Evaluation of diagnostic findings and scoring systems in outcome prediction in acute pancreatitis

Table 4 Factors related to morbidity and mortality

Factors	Morbidity			Mortality
	Cut-off level	Positive LR	AUC	Cut-off level	Positive LR	AUC
APACHE-II	8.5	5	0.72	8.5	5	0.88
BE	-5	3.36	0.69	-5	4.63	0.84
CT-INDEX	2	2.04	0.67	3	4.3	0.68
BUN (mg/dL)	22	2.23	0.70	23	2.85	0.70
CRP (mg/L)	142	2.03	0.72	160	2.03	0.82
LDH (U/L)	667	4.07	0.82	667	2.79	0.82

The AUC (Area Under Curve) value near to 1.00 means having high prediction rate of the morbidity and mortality. Positive LR (likelihood ratio) is also correlated with high prediction rate of the morbidity and mortality. CRP: Serum C-reactive protein; LDH: Lactate dehydrogenase; BE: Base excess.