0.708-0.961	0.0016
AML (E) + DB (A/E)	0.84	0.674-0.945	0.0026
AST (E) + AML (E) + DB (A/E)	0.88	0.719-0.966	0.0023
AST (E) + AML (E) + DB (E) + DB (A/E)	0.935	0.792-0.991	0.0005

A: Day 1 (on admission); E: Day before the operative pancreatic debridement. ANP: Acute necrotizing pancreatitis; AST: Aspartate aminotransferase; CI: Confidential intervals; DB: Direct bilirubin.