Severity of the metabolic syndrome as a predictor of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes in first degree relatives of type 2 diabetic patients: A 15-year prospective cohort study

Table 4 Area under the curve, sensitivity and specificity of metabolic syndrome severity Z-score for predicting the risk of affecting by diabetes and pre-diabetes in future for first degree relatives of type 2 diabetes mellitus when they are normal glucose tolerance at the begging of study

	Diabetes			Pre-diabetes
	Total	Male	Female	Total	Male	Female
AUC (95%CI)	0.63 (0.57-0.69)a	0.55 (0.43-0.68)	0.67 (0.59-0.74)a	0.58 (0.54-0.61)a	0.55 (0.47-0.62)	0.6 (0.55-0.64)a
Sensitivity (%)	66	76	72	42	71	60
Specificity (%)	56	43	56	72	44	58

^aP < 0.05. AUC: Area under the curve.