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Copyright ©The Author(s) 2019.
World J Gastroenterol. Jan 7, 2019; 25(1): 69-84
Published online Jan 7, 2019. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v25.i1.69
Table 2 Risk scoring systems for severe acute lower gastrointestinal bleeding which have been validated
Derivation studyOutcomesRisk factorsROC-AUCValidation study
Strate et al[21]Severe bleedingSyncope0.76Prospective cohort (n = 275)
(n = 252)(continuous and/or recurrent bleeding)No abdominal tendernessROC-AUC: 0.75
Aspirin use
Heart rate ≥ 100/min
Systolic blood pressure ≤ 115 mmHg
Bleeding per rectum in the first 4 h
Charlson comorbidity index > 2
Das et al[22]Rebleeding(19 factors)0.92Prospective cohort (n = 142)
(n = 120)Need for interventionAge0.93
Artificial neural network based modelIn-hospital mortalityComorbidity (5 factors)0.95
History (4 factors)
Features at presentation (2 factors)
Features at initial assessment (2 factors)
Initial laboratory data (5 factors)
Aoki et al[24]Severe bleeding(NOBLADS)0.77Prospective cohort (n = 161)
(n = 439)(Continuous and/or recurrent bleeding)NSAIDs useROC-AUC: 0.76
No diarrheaRetrospective cohort (n = 511)
No abdominal tendernessROC-AUC: 0.74
Blood pressure (systolic) ≤ 100 mmHg
Albumin level < 3.0 g/dL
Antiplatelet drugs use (non-aspirin)
Disease score ≥ 21
Syncope
Oakland et al[27]Safe dischargeAge0.84Prospective cohort (n = 288)
(n = 2336)(Absence of death, rebleeding, intervention, blood transfusion,Male sexROC-AUC: 0.79
or 28 d readmission)Blood on rectal examination
Heart rate
Systolic blood pressure
Hemoglobin level
Previous LGIB admission
Sengupta et al[28]30 d mortalityAge0.81Retrospective cohort (n = 2060)
(n = 4044)DementiaROC-AUC: 0.72
Metastatic cancer
Chronic kidney disease
Chronic pulmonary disease
Anticoagulant use
Hematocrit level
Albumin level