Copyright
©The Author(s) 2004.
World J Gastroenterol. Dec 15, 2004; 10(24): 3579-3582
Published online Dec 15, 2004. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v10.i24.3579
Published online Dec 15, 2004. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v10.i24.3579
Time (yr) | Incidence (1/100000) | Predicted value from ANN | Error from ANN | Predicted value from ARIMA | Error from ARIMA |
1981 | 160.07 | - | - | - | - |
1982 | 136.68 | 101.58 | 35.10 | 146.87 | -10.19 |
1983 | 104.12 | 94.63 | 9.49 | 127.39 | -23.27 |
1984 | 50.50 | 83.87 | -33.37 | 100.29 | -49.79 |
1985 | 32.99 | 62.34 | -29.35 | 55.65 | -22.66 |
1986 | 26.74 | 53.26 | -26.52 | 41.07 | -14.33 |
1987 | 39.94 | 49.11 | -9.17 | 35.86 | 4.08 |
1988 | 36.75 | 53.72 | -16.97 | 46.85 | -10.10 |
1989 | 96.92 | 50.42 | 46.50 | 44.20 | 52.72 |
1990 | 91.33 | 73.84 | 17.49 | 94.29 | -2.96 |
1991 | 79.52 | 70.90 | 8.62 | 89.64 | -10.12 |
1992 | 75.31 | 64.60 | 10.71 | 79.81 | -4.50 |
1993 | 85.57 | 61.39 | 24.18 | 76.30 | 9.27 |
1994 | 62.54 | 64.00 | -1.46 | 84.84 | -22.3 |
1995 | 28.23 | 52.11 | -23.88 | 65.67 | -37.44 |
1996 | 29.14 | 35.20 | -6.06 | 37.11 | -7.97 |
1997 | 42.90 | 34.36 | 8.54 | 37.86 | 5.04 |
1998 | 21.25 | 38.01 | -16.76 | 49.32 | -28.07 |
1999 | 34.36 | 27.27 | 7.09 | 54.66 | -20.30 |
2000 | 19.31 | 30.87 | -11.56 | 59.11 | -39.80 |
2001 | 39.09 | 22.88 | 16.21 | 62.81 | -23.72 |
- Citation: Guan P, Huang DS, Zhou BS. Forecasting model for the incidence of hepatitis A based on artificial neural network. World J Gastroenterol 2004; 10(24): 3579-3582
- URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/1007-9327/full/v10/i24/3579.htm
- DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.3748/wjg.v10.i24.3579